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Eurobodalla Shire Council Tomakin, Mossy Point, Broulee and Mogo

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Eurobodalla Shire Council Tomakin, Mossy Point, Broulee and Mogo EUROBODALLA SHIRE COUNCIL TOMAKIN, MOSSY POINT, BROULEE AND MOGO FLOOD STUDY FINAL REPORT FEBRUARY 2017 Level 2, 160 Clarence Street Sydney, NSW, 2000 Tel: 9299 2855 Fax: 9262 6208 Email: [email protected] Web: www.wmawater.com.au TOMAKIN/MOSSY POINT/BROULEE/MOGO FLOOD STUDY DRAFT REPORT FEBRUARY 2017 Project Project Number Tomakin/Mossy Point/Broulee/Mogo Flood Study 114088 Client Client’s Representative Eurobodalla Shire Council Norman Lenehan Authors Prepared by Dr. Philip Conway Erika Taylor Date Verified by 21 February 2017 Revision Description Distribution Date 6 Final Report ESC, OEH FEB 2017 5 Draft Report ESC, OEH MAY 2016 4 Draft Report ESC, OEH APR 2016 3 Draft Report ESC, OEH MAR 2016 2 Draft Report ESC, OEH DEC 2015 1 Calibration and Validation Report ESC, OEH JUN 2015 TOMAKIN/MOSSY POINT/BROULEE/MOGO FLOOD STUDY TABLE OF CONTENTS PAGE FOREWORD................................................................................................................................ i 1. INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................ 1 1.1. Background ................................................................................................ 1 1.2. Objectives ................................................................................................... 2 2. AVAILABLE DATA .................................................................................................... 3 2.1. Topographic Data ....................................................................................... 3 2.1.1. LiDAR Survey ............................................................................................. 3 2.1.2. Bathymetric Survey ..................................................................................... 4 2.1.3. Ground Survey ........................................................................................... 4 2.1.4. Cross-sectional Levels ................................................................................ 5 2.2. Culvert and Bridge Data.............................................................................. 5 2.3. Pit and Pipe Data ........................................................................................ 6 2.4. Historic Water Level Data (Continuous) ...................................................... 6 2.5. Historic Ocean Tide Datum (Continuous) .................................................... 6 2.5.1. NSW Tidal Planes Analysis ........................................................................ 7 2.6. Historic Rainfall Data .................................................................................. 7 2.6.1. Analysis of Pluviometer Data ...................................................................... 9 2.6.2. Analysis of Daily Read Data ..................................................................... 10 2.7. Design Rainfall Data ................................................................................. 13 2.8. Previous Reports ...................................................................................... 14 2.8.1. Report on Mogo Flood Study .................................................................... 14 2.8.2. Mogo Floodplain Management Study........................................................ 14 2.8.3. Mogo Commercial Area Drainage Study ................................................... 14 3. COMMUNITY CONSULTATION ............................................................................... 16 3.1. Online Media ............................................................................................ 16 3.2. Community Questionnaire and Information Sheet ..................................... 16 3.3. Drop-in Session ........................................................................................ 16 3.4. Consultation – Public Exhibition ................................................................ 17 4. STUDY METHODOLOGY ........................................................................................ 18 5. HYDROLOGIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT ................................................................ 20 5.1. Introduction ............................................................................................... 20 5.2. Sub-catchment Delineation ....................................................................... 20 5.3. Model Parameters .................................................................................... 20 5.3.1. Lag Parameter .......................................................................................... 21 5.3.2. Stream-flow Routing Parameter ................................................................ 21 5.3.3. Rainfall Losses ......................................................................................... 21 5.3.4. Impervious Areas ...................................................................................... 22 5.3.5. Summary of Model Parameters ................................................................ 22 6. HYDRAULIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT ................................................................... 23 6.1. Introduction ............................................................................................... 23 6.2. Model Extent ............................................................................................. 23 6.3. Digital Elevation Model ............................................................................. 24 6.4. Roughness Coefficient .............................................................................. 24 6.5. Hydraulic Structures ................................................................................. 25 6.6. Blockage Assumptions ............................................................................. 26 7. HISTORIC FLOOD MODELLING ............................................................................. 28 7.1. Introduction ............................................................................................... 28 7.2. Tidal Calibration ........................................................................................ 30 7.2.1. Description................................................................................................ 30 7.2.2. Methodology ............................................................................................. 30 7.2.3. Calibration Results.................................................................................... 30 7.3. Rainfall Calibration – February 2010 Event ............................................... 31 7.3.1. Description................................................................................................ 31 7.3.2. Methodology ............................................................................................. 31 7.3.3. Calibration Results.................................................................................... 32 7.4. Flow Validation – Regional Flood Frequency Estimates............................ 33 7.4.1. Description................................................................................................ 33 7.4.2. Methodology ............................................................................................. 33 7.4.3. Validation Results ..................................................................................... 33 7.5. Flood Extent Verification –Reported Flooding ........................................... 34 7.5.1. Description................................................................................................ 34 7.5.2. Verification Results ................................................................................... 34 8. DESIGN FLOOD MODELLING ................................................................................ 36 8.1. Introduction ............................................................................................... 36 8.2. Oceanic Coincidence ................................................................................ 36 8.3. Rainfall Critical Duration ........................................................................... 39 8.4. Analysis .................................................................................................... 40 8.4.1. Provisional Hydraulic Hazard .................................................................... 40 8.4.2. Provisional Hydraulic Categorisation......................................................... 41 8.4.3. Preliminary Flood Emergency Response Classification of Communities ... 42 8.5. Results ..................................................................................................... 42 8.5.1. Peak Flood Depths and Levels ................................................................. 42 8.5.2. Peak Flow ................................................................................................. 43 8.5.3. Provisional Hydraulic Hazard .................................................................... 44 8.5.4. Provisional Hydraulic Categorisation......................................................... 44 8.5.5. Preliminary Flood Emergency Response Classification of Communities ... 44 9. DESIGN FLOOD MODELLING – SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS .................................... 45 9.1. Introduction ............................................................................................... 45 9.2. Background to Sea Level Rise .................................................................. 45 9.3. Background to Increased Rainfall ............................................................
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