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Industrija 2/2011 industr ij a časopis Ekonomskog instituta - Beograd, broj 2/2011. Indexing on: EBSCO Publishing (EP) USA http://www.epnet.com INDUSTRIJA – ĉasopis Ekonomskog instituta, Beograd ISSN 0350-0373; UDK 33; godina XXXIX br. 2 (april-jun 2011) Osnivaĉ i izdavaĉ: EKONOMSKI INSTITUT BEOGRAD IZDAVAĈKI SAVET: Jurij Bajec, Janko M. Cvijanović, Danko Đunić, SrĊan Janićijević, Slobodan Krĉevinac, Goran Pitić, Aleksandar Vlahović (predsednik) GLAVNI I ODGOVORNI UREDNIK: Janko M. Cvijanović UREDNIK: Jelena Lazić REDAKCIONI ODBOR: Stane Boţiĉnik (Slovenija), Janko M. Cvijanović (Srbija), Ivo Ĉala (Hrvatska), Jelena Lazić (Srbija), Jesa H. Kreiner (USA), Holger Luczak (Nemaĉka), Victor Manole (Rumunija), Vladimir Poznanić (Srbija), Ion Vasilescu (Rumunija), Zvonko Sajfert (Srbija), Nikola Vukmirović (Bosna i Hercegovina) ŠTAMPA: DiS Public Beograd, e-mail [email protected] REDAKCIJA I ADMINISTRACIJA: Ekonomski institut, 11000 Beograd, Kralja Milana 16, tel: +381113613117, e-mail [email protected], Ţiro raĉun kod VojvoĊanske banke 355-1025896-56 Fotografija na koricama ĉasopisa preuzeta je sa web site http/www.freeimages.co.uk CIP – Каталогизација у публикацији Народна библиотека Србије, Београд 338.45 INDUSTRIJA: časopis Ekonomkog instituta / glavni i odgovorni urednik Janko M. Cvijanović. – God. 1, br. 1 (1973)- . – Beograd. Ekonomki institut, 1973-. – 24cm Tromesečno ISSN 0350-0373 = Industrija COBISS.SR-ID 238359 U FINANSIRANJU ĈASOPISA UĈESTVUJE MINISTARSTVO ZA PROSVETU I NAUKU REPUBLIKE SRBIJE UDK – 33 INDUSTRIJA YU ISSN 0350-0373 April-jun 2011. Godina: XXXIX Broj: 2 SADRŢAJ Originalni naučni članci Application of Sandin & Porporato’s Bankruptcy Prediction Model on 1 Serbian Companies Vladan Pavlović, Saša Muminović, Janko M. Cvijanović Success factors of entrepreneurs: empirical evidence from Serbia 15 Ivan Stefanović, Ljubodrag Ranković, Slobodan Prokić Quantitative Website Analysis: Case Study of the Serbian Banks 29 Marko Ranković, Vojkan Vasković Deindustrijalizacija i reindustrijalizacija privrede Srbije 51 Vladimir Mićić, Aleksandar Zeremski Odlike mesta, stanovništva i privrede kao osnova brendiranja gradova u 69 Srbiji Predrag D. Radojević Vrednovanje intelektualne svojine 93 Slobodanka Jovanović, Danijela Matović, Slobodan D. Petrović Potencijali agroindustrijskog sektora Vojvodine za privlaĉenje stranih 119 direktnih investicija Sanja Filipović, Marko Miljković, Ivan Nikolić Optimizam vs pesimizam konkurentnosti bankarskog sektora Srbije 137 Lidija Barjaktarović, Dejan Jeĉmenica Upravljanje rizicima ţivotnih osiguranja: trţište reosiguranja 151 Vladimir Njegomir Istraţivanje uticaja emocionalne inteligencije lidera na produktivnost 169 srpskih kompanija Zvonko Sajfert, Milomir Stanković, Višnja Istrat Merenje performansi kljuĉnih dimenzija unutrašnjeg marketinga 185 Dejan Riznić, Nenad Milijić, Jelena Lazić Preduzetnici u poslovnim inkubatorima 203 Boško Vojnović, Janko M. Cvijanović, Jelena Lazić 1 MeĊuzavisnost demografskih faktora i njihov uticaj na klimu bezbednosti u 223 proizvodnim kompanijama Nenad Milijić, Ivan Mihajlović Nautiĉki turizam kao faktor konkurentnosti turizma Vojvodine 237 Andrea Katić, Bela Muhi, Jasmina Stanković, Jelena Kovaĉević Ocena ekonomiĉnosti poslovanja industrijskih preduzeća 263 Klara Jakovĉević, Jelena Andrašić Pregledni naučni članci Rescuing Agricultural and Banking Sector from Collapse: 283 Agricultural Debt Consolidation in Yugoslavia 1932-1936 Dragana Gnjatović, Vesna Aleksić Problemi vrednovanja materijalne imovine preduzeća 297 Vladimir Poznanić Stručni članci Finansijski aspekt pojednostavljenog okvira 28A na avionu tipa „ORAO” 311 Ivan Milojević, Marko D.Cvijanović, Jonel Subić Istraţivanje uticaja osvetljenja na kvalitet rada 321 Stevan M. Mušicki, Dragana Sajfert, Strahinja Cvijanović Model menadţment konsaltinga za preduzetnike i vlasnike malih 335 preduzeća Dragan Dukić, Tatjana Milivojević Prikaz monografije Sreten Ćuzović, autor: Menadţment kvalitetom u trgovini 355 Autor prikaza: Svetlana Sokolov-Mladenović Uputstvo za autore 359 UDK – 33 INDUSTRIJA YU ISSN 0350-0373 April-June 2011. Volume: XXXIX Number: 2 CONTENT Original scientific articles Application of Sandin & Porporato’s Bankruptcy Prediction Model on 1 Serbian Companies Vladan Pavlović, Saša Muminović, Janko M. Cvijanović Success factors of entrepreneurs: empirical evidence from Serbia 15 Ivan Stefanović, Ljubodrag Ranković, Slobodan Prokić Quantitative Website Analysis: Case Study of the Serbian Banks 29 Marko Ranković, Vojkan Vasković Deindustrialization and reindustrialization of the Serbian economy 51 Vladimir Mićić, aleksandar Zeremski Characteristics of places, people and economy as the basis for branding 69 cities in Serbia Predrag D. Radojević Intellectual Property valuation 93 Slobodanka Jovanović, Danijela Matović, Slobodan D. Petrović The potential of the agroindustrial sector of Vojvodina for attracting 119 foreign direct investment Sanja Filipović, Marko Miljković, Ivan Nikolić Optimisam vs pesimism of competitivness of banking division in Serbia 137 Lidija Barjaktarović, Dejan Jeĉmenica Managing life insurance risks: reinsurance market 151 Vladimir Njegomir The research of the influence of leaders’ emotional intelligence on 169 productivity of Serbian companies Zvonko Sajfert, Milomir Stanković, Višnja Istrat Measurement of performances of key dimensions internal marketing 185 Dejan Riznić, Nenad Milijić, Jelena Lazić Entrepreneurs in business incubators 203 Boško Vojnović, Janko M. Cvijanović, Jelena Lazić Interdependance of demographic factors and their impact on the safety 223 climate in manufacturing companies Nenad Milijić, Ivan Mihajlović Nautical tourism as a factor of competitiveness of tourism in Vojvodina 237 Andrea Katić, Bela Muhi, Jasmina Stanković, Jelena Kovaĉević Evaluation of efficiency of industrial enterprises 263 Klara Jakovĉević, Jelena Andrašić Scientific review articles Rescuing Agricultural and Banking Sector from Collapse: 283 Agricultural Debt Consolidation in Yugoslavia 1932-1936 Dragana Gnjatović, Vesna Aleksić Issues with Valuation of Tangible Assets in Business Enterprises 297 Vladimir Poznanić Scientific articles Financial aspect simplify frame 28A on aeroplane type ″ORAO″ 311 Ivan Milojević, Marko D.Cvijanović, Jonel Subić Research impact on the quality of lighting 321 Stevan M. Mušicki, Dragana Sajfert, Strahinja Cvijanović Management consulting model for entrepreneurs and owners of small 335 enterprises Dragan Dukić, Tatjana Milivojević Book review Sreten Ĉuzović, author: Quality Management in sales 355 Reviewer: Svetlana Sokolov-Mladenović Instruction for authors 359 Original Scientific Paper UDK 336.279.001.891.54 (82:497.11) Vladan Pavlović Saša Muminović Janko M. Cvijanović Application of Sandin & Porporato’s Bankruptcy Prediction Model on Serbian Companies Rezime: U radu su testirane odabrane srpske kompanije modelom koji su razvili Sandin i Porporato. Sandin i Porporato su imali nameru da testiraju pouzdanost racio analize za predikciju bankrotstva u ekonomijama u razvoju tokom stabilnog perioda, kao što je sluĉaj Argentine tokom 90-tih godina XX veka. Njihova namera je bila da razviju model dostupan investitorima u Argentinske kompanije, kao i kreditorima. Opredeljenje za primenu ovog modela posledica je ĉinjenice da je reĉ o modelu izraĊenom za ekonomije u razvoju, pri ĉemu, tvorci modela sugerišu da model moţe biti koristan za predikciju bankrotstva i u drugim ekonomijama u razvoju. Specifiĉnost modela sastoji se i u njegovoj jednostavnosti, budući da je komponovan od samo dve varjable. Kljuĉne reĉi: modeli za predikciju bankrotstva, racio analiza, Sandin-Poporato model, Beogradska berza Summary: We applied the models developed by Sandin and Porporato to a sample of Serbian companies. Sandin and Porporato purpose was to test the usefulness of ratio analysis to predict bankruptcy in a period of stability of an emerging economy, such as the case of Argentina in the 1990s with the aim to develop a classification method that is publicly available to all investors and creditors of Argentinean companies. Decision for usage of Sandin & Porporato‟s model is result of the fact that the model was built specially for certain emerging market, where creators of the model suggest that the model can be used to predict business failure on the other emerging economies. Characteristic of the model can be seen in its simplicity, since it is composed of just two variables. Keywords: models for bankruptcy prediction, ratio analysis, Sandin&Porporato‟s Model, Belgrade Stock Exchange Received 29 June 2010; received in revised form 05. March 2011; accepted 06 May 2011 Graduate School of Business Studies, Megatrend University, [email protected] Julon, d.d., Ljubljana, Slovenia, Member of the Aquafil Group This paper forms part of the results of research on project 179001 „Organizational and information support to the quality management system as a key factor in improving the competitiveness of domestic enterprises and ensuring their faster access to EU and world markets“ financed by Ministry of Education and Science of the Republic of Serbia 1 V.Pavlović,S.Muminović,J.M.Cvijanović Application of Sandin & ... 1. INTRODUCTION he ability to provide powerful predictions of corporate insolvencies is of great importance both from an individual and a collective point of view. T From an individual perspective, alongside owners, employees, customers, suppliers, certified accountants, and other counterparties of companies, in particular banks are interested in accurate
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