History of Norway
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What Decides the Exchange Rate? Theory – and Predictions of the Norwegian Krone Against the Euro
Archives of Business Research – Vol.6, No.6 Publication Date: June. 25, 2018 DOI: 10.14738/abr.66.4827. Vale, P. H. (2018). What Decides the Exchange Rate? Theory – and Predictions of the Norwegian Krone against the Euro. Archives of Business Research, 6(6), 353-365. What Decides the Exchange Rate? Theory – and Predictions of the Norwegian Krone against the Euro Per Halvor Vale Norwegian University of Life Sciences, SChool of EConomiCs and Business ABSTRACT The paper analyses changes in the exchange rate of the Norwegian krone (NOK) as measured against the Euro, with the purpose of forecasting future exchange rates. The analysis is based on an error correction model. The model is given an autoregressive form. From the model is derived “out-of-sample forecast”. The predictions are compared with forecasts obtained from a Random Walk model. The empirical findings show that even though the economic model identifies several important explanatory variables, the Random Walk model performs better. Kewords: ExChange rate, equilibrium exChange rate, out-of-sample foreCasts JEL classification: C22C32, C53, F31 INTRODUCTION It is important for deCision-makers in eConomiC seCtor to have a Clear idea as to the Causes of fluctuations in the exchange rate. This paper analyses variations and shifts in the exchange rate of the Norwegian CurrenCy measured against the euro. The purpose is to understand the driving forCes and make prediCtions about likely Changes in future exChange rates. To test the viability of the model we blank out some of the sample data and make “out-of-sample foreCasts”. The foreCast model is Challenged by a Random Walk model (RW). -
Erkebiskopene Som Fredsskapere
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives Erkebiskopene som fredsskapere i det norske samfunnet fra 1202 til 1263 Tore Sævrås Masteroppgave i historie Institutt for arkeologi, konservering og historie Universitetet i Oslo Høsten 2010 1 Forord Nå som jeg endelig er ferdig med min masteroppgave vil jeg rette en stor takk til min veileder Jon Vidar Sigurdsson, blant annet for gode råd, spørsmål og innspill som har gjort at jeg har greid å levere denne oppgaven innenfor nomerert tid. Særlig er jeg takknemelig for den tiden du satte av de siste ukene til gjennomlesning av kapittelutkastene til denne oppgaven, og at jeg når tid som helst kunne ringe deg dersom det var et eller annet jeg slet med i oppgaven min. Jeg har selv lært mye med å skrive denne oppgaven, og selv om det til tider har vært et slit, må jeg også innrømme at det har vært veldig morsomt å jobbe med denne oppgaven det siste semesteret da jeg begynte å se hvordan oppgaven kom til å se ut. Jeg vil også rette en takk til familie og venner for den forståelse og tålmodighet de har vist meg i de siste månedene, når jeg har arbeidet med å få ferdig denne oppgaven i tide. 2 Innholdsfortegnelse Innledning s. 4 Historiografi s. 5 Kilder s.10 1: Erkebiskopenes fredsskaperrolle i de store politiske konfliktene s.14 Initiativtakeren - erkebiskopen s.15 Initiativtakeren - de stridende partene s.17 Erkebiskopene som meglere s.23 Erkebiskopenes formidlerrolle s.27 Erkebiskopen som dommer s.33 Avslutning -
The Krone Exchange Rate and Competitiveness in the Business Sector
Svein Gjedrem: The krone exchange rate and competitiveness in the business sector Address by Mr Svein Gjedrem, Governor of Norges Bank (Central Bank of Norway), to the Federation of Norwegian Process Industries, Oslo, 29 April 2004. The text below may differ slightly from the actual presentation. The address is based on the assessments presented at Norges Bank’s press conference following the Executive Board’s monetary policy meeting on 21 April, Inflation Report 1/04 and on previous speeches. The charts can be found on the Norges Bank’s website. * * * The primary objective of monetary policy is to ensure nominal stability. There were wide fluctuations in the Norwegian economy in the 1970s and 1980s. Economic developments were marked by high and variable inflation. Inflation rose gradually and it took a long time before it fell. The absence of a nominal anchor was one of the main reasons behind these pronounced swings in the Norwegian economy. With a policy of low interest rates and devaluations, inflation took root. Nominal interest rates were kept at a low level even though inflation and the value of tax-deductible interest expenditure rose. Frequent devaluations from 1976 were not able to prevent a decline in the manufacturing sector. On the contrary, they proved to be self-reinforcing. The wide fluctuations culminated in a credit boom in the mid-1980s, and a rise in costs as a consequence of the spring 1986 wage settlement. A pronounced downturn and high unemployment followed at the end of the 1980s. In order to achieve nominal stability, monetary policy must provide a nominal anchor. -
The Origin, Development, and History of the Norwegian Seventh-Day Adventist Church from the 1840S to 1889" (2010)
Andrews University Digital Commons @ Andrews University Dissertations Graduate Research 2010 The Origin, Development, and History of the Norwegian Seventh- day Adventist Church from the 1840s to 1889 Bjorgvin Martin Hjelvik Snorrason Andrews University Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.andrews.edu/dissertations Part of the Christian Denominations and Sects Commons, Christianity Commons, and the History of Christianity Commons Recommended Citation Snorrason, Bjorgvin Martin Hjelvik, "The Origin, Development, and History of the Norwegian Seventh-day Adventist Church from the 1840s to 1889" (2010). Dissertations. 144. https://digitalcommons.andrews.edu/dissertations/144 This Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate Research at Digital Commons @ Andrews University. It has been accepted for inclusion in Dissertations by an authorized administrator of Digital Commons @ Andrews University. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Thank you for your interest in the Andrews University Digital Library of Dissertations and Theses. Please honor the copyright of this document by not duplicating or distributing additional copies in any form without the author’s express written permission. Thanks for your cooperation. ABSTRACT THE ORIGIN, DEVELOPMENT, AND HISTORY OF THE NORWEGIAN SEVENTH-DAY ADVENTIST CHURCH FROM THE 1840s TO 1887 by Bjorgvin Martin Hjelvik Snorrason Adviser: Jerry Moon ABSTRACT OF GRADUATE STUDENT RESEARCH Dissertation Andrews University Seventh-day Adventist Theological Seminary Title: THE ORIGIN, DEVELOPMENT, AND HISTORY OF THE NORWEGIAN SEVENTH-DAY ADVENTIST CHURCH FROM THE 1840s TO 1887 Name of researcher: Bjorgvin Martin Hjelvik Snorrason Name and degree of faculty adviser: Jerry Moon, Ph.D. Date completed: July 2010 This dissertation reconstructs chronologically the history of the Seventh-day Adventist Church in Norway from the Haugian Pietist revival in the early 1800s to the establishment of the first Seventh-day Adventist Conference in Norway in 1887. -
18Th Viking Congress Denmark, 6–12 August 2017
18th Viking Congress Denmark, 6–12 August 2017 Abstracts – Papers and Posters 18 TH VIKING CONGRESS, DENMARK 6–12 AUGUST 2017 2 ABSTRACTS – PAPERS AND POSTERS Sponsors KrKrogagerFondenoagerFonden Dronning Margrethe II’s Arkæologiske Fond Farumgaard-Fonden 18TH VIKING CONGRESS, DENMARK 6–12 AUGUST 2017 ABSTRACTS – PAPERS AND POSTERS 3 Welcome to the 18th Viking Congress In 2017, Denmark is host to the 18th Viking Congress. The history of the Viking Congresses goes back to 1946. Since this early beginning, the objective has been to create a common forum for the most current research and theories within Viking-age studies and to enhance communication and collaboration within the field, crossing disciplinary and geographical borders. Thus, it has become a multinational, interdisciplinary meeting for leading scholars of Viking studies in the fields of Archaeology, History, Philology, Place-name studies, Numismatics, Runology and other disciplines, including the natural sciences, relevant to the study of the Viking Age. The 18th Viking Congress opens with a two-day session at the National Museum in Copenhagen and continues, after a cross-country excursion to Roskilde, Trelleborg and Jelling, in the town of Ribe in Jylland. A half-day excursion will take the delegates to Hedeby and the Danevirke. The themes of the 18th Viking Congress are: 1. Catalysts and change in the Viking Age As a historical period, the Viking Age is marked out as a watershed for profound cultural and social changes in northern societies: from the spread of Christianity to urbanisation and political centralisation. Exploring the causes for these changes is a core theme of Viking Studies. -
Regionalt Bygdeutviklingsprogram for Oslo Og Viken 2019-2022
Regionalt bygdeutviklingsprogram for Oslo og Viken 2019-2022 For næringsutvikling og målrettet miljø- og klimaarbeid i landbruket i Oslo og Viken Fylkesmannen i Oslo og Viken Regionalt bygdeutviklingsprogram (RBU) 2 Innholdsfortegnelse Innledning ...................................................................................................................................................... 3 1. Oversikt over produksjoner og verdiskaping i landbruket i Oslo og Viken ......................... 4 Landbruket i Oslo og Viken .............................................................................................................. 4 Tradisjonelt jordbruk ........................................................................................................................ 5 Førstehåndsverdi av jordbruksproduksjonen ............................................................................... 7 Skogbruk ............................................................................................................................................. 8 Tilleggsnæringer ................................................................................................................................ 8 Definisjoner fra SSB .......................................................................................................................... 9 2. Visjon og overordna mål for utvikling av landbruket i Oslo og Viken .................................. 9 3. Synergier mellom delprogrammene ..................................................................................... -
Situational Awareness and Forecasting for Norway
Situational awareness and forecasting for Norway FHI COVID-19 modelling team Week 11, 24 March 2021 Highlights: • National epidemiological situation: Our models indicate that in the present situation, the prevalence of cases and hospitalisations continue to increase due to the exponential phase of the epidemic, governed by a high effective reproduction number. In our changepoint model, the effective reproduction number R acting from March 2nd until today is estimated to be 1.3 (median, 95% CI 1.18-1.46). Looking back in time since Christmas, the effective reproduction number was estimated to be below 0.7 until January 21; it then started to increase but remained below 1 until February 7. Then the increase was twice as rapid, to 1.39 (1.26-1.51) until March 1. Since then, the reproduction number has remained stable. The SMC model estimates the 7-days averaged effective reproduction number during week 10, to be 1.21 (mean, 95% CI 0.93-1.57). The SMC model indicates a peak between week 7 and 8 and a decrease during the last week of February, followed by week 9 with a stable reproduction number, with then a decrease in the last week 10. The trend appears currently decreasing, though with high uncertainty. The changepoint model and the SMC agree in estimating the same level of the effective reproduction number. Still the SMC, which reacts to recent data more rapidly, indicates a recent decreasing trend. These estimates include the interventions implemented on March 2, but not the ones implemented in Oslo and Viken at the beginning of week 11, which our models will be able to capture fully after Easter. -
Warfare and Society in the Barbarian West, 450–900
WARFARE AND SOCIETY IN THE BARBARIAN WEST, 450–900 Warfare was an integral part of early medieval life. It had a character of its own and was neither a pale shadow of Roman military practice nor an insignificant precursor to the warfare of the central Middle Ages. This book recovers its distinctiveness, looking at warfare in a rounded context in the British Isles and western Europe between the end of the Roman Empire and the break-up of the Carolingian Empire. The era was one of great changes in the practice of war. Guy Halsall relates warfare to many aspects of medieval life, economy, society and politics. He examines the raising and organisation of early medieval armies and looks at the conduct of campaigns. The survey includes the equipment of warriors and the horrific experience of battle as well as an analysis of medieval fortifications and siege warfare. Warfare and Society in the Barbarian West uses historical and archaeological evidence in a rigorous and sophisticated fashion. It stresses regional variations but also places Anglo-Saxon England in the mainstream of the military developments in this era. Guy Halsall is lecturer in medieval history at the University of York. He has published widely on the social history and archaeology of Merovingian Gaul and on violence in early medieval society, including Settlement and Social Organisation. The Merovingian Region of Metz (Cambridge, 1995). WARFARE AND HISTORY General Editor, Jeremy Black Professor of History, University of Exeter AIR POWER IN THE AGE OF TOTAL WAR John Buckley THE ARMIES OF THE CALIPHS: MILITARY AND SOCIETY IN THE EARLY ISLAMIC STATE Hugh Kennedy THE BALKAN WARS, 1912–1913: PRELUDE TO THE FIRST WORLD WAR Richard C. -
Towards the Kalmar Union
S P E C I A L I Z E D A G E N C I E S TOWARDS THE KALMAR UNION Dear Delegates, Welcome to the 31st Annual North American Model United Nations 2016 at the University of Toronto! On behalf of all of the staff at NAMUN, we welcome you to the Specialized Agency branch of the conference. I, and the rest of the committee staff are thrilled to have you be a delegate in Scandinavia during the High Middle Ages, taking on this challenging yet fascinating topic on the futures of the three Scandinavian Kingdoms in a time of despair, poverty, dependence and competitiveness. This will truly be a new committee experience, as you must really delve into the history of these Kingdoms and figure out how to cooperate with each other without sending everyone into their demise. To begin, in the Towards the Kalmar Union Specialized Agency, delegates will represent influential characters from Denmark, Norway and Sweden, which include prominent knights, monarchs, nobles, and important religious figures who dominate the political, military and economic scenes of their respective Kingdoms. The impending issues that will be discussed at the meeting in Kalmar, Sweden include the future of the Danish and Norwegian crowns after the death of the sole heir to the thrones, Olaf II. Here, two distant relatives to Valdemar IV have a claim to the throne and delegates will need to decide who will succeed to the throne. The second order of business is to discuss the growing German presence in Sweden, especially in major economic cities. -
THE DISCOVERY of the BALTIC the NORTHERN WORLD North Europe and the Baltic C
THE DISCOVERY OF THE BALTIC THE NORTHERN WORLD North Europe and the Baltic c. 400-1700 AD Peoples, Economies and Cultures EDITORS Barbara Crawford (St. Andrews) David Kirby (London) Jon-Vidar Sigurdsson (Oslo) Ingvild Øye (Bergen) Richard W. Unger (Vancouver) Przemyslaw Urbanczyk (Warsaw) VOLUME 15 THE DISCOVERY OF THE BALTIC The Reception of a Catholic World-System in the European North (AD 1075-1225) BY NILS BLOMKVIST BRILL LEIDEN • BOSTON 2005 On the cover: Knight sitting on a horse, chess piece from mid-13th century, found in Kalmar. SHM inv. nr 1304:1838:139. Neg. nr 345:29. Antikvarisk-topografiska arkivet, the National Heritage Board, Stockholm. Brill Academic Publishers has done its best to establish rights to use of the materials printed herein. Should any other party feel that its rights have been infringed we would be glad to take up contact with them. This book is printed on acid-free paper. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Blomkvist, Nils. The discovery of the Baltic : the reception of a Catholic world-system in the European north (AD 1075-1225) / by Nils Blomkvist. p. cm. — (The northern world, ISSN 1569-1462 ; v. 15) Includes bibliographical references (p.) and index. ISBN 90-04-14122-7 1. Catholic Church—Baltic Sea Region—History. 2. Church history—Middle Ages, 600-1500. 3. Baltic Sea Region—Church history. I. Title. II. Series. BX1612.B34B56 2004 282’485—dc22 2004054598 ISSN 1569–1462 ISBN 90 04 14122 7 © Copyright 2005 by Koninklijke Brill NV, Leiden, The Netherlands Koninklijke Brill NV incorporates the imprints Brill Academic Publishers, Martinus Nijhoff Publishers and VSP. -
Re-Christian Scandinavian Royalty. from the Legendary Kings P to the 11Th Century Kingship
Revista Română de Studii Baltice și Nordice / The Romanian Journal for Baltic and Nordic Studies, ISSN 2067-1725, Vol. 6, Issue 2 (2014): pp. 95-104 RE-CHRISTIAN SCANDINAVIAN ROYALTY. FROM THE LEGENDARY KINGS P TO THE 11TH CENTURY KINGSHIP Alexandra Airinei “Alexandru-Ioan Cuza” University in Iași, E-mail: [email protected] Acknowledgements This paper has been presented at the ”Alexandru-Ioan Cuza” University Paper Session in October 2013. The participant has attended the Summer School of Nordic and Baltic Studies A piece of culture, a culture of peace. The publication is supported by EEA Grants, contract no 4/22.07.2014. Abstract: This article focuses, as the title already expresses it, on the Pre-Christian Scandinavian Royalty, not from a political point of view, but from the perspective of what we nowadays call ideology of power. This means that we will try to identify the whole system of beliefs regarding the ideal ruler and the concepts that support his right to the throne and to the exercise of his authority . The ideas used to build the image of the perfect kingship in the pagan Scandinavia continued to exist long after the difficult process of christianisation, thing which meant in fact that the conversion was never fully completed and that this area remained distinct from the rest of the continent during the Middle Ages and even later. Even if the article refers to the Northern monarchy up to the 11th century, we included in our references a 13th century work allegedly written by the king Håkon Håkonsson, “Konungs Skuggsja”, to show this particular aspect: the fact that the pagan ideas were deeply rooted in the endemic society, the fact that they still shaped the concept of the perfect king and that there was no breach between the Christian period and the previous one, but rather a balanced continuity. -
Uniwersytet Jagielloński W Krakowie Wydział Historyczny Instytut Historii
Uniwersytet Jagielloński w Krakowie Wydział Historyczny Instytut Historii Michał Mazur „Nadzy” wojownicy. Echa przedchrześcijańskich rytów wojskowych związanych z odrzucaniem zbroi u dawnych Celtów, Germanów i Słowian Praca magisterska napisana pod kierunkiem dr hab. Anny Waśko Kraków 2014 Spis treści 1. Wstęp – opis problemu............................................................................................................3 1.1. Cele, teza i zakres pracy. Założenia metodologiczne......................................................5 1.2. Struktura pracy................................................................................................................6 1.3. Przegląd źródeł i badań nad nimi, ocena ich wartości....................................................7 1.4. Problemy badawcze i podstawowe definicje.................................................................20 2. Nudi pugnebant – wojownicy świadomie odrzucający zbroję na przestrzeni dziejów.........25 2.1. Występowanie rytu u ludów starożytnych.....................................................................25 2.2. Celtowie starożytni i kontynuacja ich zwyczajów u Celtów insularnych.....................29 2.3. Germanie w starożytności i średniowieczu. Berserkowie.............................................37 2.4. Słowianie i ludy pokrewne............................................................................................57 3.5. Zapożyczenia czy własne wzory kulturowe? Próba wyjaśnienia wzajemnych podobieństw zwyczajów związanych z odrzucaniem