Netgroup South Africa (Pty) Ltd

NETGroup South Africa (Pty) Ltd.

Established 1987 Disaster ManagementDisaster

• Technological Excellence • www.netgroup.co.za

Improved governance through technology Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Contents • • • Introduction RAVA RAVA project assessment Undertake adisaster risk

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Introduction • • Focus on ”undertaking a disastera ”undertakingon Focus Terminology used in presentation used Terminology ManagementRisk Disaster of part as assessment”risk

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Introduction Disaster risk management Disaster • technological and biologicaland technological hazards and impacts ofthe natural lessening at and capacities aimed processes planning and operational organizational administrative, multidisciplinary refersto termThe ‘disaster risk management’

integrated multisectoral and multisectoral integrated Improved governance technology through

related environmental,related

disasters

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Introduction RISK (Disaster Risk Management), risk is Management), risk (DisasterRisk Management Disasterof purpose the For expressed in termsexpressed of: in be can Riskdamage. environmental or loss disease, economic injury, harm froma hazard as the defined

– – (Allen, 1992).(Allen, time a unit in eventsoccurring of Or frequency occur, will effector someevent is that it likely how about statement A probability

possibility of sufferingpossibility Improved governance technology through

: a mathematical a mathematical : : the expected the number :

that can cause can that

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Introduction • • Risk Assessment Risk Risk assessment Risk 2000). hazards (Miller, specific to exposure from result may that environment the to or infrastructure, health, probabilityharm of to estimatethe and models data, usinghypotheses involves The event.an such and the occur the

probability risk assessment

Improved governance technology through potential impact potential

that a hazard will will hazard a that

involves estimating involves

to human human to

process

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Introduction Hazard human injury, damage to property, todamage injury, human situation Physical economical losses economical or major of life loss cause it can where event a becoming of potential the damaging phenomena potential A and hazard. terms disaster the between distinguish to important It is these. of combination some or environment the todamage

when it occurs in populated areas populated in occurs it when

Improved governance technology through

with a with (Allen, 1992).

(hazard) only has (hazard) only potential disaster disaster

for 7

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Introduction • Vulnerability Vulnerability of hazards of locationor community increase the may which factors, environmental and economicsocial,physical, from resulting and processes conditions

susceptibility Improved governance technology through

can be described as setof described be can to the impacts toimpacts the

of a of

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Undertaking Assessment Disaster Undertaking Risk • exist approaches and methodologies Many

– – – – The framework The framework provide a methodology that Data Resources expertise Available Study area • • • •

Other related DisasterManagement Other Financial

Improved governance technology through

must be followed

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Undertaking Assessment Disaster Undertaking Risk “Five” “Five” stages Disaster of Risk Assessment • • • • •

assessmentinformation risk disseminate and update initiatives, Stage 4 Stage 3 Stage 2 Stage 1 stage Preliminary All proposed disaster risk assessments planned by by planned assessments risk disaster proposed All reviewed by the NDMC prior to commissioning of commissioningto prior NDMC the by reviewed Deliverable of the preliminary stage national and provincial organs of state must be must state of organs provincial and national - – – –

Monitor risk reduction risk Monitor Evaluaterisk disaster disaster risk Estimate level of factor riskof Identification Improved governance technology through the assessmentsthe

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Undertaking Assessment Disaster Undertaking Risk • • • Preliminary Stage Identify key stakeholders Identify interpreted the findings the interpreted to approach or a method State plan methodology and project a Compile

This document must be previewed by NDMC by previewed must be This document Deliverable is a document thatstatethe is a Deliverable document methodology and possible outcome of possible the and outcome methodology before the project can startcan project the before Improved governance technology through proposed project. proposed

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Stage Stage 1 Undertaking Assessment Disaster Undertaking Risk • • • • Identify and describe the and describeIdentify Identify relevant capacities relevant Identify losses likely Estimate vulnerability Describeand quantify hazard

What hazards to identify on provincial level? provincialon to Whathazards identify –

Identify Identify disaster specific risk(s)

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Undertaking Assessment Disaster Undertaking Risk What hazards What hazards to identify on level? provincial • • • • High and medium magnitude, occur in occur magnitude, medium and High one Districtaffectthan moreto Likely consequences for the province the for consequences have and provinces neighbouring Affect level district available at not specialistrequire support of levels cause severeand loss,to potential the have seasonally,or infrequently occur frequencylow and magnitude high Are of interventionand/or support provincial may require and districts most

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Undertaking Assessment Disaster Undertaking Risk • Identify Identify and describe the hazard Data sources

– – Descriptive data (Qualitative) data Descriptive (GIS) based Spatial Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Undertaking Assessment Disaster Undertaking Risk Spatial Spatial based (GIS) • • • • • • • Aerial photographs etc Census data cover Land use data Land data Cadastral data Topographic

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Undertaking Assessment Disaster Undertaking Risk Descriptive Descriptive data (Qualitative) • • • • Historical information Historical Knock Impact Probability

- on effects on

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Undertaking Assessment Disaster Undertaking Risk Calculation the Calculation of impact • • Scientific methods exist to exist to Scientific methods detail?? Whatexist: The question impact the calculate

The following method was recommended after was method recommended The following 15 a andPHD 15 years of research

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 1:50 year flood year1:50 Damage/loss/impact

Improved governance technology through

Depth/intensity Loss/impact

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Undertaking Assessment Disaster Undertaking Risk Calculation Calculation vulnerability • • • • Identify hazardIdentify Identify infrastructure at risk infrastructureIdentify at risk communities Identify areas vulnerable Identify

Using mostly GIS techniques Question: What to measure? Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 determine vulnerability levels with GIS: with levels vulnerability determine to used Methods the of Examples • • • • • Distance and population size Distancepopulation and size population Wards and at risk InfrastructureQuantify area and type use Generalland per stand type use Land and Number

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Examples of results of Examples • • with respect to the methods used and findings generated. provincial and municipal levels should be externally validated At a minimum, all assessments carried out at national, National Indicative Disaster Risk Profile. commissions must be consolidated by the NDMC to provide a and provincial departments, municipalities and research Disaster risk assessment information generated by national national, provincial and municipal area planning: accuracy of the disaster risk assessment undertaken to inform The following two mechanisms must be used to ensure the • • level Provincial level local or District

findings. External validation or external peer review of methods and Establishment of a technical advisory committee

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 RAVA • • First phase of risk and vulnerabilityand of risk phaseFirst Province Cape Westernthe forModel Hazard (RAVA) assessment

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 RAVA . . RAVA planning future technological and It assessment

aimed

overview

was mitigation

Improved governance technology through for

achieving

‘first

hazards

of the

known

generation’ and Western

a -

preparedness

broad to natural

Cape assist

hazard sweep

and

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Provincial level level Provincial Hazard

Ben Evite scenariodambreak Improved governance technology through –

RAVA Project RAVA

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Provincial level level Provincial Vulnerable Vulnerable Area Calitzdorp Bonnievale Town Name Zweletemba Worcester Withoek Vredendal Riviersonderend Oudtshoorn Montagu Lutzville Klein Klawer Helderstroom Greyton Clanwilliam - Brakrivier

- Improved governance technology through

Dambreaks –

Roode Roode Elsberg dam Roode Elsberg dam Gamkapoort dam Clanwiliam dam Theewaterskloof dam Stompdrift dam Poortjieskloof dam Clanwiliam dam Klipheuwel dam Clanwiliam dam Theewaterskloof dam Theewaterskloof dam Clanwiliam dam Gamkapoort dam Klipberg dam Dam RAVA Project RAVA

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Provincial level level Provincial

Improved governance technology through –

RAVA Project RAVA

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Provincial level level Provincial Vulnerable Vulnerable Areas Jamestown Bella Wellington Riebeek Papegaaiberg Newton Malmesbury

Vista

- Wes

Ceres Wolseley Romansrivier Pniel Noorder Mbekweni Kalbaskraal Ceres

Improved governance technology through

Paarl

– Kraaifontein Stellenbosch Prince Ons Montana Kraaifontein Dal

RAVA Project RAVA

Hamlet

Josafat Rust

Alfred

Tulbagh Riebeek Paarl Nduli Kylemore Gouda Tulbagh

Kasteel

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Provincial level level Provincial

Improved governance technology through –

RAVA Project RAVA

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Provincial level level Provincial of high risk risk industries of high 100m withinare informal settlements The following Spoorkamp Masiphumeleschool site Morkels cottages Vrygrond remainder Hangberg SweetHome Waterfront Black city Boystown ext Vukuzenzele Gxagxa Freedom Park Wallacedene Du Noon holdingsite 1 Boystown ext

Fora road retreat Beverleyhills townSollies Fora road retreat Monwoodsouth Phola park Gqobasi Amsterdam Mfuleni Lusaka Barcelona NewRest Malawi Du Noon schoolsite Doornbach Improved governance technology through

–

RAVA Project RAVA Masiphumelevlei Pholile Vrygrond road res Faure camp Monwood Greenpark Boystown (xrds phase 5) Millerscamp phase 4 Europe Kanana Joe Slovo Du Noon holdingsite 2 Du Noon holdingsite 3

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Provincial level level Provincial

Improved governance technology through –

RAVA Project RAVA

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Provincial level level Provincial Vulnerable Vulnerable Areas

– – – – – Table View Table Philadelphia Melkbosstrand Bloubergstrand Atlantis

Improved governance technology through

–

RAVA Project RAVA

Disaster Management 8/4/2012

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012

Improved governance technology through Cape Town Cape

Disaster Management 8/4/2012

Improved governance technology through Cape Town Cape

Disaster Management 8/4/2012

Improved governance technology through Cape Town Cape

Disaster Management 8/4/2012

Improved governance technology through Cape Town Cape

Disaster Management 8/4/2012

Improved governance technology through Cape Town Cape

Disaster Management Vulnerable Vulnerable Areas Gouritsmond Clanwilliam Citrusdal Ceres Cape Camps Calitzdorp Bergsig Bergplaas Bella Beaufort Barrydale Atlantis Ashton Heroldsbaai Hermanus Helderstroom Heidelberg Hawstan Greenhaven Grabouw 8/4/2012

Vista Town

Bay

West

Kwanonqaba Kurland Kranshoek Kraaifontein Kalbaskraal Jongensfontein Jamestown Hunter's Hout Hornlee Hopefield Paarl Oudtshoorn Ons Onrusrivier Ocean Nature's Mount Mosselbaai Laaiplek Kylemore Hout Bay Kylemore

Rust

Bay

Pleasant View

Home Valley

Improved governance technology through Vredendal Vredenburg Voorbaai Vleiview Vleesbaai The Tergniet Table Rooiels Romansrivier Rocklands Robertsvlei Robertson Riviersonderend Piketberg Philippi Philadelphia Pearly Paternoster Papegaaiberg Pacaltsdorp Vredenburg

Heads

View

Beach

Zeekoevlei Worcester Worcester Wolseley Withoek Wilderness Wellington Worcester

East

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Sol Plaatje Municipality level local Plaatje or Sol District

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Sol Plaatje Municipality level local Plaatje or Sol District Vulnerable Vulnerable Areas

Improved governance technology through

SINGLE RESIDENTIAL BUSINESS GENERAL SUBURBAN SUBURBAN BUSINESS SUBUR BUS RESTRICTED SINGLE RESIDENTIAL ROADWAY RECREATIONAL GROUNDRAILWAY PUBLIC OPENSPACE PRIVATEOPEN SPACE PARKINGAREA MUNICIPAL GROUND MINING INSTITUTIONAL INDUSTRIAL BUSINESS GENERAL GENT/HOUSE,DUET RES GENRESTRICTED RES GENFLATS,HOTELS RES EDUCATIONAL 2 COMMERCIAL 2 COMMERCIAL 1 COMMERCIAL 1 COMMERCIAL CEMETERY AGRICULTURE

Zoning

Number 4857 4857

147 129 108 147 277 155 155 357 357 84 69 95 15 17 38 13 84 52 29 54 74 10 2 5

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Stage Stage 2 Undertaking Assessment Disaster Undertaking Risk • Determine priorities Determine

– – – – hazards or threats different Compare impact with likelihood or Probability or hazard threat specific a ofrisk the level Estimate impact/losses Estimate –

Estimate level disaster of risk(s)

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Undertaking Assessment Disaster Undertaking Risk • Stage Stage 3 Further prioritsation of disaster prioritsation Further risk

Disaster risk assessment information generated by national – – – commissions must be consolidated by the NDMC to provide hazard Utilization of specialist per Focus on specific hazards Multiple threats to assess and provincial departments, municipalities and research

–

a National Indicative Disaster Risk Profile. Evaluate Evaluate the disaster risk(s)

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Undertaking Assessment Disaster Undertaking Risk update and disseminate information disseminate and update 4 Stage • Further prioritsation of disaster prioritsation Further risk

–

Monitor disaster risk reduction initiatives, reduction risk Monitor disaster a National Indicative Disaster Risk Profile.

Improved governance technology through

Disaster Management 8/4/2012 Conclusions Framework and RAVA and Framework • • The outcome is different results that can lead tocan thatresults is The outcome different Standards that include deliverables that include Standards Resources available Resources result end used,to be methodsneeded,

– – – Expertise Financial Data miss interpretations and no usable and miss interpretations

Improved governance technology through

deliverables

Disaster Management 8/4/2012

Improved governance technology through