John Carroll University Carroll Collected 2019 Faculty Bibliography Faculty Bibliographies Community Homepage 2019 Here’s Looking at You: Public- Versus Elite-Driven Models of Presidential Primary Elections Colin D. Swearingen John Carroll University,
[email protected] Elizabeth A. Stiles John Carroll University,
[email protected] Kate Finneran* John Carroll University,
[email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://collected.jcu.edu/fac_bib_2019 Part of the American Politics Commons Recommended Citation Swearingen, Colin D.; Stiles, Elizabeth A.; and Finneran*, Kate, "Here’s Looking at You: Public- Versus Elite-Driven Models of Presidential Primary Elections" (2019). 2019 Faculty Bibliography. 27. https://collected.jcu.edu/fac_bib_2019/27 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Faculty Bibliographies Community Homepage at Carroll Collected. It has been accepted for inclusion in 2019 Faculty Bibliography by an authorized administrator of Carroll Collected. For more information, please contact
[email protected]. Here’s Looking at You: Public- Versus Elite-Driven Models of Presidential ∗ Primary Elections Objective. This study advances the presidential primary literature in two ways. First, since many studies in this literature advocate for more detailed theoretical development, we incorporate an interdisciplinary approach by utilizing social contagion theory from the field of sociology. Second, presidential primaries do not adequately explore what role the public plays during the invisible primary. We thus incorporate Google Trends data into presidential primary models to account for the relative amount of public attention for each presidential primary candidate. Methods. We use fixed effects regression to determine the impact of public attention on a candidate’s share of the contested primary vote (CPV).