Nuclear South Asia” Section 2: Speaker Bios
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Working Paper: Do Not Cite Or Circulate Without Permission
THE COPENHAGEN TEMPTATION: RETHINKING PREVENTION AND PROLIFERATION IN THE AGE OF DETERRENCE DOMINANCE Francis J. Gavin Mira Rapp-Hooper What price should the United States – or any leading power – be willing to pay to prevent nuclear proliferation? For most realists, who believe nuclear weapons possess largely defensive qualities, the price should be small indeed. While additional nuclear states might not be welcomed, their appearance should not be cause for undue alarm. Such equanimity would be especially warrantedWORKING if the state in question PAPER: lacked DO other attributesNOT CITE of power. OR Nuclear acquisition should certainly notCIRCULATE trigger thoughts of WITHOUT preventive militar PERMISSIONy action, a phenomena typically associated with dramatic shifts in the balance of power. The historical record, however, tells a different story. Throughout the nuclear age and despite dramatic changes in the international system, the United States has time and again considered aggressive policies, including the use of force, to prevent the emergence of nuclear capabilities by friend and foe alike. What is even more surprising is how often this temptation has been oriented against what might be called “feeble” states, unable to project other forms of power. The evidence also reveals that the reasons driving this preventive thinking often had more to do with concerns over the systemic consequences of nuclear proliferation, and not, as we might expect, the dyadic relationship between the United States and the proliferator. Factors 1 typically associated with preventive motivations, such as a shift in the balance of power or the ideological nature of the regime in question, were largely absent in high-level deliberations. -
Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) Case Log October 2000 - April 2002
Description of document: Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) Case Log October 2000 - April 2002 Requested date: 2002 Release date: 2003 Posted date: 08-February-2021 Source of document: Information and Privacy Coordinator Central Intelligence Agency Washington, DC 20505 Fax: 703-613-3007 Filing a FOIA Records Request Online The governmentattic.org web site (“the site”) is a First Amendment free speech web site and is noncommercial and free to the public. The site and materials made available on the site, such as this file, are for reference only. The governmentattic.org web site and its principals have made every effort to make this information as complete and as accurate as possible, however, there may be mistakes and omissions, both typographical and in content. The governmentattic.org web site and its principals shall have neither liability nor responsibility to any person or entity with respect to any loss or damage caused, or alleged to have been caused, directly or indirectly, by the information provided on the governmentattic.org web site or in this file. The public records published on the site were obtained from government agencies using proper legal channels. Each document is identified as to the source. Any concerns about the contents of the site should be directed to the agency originating the document in question. GovernmentAttic.org is not responsible for the contents of documents published on the website. 1 O ct 2000_30 April 2002 Creation Date Requester Last Name Case Subject 36802.28679 STRANEY TECHNOLOGICAL GROWTH OF INDIA; HONG KONG; CHINA AND WTO 36802.2992 CRAWFORD EIGHT DIFFERENT REQUESTS FOR REPORTS REGARDING CIA EMPLOYEES OR AGENTS 36802.43927 MONTAN EDWARD GRADY PARTIN 36802.44378 TAVAKOLI-NOURI STEPHEN FLACK GUNTHER 36810.54721 BISHOP SCIENCE OF IDENTITY FOUNDATION 36810.55028 KHEMANEY TI LEAF PRODUCTIONS, LTD. -
The International Security Assistance Force, and This Offer for All United Nations and Other Personnel of International Was Accepted on 20 December
OPERATIONS Authors collection An ISAF patrol providing counter-rocket overwatch in the Bagrami district, east of Kabul. THE INTERNATIONAL SECURITY ASSISTANCE FORCE: THE ORIGINS OF A STABILIZATION FORCE by Dr. Sean M. Maloney In the minds of many in Afghanistan there’s not much successful take down of the Al Qaeda–Taliban alliance, that difference between the [Operation ENDURING FREE- state of affairs would not be realized. Canada played a salient DOM] coalition and ISAF. We’re the ones who made and effective role in Operation “Enduring Freedom,” but it possible for the Afghan people to eschew the role of withdrew its ground forces when they could not be sustained the gun. after six months. The destruction of Al Qaeda facilities and support in Afghanistan contributed to protecting North America Richard Armitage, from further attack, and this alone justified Canadian partici- United States Deputy Secretary of State, June 2002 pation. Risking Canadian lives in pursuit of that aim is easily understood. But, asking Canadians to risk their lives so that he decision by the Chrétien Government to commit Afghanistan can be stabilized and rebuilt is not as clear cut, the Canadian Army to serve with the International especially when the question of who benefits from all that effort Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in Afghanistan is addressed. What, exactly, was ISAF created do, both ostensibly for one year is troubling. Outside of the main cities, and actually? How did it evolve? And what of the future?2 Afghanistan is what might be described as a post- TApocalyptic environment in the wake of what amounts to a ISAF: THE DIPLOMACY twenty-five year ‘civil war’. -
Jill Hruby Named Labs Director Paul Hommert Steps Down After Five Years As Director; Formal Leadership Transition to Occur July 17
Jill Hruby named Labs director Paul Hommert steps down after five years as director; formal leadership transition to occur July 17 By Jim Danneskiold ill M. Hruby has been named the next president and director of Sandia National Laboratories, the J country’s largest national lab. She will be the first woman to lead a national security laboratory when she steps into her new role July 17. A Sandia staff member and manager for the past 32 years, Jill most recently A conversation with Sandia served as VP of Energy, Corp. Board of Directors Nonproliferation, and Chairman Rick Ambrose. High-Consequence Secu- See page 5 rity Div. 6000 and head of Sandia’s International, Homeland, and Nuclear Security Program Management Unit. She will be the first woman to lead any of the three DOE/NNSA national security labs — Sandia, Los Alamos, and Lawrence Livermore national laboratories. She succeeds Paul Hommert, who is retiring July 16 after serving as Sandia president and Laboratories director since 2010. Jill’s appointment was announced to the Sandia workforce Monday morning by Rick Ambrose, who (Continued on page 4) JILL HRUBY, who this week was announced as Paul Hommert’s successor as Sandia president and Laboratories director, greets Sandians during her first Labs-wide all-hands meeting. She offi- cially assumes her new role on July 17. (Photo by Randy Montoya) Historic Trinity test was 70 years ago Vol. 66, No. 12 June 26, 2015 Many future Sandians involved. See pages 6-7 Managed by Sandia Corporation for the National Nuclear Security Administration Inside Sandia’s tamper-detecting SecuritySeal technology is tough to fool ALWAYS/NEVER documentary available. -
Strategic Posture Commission
Perry and Schlesinger and Perry America’s Strategic Posture Americ a’s ow to secure the nuclear peace remains one of the most profound questions of the modern era. Twenty years after the end of the Cold War Hand with the arrival of a new administration in Washington, it is time to think through fundamental questions about the purposes of nuclear deterrence Strategic and the character of the U.S. strategic posture. While the existential threat to the United States has decreased, the rising threat of catastrophic terrorism, the possession and spread of nuclear weapons by other states, and a general worldwide nuclear renaissance continue to influence decisions about America’s Posture strategic posture. Recognizing the changing character of these threats, Congress formed a The Final Report of the commission in 2008 to examine the United States’ long-term strategic posture and make recommendations. For more than eleven months this bipartisan Congressional Commission commission of leading experts on national security, arms control, and nuclear America’s Strategic Posture technology met with Congressional leaders, military officers, high-level officials of several countries, arms control groups, and technical experts to assess the on the Strategic Posture appropriate roles for nuclear weapons, nonproliferation programs, and missile defenses. This official edition contains a discussion of key questions and issues of the United States as well as the Commission’s findings and recommendations for tailoring U.S. strategic posture to new and emerging requirements -
Memorandum for the Record
UNCLASSIFIED MEMORANDUM FOR THE RECORD Event: Robin Raphel Type of Event: Interview Date: December 8, 2003 Special Access Issues: none Additional notes: NA~... .Prepared by: Scott All . Reviewed by: Len Haw e Team Number: Three (Counterterrorism Policy) Location: Main State Participants - Commission: Scott Allan and Len Hawley Participants- State: John-Alex Romano Interviewee Background Ambassador Raphel was the Assistant Secretary of State for South Asian Affairs from August 1993 through June 1997. Since then she served as Ambassador to Tunisia, from 1997-2000, and as the vice president of the National Defense University, from 2000- 2003. She is currently State's coordinator for Iraqi reconstruction efforts. Early Views Upon becoming the Assistant Secretary, Raphel described a general lack of South Asia interest in Washington. While some at State were very committed, it was hard to get sustained focus on the region because of its geographic distance and lack of vibrant economies. Pakistan and other countries were low priorities for official Washington as other issues, such as the rebuilding of the Warsaw bloc, occupied attention in the mid 1990's. During that time, the South Asia bureau's main concerns centered on Indo-Pak . relations, Pakistani democratization and the nuclear issues. There was also "great concern" about the worsening situation (civil war and narcotics trafficking) in Afghanistan; Raphel noted that "Afghanistan was not a central focus for people in this town [Washington]" and that "there was noJight-shinning-ther-e-:~aphel-hoped-that.----- efforts, at this time, could be made to stabilize Afghanistan and "get it back on its feet." Raphel said that the Taliban appeared in mid-1994, when its troops were escorting commercial convoys across southern Afghanistan. -
Ambassador Rehman's Message
Embassy Newsletter Ambassador Rehman’s Message I am pleased to announce the launch of the Embassy of Pakistan’s Newsletter. This monthly publication will cover a broad range of topics from political headlines and embassy events to compelling coverage of Pakistani culture and society, highlighting important developments with the goal of presenting an accessible window into Pakistan as a people and as a nation. president Zardari Attends nATO summit IN THIS ISSUE... President Zardari met with his American and Afghan counterparts on the sidelines of NATO’s summit in Chicago. shad begum Receives international Women of courage Award 2-3 pakistan-US Relations The US Department of State recognized Shad Begum for her work on female education, health, and development. She was recognized at the Embassy of Pakistan’s event honoring International Women’s Day. 4 trade and economy president Zardari Visits india, Meets with prime Minister singh Both nations hailed the President’s April trip as a positive step. It was the first visit 5-8 from the headlines by a Pakistani head-of-state to India in seven years. and beyond national commission on status of Women bill, 2012 becomes law In March, President Zardari signed the bill into law on International Women’s Day. 9-11 other news and events The commission will serve as a watchdog for women’s rights. pakistan, india improve trade ties and upgrade Attari check post After achieving mutually recognized Most-Favored-Nation trading status, Pakistan and India inaugurated a $30 million “Integrated Trade Check Post” on their border. embassy of the islamic Republic of pAkistAn in washington dc PakistAn-us RelAtions Presidents Zardari, Obama, and Karzai meet in Chicago (Pete Souza - AFP - Getty) President Zardari Meets With WoRld leAdeRs At chicAgo nATO summit President Zardari met with UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon and his American and Afghan counterparts on the sidelines of NATO’s summit in Chicago. -
Scott D. Sagan
SCOTT D. SAGAN CURRICULUM VITAE February 2021 OFFICE ADDRESS: CISAC Encina Hall Room E217 616 Serra Street Stanford University Stanford, CA 94305-6165 (650) 725-2715 [email protected] CURRENT POSITIONS Caroline S.G. Munro Professor, Department of Political Science, Stanford University. Mimi and Peter Haas University Fellow in Undergraduate Education, Stanford University. Senior Fellow, Center for International Security and Cooperation, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University. EMPLOYMENT HISTORY Professor, Department of Political Science, Stanford University, 2001 – Present. Co-director, Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC), Stanford University, 1998-2011. Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, Stanford University, 1995-2001. Vice-Chairman, Department of Political Science, 1996-1999. Chairman, International Relations Program, Stanford University, 1995-1997. Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Stanford University, 1987-1995. Lecturer, Department of Government, Harvard University, 1986-1987. Consultant, Strategic Nuclear Policy Branch, Nuclear and Chemical Division, Organization of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, 1985-1986. 1 Research Fellow, The Center for International Affairs, Harvard University, 1985-1986. Council on Foreign Relations International Affairs Fellow, Special Assistant to the Director and Staff Officer, Nuclear/Chemical Division, Organization of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, 1984-1985. Postdoctoral Fellow, The Avoiding Nuclear War Project, Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard University, 1983-84. EDUCATION Harvard University, Ph.D. (Political Science) 1983. Thesis: “Deterrence and Decision: An Historical Critique of Modern Deterrence Theory.” Winner of the American Political Science Association's 1983 Helen Dwight Reid Award for the best doctoral dissertation in international relations, law and politics. Oberlin College, B.A. with High Honors (Government) 1977. -
Speakers 4 July–30 July 2004
2004 Summer Seminar Speakers 4 July–30 July 2004 About the Speakers Organizers Steve Koonin James Larrimore Kory Budlong-Sylvester Ron Lehman Robert Powell Steven A. Maaranen Susan Shirk Michael May Kathleen McInnis Speakers Patrick M. Morgan Michael Cornwall Michael Nacht Zachary Davis Per Peterson Richard Garwin Joseph Pilat Charles Glaser Scott Sagan Sigfried S. Hecker Lawrence Scheinman Corey Hinderstein John Scott Michael D. Intriligator Dean Wilkening Kent Johnson Herbert York Feroz Khan Kory Budlong-Sylvester is the IGCC Steering Committee representative from Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). Budlong-Sylvester is a technical staff member in the Nonproliferation and International Security Division at LANL. He works on a variety of nonproliferation and arms control topics. He is currently LANL's principal investigator for a multi-laboratory project that supports the International Atomic Energy Agency in the area of integrated safeguards. Budlong-Sylvester received his Ph.D. from the Nuclear Engineering Department at MIT in 1997. John M. Cornwall is a professor of physics at UCLA, where he has been since 1965. He came to UCLA from the Institute for Advanced Study in Princeton, New Jersey. He is also a professor of Science and Technology Policy at the RAND Graduate School in Santa Monica. His current physics interests are elementary particle theory (quantum chromodynamics; early universe). He is a member of the Jason group, as well as of various U.S. government advisory committees. He has consulted and published widely on ballistic missile defense, space-based radar, space physics, and many other subjects. He is a Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and a former Alfred P. -
Choosing Sides and Guiding Policy United States’ and Pakistan’S Wars in Afghanistan
UNIVERSITY OF FLORDA Choosing Sides and Guiding Policy United States’ and Pakistan’s Wars in Afghanistan Azhar Merchant 4/24/2019 Table of Contents I. Introduction… 2 II. Political Settlement of the Mujahedeen War… 7 III. The Emergence of the Taliban and the Lack of U.S. Policy… 27 IV. The George W. Bush Administration… 50 V. Conclusion… 68 1 I. Introduction Forty years of war in Afghanistan has encouraged the most extensive periods of diplomatic and military cooperation between the United States and Pakistan. The communist overthrow of a relatively peaceful Afghan government and the subsequent Soviet invasion in 1979 prompted the United States and Pakistan to cooperate in funding and training Afghan mujahedeen in their struggle against the USSR. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Afghanistan entered a period of civil war throughout the 1990s that nurtured Islamic extremism, foreign intervention, and the rise of the Taliban and Al-Qaeda, ultimately culminating in the devastating attacks against Americans on September 11th. Seventeen years later, the United States continues its war in Afghanistan while its relationship with Pakistan has deteriorated to an all-time low. The mutual fear of Soviet expansionism was the unifying cause for Americans and Pakistanis to work together in the 1980s, yet as the wars in Afghanistan evolved, so did the countries’ respective aims and objectives.1 After the Soviets were successfully pushed out of the region by the mujahedeen, the United States felt it no longer had any reason to stay. The initial policy aim of destabilizing the USSR through prolonged covert conflict in Afghanistan was achieved. -
Butler, Malcolm
The Association for Diplomatic Studies and Training Foreign Affairs Oral History Project Foreign Assistance Series MALCOLM BUTLER Interviewed by: John Pielemeier Initial interview date: November 7, 2017 Copyright 2018 ADST This oral history transcription was made possible through support provided by U.S. Agency for International Development, under terms of Cooperative Agreement No. AID-OAA-F-16-00101. The opinions expressed herein are those of the interviewee and do not necessarily reflect the views of the U.S. Agency for International Development or the Association for Diplomatic Studies and Training. TABLE OF CONTENTS Early Days in Texas Oxford or the Foreign Service: Oxford Law School or the Foreign Service: FS 1966: Joined the State Department 1966-69: Assignment to Mexico: -The Tlatelolco massacre 1969-71: Khorramshahr, Iran 1972-74: Detailed to OMB Resigned from the State Dept. 1974-76: National Security Council 1977-79: Joined USAID, working with IDCA 1979-81: Dep. Director and Acting Dir., USAID/Bolivia 1981-82: Director, USAID/Peru Rural development oriented program 1982-83 Immediate transfer to Lebanon as USAID Director Program increase from $25M to $250M. Focus on reconstruction and humanitarian assistance Bombing of the US Embassy and USAID/Lebanon “The danger of a Foreign Service life is unappreciated” 1983-85: Executive Secretary, USAID 1986-89:Mission Director, USAID/Philippines Program Assistance for policy change. Effective donor working group On the Hit-List 1989-92: Director of USAID program for the Newly Independent States (NIS) Working with an all-star cast 1 Acting Administrator for the ENE Bureau Working with Yeltsin’s reformers “A Shouting Match with Rich Armitage is an experience you don’t forget right away” “No major embarrassments” Lessons to Impart: How to work well with the Embassy Mentoring junior staff: “Mentoring is Behaving” Post USG retirement activities Outward Bound, Save the Children, Partners of the Americas, Malcolm Butler Global Associates, Riecken Foundation. -
1 the Brookings Institution the Obama
HOLBROOKE-2010/01/07 1 THE BROOKINGS INSTITUTION THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION'S CHALLENGES IN AFGHANISTAN AND PAKISTAN Washington, D.C. Thursday, January 7, 2010 PARTICIPANTS: Introduction: STROBE TALBOTT, President The Brookings Institution Featured Speaker: RICHARD C. HOLBROOKE Special Representative to Afghanistan and Pakistan U.S. Department of State ANDERSON COURT REPORTING 706 Duke Street, Suite 100 Alexandria, VA 22314 Phone (703) 519-7180 Fax (703) 519-7190 HOLBROOKE-2010/01/07 2 P R O C E E D I N G S MR. TALBOTT: Good afternoon, everybody. We're very appreciative that Ambassador Holbrooke would take some time off from his duties on the other side of town and, indeed, on the other side of the world, to spend about an hour with us this afternoon talking about policy in Afghanistan and Pakistan. There are never boring moments in his life. There certainly haven't been any in the course of the period that he's had - - there you go. I figured that was a favor I was doing you. Right? You could use a little boredom occasionally. Of course, this is a particularly busy work and a particularly difficult week. Ambassador Holbrooke has got a number of members of his terrific interagency team with him here and one of the very promising and productive aspects of the way he's going about his job is the way in which he's gotten the interagency process of the U.S. government to work together, and we're glad that you have some of your team here, and I know a number of members of your team lost some personal friends and close colleagues as a result of this terrible suicide bombing in Afghanistan.