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SETI and Democracy SETI and Democracy Peter Hatfielda,∗, Leah Truebloodb,c aAstrophysics, University of Oxford, Denys Wilkinson Building, Keble Road, Oxford, OX1 3RH, UK bFaculty of Law, University of Oxford, St Cross Building, St Cross Road, Oxford, OX1 3UL, UK cWorcester College, 1 Walton St, Oxford OX1 2HB, UK Abstract There is a wide-ranging debate about the merits and demerits of searching for, and sending messages to, extrater- restrial intelligences (SETI and METI). There is however reasonable (but not universal) consensus that replying to a message from an extraterrestrial intelligence should not be done unilaterally, without consultation with wider society and the rest of the world. But how should this consultation actually work? In this paper we discuss various ways that decision making in such a scenario could be done democratically, and gain legitimacy. In particular we consider a scientist-led response, a politician-led response, deciding a response using a referendum, and finally using citizens' assemblies. We present the results of a survey of a representative survey of 2,000 people in the UK on how they thought a response should best be determined, and finally discuss parallels to how the public is responding to scientific expertise in the COVID-19 Pandemic. Keywords: SETI 1. Introduction Universe [14, 15], and the practicalities of sending mes- sages, and how they might be decoded, are fields in and Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence (SETI) is the of themselves[16]. SETI and METI remain speculative en- process of searching for intelligent life forms in the Uni- terprises, but have grown as disciplines over time, partic- verse beyond planet Earth. There are many such searches ularly since the discovery that exoplanets are ubiquitous underway [1], conventionally using large astronomical tele- throughout the Galaxy[17]. 1 scopes. The current scientific consensus is that there is There is considerable debate in the literature about the no life (intelligent or otherwise) beyond planet Earth in merits and demerits of METI[18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25]. our Solar System [3]; whether there is life elsewhere in Those against typically would argue that METI risks `re- the Milky Way or indeed the Universe remains an open vealing' the location and existence of our planet, and that question[4, 5]. Alongside SETI, sometimes researchers con- it might attract the attention of a hostile species, with po- sider the prospect of actively Messaging Extraterrestrial tentially civilisation ending consequences. The arguments Intelligence (METI, sometimes called active SETI) - send- in favour typically counter that Earth's regular electro- ing messages out into the Universe with the intention of an magnetic signals (TV etc.) have already revealed our lo- as-of-yet unknown intelligence finding and understanding cation if that was a reasonable worry, and furthermore the message[6]. that First Contact might bring unimaginable benefits if Modern SETI projects are generally considered to start they are friendly2. Perhaps the consequences and nature with Project Ouzma in 1960[7, 8]. Notable contemporary of First Contact would simply be so beyond our current examples include Breakthrough Listen[9] and Search for frame of reference that inevitably any predictions will have Extraterrestrial Radio Emissions from Nearby Developed been made in vain[26, 27]. The purpose of this paper is not Intelligent Populations (SERENDIP)[10]. METI conven- to discuss these arguments, but instead to focus on the is- tionally takes either the form of physical artefacts (e.g. sue of how that decision ought to be made. Opponents have the Voyager Golden Records[11]) or electromagnetic sig- arXiv:2007.13515v2 [physics.pop-ph] 11 Dec 2020 proposed banning or regulating METI[24, 28], so the ques- nals beamed at astrophysical bodies (e.g. radio signals tion is not completely hypothetical - and would rapidly be- like the Arecibo Message [12] or perhaps with pulsed laser come imperative if there ever was a real life First Contact signals [13]). There is an extensive literature considering scenario. There are a few suggested protocols, but little how many extraterrestrial species there might be in the discussion of how these decision making processes might acquire legitimacy - how can METI be made democratic (if indeed it needs to be). ∗Corresponding author Email address: [email protected] (Peter Hatfield) 2There are many more details to these arguments, better sum- 1At least until very recently[2] marised elsewhere. Preprint submitted to Acta Astronautica December 14, 2020 2. Previous Democratic Processes in SETI that they should try to have some international consulta- tion in the determination of any message5. This trend has Outer space has presented democratic, political, legal continued into the 2010's6, a 2012 follow-up to the `Wow!' and governance issues for decades e.g. regulating satel- signal consisted of 10,000 Twitter messages7, and in 2016 lite ownership and liability and managing ownership issues the European Space Agency message `A Simple Response of mining asteroids. For example, legally a key plank in to an Elemental Message' included 3775 messages from the the international framework for space is the Outer Space worldwide public8. Treaty of 1967[29], which limits the types of weapon that can be placed in space, forbids governments from making 2.2. Composing Replies claims over the Moon or other bodies in the Solar System, In terms of replying to received messages, there is no and regulates ownership of objects launched into space. universally endorsed approach, but probably the most pop- Politically, exploration of outer space has been charged ular/well recognised outlook is the 1989 International Academy since the dawn of spaceflight e.g. who is chosen to be an of Astronautics SETI Post-Detection Protocols. The pro- astronaut[30, 31, 32]. Here we discuss various democratic tocols lay out some guiding principles to be followed in the processes that have been relevant for SETI and METI to event of a detection, and gives an outline of a procedure to date. be followed, namely to not publicly announce the detec- tion until it has been independently verified, and to then 2.1. Composing Messages inform other observers through the International Astro- Early 1970's METI effects were typically led by an in- nomical Union, and the Secretary General of the United dividual, or small group of individuals, who then took a se- Nations (in accordance with Article XI of the Outer Space ries of consultations to improve and clarify their proposed Treaty). In particular the 8th protocol proposes `No re- message, before sending. The Pioneer Plaques (launched sponse to a signal or other evidence of extra-terrestrial 1972 and 1973) were essentially developed just by Carl intelligence should be sent until appropriate international Sagan, Frank Drake and Linda Salzman Sagan[33] over consultations have taken place. The procedures for such three weeks. Similarly the 1974 Arecibo message similarly consultations will be the subject of a separate agreement, was developed by a team of about four people led by Frank declaration or arrangement.'910 More recently, on the 13th Drake[34]. A few years later for Voyager Golden Records February 2015, SETI experts met at an annual meeting of (1977) NASA required a more formal process over the the American Association for the Advancement of Science, much longer period of a year. The images and music (and and released a declaration concluding that: `A worldwide message from US President Carter) that went on the discs scientific, political and humanitarian discussion must oc- were selected by a six person committee chaired by Carl cur before any message is sent.'11 The question of what Sagan, selected by NASA. NASA is known to have vetoed amounts to an `international consultation' or a `world- some choices of the committee, so there was effectively wide scientific political and humanitarian discussion' is left an oversight process[11]. Making a plaque/record/message unanswered in the IAA protocol and the AAAS declara- that is representative of all humanity is an incredibly chal- tion12. It is the aim of this paper to discuss what such lenging task[35, 28], and the contents of the record have a process might involve and how it might become to be been debated substantially in the subsequent decades[36]. perceived as legitimate. In all these cases, the number of humans directly con- tributing to the development of the message was less than ten, with arguably with some informal oversight from a 5Also increasingly felt in the literature[21, 24] larger number of people from NASA. 6See [38] for a comprehensive summary of METI messages 7 IRM Cosmic Call 2 was sent to 5 Sun-like stars in https://www.space.com/17151-alien-wow-signal-response. html 2003 and contained messages composed by citizens of the 8https://blogs.esa.int/artscience/2017/02/17/paul-quast- USA, Canada and Russia3 [37], likely the first interna- man-with-a-simple-message/ tional METI effort. More recent METI attempts have ex- 9https://iaaseti.org/en/declaration-principles- concerning-activities-following-detection/ panded the number of people involved in determining the 10There are a few revisions and drafted new versions of the content of any message to extraterrestrials. In 2008 `A Protocol; one modified version instead states `No communication Message From Earth' was sent towards Gliese 581 c, and to extraterrestrial intelligence should be sent by any State until the content of the message was determined by online sub- appropriate international consultations have taken place. States 4 should not cooperate with attempts to communicate with ex- missions and votes on social media website Bebo . Bebo traterrestrial intelligence that do not conform to the principles of at the time had 12 million users who in principle could this Declaration' https://iaaspace.org/wp-content/uploads/iaa/ have voted, and half a million actually participated.
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