Democracy Erodes From the Top Public Opinion and the Crisis of Democracy in Europe Larry M. Bartels Department of Political Science Vanderbilt University Working Paper 4 -2020 Democracy Erodes From the Top Public Opinion and the Crisis of Democracy in Europe 1 Larry M. Bartels Department of Political Science Vanderbilt University
[email protected] DRAFT: 24 September 2020 An eminent scholar of comparative politics, Adam Przeworski, began a 2019 book on Crises of Democracy by declaring that “Something is happening. ‘Anti- establishment,’ ‘anti-system,’ ‘anti-elite,’ ‘populist’ sentiments are exploding in many mature democracies. … Confidence in politicians, parties, parliaments, and governments is falling. Even the support for democracy as a system of government has weakened. Popular preferences about policies diverge sharply.”2 The 2016 Brexit vote in the United Kingdom, the election of Donald Trump as U.S. president, and the rise of right-wing populist parties in Europe and elsewhere produced an explosion of commentary about the “populist explosion” agitating affluent democracies, a “global wave of populism.”3 In Europe, at least, the forces 1 Prepared for presentation at the international conference Salamis & Democracy: 2,500 Years After, October 3-5, 2020. I am grateful to Vanderbilt’s May Werthan Shayne Chair for financial support, to Nancy Bermeo for advice and encouragement, to Kaitlen Cassell for splendid research assistance, and to Cassell, Benjamin Page, John Sides, and participants in the Vanderbilt political science faculty workshop for helpful criticism of a preliminary draft of this report. 2 Adam Przeworski, Crises of Democracy (Cambridge University Press, 2019), 1. 3 John B.