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Surviving Job Loss: Paper Makers in Maine and Minnesota
Kenneth A. Root Luther College
Rosemarie J. Park University of Minnesota
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Citation Root, Kenneth A. and Rosemarie J. Park. 2016. Surviving Job Loss: Paper Makers in Maine and Minnesota. Kalamazoo, MI: W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research. https://doi.org/10.17848/ 9780880995085
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Surviving Job Loss
Surviving Job Loss Papermakers in Maine and Minnesota
Kenneth A. Root Rosemarie J. Park
2016
WEseries focus
W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research Kalamazoo, Michigan Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Names: Root, Kenneth A., author. | Park, Rosemarie J., author. Title: Surviving job loss : papermakers in Maine and Minnesota / Kenneth A. Root, Rosemarie J. Park. Description: Kalamazoo, Mich. : W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, [2016] | Series: WE focus series | Description based on print version record and CIP data provided by publisher; resource not viewed. Identifiers: LCCN 2016002251 (print) | LCCN 2015048918 (e-book) | ISBN 9780880995085 (e-book) | ISBN 0880995048 (e-book) | ISBN 9780880995078 (pbk. : alk. paper) | ISBN 0880995076 (pbk. : alk. paper) Subjects: LCSH: Paper industry workers—United States—Case studies. | Plant shutdowns—United States—Case studies. | Unemployed—United States—Case studies. | Displaced workers—United States—Case studies. | Older people— Employment—United States—Case studies. Classification: LCC HD8039.P332 (print) | LCC HD8039.P332 U676 (e-book) | DDC 331.13/78760974145—dc23 LC record available at http://lccn.loc.gov/2016002251
© 2016 W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research 300 S. Westnedge Avenue Kalamazoo, Michigan 49007-4686
The facts presented in this study and the observations and viewpoints expressed are the sole responsibility of the authors. They do not necessarily represent positions of the W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.
Cover design by Alcorn Publication Design. Index prepared by Diane Worden. Printed in the United States of America. Printed on recycled paper. This book is dedicated to the memory of Steven A. Root.
Contents
Acknowledgments xiii
1 Introduction 1
2 The Study, Job Loss, and the Paper Industry 3 Job Loss in the Pulp and Paper Industry 3 Examples of Job Loss and Recent Mill Closures 18 Summary 24
3 Job Loss at Verso 27 The Communities Involved 28 Background to the Present Study 30 What Impact Has the Great Recession Had on Locating New Work? 38 Summary 47
4 Responding to Job Loss 51 Earlier Studies on Job Loss in the Paper Industry 51 Employment Options for Displaced Workers 53 Studies on Changes in Health 57 The Timing of the Search for Replacement Work 58 Family Impacts of Job Loss 63 The Continuing Impact of the Great Recession 74 Summary 77
5 Assistance Provided to Help Dislocated Workers 79 Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification 81 The Workforce Investment Act of 1998 85 Summary 92
6 When Women Are Job Losers 93 Women on the Work Floor 93 Downsizing and Stress 97 Older Women and the Future of Work 104 Summary 107
vii 7 When Couples Lose Their Jobs 109 Interviews with the Displaced Couples 110 Previous Studies of Dual-Family Earners 113 Married Couple Respondents in Our Survey 117 The ABCX Model 124 Summary 125
8 Islands in the Storm: The Plight of Two Communities 127 Do State Differences Affect Displaced Workers? 128 Comparison of Sartell and Bucksport Workers 132 Problems and Concerns Facing Those Downsized 136 Summary 141
9 A Canadian Comparison 143 Understanding the Differences between the Canadian and 146 U.S. Systems Paper Manufacturing in Canada 150 Programs to Assist Dislocated Mersey Workers 157 The Canadian Labor Market 159 U.S. Unemployment Insurance Characteristics 162 Summary 163
10 The Future of Economic Displacement for Papermakers 165 Advice to a Job Loser 165 Assistance to Displaced Individuals 171 Verso Advocacy for the Pulp and Paper Industry 174 Getting Past the Great Recession in Minnesota 176 Summary 180
11 Epilogue 181 The Verso Acquisition 182
Appendix A: 2012 Confidential Survey of Workers Formerly 191 Employed by Verso in Bucksport, Maine, and Sartell, Minnesota
Appendix B: 2012 Confidential Survey of Workers Displaced after 203 the Fire at the Sartell Paper Mill
Appendix C: Methodological Considerations 205
Appendix D: 2013 Letter to Married Couples Formerly Employed 211 by Verso in Sartell, Minnesota
viii References 213
Authors 235
Index 237
About the Institute 251
Figures
2.1 Pulp and Paper Mill Closures in the United States (1989–2010) 5 2.2 Date of Establishment of Pulp and Paper Mills in Maine, 14 Wisconsin, Upper Michigan, and Minnesota 2.3 Layoff Events in U.S. Pulp and Paper Mills 22 2.4 Ten-Year Decline in the Number of Existing Paper Mills, 23 2005–2014
3.1 Age Distribution of Downsized Sartell Workers 34 3.2 Age Distribution of Downsized Bucksport Workers 35 3.3 Indexed Job Loss in All Postwar Recessions 39 3.4 Underemployment, 2000–2011 40 3.5 Long-Term Unemployment as a Share of the Unemployed 41 3.6 Job Seekers to Job Openings Ratio 42
4.1 Change in Relationship with Spouse after Job Loss (%) 63 4.2 Change in Relationships with Family Members after Job Loss (%) 64
5.1 Paper Industry Employment, 1998–2014 80
7.1 Percentage of Married Couples with Both Spouses in the 115 Labor Force 7.2 Married Couples with One Spouse Unemployed (% long-term 117 unemployed, by gender)
9.1 Comparison of Canadian and U.S. Unemployment Rates, 144 2006–2014 (%) 9.2 Improvement in Employment since 2006 for G-7 Countries (%) 145 9.3 Improvement in Employment since 2006 in Canadian Provinces 146 and Territories (%) 9.4 Bowater Workforce (from seniority at the time of closure) 155 10.1 Mill Curtailments and Closures, 1989–2013 170
ix
Tables
2.1 Wood Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Production by Region, 1966 12 (000s of short tons) 2.2 Disposition of a Plant’s Former Operations 20
3.1 Sartell Population Growth, Bucksport Population Decline 29 3.2 Sartell Paper Mill History 30 3.3 Bucksport Paper Mill History 31 3.4 Distribution of Sartell and Bucksport Respondents Using Age 36 Range Categories from Rook, Dooley, and Catalano, Including the Category of “Older” at Age 60+ 3.5 Distribution of Sartell and Bucksport Respondents Using 36 USDOL Age Range Categories, Including the Category of “Older” at Age 45+ 3.6 Present Situation for Surveyed Dislocated Workers (%) 43 3.7 Bucksport and Sartell Respondents’ Answers to Whether Their 44 Job Loss Was Generally Good or Generally Bad for Them 3.8 Percentage Employed Adults Who Worry They Will Experience 47 Hours, Wages, or Benefits Cut or a Layoff in the Near Future
4.1 Workers’ Responses to Leaving Their Verso Employment (%) 52 4.2 Respondent Cutbacks to Reduce Expenses (%) 59 4.3 Change in Employment by Respondent’s Spouse or Significant 60 Other after Respondent’s Own Job Loss (%) 4.4 Respondents Who Attended a Training or Education Program 62 to Obtain New Skills to Help Get a Job, and Other Survey Responses on Training 4.5 Financial Situation for Dislocated Paper Workers after Job Loss 65 (% of total respondents) 4.6 Has Job Loss Affected Your Overall Mental/Emotional Health? (%) 66 4.7 A Sample of U.S. Research Employing an Outcome Question 68 4.8 Respondents’ Views about Whether Their Downsizing Was 70 Generally Good or Generally Bad (%) 4.9 Comparison of Respondents’ Views on Whether Their 70 Downsizing Was Good for Them and/or Their Families (%) 4.10 Age of Displaced Mill Workers and Years Worked at Mill 72 4.11 Ratio by Gender Reporting That Job Loss Was Good 72
x 5.1 Alternative Measures of Labor Underutilization for Maine, 84 Minnesota, and the United States, 2003, 2009, 2011, and 2014 5.2 Trade Adjustment Assistance: 2010 State Profiles for Maine 91 and Minnesota
7.1 Variables in How Couples Cope with Reduced Income 119 7.2 Activities Utilized to Maintain Financial Posture among Married 123 Couples Compared to Other Separated Sartell Respondents
8.1 Descriptive Characteristics of Sartell and Bucksport 128 8.2 Mass Layoff Events, 2004–2012, Maine and Minnesota 129 8.3 Sartell and Bucksport Population Change, 1910–2010 130 8.4 Labor Force Characteristics of Maine and Minnesota Residents 131 at Time of 2011 Downsizing and in 2014 8.5 Marital and Educational Status and Age Distribution of Sartell 133 and Bucksport Displaced Workers (%) 8.6 Downsized Sartell and Bucksport Workers on Whether It Is 134 Necessary for Them to Upgrade Their Skills to Get a Job, Retraining Efforts, and Job Search Results (%) 8.7 Responses to the Questions “Are There Good-Paying Jobs 135 Available in Your Area That You Would Like to Have?,” Distance Traveled to Work (one way) at Verso, and Reason That You Moved 8.8 Spouse Employment Response to Displaced Worker Job Loss at 136 the Verso Mills in Sartell and Bucksport (%) 8.9 Number of Respondents Identifying Problems and Concerns 137 Facing Those Downsized from Sartell and Bucksport 8.10 Responses to Present Financial Issues for Downsized Sartell and 138 Bucksport Workers (%) 8.11 Downsized Sartell and Bucksport Worker Responses on the 139 Impact of Job Loss on Their Physical and Mental Health (%) 8.12 Minnesota and Maine Rankings for Labor Force, Unemployment, 141 Personal Income, and Education
11.1 Verso Mill Operations When the Company Acquired NewPage 183 11.2 NewPage Mill Operations When Verso Acquired NewPage 184
C.1 Financial Situation for Dislocated Paper Workers after Job 205 Loss (%) C.2 Financial Situation for Downsized Sartell and Bucksport Workers 206 after Job Loss
xi C.3 Assessment of Whether Job Loss Has Affected Overall Mental 207 and Emotional Health for Downsized Sartell and Bucksport Respondents Only C.4 Assessment of Whether Job Loss Has Affected Overall Mental 207 and Emotional Health for Terminated Sartell and Bucksport Respondents Only C.5 Respondents’ Views about Whether Their Downsizing Was 208 Generally Good or Generally Bad for Themselves—Downsized Sartell and Bucksport Respondents Only C.6 Respondents’ Views about Whether Their Job Loss Was 208 Generally Good or Bad for Themselves—Terminated Sartell and Downsized Bucksport Respondents Only C.7 Respondents’ Views about Whether Their Downsizing Was 208 Generally Good or Generally Bad for Their Families— Downsized Sartell and Bucksport Respondents Only C.8 Respondents’ Views about Whether Their Downsizing Was 209 Generally Good or Bad for Their Families—Terminated Sartell and Downsized Bucksport Respondents Only
xii Acknowledgments
For most people, getting a book idea to the finish line as a completed accomplishment is no easy task, and that is certainly the case for us. While book authors are (presumably) responsible for the bulk of the work, there are others involved in significant ways who remain anonymous. These “others,” paid for their work as research assistants, proofreaders, or typesetters, are not formally acknowledged by name, yet their work is essential, and the project wouldn’t be completed if not for their involvement. One of the individuals who has been a major helper to the senior author has been his son, Steve. Over the years, Steve’s task in numerous research projects was often to do the coding and setup work for computer analysis. Steve did the coding for this project, too, and he did it well. Then, at age 45, Steve died—an early death for sure—and we no longer have his very capable assistance, pleasant manner, personal warmth, and wonderful smile. While this book focuses on two paper mills in Sartell, Minnesota, and Bucksport, Maine, we have benefited from the assistance of Christina Greenleaf, the rapid response and peer support coordinator for the Maine AFL-CIO, who, with the permission of Judy Pelletier from the Maine Depart- ment of Labor, served as our Maine contact. Our primary access to contacts with the situation in the Sartell, Minnesota, area involved Gerry Parzino, United Steelworkers (USW) staff representative for District 11, located in Minneapo- lis, and Don Reginek, who served as the USW Local 274 president at the time of the Sartell downsizing and mill closure. Certainly, William Craig at the Uni- versity of Minnesota’s Center for Urban and Regional Affairs was also instru- mental in helping us initiate this project; he then helped us expand the project when the Sartell mill closure was announced. We happily recognize the contri- butions of Kevin Hollenbeck, Benjamin Jones, and Erika Jackson at the W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, who were significantly involved in getting this book to publication. Of course, Verso employees at both the Sartell and Bucksport paper mills who participated in this research similarly deserve our thanks and recognition; we greatly appreciate their assistance. We are hoping that this book will initiate a fresh focus on the paper industry, and in particular provide assistance to those paper workers confronted with job loss. Many thanks to all who have provided assistance in helping us complete our research.
Kenneth A. Root Rosemarie J. Park
xiii
1 Introduction
Our results show that a job loss at age 50 or above has substan- tial and long-lasting employment effects. Estimated entry rates suggest that a representative displaced worker in his or her 50s has a 70–75 percent chance of returning to work within two years of a job loss. Return rates for displaced workers in their 60s are substantially lower. These postdisplacement jobs are often short- lived, with displaced but reemployed workers facing significantly increased probabilities of exiting employment. —Sewin Chan and Ann Huff Stevens (2001, p. 485)
Losing a job through no fault of one’s own is a significant event that often poses difficulty for the job loser and for his or her family. Most of us work because we need the compensation provided by the tasks we do. But beyond that, we also work to be included in the social milieu—to have an economic identity connecting us to an employer, work colleagues, clients, customers, and our community. Without work, we are separated from our identity as a productive person, and if we go through an extended period of unemployment, we are likely to feel distant, isolated, detached, and unfulfilled (Young 2012). For many displaced workers, there is an eagerness, even a despera- tion, to get back to work. The difficulty is that their personal skills may not be in demand, retraining in a different set of skills may be diffi- cult to obtain, the economy may be in a recession (or recovering from one), and, as researchers have found, becoming fully integrated into the labor force after displacement can take time, perhaps two years or more (Silver, Shields, and Wilson 2005). Our study of dislocated workers focuses on a comparison of down- sized paper mill workers from a mill in Sartell, Minnesota, and another in Bucksport, Maine. Verso Corporation owned the two mills, which are now closed. A few months after the downsizing in Minnesota, the Sartell mill had an explosion and a fire, and the mill shut down for an assessment of damages. Ultimately, the company decided to close the
1 2 Root and Park
Sartell mill, so another 280 workers were then thrown out of work. Our comparison of downsizing impacts and opportunities is somewhat complex: initially the comparison operates between the Bucksport and Sartell workers, then between those downsized from Sartell and those terminated from Sartell in the closure, and finally, in terms of policy and programs, between displacement at U.S. paper mills (as reflected in Sartell and Bucksport) and at a Canadian paper mill in Nova Scotia that shut down at about the same time as the Sartell facility. While a large number of paper mills have closed in the United States over the past 25 years, there has been only one study (Minchin 2006) that we are aware of that describes the impact of job loss on those in the paper industry. For that reason, Chapter 2 summarizes the recent past and current environment for the paper industry. Chapter 3 focuses on job loss at both the Bucksport and Sartell mills, along with follow-up data on those terminated from Sartell after the explosion and fire. Chapter 4 describes the response of those who lost their jobs. Chapter 5 covers the types of assistance provided to displaced workers generally, along with a comparison of the Maine and Minnesota state programs. While most of the mill workers were male, there were some who were female, and Chapter 6 focuses on these female production workers who lost their jobs. Chapter 7 covers cases where both husband and wife lost their jobs at the Sartell mill. Chapter 8 evaluates how the community in which economic dis- placement occurs is relevant to the adjustment and opportunities for displaced workers. Chapter 9 describes how a Canadian mill that shut down provided support for the needs of its workers. In Chapter 10, we conclude our study with a look at the future for displaced workers and a discussion of how society can be more proactive in retaining good employees and assisting those who have been economically displaced. Chapter 11, which forms an epilogue to the book, updates the reader on recent developments involving Verso. Even before the Great Recession, more than 15 percent of U.S. workers worried about losing their jobs. That percentage ranked sixth- highest out of 15 OECD countries (Anderson and Pontusson 2007). However, with the ongoing threat of job loss to workers even after the nation has largely recovered from the recession, job loss is likely to remain a significant concern for U.S. residents, not only in the paper industry but in almost all sectors of the economy. 2 The Study, Job Loss, and the Paper Industry
Corporate mergers and acquisitions [in pulp and paper mills] have become commonplace. For example, more than half of the mills in Upper Michigan have experienced an ownership change since 1990. The industry has become increasingly global, with most of the plants in Wisconsin and Upper Michigan owned by large multinational corporations. This means that local industries not only compete among themselves, but with plants in Europe, Asia, South America, and elsewhere. Expansion of pulp and paper capacity overseas, primarily in Asia and South America, has had major impacts on the paper industry. —Bay-Lake Regional Planning Commission et al. (1999, p. ii)
In October 2011, the Verso Paper Company announced downsizings at its Sartell, Minnesota, and Bucksport, Maine, facilities, eliminating 169 and 151 workers, respectively, as it retired older paper machines. That was the bad news—until seven months later, when a 2012 Memo- rial Day explosion and fire killed one worker and injured several others at the Sartell facility. This ultimately prompted Verso to permanently close its Minnesota mill. Another 280 workers were now out of work. The job losses to downsized paper workers from the Verso mills in Maine and Minnesota and the termination of those from the shutdown of the Minnesota mill compose the database for our study. A brief sum- mary of the paper industry frames the conditions of their displacement.
JOB LOSS IN THE PULP AND PAPER INDUSTRY
Our research centers on job loss among those who worked in the paper industry. In the case of the two Verso plants, the workers’ dis- placement occurred on the heels of the Great Recession. This was a dif-
3 4 Root and Park ficult time to be a papermaker without work—perhaps the most difficult time in recent history. Industry difficulties severely reduced the likeli- hood that terminated workers would have any option of being rehired in paper and pulp production. These difficulties included the following: • The loss of foreign markets • Stronger competition in Asia and South America from companies with newer, faster, more technologically sophisticated machines • Stiffer competition among U.S. mills at a time of declining demand for paper products because of electronic conversion To keep up with this competition, many companies have had to replace older paper machines with modern ones that have increased the width of the rolls of paper and the speed of production and require fewer workers to run them. Given these conditions, the chance that downsized workers would be able to transfer to another paper mill with the same employer or find a job at another paper company was remote. Job loss in the paper industry is not new (Figure 2.1).1 Companies have been shuttering mills for many years, and thousands of paper work- ers have become job losers. What is new is that the United States is not building new paper mills to replace those that become idled. Second, mergers and acquisitions have become commonplace to obtain market share, and once a mill has been acquired it is quickly evaluated to deter- mine whether it should be shut down. And third, a reestablished balance point in world paper production and demand has yet to be determined. Given projections of a significant decline in paper demand in the com- ing years, it is likely that the next several years will see a continuing and pronounced job loss in the U.S. paper industry, both through workforce reductions as older machines are retired and through mill closures. While there have been important displacement studies completed on various industries, the manufacture of paper is not among them. Meatpacking, autos, steel, defense, and textiles have been studied by numerous researchers and usually over a period of several years.2 None- theless, numerous paper mills have been closed, as shown in Figure 2.1, and continue to be closed in the United States and Canada.3 Perhaps one explanation for the lack of interest in paper and pulp mill job loss is the fact that most mills are typically located in rural areas and generally bypassed by media attention and awareness of the general population. The Study, Job Loss, and the Paper Industry 5
Figure 2.1 Pulp and Paper Mill Closures in the United States (1989–2010)
2008–2010
2004–2007
1989–2003
0 100 200 300 400 500
NOTE: While an exact count of pulp and paper mill closures is difficult to determine, over the past 25 years the Pulp and Paperworkers’ Resource Council has followed mill curtailments and closures, noting job loss from temporary shutdowns, paper machine reductions, and sawmill closures. Figure 2.1 includes these types of mill changes. SOURCE: Pulp and Paperworkers’ Resource Council (2014).
Among major paper manufacturing states, the closure of paper mills or the reduction of employment levels has been of concern. Wis- consin, the leading U.S. paper producer, had 173 paper-related-industry plants in 1999, 121 (70 percent) of which were converters and 52 (30 percent) pulp and paper mills. In 1997–1998, several plants in Wis- consin and Upper Michigan either reduced their employment levels or closed. In Upper Michigan in 1999, there were 11 pulp and paper mills remaining after the closures. In Wisconsin, one seven-county area (the Fox River region) still had 23 pulp and paper mills. The Wisconsin and Upper Michigan study concluded that “the ability of communities to impact decisions regarding plant closings, layoffs, etc., is limited for pulp and paper mills due to their large size, the globally competitive market environment in which they operate, and the huge level of capital investment required to remain competitive” (Bay-Lake Regional Plan- ning Commission et al. 1999, p. iii). Wisconsin took the lead among paper-producing states in 1950 and has not relinquished it since. The 6 Root and Park
American Forest and Paper Association ranked the state first in value of shipments for 2014 with $14.5 billion.4
A Brief History of U.S. Paper Production
According to the Maine Pulp and Paper Association (2013b), the first North American paper mill was started in 1690 at Wissahickon Creek, near Philadelphia. Other mills soon appeared, particularly in New York, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, and Connecticut. Maine became involved in paper manufacturing after a mill was built on the Presumpscot River in the 1730s. Paper manufacturing in Maine was attractive because of its clean rivers and streams and the potential for power from harnessed water. The Maine forests were initially unim- portant in paper production because at that time rags were used as raw material for paper production, and most paper mills were in populated areas, close to market outlets. According to Hunter (1955), early raw materials usable in paper production were straw, rags, waste paper, and manila stock, with most of these materials available in urban areas. Urban areas also could provide a supply of clean water and power. But once wood pulp became the core ingredient of paper, mill owners had to choose production sites that were either close to market outlets or near raw materials. Major early paper-producing states like Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Connecticut, and New Jersey had limited forest resources, and in New York, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, existing paper mills were not close to forests. The outcome was that paper mills close to market were shuttered as mills close to long-term, cheap supplies of wood were built. The same situation occurred with pulp mills, which had been located close to existing paper mills near the paper market. Hunter writes that more than 50 of the 135 pulp mills in existence in 1882 had closed by 1899, and “new large pulp and paper mills were being built in the forested counties of New York, New Hampshire, Maine, and Wisconsin, often on logging rivers” (p. 317). The sawmill boom after 1900 created added competition for wood, particularly in the East, and lumber production moved to the Mid- west region. As a result of eastern sawmill operations, pulpwood logs imported from Canada rose from 370,000 cords in 1899 to 740,000 in 1906 to 950,000 in 1911 (Hunter 1955). Change in the supply of wood was one factor in increasing the scale of production and the phys- The Study, Job Loss, and the Paper Industry 7 ical size of new paper and pulp mills. Poorly located or small paper operations, particularly those producing low-grade paper, were closed between 1882 and 1899. The development of large firms such as the International Paper Company (founded in 1898 in Corinth, New York) absorbed most of the newsprint mills in New York and New England, and from 1920 on, new mill sites were based on extensive forest surveys. Technological changes in the paper industry advanced simulta- neously, resulting in new, larger mills that boasted adaptable paper machines capable of producing different grades of paper, as well as pulp supplies that could be procured from pulp mills located elsewhere in the United States or purchased from Scandinavia or Canada. Impos- ing a tariff on all paper grades reduced competition from these same Scandinavian and Canadian mills (Hunter 1955). Without the protec- tion of a tariff, some U.S. paper mills would have had to close. In the 1850s, Samuel Dennis Warren purchased a small mill at West- brook, Maine. By 1856, the S.D. Warren mill was the largest importer of rags in the world. A rag shortage and increasing demand for paper were the stimuli for finding alternative materials to create pulp. Both mechanical and chemical methods proved efficient for making paper from wood, and new mills started up. Wood pulp production in 1868 helped develop Maine’s paper industry, and by 1875 the S.D. Warren mill had become the world’s largest paper mill. Further growth in the Maine paper industry occurred in the 1880s with the development of a sulfite chemical pulping process, such as cre- ated by the Penobscot Chemical Fiber Company, located in Old Town. Other Maine mills were started in Otis, Madison, Gardiner, Mechanic Falls, Poland, Canton, Waterville, Norway, South Paris, and Brunswick, although many of these mills have since closed. By 1890 there were 25 pulp mills in Maine, making Maine the leading producer of pulp. Paper production developed rapidly, and when the Great Northern Paper Com- pany opened in 1900 it was the world’s largest papermaker, producing 240 tons a day of newsprint. Early on, Maine trailed Massachusetts and New York among papermaking states, but Maine eventually rose to number one, only to lose that title to Wisconsin at midcentury. Early expansion of the U.S. paper industry took place along three dimensions: 1) new mills were built, particularly in midwestern states like Wisconsin and Michigan, and eventually in southern states; 2) machine improvements allowed for wider paper rolls as well as faster 8 Root and Park operating speeds; and 3) technological advances allowed for increased production and maximum use of resources. The new paper and pulp mills were often located in isolated towns. Indeed, as with other resource-based production (e.g., mining), the communities existed because of the availability of resources. Known as single-industry communities, they drew residents for employment opportunities, largely limited to the dominant resource-based industry. For paper and pulp mills, location was dependent on the combination of water and access to forests, while for mining operations the buried resource (coal or gold, for example) was the basic reason for settlement. Numerous paper mill communities have learned to survive after the clo- sure of the mill, but not without enduring tough times, and the residents that remained have likewise had to make difficult adjustments.5
The Current Situation for Pulp and Paper
Competition among mills is intense within the United States, within North America, and, since the 1980s and 1990s, with Europe and more recently with Latin America. The Maine Pulp and Paper Association summarizes the current situation for paper production: New paper capacity is now shifting to Asia. While no new mills have been built in the U.S. for many years, many new mills are under construction in China, Korea, Indonesia, and across the globe. These new mills are larger and faster than those in the United States. In most cases, the cost of labor is much cheaper where the new mills are being built. As a result, pulp and paper prices con- tinue to decline (Maine Pulp and Paper Association 2013b, p. 1). For several years the U.S. paper industry has been undergoing rapid change in numerous areas—employment, ownership, production, acquisitions, mergers, and mill closures or downsizings. The intense competition in the U.S. paper industry forces companies to be strate- gic and adaptable, says one paper company spokesperson: “We are not going to make our plans public. But like the other major companies, we are looking at several projects and several options. There is always something in the hopper” (Christensen and Caves 1997, p. 57). Eaton and Kriesky (1994) identify several challenges facing the industry, including foreign competition, environmental protections, mergers and acquisitions, and technological change and the labor force. The Study, Job Loss, and the Paper Industry 9
In the previous 20 years, they note, “one-third of the top 100 compa- nies in the industry [worldwide] disappeared as independent entities, primarily through merger and acquisition” (p. 38). The impact of these acquisitions can be problematic: Champion’s takeover of St. Regis came with an increased debt that led “to a reduction by half of the com- bined companies’ workforce through layoffs and division sales” (p. 39). Austin (2008) attributes the current pulp and paper industry dif- ficulties to the weak U.S. economy, high-priced inputs, and low-priced imports. Others attribute it to the increasing production efficiency of fewer mills,6 concurrent with an increasing dependence on electronic media, which has lessened the demand for paper (CPBIS 2012). Google’s plan to digitize every book (Miller 2012) will likely rever- berate, causing additional reductions in the printed page; as Opidee (2012) notes, industry predictions are for a 20 percent loss of magazine paper usage within five years, increasing to a 51 percent loss within 15 years. Rondon (2013) characterizes the battle between digital and print as being in flux: “The paper industry has suffered through volatility as digital mediums wrest readers from print. The aggregate effects of publishers slashing pages and mills shutting down swung prices wildly over the past several years.” Opidee writes that “even though a drop in demand might ordinarily mean a drop in price, the paper industry has become increasingly unstable, and such a fall in demand might lead to additional mill consolidation and closures, as well as greater under- utilization of machines—all of which, many publishers fear, could lead to dramatic price increases and severe paper shortages” (p. 10). An important shift in the paper industry in Minnesota, and probably for the industry as a whole, is the process of creating pulp for clothing (Feyder 2012). The Sappi Fine Paper mill in Cloquet (acquired from Potlatch in 2002) recently announced that its $170 million conversion to make pulp for clothing has been successful (Belz 2013). The process, known as chemical cellulose or dissolving pulp, uses a mix of wood pulp with other materials to produce thread for making textiles. While chemical cellulose is a high-demand product, the Cloquet mill will con- tinue to produce high-end paper using pulp from other mills. Besides the Sappi mill’s shift to focus on textiles, Belz (2013) notes that UPM-Kymmene, the Finnish company that purchased the Blandin paper mill in Grand Rapids, Minnesota, in 1997, is undertaking pilot projects working on alternatives made from wood. Other research on 10 Root and Park nanomaterials made from wood has been underway in Sweden and Japan, as well as at both the University of Maine and the University of Minnesota. New types of forest products are needed, and the paper industry in Minnesota needs a place from which to begin anew. Com- panies have closed well over 100 American mills since 2000, according to the Center for Paper Business and Industry Studies at Georgia Tech University. And Belz reports that 223,000 paper industry jobs have been lost since 2000, including at least 3,800 in Minnesota. Today, mills are looking for alternative products, including engi- neered wood products. Resolute Forest Products CEO Richard Garneau notes demand for Resolute products dropped from 24 million tons in 2009 to 13 million tons in 2011. He cautions, “Don’t expect that we’re going to continue to do business as usual” (Marotte 2011). Some mills have always been flexible in responding to production needs. One mill in Brainerd that produced newsprint closed for several months in the 1930s during the Depression. When it reopened, it began producing wallpaper. When the wallpaper market declined in the 1950s, the mill began producing fine-grade paper (Brainerd Dispatch 2002). Thorp et al. (2014) note that the industry has shown resilience by devel- oping innovations such as sterilized packaging, chlorine-free bleaching, and high-energy, efficient chemical-recovery boilers. NewPage Corporation, the owner of 16 paper mills, recently reor- ganized under Chapter 11 bankruptcy. NewPage has acknowledged that heavy debt, raw-material inflation, and a decline in coated paper demand have been major problems (Feyder 2012). A Sartell rumor circulating among production workers was that Verso had hoped to buy NewPage, but that did not happen. According to Wiercinski (2012), NewPage and Verso control about 45 percent of magazine and catalogue paper use. In addition to the expansion of digital technology as it affects paper production by providing paperless forms of communication, the paper industry is being challenged by environmental regulations, particularly the issue of clean water. State and local regulations vary, but the demand for decreased effluents and improved water quality remain a challenge. Environmental remediation has become an important variable in plant- level efficiencies influencing industry competition (Giebelhaus and Usselman 2005). Liberty Diversified International had shown interest in purchasing the closed Wausau Paper mill in Brainerd but withdrew, citing environmental concerns (Associated Press 2013b). The Study, Job Loss, and the Paper Industry 11
One other change currently confronting the paper industry, at least in Minnesota, is changes in land use from forest to cultivation. A 1,500- acre forest tract in Cass County, Minnesota, is slated to be converted to potato production for McDonald’s fast-food restaurants (Marcotty 2013). In addition, nearly 100 square miles of timberland presently owned by Potlatch Corporation is at risk as the company divests itself of its commercial forests in Minnesota. According to the Brainerd Dis- patch (2002), Potlatch owned 350,000 acres of forest in 2002. When Ralph Nader’s study group report on the pulp and paper industry in Maine appeared in 1974, seven giant corporations owned 6.5 million acres in the state, producing 90 percent of its paper (Osborn 1974, p. 2). In a reversion to earlier days in the industry, some pulp and paper companies are testing whether the use of wheat and alfalfa straw is a viable alternative to hardwood pulp. Columbia Pulp, near Starbuck, Washington, was seeking 215,000 tons of straw per year for pulp pro- duction (McDonough 2014b). As an alternative to hardwood pulp, straw is cheaper to produce, has a similar fiber length, requires less water and fewer chemicals, and doesn’t involve any odor-causing chemicals. Innovation is needed if most of the production units in the United States and Canada are to survive, since “Asia, particularly China and India, will account for more than half of global paper production and con- sumption by 2018” (CPBIS 2013b, p. 2). In 2002, the leading paper companies in the United States, ranked by net sales, were International Paper, Georgia-Pacific, Weyerhaeuser, Kimberly-Clark, and Procter and Gamble Paper. That year, eight of the top 20 U.S. paper companies sustained a loss, including the top two, International Paper and Georgia-Pacific (Wikipedia 2014a). Paper and pulp mills generally do not sell their product for direct consumer use. Most often, the paper rolls are sent to converter plants, which change rolled paper into products for a variety of uses, includ- ing home, office, educational, business, printing, or packaging use. Northrup (1969) notes that by the mid-1960s the South was the leading producer of pulp and paper (Table 2.1).
The Decline of Unions in the Industry
Paper is one of the most organized industries in the United States: 20 years ago, 96 percent of production workers in the industry belonged 12 Root and Park
Table 2.1 Wood Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Production by Region, 1966 (000s of short tons) Wood pulp Paper and paperboard Region production production United States 36,640 47,189 South 22,376 20,708 New England 2,250 4,236 Middle Atlantic 1,159 5,586 North Central (Midwest) 3,517 9,921 West 7,339 6,739 NOTE: The regions listed consist of the following states: South: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mary- land, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia. According to Lupo and Bailey (2011), more than 70 percent of Alabama is in timberland, 64 percent of Georgia is in timber (24 million acres), and 62 percent of Mississippi is timbered (19 million acres). New England: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Vermont. Middle Atlantic: New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania. North Central (Midwest): Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Mis- souri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Wisconsin. West: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, Wyoming. SOURCE: Northrup (1969). to a union (Eaton and Kriesky 1994). However, as a result of improve- ments in paper-making technology and the opening of nonunion mills, membership in the United Paperworkers International Union (UPIU) has declined somewhat. The UPIU’s strength was tested during a 76-day strike against the Boise Cascade mill in Rumford, Maine, in 1986, which ultimately cost 342 of the 1,200 union workers their jobs when replacement workers were hired (New York Times 1986). Many of those displaced had 30–40 years of experience. The focus of the strike was not wages but a cor- porate demand that workers fill other jobs when necessary. The union’s position was that the changes would threaten job security and reduce union power. The union did not prevail, and the strike continued to affect the town—it divided some families, anger lingered against the company, and business in town was off. The Study, Job Loss, and the Paper Industry 13
Job security for U.S. workers has been an issue for both white- collar and blue-collar workers since the 1980s. Layoffs and staff reduc- tions have increased, so many employees no longer expect to have job security (Brown 2006; Karren and Sherman 2012). In the third quarter of 2011 alone, nearly 184,500 U.S. workers lost their jobs in 1,226 mass layoffs (Gowan 2012). They experienced involuntary job loss through no fault of their own and were permanently separated from their employers even though they had strong attachments to their employers.
The Importance of Paper Mill Jobs
In 2001, U.S. paper mills employed nearly 115,000 workers, while pulp mills employed an additional 7,200 and paperboard mills yet another 48,770 (Wikipedia 2014a). According to the Wisconsin Paper Council, one of every 11 Wisconsin manufacturing jobs is tied to the paper and allied products industries, creating over $2 billion in wages annually. In Michigan’s Upper Peninsula, hourly and weekly wages in the pulp and paper industry were the highest of any employment sector (Bay-Lake Regional Planning Commission et al. 1999). While the Filter Materials mill in Waupaca, Wisconsin, employs only 75 people, the state’s largest mill, Fort James Corporation (Green Bay), employs 3,500. There are 45 mills in Wisconsin that produce some type of paper product. These products include linerboard and paperboard (cardboard-like products), tissue products (including bathroom tissue, napkins, and paper towels), and paper (printing, writing, and specialty papers). In Wisconsin, linerboard and paperboard is primarily produced at 6 mills, tissue products at 9, and paper at 19. In Upper Michigan, two mills produce linerboard and paperboard, one produces tissue products, and six manufacture paper. Many of the Maine, Minnesota, and Wis- consin paper mills are older (Figure 2.2), while Upper Michigan mills are more recent (Bay-Lake Regional Planning Commission et al. 1999). Minnesota data include only four operating mills, most of which are older: Sappi Fine Paper in Cloquet (built in 1898), Blandin Paper in Grand Rapids (1901), Boise Cascade in International Falls (1910), and NewPage in Duluth (1987). Recent Minnesota mill closures include Wausau Paper in Brainerd (built in 1917), IBT Consolidated in Interna- tional Falls (1910), and the Verso Sartell mill (1905). 14 Root and Park
Figure 2.2 Date of Establishment of Pulp and Paper Mills in Maine, Wisconsin, Upper Michigan, and Minnesota
14
12
ME WI UP MN 10
8
6
Number of new mills new of Number 4
2
0
SOURCE: Bay-Lake Regional Planning Commission et al. (1999); Maine data pro- vided by John Williams of the Maine Pulp and Paper Association.
Ownership Changes
For many paper companies, change in ownership through merger or acquisition has been part of the industrial history of paper manufac- turing. The now-closed Verso Sartell Mill itself reflects these changes. The mill began as Watab Pulp and Paper, which bought its No. 1 paper machine in 1905, added a second paper machine in 1910, and produced newsprint until 1930. Converting to book and magazine papers in 1930 involved using recycled magazines and became the firm’s core busi- ness until the end of World War II. At war’s end, the company termi- nated its paper finishing (where paper is sheeted and cut to size), and from that time until closure, paper manufactured at Sartell was in roll form. St. Regis purchased Watab Pulp and Paper in 1946 and made many upgrades to the machines, including adding new steam turbine The Study, Job Loss, and the Paper Industry 15 drives, supercalenders in 1960 for a high-gloss finish, and a No. 3 paper machine in 1982. St. Regis merged with Champion International in 1984, and in 2000, Champion was purchased by International Paper. In 2006, Verso Paper purchased the Coated and SC Papers Division of International Paper, which included the Sartell and Bucksport facilities as well as the Androscoggin Mill in Jay, Maine, and the Quinnesec Mill in Quinnesec, Michigan (Wikipedia 2014b). Change in paper mill ownership is prevalent, even on an interna- tional basis. Within the past few years, these changes have been occur- ring at a frenetic pace. Paper companies merge to increase market share and reduce competition and because it is less expensive and faster to acquire an existing mill than to build a new plant (Bay-Lake Regional Planning Commission et al. 1999). In mergers and acquisitions, the dominant company often either closes or upgrades the least profitable operation in an effort to reduce duplication. For example, American Tissue purchased the Badger-Globe Mill in Neenah, Wisconsin, in 1996 and closed it in 1998.7 Kimberly-Clark’s purchase of Scott Paper in 1995 created job loss for workers in Marinette, Wisconsin, when two tissue-making machines were shut down in 1997 (Jensen 1999). According to Pesendorfer (2003, p. 502), “about 40 percent of the 819 paper and paperboard plants operating in the United States between 1978 and 1992 were involved in at least one merger.” During a concen- trated period of industrial restructuring from August 1984 to July 1987, 31 mergers and acquisitions took place. Indeed, 1985–1987 is often referred to as a period of industrial restructuring in paper manufactur- ing. It was during this period that Champion International Corporation acquired St. Regis for $1.8 billion, Jefferson Smurfit bought Container Corporation for $1.2 billion, and International Paper acquired Hammer- mill for $1.1 billion. Studying the Wisconsin and Upper Michigan paper industry, the Bay-Lake Regional Planning Commission et al. (1999) reported, “In looking at plant closures that have occurred in the study area, it is apparent that the plants which have closed were those with older, inefficient paper machines, and/or with physical plants which had not been adequately maintained. . . . If a parent company has consistently invested in new equipment, building upgrades, and new technology, it is less likely that that particular plant will be targeted for closure or cutbacks” (pp. 44–45). 16 Root and Park
A turnover in mill ownership does not necessarily mean that a downsizing or closure will occur immediately, as the 2001 shutdown of the Shasta Mill in Anderson, California, illustrates. The Shasta Mill operated on a 24-hour, seven-day-a-week basis, and the shutdown came as a shock to its over 400 employees. The mill was built by Kimberly- Clark in 1964 and sold in 1972 to Simpson-Lee Paper, which became Simpson Paper in 1977. Plainwell Group bought the mill in 1999 and closed it two years later. Explanations for the closure included • a threefold increase in monthly utility costs in the months pre- ceding the closure; • competition from low-cost (“dumped”) imported products; and • the smaller width of the mill’s two older paper machines, which required transferring some work to Texas. No Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification (WARN) Act notice was given, nor were employees given 60 days of pay, as provided for under WARN. Although a Shasta Paper Employee Buyout Association was formed to explore options to find a buyer, mill equipment was sold at auction in May of 2002, sealing the job loss. Federal TAA retraining funds (for workers displaced by import trade) did not become available until 2002, nearly a year after the mill closed (theshastamill.com 2015). In describing the 1996 takeover of the St. Joe mill by Florida Coast Paper, Ziewitz and Wiaz (2004) see another ramification of change in ownership: they note that 45 percent of the St. Joe mill workforce was terminated, while pay was reduced for the remaining workers by $5,000 each. The mill shut down in August 1998, in what was described as a “temporary closure,” but the closure became final a few months later. The financial difficulties of pulp and paper mills have created some restructuring: after the Gold River, British Columbia, pulp mill lost $180 million over an eight-year period in the 1990s, Bowater acquired the mill from Montreal-based Avenor Inc. in July of 1998, suspended mill operations almost immediately, and closed the mill in February of 1999, terminating 380 employees (Neuwirth and Rosenberg 1998). Two of the top 14 paper companies globally sustained heavy losses (Sappi Ltd. at $143 million and Resolute at $588 million), while five more companies showed a decline in net income from the previous year ranging from 1 to 18 percent (CPBIS 2013a). The Study, Job Loss, and the Paper Industry 17
Even though Resolute’s (2014) newsprint production was 10 per- cent of worldwide output and 38 percent of North American output, the company still had to make financial adjustments. Restructuring included • the indefinite idling of a paper machine at the Catawba mill; • the indefinite idling of a paper machine at the Fort Francis mill; • the closure of a high-gloss paper machine at the Laurentide mill, which displaced 111 workers (29 percent of the workforce); and • the restart of the Dolbeau high-gloss paper machine. Restructuring continued into 2014 at other Resolute mills, includ- ing, at the Fort Frances mill, the mothballing of the No. 5 paper machine, the idling of paper machine No. 7, and the shuttered pulp production (Hale 2014). Restructuring has implications beyond displaced paper workers: other industries, such as suppliers of chemicals to the paper mills, follow suit with their own reductions and downsizings (Seewald and D’Amico 2009). Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTI) cut 340 employees as a result of reduced demand from several industries, including paper. Recent newspaper headlines reflect continuing concerns over mill ownership changes. A Minneapolis Star Tribune story described Pack- aging Corporation of America’s acquisition of Boise Paper: “Illinois- based Packaging Corporation of America (PCA) is best known for making boxboard and corrugated packaging products, while the smaller Boise makes copier paper, liner board and corrugated packaging prod- ucts. But copier paper is the primary product for Boise’s International Falls, Minnesota, plant, putting it at increased risk for cutbacks” (DePass 2013, p. D:1). In May 2013, Boise announced it would terminate 265 workers as it retired two paper machines and one coating machine at the International Falls mill. While the firm would retain 580 workers, it is uncertain whether PCA, as the new owner of Boise, will reduce the workforce further or close the plant entirely. The loss of the Verso Sartell mill, the closure of Wausau Paper in Brainerd, and the sale of Boise to PCA have raised questions about the durability of the International Falls facility. These concerns follow on the heels of the 2014 closure of International Paper’s Courtland, Ala- bama, mill, which affected 1,100 workers. International Paper chair- man and CEO John Faraci said the Courtland mill closed because of 18 Root and Park declining demand since 1999 for uncoated freesheet paper products, especially as consumers embrace electronic alternatives.
EXAMPLES OF JOB LOSS AND RECENT MILL CLOSURES
It appears a given in the paper industry that when there is a change in mill ownership, economic displacement follows. For example, Pot- latch sold its Brainerd mill, which employed 600 workers, to Missota Paper in 2003. In 2004, Missota sold out to Wausau Paper. Now the mill employs about 175 people, a net loss of 425 positions (Marohn 2012). Mergers, sales, and acquisitions of pulp and paper facilities in recent years reflect internationalization, but numerous closures or downsiz- ings are also characteristic of a mature industry. The consolidation in the United States and Canada has been intense. Some examples: • Katahdin Paper Company in East Millinocket, Maine, was for- merly a Great Northern Paper facility. • Noranda acquired controlling interest in Fraser Paper (Mada- waska, Maine) in 1974, became sole owner in 1985, and merged into Nexfors Fraser Papers in 1996. The mill eliminated 128 workers in 2007. • In 1995, Sappi, a South African company, purchased the S.D. Warren mill in Westbrook, Maine, outsourcing most of the work and eliminating 90 percent of the local employees. • The Oxford Paper Company of Rumford, Maine, was sold in 1967 to the Ethyl Corporation; the mill and woodlands located in Oxford were sold to Boise Cascade in 1976, which in turn sold them to Mead in 1996. • The Hollingsworth and Whitney mill in Winslow, Maine, was purchased by the Scott Paper Company, which merged with Kimberly-Clark in 1995. The mill closed in 1997. • Potlatch sold its Cloquet, Minnesota, plant to Sappi in 2002 and closed its Brainerd mill in 2002, terminating 660 workers. The Study, Job Loss, and the Paper Industry 19
• UPM Kymmene, a Finnish company, acquired Blandin Paper of Grand Rapids, Minnesota, in 1997, and shut down two of four production lines in 2003, terminating nearly 300 workers.8 • NewPage Paper purchased Stora Enso’s Niagara, Wisconsin, mill site in 2007 for $2.5 billion and announced the mill’s clo- sure one month later. Within nine months, the mill was shuttered, leaving 320 workers jobless. According to Robertson (2013), paper manufacturing in Minnesota has cut some 5,000 jobs since 2000, or about one-third of the Minnesota positions in the industry. The paper industry has been in transition for many years and con- tinues to undergo variable product demand, ownership change, inter- national expansion, and reductions in paper machines. These factors have exacerbated downsizings and brought on permanent mill closures, creating displacement. Despite this, there has been little research on dislocation among paper mill workers. Rieland (2011) notes that 152 plants closed between 1998 and 2008, and the Center for Paper Busi- ness and Industry Studies says another 31 paper mills ceased operation between 2008 and 2012. While mills have closed, many smaller, single-industry communi- ties that were home to a paper mill have not pursued economic diver- sification. As a result of their dependence on mill employment for jobs and taxes, any downsizing or closure will pose serious problems for the community and those displaced from the industry.
Firms Close Plants under Variable Conditions
At least four factors influence plant closures (Townsend and Peck 1985): 1) Commercial influences related to specific market trends 2) Technological influences related to the productive capabilities 3) Organizational components—those influences that exist between different parts of corporations 4) Human relations factors—the relationships between manage- ment, unions, and local, regional, or national government 20 Root and Park
According to Schmenner’s (1982) data, closing a facility is strictly an economic decision and could be determined based on a decline in sales, intense foreign competition, an obsolete product, a change in consumer tastes or interests, technological advances that make plant consolidations attractive, or a decline in the quality or quantity of raw materials. Unfavorable industry economics appear to be a more influ- ential factor than production problems. Schmenner notes that in most situations, the company maintains the product but closes a particular plant, absorbing the operation into an existing facility (Table 2.2).9 Schmenner (1982) finds that the median age of plants closed was three years, and one-third of these plants had been in operation for six years or less when they were closed. The conversion of the Sappi paper mill in Cloquet, Minnesota, from paper pulp to cellulose pulp was viewed as advantageous because the pulp facility was only 12 years old and thus was seen as a relatively modern facility (Feyder 2012). Mill communities are dependent upon the success of the mill, which they rely on for employment. For example, the Potlatch Pulp and Paper Division—with mills in Brainerd and Cloquet—had sales of more than $425 million and spent $154 million on payroll and benefits in these two communities. Mill owners created additional employment when they would modernize or expand operations—Potlatch spent $525 mil- lion in modernizing the Cloquet pulp mill from 1992 to 1999 (Brainerd Dispatch 2002). While a mass layoff—a company layoff of 50 or more work- ers—shocks workers and the host community, research by the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis acknowledges that in only a few counties (4 of 50) in the Minneapolis Fed’s district was the county employment
Table 2.2 Disposition of a Plant’s Former Operations Disposition % affected Operations were absorbed by other company plants. 61 The company got out of the business. 24 The operations were relocated to a new plant. 12 The operations were subcontracted. 2 The operations were transferred out of the United States. 0 The government contract was completed. 1 SOURCE: Schmenner (1982). The Study, Job Loss, and the Paper Industry 21 affected negatively (Wirtz 2005). Explanations for the low impact of a mass layoff included the following: • Mass layoffs are usually fewer than 200 workers, and they tend to occur in counties with a larger employment base. • Large layoffs are often gradual, which could soften the impact at any one time. • Sometimes employment options increase for other employers, reducing the out-migration and relocation of displaced workers. Mayberry (2005) notes that paper mill construction in Quinnesec, Michigan (Champion International), and International Falls, Minnesota (Boise Cascade), which began in 1988 (involving 2,000–2,400 workers during peak months), increased the population. But in the early 1990s, when plant construction was complete and the workers left the area, the economy suffered, and per capita income dropped.
The Impact of the Recession
Figure 2.3 reflects the impact of the Great Recession on paper mill restructuring in the United States. Clearly there were a significant num- ber of layoffs in the industry throughout the 10-year period depicted, but the height and width of the peak in January 2009 indicates a dramatic increase. In 2008, 146 industry layoffs occurred, and 241 took place the following year. In 2010–2012, the number of layoffs ranged from 69 to 95, roughly the same number that occurred from 2004 to 2007. Figure 2.4 further shows the impact of the recession on the number of mills that closed during the 2005–2014 period. While the number of operat- ing paper mills continues to decline, the descent from 2006 to 2008 was less drastic than for the 2003–2006 era. However, from 2008 to 2012, the slope of the line in Figure 2.4 is noticeably steeper, reflecting that, on average, 160 mills closed each year during the 2009–2012 period. “The immediate impact of a recession,” say Grass and Hayter (1989, p. 241), “is to encourage a ‘cost hunt’ by reducing, at least tem- porarily, variable costs, notably employment levels.” The impact of job loss in the paper industry, and in most other enterprises, shows that the recession has taken a heavy psychological toll. That impact hits displaced workers particularly hard, as they have difficulty adjusting 22 Root and Park
Figure 2.3 Layoff Events in U.S. Pulp and Paper Mills
40
35
30
25
20
15 Number of events of Number
10
5
0
SOURCE: BLS (2015a). to job loss both emotionally and financially. “Hospitals and counselors are straining under an increasing caseload as people suffering from job- related stresses seek help and often can’t cover costs because they have lost jobs, income, or health insurance,” the Baltimore Sun reported. “Employers are seeing a rising volume of requests to assistance pro- grams that offer help resolving personal issues, including financial stress, as part of health benefits” (Sentementes 2010). The Sun reporter interviewed Rita Preller, a clinical social worker in North Baltimore, who noted that her clients increasingly experience a high level of stress that is tied to the poor economy and their job—or their lack of a job. “This economy has forced them to deal with the fact they can’t pay their bills,” Preller is quoted as saying. “They feel like they can’t do anything. They isolate. They withdraw. And the problem becomes worse” (Sentementes 2010, p. 2). Luo (2010) notes that Sul- livan and von Wachter’s (2009) research “examined death records and earnings data in Pennsylvania during the recession of the early 1980s The Study, Job Loss, and the Paper Industry 23
Figure 2.4 Ten-Year Decline in the Number of Existing Paper Mills, 2005–2014
6,600
6,400
6,200
6,000
5,800
Number of establishments in existence in establishments of Number 5,600
5,400 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
SOURCE: BLS (2015c). and concluded that death rates among high-seniority male workers jumped by between 50 and 100 percent in the year after a job loss, depending on the worker’s age” (p. 2). Davis and von Wachter (2011) note that job displacement leads to significant earnings losses that have a lasting impact, including reduced job stability, worse health outcomes, and higher mortality. In the United States, the volume of job loss and unemployment is enormous, even independent of a recession. However, constant renewal and job re- allocation is achieved at a large capacity, so that many job loss events involve little financial loss or hardship. Still, Davis and von Wachter (p. 51) conclude that “high-tenure workers who lose jobs in mass-layoff events experience large and persistent earnings losses compared to oth- erwise similar workers who retain their jobs. . . . For high-tenure work- ers who experience job displacement in a recession, the losses amount to about three years of earnings at pre-displacement levels.” 24 Root and Park
SUMMARY
The U.S. paper industry has a long and creative history, initially producing paper from rags in eastern urban settings. Once wood pulp became the basic raw material for paper production, paper mills were built closer to the source of materials rather than at the point of prod- uct distribution. Many of the early mills were isolated, locally owned industries, creating a community around the mill. Over time and up to the present, mill consolidation, and numerous mill closures, occurred. Today, a variety of issues, largely focusing on market demand, techno- logical development, and environmental topics, have created an inter- nationally intense competitive industrial sector. Competition for market share, and perhaps even survival, has increased acquisitions and mergers within the paper and pulp indus- try. Some paper mills close, often leaving the community (and those displaced) without comparable industrial opportunities. Thus, the 2011 announcement by Verso to retire older mill machinery at Sartell and Bucksport might not have been unexpected, but the impact of reduc- ing the operation by 169 workers at Sartell and 151 at Bucksport left those downsized with few employment opportunities locally or even more broadly, since transfer was not a viable option because of limited employment opportunities in the paper industry. Within a few short months of the downsizing at the Minnesota mill, those who had survived that event were confronted with a shock on Memorial Day, when an explosion and fire temporarily closed the mill while an assessment of the damage was made. Two months after the fire, Sartell workers learned of the company’s decision to immediately shut down the Sartell mill, throwing another 280 workers out of work. The Verso workers who had survived the downsizing were now left looking for replacement work after their downsized colleagues had had “first options” on local employment vacancies. Furthermore, aslow recovery from the Great Recession provided fewer opportunities for experienced long-term employees, most of whom were older workers. The Study, Job Loss, and the Paper Industry 25
Notes
1. In reality, a reduction in force at any particular company appears rather common, since Hewitt Associates (now Aon Hewitt, a subsidiary of the Aon Group) sur- veyed compensation managers about their organizations’ involuntary workforce reductions more than 20 years ago and found that 90 percent of firms respond- ing had gone through an involuntary reduction within the previous three years (Graffagna 1993). 2. Sociologists, labor economists, and others who study economic displacement have been selective in their focus on U.S. industries, which has resulted in a seri- ous void when it comes to publications dealing with job loss in the paper industry. 3. Recent paper mill closures in Canada include the following: the 2012 Minas Basin Pulp and Power containerboard mill in Hantsport, Nova Scotia; the 2009 Fra- ser Papers pulp mill in Thurso, Quebec; the 2009 Tembec paper mill closure in Powerview–Pine Falls, Manitoba; the 2009 closure of production at the paper mill in Grand Falls–Windsor, New Brunswick; the 2008 closure of the AbitibiBowater mill in Dalhousie, New Brunswick; and the 2005 AbitibiBowater pulp and paper mill closure in Kenora, Ontario. 4. Earl Gustafson, vice president for energy, forestry, and human resources, Wiscon- sin Paper Council, e-mail message to author Kenneth Root, September 10, 2015. 5. Perhaps one of the most thoroughly studied single-industry dependence communi- ties that has survived the boom-and-bust cycle of resource extraction is the town of Elliot Lake in Ontario, Canada (see Mawhiney and Pitblado [1999]). 6. For example, the Maine Pulp and Paper Association notes that Maine’s paper pro- duction has consistently increased since 1990, making Maine the second-leading paper-making state by volume. Maine produced about four million tons of paper in 2000, and it produces more paper than any state other than Wisconsin (Maine Pulp and Paper Association 2013a). 7. Josh Dukelow, existing industry manager for the Fox Cities Regional Partner- ship, e-mail message to author Kenneth Root, March 4, 2014. http://www.hispanic business.com/2014/3/3/resolute_forest_products_inc_-_10-k.htm. 8. Kent Koerbitz of UPM-Kymmene Corp., e-mail message to author Kenneth Root, March 3, 2014. 9. Schmenner’s figures are based on 175 completed surveys, each representing a closed facility.
3 Job Loss at Verso
Job loss is a salient trigger event that sets off large changes in people’s subjective well-being, on an order of magnitude greater than the effect of changes in family structure, home ownership, or parental status. Loss of work seems particularly hard to take. —Cristobal Young (2012, p. 609)
On October 11, 2011, Verso announced that 175 employees would be terminated from its Sartell, Minnesota, plant. The reason for the downsizing was the anticipated December 14 shutdown of two paper- producing machines. Retiring two older machines at the Sartell mill meant an annual reduction of 103,000 tons of paper (Sartell News- leader 2011). Verso simultaneously announced the shutdown of the No. 2 paper machine at the mill in Bucksport, Maine, which was antici- pated to reduce the Bucksport workforce by 125 employees, but which actually claimed 151. The Bucksport downsizing, effective October 23, would reduce annual production by another 90,000 tons. After the shutdown of these three paper machines, Verso would produce 925,000 tons of paper annually and would remain the second-largest producer of coated groundwood paper in North America (Business Wire 2011). Both salaried personnel and hourly workers at each of the two Verso mills were downsized. Sartell production employees were United Steelworkers union members, and the 175 workers were given (legally, and by union contract) 60 days’ notice prior to termination, while the displaced Maine employees were not given a Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification (WARN) Act notice because 33 percent of the workforce was not affected.1 Downsized Bucksport workers were mem- bers of one of the following unions: United Steelworkers, the Interna- tional Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers, and the Office and Professional Employees International Union. Most of the Bucksport workers were let go on October 23, with the balance terminated in November and December. For the majority
27 28 Root and Park
(69 percent) of those downsized at Sartell, their last day at work was December 14, 2011, while for those who were displaced after the fire, their work ended in 2012. While there were not a large number of new hires at the Sartell mill in the last five years, there were nine men and one woman among our respondents who were downsized from the Sartell facility with five years or less of seniority. Among those who were displaced at the Sar- tell closure, one male had two years of seniority, but all others had at least 12 years of work experience. Seniority at Bucksport was different, in large part because the Bucksport mill employed temporary workers. Among the Bucksport respondents who were downsized, there were 13 employees who had one year or less of seniority, all of whom were temporary workers. Two of the temporary workers were women. An additional six downsized workers had two to five years of seniority at the Bucksport mill. Not all mill workers lived in the town where the mill was located. Although Bucksport was home to several paper worker families, oth- ers lived in the smaller nearby communities of Ellsworth, Orrington, Brewer, and East Millinocket. Likewise, in Minnesota, several workers resided in Sartell proper, but a number also lived in St. Cloud, Rice, Sauk Rapids, St. Joseph, or other neighboring communities.
THE COMMUNITIES INVOLVED
Sartell, Minnesota
Sartell, straddling the Mississippi River, has 16,000 residents and, until 2012, was home to the Verso Paper Mill, which was then the city’s largest employer. The city is far from the image of a single-industry community with a historical downtown area (most of the downtown buildings fell to the wrecking ball in the 1960s and 1980s to make way for the rerouting of U.S. Highway 10 and a new bridge over the Missis- sippi). Rather, it is a dispersed residential area with a limited commer- cial area consisting of a strip mall a mile west of the Mississippi River on a bluff 1,000 feet above the river. The paper mill, built in 1905, was located on the east side of the river, while the majority of the city is situ- Job Loss at Verso 29 ated on the west side. Sartell is the most populous suburb of St. Cloud, and its business and residential areas stretch nearly continuously south and west to St. Cloud and east to Sauk Rapids. An experienced paper mill manager, familiar with paper mill com- munities, told us that “Sartell is not a mill town.” In part this is true because of its proximity to St. Cloud, and in part because the city has expanded and developed westward from the Mississippi River, away from the mill area on the east bank. Those familiar with paper mill pro- duction know that many mills are located in remote communities where the mill is the dominant employer. Characterizing Sartell as “not a mill town” puts the community in perspective. Sartell was incorporated in 1907. It grew slowly during the first 50 years of its history. After the demolition of large chunks of the down- town for construction of the highway and the bridge, Sartell’s close proximity to St. Cloud apparently minimized the need for local busi- ness expansion and simultaneously supported rapid population growth. From 1970 to 2010, the census figures for each 10 years rose by at least 55 percent over the previous decade (Table 3.1). In 2012, Sartell’s labor force was 57 percent of the 16,183 popula- tion base. While the mill had been the dominant city industry for over 100 years, the city’s largest employer is currently DeZurik Valve Tech- nologies, an industry built by a former Sartell mill employee (during Watab’s ownership; see Table 3.2) who developed a segmented valve in 1928. The company has become a global leader in valve technologies.
Bucksport, Maine
Bucksport is a town of 5,000 founded in 1763 by Col. Jonathan Buck, who led a militia regiment in the Revolutionary War. Connected to Fort Knox and Bridge Observatory by a handsome suspension bridge,
Table 3.1 Sartell Population Growth, Bucksport Population Decline Year Sartell population Bucksport population 2012 16,183 (est.) 2,818 (est.) 2010 15,878 2,885 2000 9,641 2,970 1990 5,393 2,989 SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau (2015). 30 Root and Park
Table 3.2 Sartell Paper Mill History Years Owner 1905–1946 Watab Pulp and Paper 1946–1984 St. Regis Paper 1984–2000 Champion Paper 2000–2006 International Paper 2006–2012 Verso Paper (mill closed in 2012) SOURCE: Authors’ compilation.
Bucksport is home to the Verso pulp and paper mill, and several artists live in the surrounding area. Bucksport is only 35 miles from Bar Har- bor, a tourist mecca. Locals have undertaken efforts to make Bucksport attractive to tourists, including constructing a mile-long walkway along the Penobscot River. Downtown Bucksport has a locally owned book- store, a glass studio, other seasonal artistic outlets, and several restau- rants. The Maine Employment Security Law was recently changed so that it now coincides with the law in Minnesota and 10 other states to pay benefits to part-time workers who have a history of part-time work (Thayer 2002). The Verso Bucksport mill is a dominant employer in the commu- nity but not the largest—larger employers include a biotech research and development corporation and the Bucksport Regional Health Cen- ter. Still, visitors to the Bucksport mill are often impressed with its huge machinery, some five stories high. Some observe that work in such a large mill would be noisy, dirty, dangerous, and difficult. Table 3.1 shows a slight population drop in Bucksport since 1990. In 2012 the labor force ranged from 2,316 in January to a high of 2,974 in August, with an average monthly labor force of 2,591. Table 3.3 shows the mill ownership changes throughout the years.
BACKGROUND TO THE PRESENT STUDY
After Verso’s 2011 announcement that it would reduce produc- tion and downsize operations at two of its four mills, we determined that with support from the University of Minnesota’s Center for Urban Job Loss at Verso 31
Table 3.3 Bucksport Paper Mill History Years Owner 1930–1945 Maine Seaboard Paper 1945–1984 St. Regis Paper 1984–2000 Champion Paper 2000–2006 International Paper 2006–2012 Verso Paper SOURCE: Authors’ compilation.
and Regional Affairs (CURA), we could initiate a study to assess the impact of job loss on displaced paper workers. We had no direct access to worker rosters, but the Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development (DEED) staff agreed to take our sealed ques- tionnaires and inserts and affix mailing address labels for salaried per- sonnel at Sartell. The United Steelworkers District 11 office agreed to do likewise for union employees at Sartell, and the Maine AFL-CIO did this for both salaried and union workers in Bucksport, Maine. All displaced workers (both salaried and union) in the downsizings at Bucksport and Sartell were asked to complete a generic question- naire (see Appendix A). Each questionnaire was mailed with a cover letter requesting that the recipient participate in the survey and included a stamped, addressed return envelope along with a $10 bill. Displaced Sartell workers completed 96 questionnaires and Bucksport workers completed 67, for return rates of 56 and 44 percent. The downsizing was catastrophic for many workers. The union workers downsized from Sartell were earning $24–$40 per hour and most, if not all, knew that finding another job that provided the same wage and benefit package would be difficult if not impossible. Some displaced Bucksport workers were temporary workers employed at reduced rates of $12.50 an hour (with no benefits), while those who were not temps had full benefits and made $30–$50 an hour. Sartell and Bucksport workers who survived the downsizing were pleased that their jobs were safe. Granted, there were others—workmates and in some instances relatives—that were now without work, but it could have been worse. 32 Root and Park
Explosion and Fire at the Sartell Mill
The 2012 Memorial Day explosion and fire that killed one worker and injured several others at the Sartell facility ultimately resulted in Verso deciding to permanently close the mill. The decision wasn’t immediate; it took two months to evaluate the condition of the plant and the plausibility of continuing operations. Coming on top of the recent downsizing, the news was devastating: another 280 workers were now out of work. Sartell employees who had been relieved to have survived the downsizing were now about to be terminated, and they would be embarking on a job search after those displaced earlier had had first crack at available job openings locally. Prior to the decision to close the Sartell mill, Minnesota officials— including Mark Phillips, commissioner of DEED, and Gov. Mark Dayton—toured the scarred mill. Greater St. Cloud Development Cor- poration CEO John Kramer argued for saving the mill: “Verso’s impact to the state is dynamic—beyond the property taxes and the employees,” he said. “They buy timber out of Bemidji. They have 27,000 acres of land near Alexandria. They make value-added products out of what we grow here and send them out of the state at much higher value. It has huge economic implications. . . . They’re an economic engine we can’t afford to let go” (Allenspach 2012, p. A:1). In the fire investigation, damage evaluations brought both good and bad news: the paper machine was intact, but the fire had taken out the power plant. Given the reported damage, the slow recovery from the recession, increased competition from new paper mills in Asia, and increased consumer use of electronic forms of communication, the Verso decision to close the Sartell mill may have been a reasonably easy decision. Verso announced the closure on August 2, 2012.
Data Collection after the Sartell Mill Closure
A companion questionnaire (see Appendix B) to the one that had already been sent out to those downsized from the two Verso mills was now mailed to a random sample of 100 of the terminated Sartell work- ers in the first week of October. The 100 recipients were mailed a cover letter requesting their participation, a questionnaire (slightly revised from the first one), a stamped and addressed return envelope, and a $10 Job Loss at Verso 33 bill. While there were 280 salaried and union workers who were termi- nated after the fire, funding from CURA was available only to cover 100. The questionnaire was mailed from the DEED office, which had access to the names and addresses. Researchers only had access to the names and addresses of workers if that information was provided when the completed questionnaires were returned. From 100 questionnaires sent out, there were 66 returned. Data analysis provided an overview of those displaced paper work- ers from both mills as well as those terminated in the Sartell closure: • Displaced workers in our three samples averaged 55 years of age; the mean age of the Sartell displaced was 54.1, the mean age of the Bucksport displaced was 56.1, and the mean age of the Sartell workers terminated in the closure was 55.2 years. With a total of only 24 workers in all three samples under 45 years of age, our displaced paper mill workers are overwhelmingly older workers.2 • Women made up just over 12 percent of our samples and included 20 of the 27 women who worked at Sartell. • Downsized Sartell workers averaged 25 years at their mill, while displaced Bucksport employees had 22 years of service, and those workers discharged from Sartell after the fire had 29 years of seniority at the mill. • Many of the Bucksport workers lived in Bucksport or the nearby area, which combined had a 2010 population of almost 5,000. While some Sartell workers lived in small towns, others lived in the adjacent St. Cloud area, which has a population of 65,000.
Comparison of Our Data with State Dislocated Worker Data from Minnesota and Maine
While our samples of downsized Sartell and Bucksport workers are lower than desired, we are fortunate to have both Minnesota and Maine Dislocated Worker data from these two downsizings. Figure 3.1 pro- vides the Minnesota DEED data on the age distribution of all the down- sized Sartell workers. It peaks at around age 55, closely matching the mean ages from our sample of all three groups, given in the first bullet point of the previous section. 34 Root and Park
Figure 3.1 Age Distribution of Downsized Sartell Workers
60
50
40
30
Number of workers of Number 20
10
0
SOURCE: Minnesota DEED data of 180 workers.
Figure 3.2 reflects the age distribution of the Maine Dislocated Worker data, although these data are not taken from an exhaustive ros- ter of all downsized employees, but rather from those who responded from the initial downsizing.
Issues Confronting Dislocated Paper Workers
One of the larger issues confronting displaced workers was that termination at the age of 50 or older is difficult to come back from. Research suggests that those beyond age 50 looking for work are ham- pered by many employers’ view that they are too old to hire, too young to retire. Many of those let go at Verso had expected to retire from their paper mill employment, but job loss forced them to adjust their plans. Displaced workers, particularly older ones, suggest that age dis- crimination is a force to be reckoned with and prevents them from being considered when a desired position has been advertised. Exactly Job Loss at Verso 35
Figure 3.2 Age Distribution of Downsized Bucksport Workers
18
16
14
12
10
8
6 Number of workers of Number
4
2
0
SOURCE: Maine data of 51 workers. what the definition of “older” is remains obscure. For example, Rook, Dooley, and Catalano (1991a), in their study of coping skills and age, categorize “older” as being aged 60 and above. A government report titled “The Employment Problems of Older Workers” (USDOL 1971, p. 2) states, “Although age 65 is considered the beginning of old age for many purposes, the older worker generally is defined as those work- ers aged 45 or older.” While several job loss researchers use age 45 as their boundary for “older” (Parnes, Gagen, and King 1981; Pursell and Torrence 1978; Root and Park 2009), others (Newman 1995; Rones and Herz 1992) go with 40 years of age, and Portis and Suys (1970) use 50. The cutoff points for age categories do make a difference, as Tables 3.4 and 3.5 illustrate. A second issue confronting the displaced paper workers is that unpredictable unemployment has devastating effects on displaced indi- viduals and their families, introducing stressors that one cannot pre- 36 Root and Park
Table 3.4 Distribution of Sartell and Bucksport Respondents Using Age Range Categories from Rook, Dooley, and Catalano, Including the Category of “Older” at Age 60+ Displaced Downsized Downsized Sartell workers Age range Sartell workers Bucksport workers at the closure 18–34 4 4 1 35–59 63 28 51 60+ 29 35 14 Total 96 67 66 SOURCE: Rook, Dooley, and Catalano (1991a). pare for (Voydanoff 1983a). The stress can result in anxiety, psycho- physiological distress, or lowered self-esteem. In addition to possible financial hardship, job loss involves the loss of the earner role and, for some who had a strong attachment to workmates and to their work tasks, a sense of grief and loss. Attewell (1999, pp. 67–68) finds that job displacement differs according to marital status, the presence or absence of children, sex, race, and education. He writes, “People with less than a college edu- cation suffer higher rates of displacement than more educated work- ers; men are displaced in greater proportion than women; and younger workers lose jobs in higher numbers than older workers (although this is obscured when samples are limited to high-tenure workers).” Dis- placed single parents and workers with a high school diploma or less also had higher rates of long-term unemployment.
Table 3.5 Distribution of Sartell and Bucksport Respondents Using USDOL Age Range Categories, Including the Category of “Older” at Age 45+ Displaced Downsized Downsized Sartell workers Age range Sartell workers Bucksport workers at the closure 23–45 11 9 4 45+ 85 58 62 Total 96 67 66 SOURCE: USDOL (1971). Job Loss at Verso 37
Family resources are important in responding to job loss, and how the family views unemployment will frame its immediate response. Additional resources include financial reserves, social support, adapt- ability, and cohesion (Voydanoff 1983b). How the family copes with the job loss is determined by how they utilize their resources and their behavioral response in maintaining or reachieving a balance in their family functioning. For some displaced workers, obtaining other work—even at less pay—is a significant component of adjustment; for others it might be continuing a job search for a position that is equally rewarding financially and remains stimulating and challenging, even though it requires relocation or temporary family separation. In an earlier study, Root (1977) finds that most wives of dislocated workers perceived that a plant closing had been “generally good for their family.” These families defined unemployment as an opportunity and had ample family resources, family cohesion, and the ability to make and adhere to a plan. The majority of displaced workers in a sam- ple by Gabriel (2014) of a lockout report that they are better off now than before the lockout. While that sample initially suffered a financial setback, many have recovered financially, and they view their quality of life as “better.” On the other hand, Young (2012), using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, finds that unemployment func- tions as a “trigger event” that strips the displaced worker’s identity as a productive person, a result that implies that employment equates with social quality. While unemployment insurance (UI) provides some help on the financial end, UI does not provide support for subjective feelings of self-worth. The displaced paper workers from Bucksport and Sartell lost their jobs at a time when 82 percent of working Americans over age 50 said in an Associated Press–National Opinion Research Center (NORC) poll that it is at least somewhat likely they will work in retirement. In the same poll, one-third of those retired said they did not stop working by choice but felt they had no option and “were forced from a job because of their age” (Associated Press 2013a, p. 4). Allen (2014b) reports that nearly 19 percent of people 65 and older are still in the workforce, and that the number of these postretirement workers has steadily grown since the mid-1980s. One of the core questions job loss researchers want to know the answer to is, “How do displaced workers fare after job loss?” For exam- 38 Root and Park ple, do older workers confronting job loss retire earlier than they had planned? At both mills, several workers were close to retirement age at the time of their displacement, so retirement, or even early retirement, was an option for them. Others were willing to be trained and eager to find full-time replacement work at comparable wages and benefits to what they had when working for Verso. Still others were confused or undecided about what they wanted to do, or could do, because most respondents, at either mill, indicated that they had anticipated working there until they retired.3 For those not able to retire, they were much more likely to view their job loss as “generally bad.” And in answer to our query on whether displaced older workers had taken early retire- ment, 80 of 115 (72 percent) workers aged 45 and older in our study replied affirmatively, although 40 of these, in response to a different question, said they had visited the workforce center to look for work, so their answers on retirement were inconsistent. Cottell’s (1974, p. 116) study of forest workers found there “was a relationship between the respondent’s age and desire for a different job. . . . Men over the age of 35 were more commonly satisfied to remain in their current job while younger workers were more generally socially mobile, as was true for both unskilled and semi-skilled workers.” Tosti-Kharas (2012) raises the question of whether the well-being of displaced workers benefits or is harmed by postdisplacement orga- nizational identification (that is, workers continuing to identify with the company that terminated them), and finds that for the white-collar workers in her sample (primarily from the financial services industry), having a continued organizational identification provided a valuable coping resource. Such a resource might include advice, references, and support during unemployment that could come from former coworkers or bosses, helping the displaced to cope with their involuntary job loss.
WHAT IMPACT HAS THE GREAT RECESSION HAD ON LOCATING NEW WORK?
A comparison of the impact of the Great Recession to other recent postwar recessions in the United States is shown in Figure 3.3. Job loss during the Great Recession is far greater than for any other recent Job Loss at Verso 39
Figure 3.3 Indexed Job Loss in All Postwar Recessions
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