<<

No Clear Front-Runner Emerges for

Liberal Leadership Liberal Voters Pick Ignatieff (19%) and McKenna (19%), Name (16%) as

Best to Replace Dion

Public Release Date: Wednesday, October 29, 2008, 6:00 AM EST

Ipsos Reid is Canada's market intelligence leader and the country’s leading provider of public opinion research. With operations in eight cities, Ipsos Reid employs more than 300 research professionals and support staff in Canada. The company has the biggest network of telephone call centres in Canada, as well as the largest pre-recruited household and on-line panels. Ipsos Reid’s Canadian marketing research and public affairs practices are staffed with seasoned research consultants with extensive industry-specific backgrounds, offering the premier suite of research vehicles in Canada—including the Ipsos Trend Report, the leading source of public opinion in the country—all of which provide clients with actionable and relevant information. Ipsos Reid is an Ipsos company, a leading global survey-based market research group. To learn more, visit www.ipsos.ca

For copies of other news releases, please visit http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/

© Ipsos Reid

Washington z New York z Chicago z Minneapolis z Seattle z San Francisco z z z z z z

No Clear Front-Runner Emerges for Liberal Leadership Liberal Voters Pick Ignatieff (19%) and McKenna (19%), Canadians Name Justin Trudeau (16%) as

Best to Replace Dion

Toronto, ON – As the federal Liberals begin their search for a new leader, a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted on behalf of CanWest News Service and Global Television reveals that no clear front-runner has emerged from the pack of prospects.

When only examining the responses of those who say they would vote Liberal if an election were to happen tomorrow (26%), (19%) and Frank McKenna (19%) are tied for first place, while Justin Trudeau (17%), (10%), (5%), (3%), and Martha Hall-Findlay (3%) follow.

However, Canadians across the country, regardless of their political stripe, have given Justin Trudeau, son of former Prime Minister , 16% of the vote among 9 potential candidates. Not far behind are Deputy Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff (12%), former New Brunswick Premier Frank McKenna (12%), and former Premier of Bob Rae (9%).

Receiving 5% of the vote is John Manley, former Deputy Prime Minister, followed by current MP and former Minister of Education for Ontario Gerard Kennedy (3%). MPs , Dominic LeBlanc and Martha Hall-Findlay all received 1% support.

© Ipsos Reid

- 1 -

Washington z New York z Chicago z Minneapolis z Seattle z San Francisco Vancouver z Edmonton z Calgary z Winnipeg z Toronto z Ottawa z Montreal

Interestingly, 32% of Canadians simply didn’t know who should replace Mr. Dion when he steps down at next year’s Liberal , and 9% said ‘none of the above’ should take over the reigns of the Grits.

These are the findings of an Ipsos Reid poll conducted on behalf of CanWest Global from October 22 to October 25, 2008. This online survey of 1012 adults was conducted via the Ipsos I-Say Online Panel, Ipsos Reid's national online panel. The results of this poll are based on a sample where quota sampling and weighting are employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the actual Canadian population according to Census data. Quota samples with weighting from the Ipsos online panel provide results that are intended to approximate a probability sample. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls because they are based on samples drawn from opt-in online panels, not on random samples that mirror the population within a statistical probability ratio. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. However, an unweighted probability sample of this size, with a 100% response rate, would have an estimated margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had the entire adult population in Canada been surveyed.

For more information on this news release, please contact:

John Wright Senior Vice President Ipsos Reid Public Affairs (416) 324-2002

For full tabular results, please visit our website at www.ipsos.ca. News Releases are available at: http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/

© Ipsos Reid

- 2 -

Washington z New York z Chicago z Minneapolis z Seattle z San Francisco Vancouver z Edmonton z Calgary z Winnipeg z Toronto z Ottawa z Montreal