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Trends in Community Wellbeing and Local Attitudes to Coal Seam Gas Development, 2014- 2016- 2018

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Trends in Community Wellbeing and Local Attitudes to Coal Seam Gas Development, 2014- 2016- 2018 LAND AND WATER Trends in community wellbeing and local attitudes to coal seam gas development, 2014 -2016 -2018 Western Downs and eastern Maranoa regions, Queensland Survey report Andrea Walton and Rod McCrea November 2018 ISBN 978-1-4863-1176-7 (Print version) ISBN 978-1-4863-1177-4 (Online version) Citation Walton, A. and McCrea, R. (2018) Trends in community wellbeing and local attitudes to coal seam gas development, 2014 – 2016 - 2018: Western Downs and Eastern Maranoa regions, Queensland. Survey report. CSIRO Australia Copyright © 2018 CSIRO To the extent permitted by law, all rights are reserved and no part of this publication covered by copyright may be reproduced or copied in any form or by any means except with the written permission of CSIRO. Important disclaimer CSIRO advises that the information contained in this publication comprises general statements based on scientific research. The reader is advised and needs to be aware that such information may be incomplete or unable to be used in any specific situation. No reliance or actions must therefore be made on that information without seeking prior expert professional, scientific and technical advice. To the extent permitted by law, CSIRO (including its employees and consultants) excludes all liability to any person for any consequences, including but not limited to all losses, damages, costs, expenses and any other compensation, arising directly or indirectly from using this publication (in part or in whole) and any information or material contained in it. Survey report| Trends in community wellbeing and local attitudes to CSG development 2014-2016-2018| November 2018|p2 Contents ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ............................................................................................................................ 8 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ........................................................................................................................... 9 1 INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................................. 20 2 METHODS ...................................................................................................................................... 29 FINDINGS ............................................................................................................................................. 33 3 COMMUNITY WELLBEING ............................................................................................................... 33 4 COMMUNITY RESILIENCE AND RESPONDING TO CHANGES ASSOCIATED WITH CSG DEVELOPMENT .. 43 5 EXPECTED FUTURE COMMUNITY WELLBEING .................................................................................. 47 6 ATTITUDES AND PERCEPTIONS OF CSG AND THE SECTOR ................................................................. 48 7 KNOWLEDGE, INFORMATION, AND PREVIOUS EXPERIENCE ............................................................. 59 8 FARM OWNERSHIP AND ACTIVE CSG LEASES ................................................................................... 62 9 COMPARISONS WITH OTHER SURVEYS ............................................................................................ 65 10 EXPLAINING TRUST AND SOCIAL ACCEPTANCE OF THE CSG SECTOR ............................................... 68 11 DEMOGRAPHIC DIFFERENCES ........................................................................................................ 72 12 CONCLUSIONS .............................................................................................................................. 73 REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................................... 79 APPENDIX A SAMPLE REPRESENTATIVENESS ...................................................................................... 81 APPENDIX B MEASURES AND RELIABILITY OF SCALE ITEMS ................................................................. 82 APPENDIX C STATISTICAL RESULTS FOR MODELS ................................................................................ 85 APPENDIX D COMMUNITY WELLBEING BY YEAR ................................................................................. 89 APPENDIX E PERCEPTIONS OF CSG IN 2018......................................................................................... 91 APPENDIX F SURVEY ITEM RESULTS BY SUBREGION - 2018 ................................................................. 98 APPENDIX G SURVEY ITEMS RESULTS BY YEAR AND REGION ............................................................. 107 APPENDIX H TABLES OF DEMOGRAPHIC DIFFERENCES ...................................................................... 112 Survey report| Trends in community wellbeing and local attitudes to CSG development 2014-2016-2018| November 2018|p3 Figures Figure 1 Mean scores of overall community wellbeing, expected future community wellbeing and place attachment: Western Downs region 2014-2016-2018 and eastern Maranoa 2018 ............................. 11 Figure 2 Perceptions of community adapting to CSG development over time: Western Downs 2014 – 2016 - 2018 ............................................................................................................................................ 13 Figure 3 Attitudes towards CSG development: Western Downs 2014-2016-2018 and eastern Maranoa 2018 ....................................................................................................................................................... 15 Figure 4 Trends in feelings toward CSG development: Western Downs region, 2014, 2016, and 2018 ... 16 Figure 5 Perceptions of underlying factors important to acceptance of CSG development: Western Downs, 2018 .......................................................................................................................................... 17 Figure 6 Model of trust and social acceptance or lack thereof .................................................................. 18 Figure 7 Total effects of the different drivers on levels of social acceptance ............................................ 18 Figure 8 Map of three Local Government Areas in the Surat Basin: Western Downs, Maranoa, and Toowoomba .......................................................................................................................................... 21 Figure 9 Dimensions of community wellbeing grouped into six domains ................................................. 23 Figure 10 Types of community actions important for community resilience and responding to change . 25 Figure 11 Responding to change ................................................................................................................ 26 Figure 12 Explaining future community wellbeing ..................................................................................... 26 Figure 13 A statistical model explaining social acceptance, or lack thereof, for CSG development .......... 28 Figure 14 CSIRO Wellbeing and responding to change survey format....................................................... 29 Figure 15 Mean scores of overall community wellbeing: Western Downs region 2014-2016-2018 and eastern Maranoa 2018 .......................................................................................................................... 33 Figure 16 Community wellbeing scores for Western Downs subregions: 2014, 2016, and 2018 .............. 34 Figure 17 Overall community wellbeing: In-Town and Out-of-town Western Downs - 2014, 2016, and 2018 ....................................................................................................................................................... 34 Figure 18 Mean scores of overall community wellbeing items: Western Downs region 2014, 2016, and 2018 ....................................................................................................................................................... 35 Figure 19 Mean scores for community wellbeing dimensions: Western Downs region 2018 ................... 36 Figure 20 Mean scores for community wellbeing dimensions: eastern Maranoa region 2018 ................. 37 Figure 21 Mean scores for community wellbeing dimensions that changed over time: Western Downs region 2014, 2016, 2018 ........................................................................................................................ 38 Figure 22 Community wellbeing dimensions ordered according to importance: Western Downs 2018 .. 41 Figure 23 Mean scores for place attachment: Western Downs 2014-2016-2018 and eastern Maranoa 2018 ....................................................................................................................................................... 42 Figure 24 Community perceptions of adapting to CSG development: Western Downs and eastern Maranoa 2018 ....................................................................................................................................... 43 Figure 25 Perceptions of community adapting to CSG development over time: Western Downs 2014 – 2016 – 2018 ........................................................................................................................................... 44 Figure 26 Community perceptions of adapting to CSG development: Western Downs subregions 2016 and 2018 ...............................................................................................................................................
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