A Sustainable Transport Competitiveness Analysis of the China Railway Express in the Context of the Belt and Road Initiative
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sustainability Article A Sustainable Transport Competitiveness Analysis of the China Railway Express in the Context of the Belt and Road Initiative Shiqi Li 1, Maoxiang Lang 1,*, Xueqiao Yu 1, Mingyue Zhang 1, Minghe Jiang 2, Sangbing Tsai 3,4,*, Cheng-Kuang Wang 3 and Fang Bian 3,* 1 School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China; [email protected] (S.L.); [email protected] (X.Y.); [email protected] (M.Z.) 2 Changchun No. 8 High school, Changchun 13000, China; [email protected] 3 Zhongshan Institute, University of Electronic Science and Technology, Zhongshan 528400, China; [email protected] 4 China Civil Aviation Environment and Sustainable Development Research Center, Tianjin 300300, China * Correspondence: [email protected] (M.L.); [email protected] (S.T.); [email protected] (F.B.) Received: 17 April 2019; Accepted: 20 May 2019; Published: 22 May 2019 Abstract: The implementation of China’s Belt and Road Initiative macro strategy has promoted exchanges and cooperation between China and Europe and countries along the route. The operation of the China Railway Express provides a new transportation platform for China–Europe trade. The sustainable development of the China Railway Express has a great significance in terms of promoting the growth of China–Europe trade and meeting the demand for freight in Asia and Europe. Its time-saving advantage over shipping and its economic advantage over air transport cannot be ignored. This paper is based on the discrete selection model of stochastic utility theory. The paper constructs a multi-logit model based on generalized cost functions, including economics, timeliness, reliability, convenience, safety, and environmental protection. To calculate the market share of the China Railway Express and China–Europe Shipping, the paper conducts a quantitative analysis of the market competitiveness of the China Railway Express. Then, the sensitivity analysis and elastic analysis are carried out on the China Railway Express freight rate, the Chinese road freight rate, the China Railway Express service fee, the China Railway Express travelling speed, the China Railway Express sending operation time at the departure station, the China Railway Express transportation time error, the China Railway Express transportation frequency, and the China Railway Express carbon emissions per unit. Finally, based on the analysis results, suggestions for promoting the sustainable development of the China Railway Express are given. Keywords: China Railway Express; competitiveness analysis; multiple Logit models; generalized costs; sustainability; sustainable transport 1. Introduction For a long time, China–Europe trade mainly relied on shipping. With the Belt and Road Initiative strategy proposed by China, the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road have been established, which have promoted exchanges and cooperation between China and Europe and countries along the route. As an important part of the Belt and Road Initiative macro-strategy, the China Railway Express trains are operated in accordance with the conditions of fixed trains, routes, schedules, and full-time operation times, and are transported to and from China and Europe. From the first train from Chongqing to Duisburg in Germany in March 2011 to the last train at the end of 2018, 12,937 railway container trains have already finished their journey. At present, China has Sustainability 2019, 11, 2896; doi:10.3390/su11102896 www.mdpi.com/journal/sustainability Sustainability 2019, 11, 2896 2 of 30 Sustainability 2018, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 2 of 33 established three major passages of east, middle, and west through Manzhouli, Erlianhot, Alataw Pass, 46 andPass Horgos., and Horgos. There are There 48 domestically are 48 domestically operated operated cities, and cities, 42 reachedand 42 reached cities in cities 14 European in 14 European countries. 47 Thecountries. operated The lines operated are shown lines inare Figure shown1. in Figure 1. 48 49 FigureFigure 1. 1. ChinaChina Railway Express l lineine layout. layout. 50 TheThe successful successful opening opening of theof the China China Railway Railway Express Express has has provided provide a thirdd a third choice choice for China–Europe for China– 51 internationalEurope international trade, beside trade shipping, beside shipping and air transport. and air transport. It has also It has brought also brought a strong a demandstrong demand for cargo 52 transportationfor cargo transportation for Asia-Europe for Asia economic-Europe and economic trade growth. and trade Compared growth. toCompared traditional to shipping,traditional the 53 averageshipping, railway the average transportation railway transportation distance between distance China between and Europe China isand less Europe than 9000 is less km. than It has9000 the 54 advantageskilometers. of It fast has transportation the advantages speed, of fast shorttransportation time (only speed, one-third short oftime shipping), (only one no-third weather of shipping), influence, 55 a highno weather safety factor,influence, and a green high environmentalsafety factor, and protection. green environmental Compared to protection. air transport, Compared China Railwayto air 56 Expresstransport, has China obvious Railway economic Express advantages has obvious (the economic freight rateadvantages is only (the one-fifth freight of rate air is transport). only one-fifth With 57 theof Belt air andtransport). Road InitiativeWith the Belt strategy, and Road in recent Initiative years, strat Chinaegy, Railwayin recent Expressyears, China has developedRailway Express rapidly, 58 andhas with developed its outstanding rapidly, transportationand with its advantages,outstanding ittransportation has gradually advantages, improved itsit competitivenesshas gradually 59 inimproved China–Europe its competitiveness trade. However, in China there–Europe are still trade. some However, problems there with are the still China some Railwayproblems Express, with 60 includingthe China the Railway issue that Expres thes, market including competitiveness the issue that the is low, market the competitiveness overall freight volumeis low, the is small,overall the 61 freight volume is small, the demand for cargo transportation is lower, the originating container center demand for cargo transportation is lower, the originating container center stations are scattered, and 62 stations are scattered, and the whole transportation cost is higher. At present, China Railway Express the whole transportation cost is higher. At present, China Railway Express very much relies on a great 63 very much relies on a great deal of subsides from the Chinese government. However, with the deal of subsides from the Chinese government. However, with the reduction of those subsides, the 64 reduction of those subsides, the market share of China Railway Express will be affected, which will market share of China Railway Express will be affected, which will have a negative impact on the 65 have a negative impact on the sustainable development of China Railway Express. 66 sustainableTherefore, development in order of to China promote Railway the sustainable Express. development of China Railway Express and 67 furtherTherefore, enhance in order the market to promote competitiveness the sustainable of China development Railway of E Chinaxpress, Railway this paper Express analyzes and further the 68 enhancedetailed the transportation market competitiveness process of China of Railway China Railway Express Express,and China this–Europe paper Shipping, analyzes and the builds detailed a 69 transportationChina Railway process Express of competitiveness China Railway model Express based and on China–Europe generalized costs Shipping,. Additionally, and builds through a China an 70 Railwayanalysis Express of the competitiveness influencing factors, model it basedputs forward on generalized relevant costs. suggestions Additionally, to enhance through the an market analysis 71 ofcompetitiveness the influencing factors,of China it Railway puts forward Express relevant from various suggestions aspects to and enhance specific the optimization market competitiveness measures 72 of Chinafor the Railwaysustainable Express development from various of China aspects Railway and Express. specific optimization measures for the sustainable 73 developmentThis paper of China mainly Railway studies Express. the competitiveness comparison of China Railway Express and 74 ChinaThis–Europe paper mainlyShipping. studies The paper the competitivenessconsiders the six comparisoninfluencing factors of China of economy, Railway Expresstimeliness, and 75 China–Europereliability, convenience, Shipping. safety The paper, and environmental considers the protection six influencing, uses multiple factors ofLogit economy, models timeliness,to solve 76 reliability,the sharin convenience,g ratio, conducts safety, the and sensitivity environmental analysis protection, and elasticity uses analysis multiple on Logit different models influencing to solve the 77 factors to understand the impact of various factors on competitiveness, and then proposes Sustainability 2019, 11, 2896 3 of 30 sharing ratio, conducts the sensitivity analysis and elasticity analysis on different influencing factors to understand the impact of various factors on competitiveness, and then proposes countermeasures that are conducive to promoting the sustainable development of China Railway Express. 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