Malaysia Market Focus Malaysia Strategy Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report DBS Group Research . Equity 3 May 2018 Positioning for post GE KLCI : 1,852.03 Election overhang to ease post GE14 as investors focus on Analyst fundamentals Bernard CHING +603 2604 3918 Election expected to be fiercely contested with status quo being the
[email protected] base case while the worst case is a hung parliament leading to Malaysian Research Team protracted uncertainty and risk aversion +603 2604 3333
[email protected] Laggards in mid- and small-cap space poised to re-rate given cheap valuation and return of risk appetite Market Key Data Maintain end-2018 KLCI target of 1,950; Top picks are MAY, CIMB, (%) EPS Gth Div Yield 2017A 6.5 3.4 HLBK, GAM, BAB, SAPE, SCGB, SKP, HIBI, UNI, WSC, GTB and YTB 2018F 9.8 3.2 8.0 Weak broader market due to election overhang. Despite the 2019F 3.4 FBMKLCI’s resilience (YTD: +3.9%), the broader market has been weak as (x) PE PB evidenced by the 15% YTD loss in the FBM Small Cap Index. This is partly 2017A 17.9 1.7 th driven by risk aversion ahead of the 14 General Election (GE14) on 9 May. 16.3 2018F 1.7 2019F 15.1 1.6 Positioning for post GE14 rebound. The market will remain volatile ahead of GE14 given a widely expected fierce contest between the ruling Barisan Nasional (BN) and opposition coalition led by former PM Dr STOCKS Mahathir. Without predicting the election outcome, our base case assumes 12-mth that the status quo will be maintained which will see the election overhang Price Mkt Cap Target Performance (%) ease post GE14 as investors focus on fundamentals again.