Emergency Response Coordination Centre (ERCC) – ECHO Daily Map | 08/01/2016

South Pacific Ocean Legend– ULA Week rainfall (TRMM) TROPICAL CYCLONE LastValue 7 days acc. 30 Dec, 6.00 UTC SITUATION Legend(max. sustained winds) rainfall< 100 (NASA) mm 83 km/h sust. winds Cyclones> 118 Trackkm/h points 100 - 200 mm • Tropical Cyclone ULA formed over WIND_SPEED 63-118 km/h 200 - 300 mm (Pop. 187 800) the South Pacific Ocean on 30 Ï <0.000000 63 km/h - 17.000000 300 - 400 mm December 2015 and moved south- WIND BUFFER > 400 mm southwest, strengthening. It passed Ï 17.000001 - 32.500000 (Pop. 55 500) close to Vava'u islands () on 1 >118 km/h Floods 92-118 km/h (Pop. 12 200) January 2016, with max. sustained 32.500001 - 69.000000 Ï 64-92 km/h Track uncertainty winds of 140 km/h and close to () on 2-3 January, with Ï 69.000001 - 100.000000 max. sust. winds of 160-170 km/h. • Heavy rainfall and strong winds (Pop. 880 000) affected Fiji and Tonga during its 1 Jan, 18.00 UTC passage. Media reported minor 140 km/h sust. winds damage and evacuations in Tonga, 2 Jan, 18.00 UTC 167 km/h sust. winds as well as floods and damage in 8 Jan, 6.00 UTC 31 Dec, 18.00 UTC 102 km/h sust. winds some areas of Fiji. 9 Jan 18.00 UTC 167 km/h sust. winds (Pop. 283 000) • In the morning of 8 January, TC ULA 120 km/h sust. winds was moving west-southwest, away from Fiji, with max. sustained winds Erromango of 100 km/h. Aniwa • Over the next 48 h, TC ULA is Lau (Pop. 14 900) Archipelago forecast to move south-west, and its Tanna Futuna (Pop. 249) (Pop. 1 600) center may pass approx. 100 km south-east of Aneityum () in Aneityum Ona-i- the morning of 10 January, with Llau (Pop. 470) (Pop. 900) max. sustained winds of 120 km/h. Then it is forecast to continue 10 Jan 6.00 UTC moving south, over the South Pacific 120 km/h sust. winds Ocean, weakening and dissipating. 3 Jan, 06.00 UTC (Pop. 103 200) 157 km/h sust. winds • On 9-10 January, heavy rains and winds may affect central and southern Vanuatu. Sources: GDACS, JTWC, BOM, UN OCHA, Fiji Meteorological Service, Vanuatu Meteorological Services, WMO, Geohive, Media (Pop. 268 700)

SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SEASON

• From 1 Nov to 30 April ABOVE / BELOW - AVERAGE RAINFALL 11 Jan 6.00 UTC 6-12 JAN 2016 «GLOBAL TROPICS HAZARDS OUTLOOK» RELEVANT TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE AREA 111 km/h sust. winds (2014 – 2016)

16 1 12

12 Jan 6.00 UTC Rainfall 83 km/h sust. winds 13 Jan Above-average * 6.00 UTC Below-average *

* Weekly total rainfall in the upper / Total Source: NOAA lower third of the historical range Dead