Impacts of climate change under CMIP5 RCP scenarios on the streamflow in the Dinder River and ecosystem habitats in Dinder National Park, Sudan Amir K. Basheer 1, 2, Haishen Lu 1, Abubaker Omer 1, Abubaker B. Ali 3 and Abdeldime M.S. Abdelgader 4, 5 1 State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, 210098, China 2 Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation, River Nile State, P.O. Box 8168, Adamer, 12217, Sudan 3 Research Center of Fluid Machinery & Engineering, National Research Center of Pumps, Key- Lab of Water Saving Irrigation, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, China, 212013. 4 College of Engineering, Karary University, Khartoum, 12304, Sudan 5 School of information Science and Eng., Southeast University, Nanjing, 210096, China Correspondence to: Haishen Lu (
[email protected] ) Abstract The fate of seasonal rivers ecosystems habitats under climate change essentially depends on the changes in annual recharge of the river, which related to alterations in precipitation and evaporation over the river basin. Therefore, the change in climate conditions is expected to significantly affect hydrological and ecological components, particularly in fragmented ecosystems. This study aims to assess the impacts of climate change on the streamflow in the Dinder River Basin (DRB), and infer its relative possible effects on the Dinder National Park (DNP) ecosystems habitats in the Sudan. Four global circulation models (GCMs) from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and two statistical downscaling approaches combined with hydrological model (SWAT) were used to project the climate change conditions over the study periods 2020s, 2050s and 2080s.