COVID-19 Impact on EUROCONTROL Member States EUROCONTROL States Briefings Tuesday, 8 June 2021 Total flights lost since 1 March 2020: 0.7M flights Current flight status: 1736 daily flights or -47% vs 2019 (7-day average)1 Traffic forecast: 52% of 2019 in 2021 & 70% in 2022 2 GDP: +5.1% in 2021 & +3.1% in 2022 (vs. previous year) 3 4 Vaccination: 15.1 per hundred people fully vaccinated Busiest airport: Istanbul IGA with 658 average daily flights1 (-46% vs. 2019) Turkey Busiest airline: Turkish Airlines with 865 average daily flights1 (-39%vs2019) 2020/21 Traffic Evolution & 2021/24 Outlook Turkey Traffic variation - March 2020-June 2021 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 Average weekly flights weeklyAverage 1,000 500 0 July May May June June April April March March August January October February December November September 2020 2021 7-day average Reference 2019 Traffic forecast for Turkey (2021-2024) EUROCONTROL STATFOR forecast - 21st May 2021 1800 110% 100% 99% 1600 98% 1400 81% 85% 1200 78% 1000 59% 70% 67% 800 45% 52% 57% IFR Flights ('000) Flights IFR 600 44% 400 200 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Scenario 1: Vaccine in 2021 Scenario 2: Vaccine in 2022 Scenario 3: Lingering Infection COVID-19 Impact on EUROCONTROL Member States EUROCONTROL States Briefings Tuesday, 8 June 2021 Traffic Composition Flight Category (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Top 5 Airports (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Flight Category Average daily flights % vs 2019 Airport Average daily flights (Dep/Arr) % vs 2019 Internal 751 -25% Iga Istanbul Airport 658 -46% International 982 -57% Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen 505 -24% Round Robin Flights 2 -76% Antalya 282 -66% Ankara-Esenboga 163 -35% Aircraft Category (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Izmir-Adnan-Menderes 144 -38% Aircraft Category Average daily flights % vs 2019 Top 5 Aircraft Operators (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Narrow body 1,395 -48% Aircraft Operator Average daily flights % vs 2019 Wide body 162 -53% Very Large Aircraft 79 -33% Turkish Airlines 865 -39% Other 69 -26% Pegasus 368 -26% Regional Jet 30 -29% SunExpress 96 -43% Commuter (TurboP) 3 +13% Ukraine International 35 +63% Skyup Airlines 24 +479% Market Segment (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Top 5 City Pairs (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Market Segment Average daily flights % vs 2019 Traditional Scheduled 913 -45% Country pair Average daily flights % vs 2019 Lowcost 483 -52% from/to TURKEY 754 -25% Charter 151 -66% from/to GERMANY 139 -59% All-Cargo 99 +99% from/to UKRAINE 133 +33% Business Aviation 77 -18% from/to IRAQ 33 -42% Military 7 -72% from/to IRAN, ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF30 -34% Other Types 6 -76% Vaccination Progress Turkey National population vaccinated in 2021 25 0.25 20 0.2 15 0.15 10 0.1 Positivity rate Positivity 5 0.05 Vaccines per hundred people of per hundred Vaccines 0 0 May April March 02-Jun January February 1st dose Fully vaccinated Positivity Rate Source: Our World in Data Data Sources: SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 1 Period between 31-05 – 06-06/2021 (as compared to the same week in 2019, 03-06 – 09-06/2019). 2 EUROCONTROL STATFOR forecast (21 May 2021) Scenario No.2. 3 GDP growth assumptions used in STATFOR scenario No.2 forecast. Source: Oxford Economics, March 2021. 4 Number of people fully vaccinated on 2 June 2021. Source: Our World in Data. Contacts: Aviation Intelligence Unit [email protected] .