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[email protected] Iran’s Search for Weapons of Mass Destruction Warfighting Capabilities, Delivery Options, and Weapons Effects Anthony H. Cordesman Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy with assistance from G. Ryan Faith August 7, 2003 Copyright Anthony H. Cordesman, all rights reserved. Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Middle East 8/12/2003 Page ii Table of Contents INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................................................1 PROBLEMS IN COLLECTING DATA ON IRAQI WMD CAPABILITIES AND DELIVERY SYSTEMS - I ................................3 PROBLEMS IN COLLECTING DATA ON IRAQI WMD CAPABILITIES AND DELIVERY SYSTEMS - II...............................5 PROBLEMS IN ANALYZING IRAQI AND OTHER COUNTRY WMD CAPABILITIES AND DELIVERY SYSTEMS - I.............6 PROBLEMS IN ANALYZING IRAQI AND OTHER COUNTRY WMD CAPABILITIES AND DELIVERY SYSTEMS - II ...........7 PART ONE: .................................................................................................................................................................8 CAUSES, WARFIGHTING OPTIONS, AND ARMS CONTROL ........................................................................8 UNSTABLE PATTERNS OF WAR FIGHTING AND ESCALATION......................................................................................9