Aviation Market & Economy
TURKISH AIRLINES June 2015 1 1 2 Aviation Market & Economy Annual GDP Growth Forecast (2013-2033) Annual RPK Growth Forecast (2013-2033) Africa 6,7% Africa 4,7% Asia Pacific 6,4% Asia Pacific 4,4% M.East 5,2% Latin America 3,9% M.East 3,8% World 5,0% CIS 3,3% Latin America 4,9% World 3,2% CIS 4,3% North America 2,5% Europe 3,5% Europe 1,9% North America 2,3% Source: Boeing Current Market Outlook Turkish Airlines Market Turkey Aviation Market Share in 2014 Domestic: 53% International: 40% 240 Total : 44% 164 151 138 160 123 111 98 106 88 98 78 90 80 65 73 59 66 52 44 80 54 59 38 43 49 21 25 29 32 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2023E Domestic International Total Passengers (million) Note: Adjusted for double counts on domestic passenger Source: General Directorate of State Airports Authority (DHMI) 3 Turkish Airlines Growth Story 12.000 11.000 Weekly Weekly Flights 63 mn pax 10.000 54.7 mn pax 9.000 2015E - 303 48.3 mn pax 8.000 2014-261 39 mn pax 7.000 2013-233 32.6 mn pax 6.000 29.1 mn pax 2012-202 25.1 mn pax 5.000 2011 - 202 22.6 mn pax 2010 - 153 14.1 mn 2009 - 132 4.000 pax 16.9 mn pax 2008 - 127 11.9 mn 3.000 pax 2007 - 101 2006 - 103 19.7 mn pax 2005- 83 2.000 2004-73 10.4 mn pax Destinations 1.000 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 230 240 250 260 270 280 290 300 4 Global Market Share Gains Global Market Share Trends (in ASK) 5.0% 4.5% 4.4% 3.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% American United Delta Emirates Southwest China Air China Lufthansa British China Air France Qantas Turkish Cathay LATAM Ryanair Southern Eastern Airlines Pacific 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Turkish Airlines Market Share Development % of World Scheduled Traffic (ASK) 1,8% 1,6% 1,4% 1,2% 1,0% 0,9% 0,8% 0,7% 0,7% 0,6% 0,5% 0,5% 0,6% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F Notes: For US carriers regional flights are excluded.
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