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Yole Développement (Yole) Working with the Semiconductor & Software Division From Technologies to Markets Status of the Memory Industry Market and Technology Report 2021 Sample © 2021 TABLE OF CONTENTS • Glossary and definitions 2 • Memory players and supply chain 186 • Table of contents 10 o Memory players – financial analysis 200 • Report objectives 11 o Supply chain mapping 216 • Scope of the report 12 o Merger and acquisitions and new companies 229 • Methodology & definitions 13 • Memory modules and storage drives 236 • About the authors 14 o Memory modules 240 • Companies cited in this report 17 o Storage drives 251 o Persistent memory 262 • Comparison with the 2020 report 18 • China’s memory landscape 272 • Who should be interested in this report 19 Status and prospects, investments, competitive landscape • Yole Group related reports 20 • NAND – market forecast 299 • Three-page summary 22 Revenues, market shares, ASP, shipments & demand, CapEx and more • Executive summary 26 • DRAM – market forecast 308 • Memory market – drivers and dynamics 69 Revenues, market shares, ASP, shipments & demand, CapEx and more o Datacenters 81 • Emerging NVM technology, forecast and players 317 o Mobile devices 92 Technology description, challenges, roadmap, forecast, main trends, and more o Automotive 98 • Embedded memory business – overview 342 o PC and consumer electronics 108 • Impact of Covid-19 pandemic on the memory market 356 • Stand-alone memory market and technology 118 • General conclusions 361 o NAND market and technology 126 • Noteworthy news 365 o DRAM market and technology 150 • How to use your data? 374 o NOR flash and other stand-alone memory 171 • Yole Corporate presentation 375 Status of the Memory Industry 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 2 COMPANIES CITED IN THIS REPORT 4DS, Adata, Adesto, Advantest, Alliance Memory, AP Memory, Apacer, Apple, Applied Materials, ASE Tech. Hold., ASML, Avalanche, Buffalo, Canon, Centon, CXMT, Cisco, CNE, Crocus, Crossbar, Cypress, Dell, Dosilicon, Etron, ESMT, Everspin, Facebook, Ferroelectric Memory Company, Fidelix, Freescale, Fudan Microelectronics, Fujitsu, Fusion IO, GigaDevice, GlobalFoundries, Google, GSI Technology, H-Grace, Hikstor, Hitachi, HLMC, Honeywell, HP, Huawei, IBM, IDT, IMEC, Infineon, Intel, ISSI, JHICC, Kingston, KLA Tencor, Kioxia, Lam Research, Lapis, Lenovo, Longsys, Liteon, Lyontek, Macronix, Marvell, Maxio, Maxim, Materion, MediaTek, Microchip, Micron, Montage Technology, Nantero, Nanya, Naura, Nikon, NEC, NetApp, NetList, Numonyx, NXP, ON Semiconductors, Panasonic, Phison, Powerchip, Powertech, ProMOS Technologies, Qualcomm, Rambus, Reliance, Realtek, Renesas, Rohm, Samsung, SanDisk, Seagate, Semtech, Silicon Motion, SK hynix, SK Materials, Smart Modular Technologies, SMIC, Sony, SPIL, SST, Spin Memory, STMicroelectronics, STEC, Swissbit, TDK, Texas Instruments, Tezzaron, TEL, Teledyne e2v, TowerJazz, TPSCo, Transcend, Tsinghua Unigroup, TSMC, UMC, UniIC Semiconductors, Unimos Microelectronics, Viking, Violin Memory, Weebit, Western Digital, Winbond, XFab, XMC, YMTC, Chinese emerging NVM players and more… Status of the Memory Industry 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 3 ABOUT THE AUTHORS Biographies & contacts Simone Bertolazzi, Ph.D. Simone Bertolazzi, PhD is a Senior Technology & Market analyst at Yole Développement (Yole) working with the Semiconductor & Software division. He is member of the Yole’s memory team and he contributes on a day-to-day basis to the analysis of memory technologies, their related materials and fabrication processes. Simone obtained a PhD in physics in 2015 from École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (Switzerland), where he developed novel flash memory cells based on heterostructures of two-dimensional materials and high-κ dielectrics. [email protected] Walt Coon Walt Coon is VP of NAND & Memory Research is a member of the Semiconductor, Memory & Computing division, at Yole Développement (Yole). Based in the US, Walt is leading the day-to-day production of both market updates and Market Monitors, and is deeply involved in the business development of these activities. Prior to Yole, Walt spent 16 years at Micron Technology. Walt Coon earned a Master of Business Administration from Boise State University (Idaho, United-States) and a Bachelor of Science in Computer Science from the University of Utah (United-States). [email protected] Mike Howard Mike Howard is a member of the memory team at Yole Développement (Yole) as VP of DRAM & Memory Research. Mike is based in the US. Mike’s mission at Yole is to deliver a comprehensive understanding of the entire memory and semiconductor landscape via market updates and Market Monitors. Mike is also deeply involved in the business development of these activities. Prior to Yole, Mike worked at IHS and Micron Techonology. Mike earned a Master of Business Administration at The Ohio State University (United-States), a Bachelor of Science in Chemical Engineering and a Bachelor of Arts in Finance at the University of Washington (Washington, United-States). [email protected] Status of the Memory Industry 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 4 METHODOLOGIES & DEFINITIONS Yole’s market forecast model is based on the matching of several sources: Preexisting information Market Volume (in Munits) ASP (in $) Revenue (in $M) Information Aggregation Status of the Memory Industry 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 5 SCOPE OF THE REPORT Stand-Alone Memory Markets andTechnologies EPROM, ROM, etc. (NV)SRAM / FRAM Emerging NVM NOR (NV)SRAM EEPROM (incl. 3D XPoint) NOR DRAM NAND NAND DRAM Storage and Memory Modules NEW New Memories (3D XPoint, MRAM, etc.) Key End-Markets and End-Systems Your needs are out of scope of this Datacenters - Severs and Enterprise report? Mobile – Smartphones Contact us for a custom study: Client – PC, client SSD Automotive – Vehicles (incl.ADAS systems) Status of the Memory Industry 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 6 REPORT OBJECTIVES Leveraging on a sound expertise in memory technologies and related markets, Yole decided to publish this report “Status of the Memory Industry” to provide the broadest overview of the overall memory industry. The main objectives of the report are as follows: (1) Provide a comprehensive overview of the stand- (2) Present technology trends alone memory market: • Future developments by technology • NAND and DRAM market trends, including revenue and • Memory packaging technology trends bit demand-shipment forecasts • Challenges and opportunities for emerging NVM • Market size and dynamics for other stand-alone memories: • Scaling and functional roadmaps • Storage and memory modules: technology and market trends ▪ Stand-alone NOR Flash ▪ Emerging NVM (PCM, MRAM, RRAM) (3) Describe the supply chain and the memory ecosystem ▪ RAM: (NV)SRAM, FRAM, etc. • Mapping of the supply chain from materials and equipment suppliers to module makers (SSD, DIMM) ▪ EEPROM, EPROM, mask PROM/ROM • Financial analysis of key memory players involved in the • China’s memory-market landscape NAND, DRAM and NOR businesses • Analysis of the Chinese memory players Status of the Memory Industry 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 7 COMPARISON WITH THE 2020 REPORT What we saw, what we missed What we saw: o Market: • NAND and DRAM market revenues for 2020 were estimated to be $59B and $66B, respectively. The actual results were $56B for NAND (~5% overestimate) and $67B for DRAM (~1.5% underestimate). o Technologies • Technology development is advancing at fast pace:176L 3D NAND and 1훼 DRAM were announced in Q4-2020/Q1-2021. o Players: • At FMS 2019, Yole presented a NAND consolidation scenario based on the acquisition of Intel’s NAND business by SK hynix and the rumored acquisition of Kioxia by the top American NAND suppliers (WD/Micron). What we missed: o Market: • The anticipated 2020 NAND recovery failed to fully materialize as impacts from COVID-19 and worsening trade tensions between the US and China provided a strong headwind to the market. Despite these challenges, both supplier revenue and profitability improved in 2020, indicative of just how far NAND market conditions had deteriorated in 2019, when blended pricing fell by 49%. o Players &Technologies: • The decision of Micron to dismiss 3D XPoint activities and sell the Lehi fab makes the future of Optane Persistent Memory uncertain. By the end of 2021 Intel will be the only player involved in 3D XPoint development and manufacturing; the other memory IDMs – including Micron – will focus on products that leverage the CXL protocol, which is gaining steam as a future interconnect for “far memory” (high-capacity DRAM and storage class memory). Status of the Memory Industry 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 8 STAND-ALONE MEMORY MARKET - OVERVIEW • The stand-alone memory market is cyclical in nature, as it is characterized by periods of shortages and oversupply that give rise to strong price variations and revenue volatility. • Memory is one of the primary market segments for semiconductor products. In 2020, combined NAND and DRAM revenues corresponded to XX% of the overall semiconductor market. Semiconductor and Memory Revenues ($B) Semiconductor and Memory Market Annual Growth Rates (%) 500 50% 80% 400 40% 60% 40% 300 30% 20% 200 20% 0% 100 10% -20% 0 0% -40% 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Worldwide Semiconductor Sales Memory Revenues (NAND+DRAM) Total Semiconductor Memory (NAND + DRAM) Memory / Semiconductor (%) Status of the Memory Industry 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 9 STAND-ALONE MEMORY MARKET - OVERVIEW • NAND and DRAM account for ≈XX% of the overall stand-alone
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