COVID-19 Impact on EUROCONTROL Member States EUROCONTROL States Briefings Tuesday, 8 June 2021

 Total flights lost since 1 March 2020: 0.7M flights  Current flight status: 1736 daily flights or -47% vs 2019 (7-day average)1  Traffic forecast: 52% of 2019 in 2021 & 70% in 2022 2  GDP: +5.1% in 2021 & +3.1% in 2022 (vs. previous year) 3  Vaccination: 15.1 per hundred people fully vaccinated 4  Busiest airport: IGA with 658 average daily flights1 (-46% vs. 2019)  Busiest : Turkish with 865 average daily flights1 (-39%vs2019)

2020/21 Traffic Evolution & 2021/24 Outlook

Turkey Traffic variation - March 2020-June 2021 4,000

3,500

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

Average weekly flights weeklyAverage 1,000

500

0

July

May May

June June

April April

March March

August

January

October

February

December

November September 2020 2021 7-day average Reference 2019

Traffic forecast for Turkey (2021-2024) EUROCONTROL STATFOR forecast - 21st May 2021 1800 110% 100% 99% 1600 98% 1400 81% 85% 1200 78% 1000 59% 70% 67% 800 45% 52%

57% IFR Flights ('000) Flights IFR 600 44% 400

200

0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Scenario 1: Vaccine in 2021 Scenario 2: Vaccine in 2022 Scenario 3: Lingering Infection

COVID-19 Impact on EUROCONTROL Member States EUROCONTROL States Briefings Tuesday, 8 June 2021

Traffic Composition

Flight Category (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Top 5 Airports (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Flight Category Average daily flights % vs 2019 Airport Average daily flights (Dep/Arr) % vs 2019 Internal 751  -25% Iga 658  -46% International 982  -57% Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen 505  -24% Round Robin Flights 2  -76% 282  -66% -Esenboga 163  -35% Aircraft Category (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Izmir-Adnan-Menderes 144  -38% Aircraft Category Average daily flights % vs 2019

Top 5 Aircraft Operators (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Narrow body 1,395  -48% Aircraft Operator Average daily flights % vs 2019 Wide body 162  -53% Very Large Aircraft 79  -33% 865  -39% Other 69  -26% Pegasus 368  -26% Regional Jet 30  -29% SunExpress 96  -43% Commuter (TurboP) 3  +13% Ukraine International 35  +63% Skyup Airlines 24  +479% Market Segment (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021)

Top 5 City Pairs (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Market Segment Average daily flights % vs 2019 Traditional Scheduled 913  -45% Country pair Average daily flights % vs 2019 Lowcost 483  -52% from/to TURKEY 754  -25% Charter 151  -66% from/to GERMANY 139  -59% All-Cargo 99  +99% from/to UKRAINE 133  +33% Business Aviation 77  -18% from/to IRAQ 33  -42% Military 7  -72% from/to IRAN, ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF30  -34% Other Types 6  -76% Vaccination Progress Turkey National population vaccinated in 2021 25 0.25

20 0.2

15 0.15

10 0.1 Positivity rate Positivity

5 0.05 Vaccines per hundred people of per hundred Vaccines

0 0

May

April

March

02-Jun

January February 1st dose Fully vaccinated Positivity Rate Source: Our World in Data

Data Sources: SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 1 Period between 31-05 – 06-06/2021 (as compared to the same week in 2019, 03-06 – 09-06/2019). 2 EUROCONTROL STATFOR forecast (21 May 2021) Scenario No.2. 3 GDP growth assumptions used in STATFOR scenario No.2 forecast. Source: Oxford Economics, March 2021. 4 Number of people fully vaccinated on 2 June 2021. Source: Our World in Data.

Contacts: Aviation Intelligence Unit [email protected]