Ukraine's Border with Russia Before and After the Orange Revolution
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Kremlin-Linked Forces in Ukraine's 2019 Elections
Études de l’Ifri Russie.Nei.Reports 25 KREMLIN-LINKED FORCES IN UKRAINE’S 2019 ELECTIONS On the Brink of Revenge? Vladislav INOZEMTSEV February 2019 Russia/NIS Center The Institut français des relations internationales (Ifri) is a research center and a forum for debate on major international political and economic issues. Headed by Thierry de Montbrial since its founding in 1979, Ifri is a non-governmental, non-profit organization. As an independent think tank, Ifri sets its own research agenda, publishing its findings regularly for a global audience. Taking an interdisciplinary approach, Ifri brings together political and economic decision-makers, researchers and internationally renowned experts to animate its debate and research activities. The opinions expressed in this text are the responsibility of the author alone. ISBN: 978-2-36567-981-7 © All rights reserved, Ifri, 2019 How to quote this document: Vladislav Inozemtsev, “Kremlin-Linked Forces in Ukraine’s 2019 Elections: On the Brink of Revenge?”, Russie.NEI.Reports, No. 25, Ifri, February 2019. Ifri 27 rue de la Procession 75740 Paris Cedex 15—FRANCE Tel. : +33 (0)1 40 61 60 00—Fax : +33 (0)1 40 61 60 60 Email: [email protected] Website: Ifri.org Author Dr Vladislav Inozemtsev (b. 1968) is a Russian economist and political researcher since 1999, with a PhD in Economics. In 1996 he founded the Moscow-based Center for Post-Industrial Studies and has been its Director ever since. In recent years, he served as Senior or Visiting Fellow with the Institut fur die Wissenschaften vom Menschen in Vienna, with the Polski Instytut Studiów Zaawansowanych in Warsaw, Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik in Berlin, the Center for Strategic and International Studies, and the Johns Hopkins University in Washington. -
Separatists and Russian Nationalist-Extremist Allies of The
Separatists and Russian nationalist-extremist allies of the Party of Regions call for union with Russia Today at 17:38 | Taras Kuzio The signing of an accord to prolong the Black Sea Fleet in the Crimea by 25 years not only infringes the Constitution again, but also threatens Ukraine’s territorial integrity. If a president is willing to ignore the Constitution on two big questions in less than two months in office, what will he have done to the Constitution after 60 months in office? As somebody wrote on my Facebook profile yesterday, the Constitution is now “toilet paper.” The threat to Ukraine’s territorial integrity is deeper. Since President Viktor Yanukovych’s election, Russian nationalist-extremist allies of the Party of Regions have begun to radicalize their activities. Their mix of Russophile and Sovietophile ideological views are given encouragement by cabinet ministers such as Minister of Education Dmytro Tabachnyk and First Deputy Prime Minister Volodymyr Semynozhenko. Calls, which look increasingly orchestrated, are made to change Ukraine’s national anthem, adopt Russian as a state language, transform Ukraine into a federal state and coordinate the writing of educational textbooks with Russia. On Monday, Russian nationalist-extremist allies of the Party of Regions in the Crimea organized a meeting on the anniversary of the Crimea’s annexation by the Russian empire that demanded a full military, political and economic union with Russia. Russian nationalist-extremists in the Crimea were marginalized by ex-President Leonid Kuchma after he abolished the Crimean presidential institution in 1995. Then Deputy Prime Minister Yevhen Marchuk undertook measures to subvert and undermine the Russian nationalist-extremists who came to power in the peninsula in 1994. -
8. Ukraine's Long and Winding Road to the European Charter for Regional Or Minority Languages
8. Ukraine's long and winding road to the European Charter for Regional or Minority Languages Bill Bowring and Myroslava Antonovych 1. Introduction This paper tackles the paradoxical role played by the European Charter for Regional or Minority Languages (ECRML) both in the formulation of government policy, and in the turbulent politics of Ukraine, and the vexed question of the status of the Russian language in the country. The authors contend that the charter has achieved great symbolic signifi- cance in Ukraine. However, the actual content of its ratification remains the subject of confusion. That is, ratification and implementation of the charter have become strictly political rather than policy objectives, not only leading to surprising reversals in the ratification process (Ukraine has ratified it not once but twice), but also to implementation in forms not anticipated in the charter itself. It is ironical that the ECRML was designed: ... [to allay] the fears of governments, who would have reacted negatively to anything seen as posing a threat to national unity of the territorial integrity of the state, but which were more open to accepting the existence of cultural and linguistic diversity on their territories.1 In Ukraine the ECRML has played a very different role. This "symbolic capital" of the charter is explored in the following account and analysis of its history in Ukraine from 1996 to the present. The paper is organised as follows. The authors start with the unintended consequences of Ukraine's ratification of the ECRML and next proceed to an exploration of the interplay of the linguistic and political history of Ukraine. -
The Ukrainian Weekly 2003, No.43
www.ukrweekly.com INSIDE:• Instructions for new Diversity Visa Lottery — page 3. • Ukrainian American Veterans hold 56th national convention — page 4. • Adrian Karatnycky speaks on Ukraine’s domestic and foreign affairs — page 9. Published by the Ukrainian National Association Inc., a fraternal non-profit association Vol. LXXI HE No.KRAINIAN 43 THE UKRAINIAN WEEKLY SUNDAY, OCTOBER 26, 2003 EEKLY$1/$2 in Ukraine HistorianT says UPulitzer awarded Russian-UkrainianW dispute over Tuzla escalates by Roman Woronowycz Yanukovych called for calm and the use of to Duranty should be revoked Kyiv Press Bureau diplomacy to defuse the situation. “We cannot allow this to turn into armed by Andrew Nynka 1932 be revoked, The New York Times KYIV – A diplomatic tussle that began reported. The letter asked the newspaper conflict,” warned Mr. Yanukovych on PARSIPPANY, N.J. – A noted with the construction of a dike by Russia to for its comments on Mr. Duranty’s work. October 21. “We must resolve this at the Columbia University professor of history link the Russian Taman Peninsula with the As part of its review of Mr. Duranty’s negotiating table.” has said in a report – commissioned by Ukrainian island of Tuzla in the Kerch work, The New York Times commis- On October 22 the prime minister’s The New York Times and subsequently Strait escalated to full-blown crisis begin- sioned Dr. von Hagen, an expert on early office announced that Mr. Yanukovych had sent to the Pulitzer Prize Board – that the ning on October 20 when Moscow question canceled a trip to Estonia and would fly 20th century Soviet history, to examine Ukraine’s sovereignty over the tiny island 1931 dispatches of Pulitzer Prize winner nearly all of what Mr. -
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Numerical Simulation of Propagation of the Black Sea and the Azov Sea Tsunami Through the Kerch Strait L. I. Lobkovsky1, R. Kh. Mazova2,*, E. A. Baranova2, A. M. Tugaryov2 1Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation 2Nizhny Novgorod State Technical University n. a. R. E. Alekseev, Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation *e-mail: [email protected] The present paper deals with the potential strong tsunamigenic earthquakes with the sources localized in the Black and Azov seas at the entrance and exit of the Kerch Strait, respectively. Since, at present time, the tsunami hazards are usually assessed for the critical earthquake magnitude values, potential strong earthquakes with a magnitude M = 7 are studied. The seismic sources of elliptical form are considered. When choosing the source location in the northeast of the Black Sea, the most seismically dangerous areas of the basin under consideration are allowed for. Numerical simulation is carried out within the framework of the nonlinear shallow water equations with the dissipative effects taken into account. Two possible scenarios of tsunami propagation at the chosen source locations are analyzed. The wave characteristics are obtained for a tsunami wave motion both from the Black Sea through the Kerch Strait to the Azov Sea. The symmetrical problem for a tsunami wave propagation from the Azov Sea through the Kerch Strait to the Black Sea is also considered. Spectral analysis of the tsunami wave field is carried out for the studied basin. The wave and energy characteristics of the tsunami waves in the area of the bridge across the Kerch Strait are subjected to the detailed examination and assessment. -
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Georgia | No 3 | June to July 2007 GEORGIA | Trends in Conflict and Cooperation The period under review was mostly dominated by the up and down of Russian-Georgian relations. After a bilateral meeting between President Putin and President Saakshvili in St. Petersburg on 9 June, a slight stabilization appeared in bilateral relations. Russia – still Georgia’s second largest trading partner – seemed to be easing the pressure on Russian-Georgian relations not only because of the WTO accession plan, but also because of the Olympic Winter Games to be held in Sochi in 2014. But this improvement in Russian-Georgian relations did not suit everyone, especially not separatist parties, which may be one of the reasons why in June “unknown persons” fired several times Country Stability and Conflictive Events in South Ossetia on Georgian and South Ossetian villages. As can be seen on the graph, additional tensions grew in summer paralleling the water shortage problem in the Tskhinvali region, which happens every summer since 2004. As usual, political figures in Russia and in the unrecognized republics immediately expressed concern that the escalation of tensions in the conflict zone signalizes a new Georgian attempt to restore its hegemony over South Ossetia by force of arms. Relations between Georgia and Russia worsened further after the publication of the last UNOMIG report issued on 12 July. The report suggested, but did not explicitly claim, that Russian army helicopters could have been involved in an attack on Tbilisi- controlled upper Kodori Gorge on 11 March 2007. Soon after, the Russian Foreign Source: FAST event data Ministry stated that “it is clear which side has been interested in the incident. -
Borders in Flux: Ukraine As a Case Study of Russia's Approach to Its
Borders in Flux: Ukraine as a Case Study of Russia’s Approach to its Borders Marek Menkiszak Abstract This paper examines the contemporary border between Ukraine and Russia as a case study of Russia’s approach to its borders. Two research questions are addressed: Firstly, what does the annexation of Crimea by Russia as well as its attempts to further undermine Ukraine’s territorial integrity in its eastern region of Donbas say about Russia’s peculiar approach to Ukraine and its borders? Secondly Whether and To what extent does Russia’s approach represent a broader pattern of Russia’s policy towards its borders? This paper is divided into three parts: the first part gives a brief account of the modern history of the Russian-Ukrainian border; the second part focuses on peculiar Russian approaches to Ukraine revealed during the current Russian-Ukrainian crisis; the third part puts “the Ukrainian case” into broader conceptual frameworks. This paper concludes that Russia’s recognition of the territorial integrity and the borders of the post-Soviet states is conditional and depends mainly on their participation in Russia-led integration projects. Introduction On March 18, 2014, Russian President Vladimir Putin and the new pro-Moscow leaders of Crimea signed an agreement between the Russian Federation and the Republic of Crimea (an autonomous region of Ukraine, which illegally declared its independence on February 27 and was acknowledged on March 17, when the so called Republic of Crimea was formally created) on the accession of the latter to -
Crimea's Three Basic Ethnic Components: a Pledge for Peace
Centro Argentino de Estudios Internacionales www.caei.com.ar Programa CEI & Países Bálticos Crimea's Three Basic Ethnic Components: A Pledge for Peace By Valery Temnenko, Zeyneb Temnenko Crimea – a fell out part of the conflict bow Many authors mention Crimea, when speaking about rebellious autonomous republics of former Soviet Union: Nagorny Karabakh, South Ossetia, Ichkeria (Chechnya), Abkhazia, Crimea, Pridnestrovie and Abkhazia. All of these republics except Crimea have experienced wars or other conflicts against their metropolitan countries. Some ambitious Crimean politicians claim to be peacekeepers in Crimea. Others, who are more prudent, talk about some mysterious mechanisms that “did not or do not let the ethnic conflicts occur”1. Crimea’s peace custodian is a three-side conflict blocking system: “Crimean Russians against metropolitan country”, “Crimean Russians against Crimean Tatars”, and “Crimean Tatars against metropolitan country”. Peaceful Crimea and Ichkeria that has suffered decades of colonial war both remained in their metropolitan countries. The rest of four autonomies turned into self-declared, unrecognized states. Some Russian politicians in “civilian clothes”, such as Konstantin Zatulin say these four states are “parallel to CIS”2, which broadens geopolitical capacities of Russian Federation. The problems of these autonomies are not solved, their existence itself is not ensured. 1 Citation of Crimean historian Andrey Malguine. See Natalya Astahova “Crimea – is Ukraine’s future” published in newspaper Krym.ru # 5 (61), 20th of January 2006. 2 Ivan Shmelev. South Ossetian day of independence as mirror of uncompleted dissolution of USSR. 20.09.2005 http://www.pravda.ru/world/former-ussr/other/52046-Ossetia-0 Centro Argentino de Estudios Internacionales www.caei.com.ar Programa CEI & Países Bálticos Nagorny-Karabakh got its independence from Azerbaijan in 1994 after 6-year war. -
Crimea After the Georgian Crisis
Crimea after the Georgian Crisis Crimea After the Georgian Crisis Following the Georgian Crisis, there was frequent speculation in the international media Crimea theCrisis Georgian after about the Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea as the next likely target of Russian military intervention. Logic suggests that Crimea, the only region in Ukraine with an ethnic Russian JAKOB HEDENSKOG majority, with its historical links to Russia and contested affiliation to Ukraine, and with its Hero City Sevastopol (the base of the Russian Black Sea Fleet), would be an easy target for the Kremlin’s neo-imperialist policy. This report aims to compare the situation around Crimea with that regarding South Ossetia and Abkhazia, which led to the Georgian Crisis. The main objective is to identify similarities and differences concerning both the situation on the ground and Russia’s policy towards the regions, in order to determine whether a military scenario for Crimea is impossible, Jakob Hedenskog possible or even likely. For a study (in Swedish) on the Georgian Crisis and its consequences, see Larsson, Robert L., et al. Det kaukasiska lackmustestet: Konsekvenser och lärdomar av det rysk-georgiska kriget i augusti 2008, FOI-R--2563--SE, september 2008. Front cover photo: The chief of the Russian Black Sea Fleet and the Chief of the Ukrainian Marine jointly celebrate the 60th Anniversary of Victory Day, 9 May 2005, © Jakob Hedenskog (2005) FOI, Swedish Defence Research Agency, is a mainly assignment-funded agency under the Ministry of Defence. The core activities are research, method and technology development, as well as studies conducted in the interests of Swedish defence and the safety and security of society. -
A Study of the Civilisational Aspects of Russian Soft Power in Contemporary Ukraine
A STUDY OF THE CIVILISATIONAL ASPECTS OF RUSSIAN SOFT POWER IN CONTEMPORARY UKRAINE by VICTORIA ANN HUDSON A thesis submitted to the University of Birmingham for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Centre for Russian and East European Studies (CREES) School of Government of Society College of Social Sciences University of Birmingham January 2013 University of Birmingham Research Archive e-theses repository This unpublished thesis/dissertation is copyright of the author and/or third parties. The intellectual property rights of the author or third parties in respect of this work are as defined by The Copyright Designs and Patents Act 1988 or as modified by any successor legislation. Any use made of information contained in this thesis/dissertation must be in accordance with that legislation and must be properly acknowledged. Further distribution or reproduction in any format is prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder. Abstract This thesis contributes to an in-depth understanding of the concept of soft power, which according to Joseph Nye indicates the ability to achieve foreign policy goals through cultural attraction. For the purposes of this study of Russian cultural influence in Ukraine, soft power is rearticulated to highlight the ability to engage in mean-making and cultural- ideational leadership on the international stage. A critique of Nye justifies a reframing of soft power, which is supplied by drawing on the analytical power of post-Marxist hegemony and discourse theory. The methodology through which this concept is operationalised empirically emphasises outcomes over inputs, thus appraisals of soft power must account for whether the discourses promoted by mean-making initiatives resonate favourably with target audiences. -
Ukraine and Russia People, Politics, Propaganda and Perspectives
EDITED BY i AGNIESZKA PIKULICKA-WILCZEWSKA & RICHARD SAKWA Ukraine and Russia People, Politics, Propaganda and Perspectives This e-book is provided without charge via free download by E-International Relations (www.E-IR.info). It is not permitted to be sold in electronic format under any circumstances. If you enjoy our free e-books, please consider leaving a small donation to allow us to continue investing in open access publications: http://www.e-ir.info/about/donate/ i Ukraine and Russia People, Politics, Propaganda and Perspectives EDITED BY AGNIESZKA PIKULICKA-WILCZEWSKA & RICHARD SAKWA ii E-International Relations www.E-IR.info Bristol, England First published 2015 New version 2016 ISBN 978-1-910814-14-7 (Paperback) ISBN 978-1-910814-00-0 (e-book) This book is published under a Creative Commons CC BY-NC 4.0 license. You are free to: • Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format • Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material Under the following terms: • Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use. • NonCommercial — You may not use the material for commercial purposes. Any of the above conditions can be waived if you get permission. Please contact [email protected] for any such enquiries. Other than the license terms noted above, there are no restrictions placed on the use and dissemination of this book for student learning materials / scholarly use. -
Russia's Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism
RussiaRussia’s’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism Marlène Laruelle SILK ROAD PAPER April 2008 Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism Marlène Laruelle © Central AsiaAsia----CaucasusCaucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program ––– A Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center Johns Hopkins University-SAIS, 1619 Massachusetts Ave. NW, Washington, D.C. 20036 Institute for Security and Development Policy, V. Finnbodav. 2, Stockholm-Nacka 13130, Sweden www.silkroadstudies.org “““Russia’s“Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian NNationalismationalismationalism”””” is a Silk Road Paper published by the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute and the Silk Road Studies Program. The Silk Road Papers Series is the Occasional Paper series of the Joint Center, and addresses topical and timely subjects. The Joint Center is a transatlantic independent and non-profit research and policy center. It has offices in Washington and Stockholm and is affiliated with the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies of Johns Hopkins University and the Stockholm-based Institute for Security and Development Policy. It is the first institution of its kind in Europe and North America, and is firmly established as a leading research and policy center, serving a large and diverse community of analysts, scholars, policy-watchers, business leaders, and journalists. The Joint Center is at the forefront of research on issues of conflict, security, and development in the region. Through its applied research, publications, research cooperation, public lectures, and seminars, it functions as a focal point for academic, policy, and public discussion regarding the region. The opinions and conclusions expressed are those of the author/s and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute and the Silk Road Studies Program.