Flugvallakostir Á Suðvesturhorni Landsins

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Flugvallakostir Á Suðvesturhorni Landsins Nóvember 2019 Flugvallakostir á suðvesturhorni landsins Stjórnarráð Íslands Samgöngu- og sveitarstjórnarráðuneytið Útgefandi: Samgöngu- og sveitarstjórnarráðuneytið Nóvember 2019 [email protected] www.stjornarradid.is Umbrot og textavinnsla: ©2019 Samgöngu- og sveitarstjórnarráðuneytið ISBN 978-9935-494-04-7 2 Útdráttur ..................................................................................................................................................................... 5 1. Inngangur ................................................................................................................................................................ 7 2. Markmið verkefnis ............................................................................................................................................... 7 3. Lýsing verkefnis .................................................................................................................................................... 7 4. Aðferðafræðin ....................................................................................................................................................... 9 4.1 Kröfur til millilandaflugvalla ........................................................................................................................................... 13 4.2 Kröfur til nýs varaflugvallar á SV-horni landsins ................................................................................................ 15 4.3 Kröfur til nýs innanlandsflugvallar á SV-horninu ............................................................................................... 16 4.4 Kröfur til kennslu- og einkaflugvalla ......................................................................................................................... 16 4.5 Kröfur til sjúkra- og björgunarflugvalla .................................................................................................................... 16 5. Samanburður valkosta ........................................................................................................................................ 17 5.1 Vegalengdir ............................................................................................................................................................................... 17 5.2 Miðstöð millilandaflugs ..................................................................................................................................................... 17 5.2.1 Spá um þróun farþegafjölda í millilandaflugi ........................................................................................ 18 5.2.2 Uppbygging Keflavíkurflugvallar..................................................................................................................... 20 5.2.3 Áætlanir um alþjóðaflugvöll í Hvassahrauni ........................................................................................... 21 5.2.4 Stofnkostnaður valkosta .................................................................................................................................... 23 5.2.5 Rekstrarkostnaður og tekjur ............................................................................................................................. 24 5.2.6 Aðrir eiginleikar valkosta ................................................................................................................................... 25 5.2.7 Umfjöllun um miðstöð millilandaflugs ....................................................................................................... 30 5.3 Miðstöð innanlandsflugs .................................................................................................................................................. 32 5.3.1 Spá um þróun farþegafjölda í innanlandsflugi ...................................................................................... 32 5.3.2 Keflavíkurflugvöllur ............................................................................................................................................... 35 5.3.3 Hvassahraun ............................................................................................................................................................. 36 3 5.3.4 Reykjavíkurflugvöllur í Vatnsmýri .................................................................................................................. 36 5.3.5 Umfjöllun um miðstöð innanlandsflugs .................................................................................................... 37 5.3.6 Rekstrarkostnaður miðstöðvar innanlandsflugs ................................................................................... 38 5.3.7 Aðrir eiginleikar valkosta .................................................................................................................................... 38 5.4 Varaflugvallarhlutverkið .................................................................................................................................................... 38 5.4.1 Keflavíkurflugvöllur ............................................................................................................................................... 39 5.4.2 Hvassahraun ............................................................................................................................................................. 39 5.4.3 Reykjavíkurflugvöllur í Vatnsmýri .................................................................................................................. 39 5.4.4 Egilsstaðir ................................................................................................................................................................... 40 5.4.5 Akureyri ........................................................................................................................................................................ 41 5.4.6 Aðrir áhrifaþættir ................................................................................................................................................... 41 5.4.7 Umfjöllun um varaflugvallarhlutverkið ...................................................................................................... 42 5.5 Kennslu-, æfinga- og einkaflug ..................................................................................................................................... 43 5.6 Sjúkra- og björgunarflug ................................................................................................................................................... 44 5.7 Samantekt á stofnkostnaði valkosta .......................................................................................................................... 47 6. Samgöngur á landi ............................................................................................................................................... 49 7. Rannsóknir veður- og flugskilyrða í Hvassahrauni ...................................................................................... 50 8. Niðurstöður............................................................................................................................................................ 52 9. Tillögur .................................................................................................................................................................... 53 Viðaukar ...................................................................................................................................................................... 55 4 Flugvallakostir á suðvesturhorni landsins Nóvember 2019 Útdráttur Vorið 2018 skipaði samgöngu- og sveitarstjórnarráðherra stýrihóp til að greina valkosti um framtíðarskipan flugvallarmála á SV-horni landsins og kostnaðargreina þá kosti sem til skoðunar hafa verið, sem eru flugvellir í Vatnsmýri og í Keflavík og nýr flugvöllur í Hvassahrauni. Greiningunni er ætlað að auðvelda umræðu og styðja við ákvarðanatöku um uppbyggingu þeirrar þjónustu sem stjórnvöld vilja stuðla að fyrir innanlands- og millilandaflug. Flugvellir á SV-horni landsins þurfa að þjóna margþættu hlutverki. Auk þess að þjóna millilandaflugi til og frá landinu er tengiflug um Ísland mikilvæg atvinnugrein fyrir Íslendinga og það margfaldar fjölda tenginga við landið, styrkir viðskiptatækifærin sem þeim fylgja og eykur þjónustu við landsmenn. Flugvellir á SV-horni landsins þurfa enn fremur að þjóna landsbyggðinni um innanlandsflug, bæði sem tenging við áframhaldandi millilandaflug og sem tenging við höfuðborgarsvæðið og þá þjónustu sem þar hefur verið byggð upp og þjónar öllum landsmönnum. Jafnframt þarf að tryggja greiða og örugga sjúkraflutninga til helsta sjúkrahúss landsins, Landsspítala – háskólasjúkrahúss. Flugvöllur fyrir kennslu-, æfinga- og einkaflug er einnig mikilvægur á svæðinu. Í þessari vinnu er ekki greint hvar hagkvæmast væri að koma þeim flugvelli fyrir. Slík starfsemi fer illa saman með umferð stórra farþegavéla og á hún því ekki heima á helsta millilandaflugvelli landsins. Ein meginforsenda verkefnisins er að á SV-horni landsins verði tveir flugvellir svo að þar sé varaflugvöllur fyrir millilanda- og innanlandsflug líkt og verið hefur um áratuga skeið. Árið 2017 gerði Isavia áætlun um uppbyggingu Keflavíkurflugvallar til ársins 2025 sem miðstöðvar millilandaflugs fyrir Ísland og til að þjóna tengiflugi um Ísland. Í áætluninni er gert ráð fyrir áframhaldandi fjölgun ferða til ársins 2025 og að heildarfjöldi yrði þá um 14,5 milljónir
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