Thunder Over the Horizon : from V-2 Rockets to Ballistic Missiles / Clayton K
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THUNDER OVER THE HORIZON PRAEGER SECURITY INTERNATIONAL ADVISORY BOARD Board Cochairs Loch K. Johnson, Regents Professor of Public and International Affairs, School of Public and International Affairs, University of Georgia (U.S.A.) Paul Wilkinson, Professor of International Relations and Chairman of the Advisory Board, Centre for the Study of Terrorism and Political Violence, University of St. Andrews (U.K.) Members The late Vice Admiral Arthur K. Cebrowski, USN (Ret.), former Director of Force Transformation, Office of the Secretary of Defense (U.S.A.) Eliot A. Cohen, Robert E. Osgood Professor of Strategic Studies and Director, Philip Merrill Center for Strategic Studies, Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, The Johns Hopkins University (U.S.A.) Anthony H. Cordesman, Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy, Center for Strategic and International Studies (U.S.A.) Thérèse Delpech, Senior Research Fellow, CERI (Atomic Energy Commission), Paris (France) Sir Michael Howard, former Professor of History of War, Oxford University, and Professor of Military and Naval History, Yale University (U.K.) Lieutenant General Claudia J. Kennedy, USA (Ret.), former Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Headquarters, Department of the Army (U.S.A.) Paul M. Kennedy, J. Richardson Dilworth Professor of History and Director, International Security Studies, Yale University (U.S.A.) Robert J. O’Neill, former Chichele Professor of the History of War, All Souls College, Oxford University (Australia) Shibley Telhami, Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development, Department of Government and Politics, University of Maryland (U.S.A.) Jusuf Wanandi, co-founder and member, Board of Trustees, Centre for Strategic and International Studies (Indonesia) Fareed Zakaria, Editor, Newsweek International (U.S.A.) THUNDER OVER THE HORIZON From V-2 Rockets to Ballistic Missiles Clayton K. S. Chun War, Technology, and History Robert Citino, Series Editor PRAEGER SECURITY INTERNATIONAL Westport, Connecticut • London Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Chun, Clayton K. S. Thunder over the horizon : from V-2 rockets to ballistic missiles / Clayton K. S. Chun. p. cm.—(War, technology, and history, ISSN 1556–4924) Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 0–275–98577–6 (alk. paper) 1. Rocketry—History. 2. Rockets (Aeronautics)—History. 3. Rockets (Ordnance)—History. 4. Guided missiles—History. I. Title. II. Series. TL781.C488 2006 621.43'56—dc22 2005032678 British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data is available. Copyright © 2006 by Clayton K. S. Chun All rights reserved. No portion of this book may be reproduced, by any process or technique, without the express written consent of the publisher. Library of Congress Catalog Card Number: 2005032678 ISBN: 0–275–98577–6 ISSN: 1556–4924 First published in 2006 Praeger Security International, 88 Post Road West, Westport, CT 06881 An imprint of Greenwood Publishing Group, Inc. www.praeger.com Printed in the United States of America TM The paper used in this book complies with the Permanent Paper Standard issued by the National Information Standards Organization (Z39.48–1984). 10987654321 Contents Introduction vii 1. Ballistic Missile Fundamentals: How Ballistic Missiles Work 1 2. V-2: The Dawn of a New Age 39 3. Cold War: Push-Button Warfare 57 4. The Cuban Missile Crisis 87 5. Ballistic Missiles at War: The Case of Iraq 109 6. Ballistic Missile Proliferation 141 7. Ballistic Missiles Reinvent National Strategy and Policy 169 8. Ballistic Missiles and the Impact of Technology 183 Appendix: Tables 199 Selected Bibliography 209 Index 213 Introduction HISTORY IS FILLED WITH examples of new weapons and technologies that have revolutionized warfare. Man’s introduction of gunpowder, the airplane, and other discoveries have changed the nature of warfare forever. Ballistic missiles have done the same since World War II. These new weapons have provided a nation the capability to bypass the battlefield and hit a capital city or strategic target with relative impunity. Ballistic missiles, coupled with nu- clear weapons, have made profound changes to international relations, re- gional balances of power, and how countries think about conflict. Whole national strategies have been devised to incorporate their effects and how a state should treat an enemy who possesses them. The United States and the former Soviet Union developed and controlled vast missile inventories that threatened mutual annihilation all within thirty minutes. Fortunately, these weapons were never used, but their legacy con- tinues to haunt the world. The cold war ended with the United States and countries from the former Soviet Union trying to disarm their strategic nu- clear force. However, these delivery systems have found new lives among na- tions wishing to influence regional and global rivals. Today, one can see these weapon systems and others in North Korean and Iranian arsenals. Some countries have acquired ballistic missiles to expand their ability to hit only battlefield targets and treat them as mere extensions of field artillery. Others have sought them as a way to counter an existing threat that they could not counter with conventional weapons. These weapons also offer a path to ex- pand technologies to allow for space launches or a means to demonstrate na- tional pride. Ballistic missile development and deployment offer a wide range of ways to enhance a country’s military, political, and economic capabilities. For many nations, the introduction of ballistic missiles by a regional rival viii Introduction or foe has sparked an almost instant panic and movement to counter this threat. As in the cold war, nations have rushed to build rival systems, create a capability or policy to counter the threat, or press for negotiations to stop or remove the threat. Some of these fears are legitimate, while others are mere rhetoric. This book explains many questions and issues concerning these de- livery vehicles. It explores how they work, their use, and their impact in war and peace. Specially, the book examines how the systems and components op- erate. Understanding how these weapons work provides the reader an aware- ness of the technical challenges that scientists and engineers had to overcome. Next, several case studies are presented to illustrate how nations have used and developed these systems. The case studies include the Germans’ use of the V-2 in World War II, the United States’ development of ballistic missiles, the Cuban Missile Crisis, and Iraq’s conflicts with Iran and the 1991 Persian Gulf War. Additionally, this study examines how the United States’ nuclear strategy developed with the introduction of these systems. The book also in- vestigates today’s proliferation of ballistic missiles. This study presents the reader a summary review of nations that pose the biggest threats to the United States or its interests. Finally, the book ties the effects that technology had on several key national and military security topics. New technology changed warfare concepts, national strategy, and organizations and helped introduce a new military field, space, during this period. Today the spread of technology through instant information, globaliza- tion, shifting international and political interests, the rise of regional rivalries, and other factors have contributed greatly to ballistic missile proliferation. In many cases, this proliferation has complicated the national strategies and se- curity of countries from the United States to China. Nations that have little to lose from an attack that includes conventional weapons or weapons of mass destruction may find ballistic missiles a way to stay in power. Nuclear weapons also provide a relatively inexpensive way to maintain a military advantage over foes. Demystifying the process of building nuclear weapons and their deliv- ery systems has increased the fear that nuclear weapons will be used. Instead of relying on conventional forces to win wars, states today can use ballistic missiles to immediately attack cities, economic targets, or targets deep in an enemy’s territory and create tremendous devastation. These new delivery sys- tems have complicated national security policy and defense planning. The leaders of nations that have a nuclear capability might contemplate actions they never considered before. If both sides in a confrontation have the ability to release nuclear weapons, then one side might want to use those sys- tems to disarm its opponent first. Because defenses against these types of weapons are not widely available, a nation’s military capabilities, cities, capi- tal, and infrastructure are inviting targets in an enemy’s gun sight, and if at- Introduction ix tacked, their destruction would be certain. Relatively fragile or unstable coun- tries that possess these weapons are vulnerable to terrorist or revolutionary attacks and may become susceptible to control by radical groups. Such groups might not be influenced by international diplomacy or internal government mechanisms to control the release of chemical or nuclear warheads. This sit- uation could provide a radical group the instant capability to create massive destruction against its neighbors or other nations. Ballistic missiles today offer countries a way to equalize disparate military capabilities that may have taken great time and expense to create comparable conventional capabilities. Now, any country that possesses the willingness, re- sources, and access to obtain these weapon systems can join a growing