Transient Analysis of Full Scale and Experimental Downburst Flows
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NCAR Annual Scientific Report April 1978 - March 1979 - Link Page Next PART0002
National Center for Atmospheric Research Annual Scientific Report April 1978-March 1979 Submitted to National Science Foundation by University Corporation for Atmospheric Research July 1979 * * iii11 1 CONTENTS INTRODUCTION v ATMOSPHERIC ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION DIVISION 1 Climate Section 7 Oceanography Section 15 Large-Scale Dynamics Section 19 Mesoscale Research Section 28 ATMOSPHERIC QUALITY DIVISION 37 In-Situ Measurements and Photochemical Modeling 39 Biosphere-Atmosphere Interaction 42 Gas and Aerosol Measurements 43 Global Observations, Modeling, and Optical Techniques 45 Reactive Gases and Particles 51 Thermospheric Dynamics and Aeronomy 53 Stratospheric-Tropospheric Exchange 56 Radioactive Aerosols and Effects 58 HIGH ALTITUDE OBSERVATORY 63 Solar Variability Section 65 Solar Atmosphere and Magnetic Fields Section 72 Coronal Physics Section 78 78 Interplanetary Physics Section 83 CONVECTIVE STORMS DIVISION 89 ADVANCED STUDY PROGRAM 113 ATMOSPHERIC TECHNOLOGY DIVISION 127 Research Aviation Facility 129 Computing Facility 141 Field Observing Facility 154 Research Systems Facility 163 Global Atmospheric Measurements Program 169 National Scientific Balloon Facility 176 PUBLICATIONS 183 v INTRODUCTION The UCAR-NSF contract for the operation of NCAR calls for UCAR to submit to NSF an annual scientific report "containing a scientific description of all programs conducted by NCAR staff and NCAR visitors during the previous year." The contract stipulates that the report should "include a description of the scientific problems placed in a larger context, accomplishments, and a listing of papers published." This document is designed to respond to that contract provision, and has as its primary audience those NSF staff members responsible for monitoring UCAR's performance in the operation of a national laboratory under NSF sponsorship. -
Fatalities Associated with the Severe Weather Conditions in the Czech Republic, 2000–2019
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1355–1382, 2021 https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-1355-2021 © Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Fatalities associated with the severe weather conditions in the Czech Republic, 2000–2019 Rudolf Brázdil1,2, Katerinaˇ Chromá2, Lukáš Dolák1,2, Jan Rehoˇ rˇ1,2, Ladislava Rezníˇ ckovᡠ1,2, Pavel Zahradnícekˇ 2,3, and Petr Dobrovolný1,2 1Institute of Geography, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic 2Global Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences, Brno, Czech Republic 3Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Brno, Czech Republic Correspondence: Rudolf Brázdil ([email protected]) Received: 12 January 2021 – Discussion started: 21 January 2021 Revised: 25 March 2021 – Accepted: 26 March 2021 – Published: 4 May 2021 Abstract. This paper presents an analysis of fatalities at- with fatal accidents as well as a decrease in their percent- tributable to weather conditions in the Czech Republic dur- age in annual numbers of fatalities. The discussion of results ing the 2000–2019 period. The database of fatalities de- includes the problems of data uncertainty, comparison of dif- ployed contains information extracted from Právo, a lead- ferent data sources, and the broader context. ing daily newspaper, and Novinky.cz, its internet equivalent, supplemented by a number of other documentary sources. The analysis is performed for floods, windstorms, convective storms, rain, snow, glaze ice, frost, heat, and fog. For each 1 Introduction of them, the associated fatalities are investigated in terms of annual frequencies, trends, annual variation, spatial distribu- Natural disasters are accompanied not only by extensive ma- tion, cause, type, place, and time as well as the sex, age, and terial damage but also by great loss of human life, facts easily behaviour of casualties. -
Downbursts: As Dangerous As Tornadoes? Winds Can Be Experienced Along the Leading Edge of This “Spreading Out” Air
DDoowwnnbbuurrssttss:: AAss DDaannggeerroouuss aass TToorrnnaaddooeess?? National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg, SC What is a Downburst? “It had to be a tornado!” This is a “updraft.” common statement made by citizens of the Carolinas and On a typical day in the warm season, North Georgia who experience once a cloud grows to 20,000 to damaging winds associated with 30,000 feet, it will begin to produce severe thunderstorms, especially heavy rain and lightning. The falling if those winds cause damage to rain causes a “downdraft,” or sinking their homes. However, the column of air to form. A thunderstorm combination of atmospheric may eventually grow to a height of ingredients that are necessary for 50,000 feet or more before it stops tornadoes occurs only rarely developing. Generally speaking, the across our area. In fact the 46 Fig. 1. Tracks of tornadoes across the “taller” the storm, the more likely it is Carolinas and Georgia from 1995 through counties that represent the to produce a strong downdraft. Once 2011. Compare this with the downburst Greenville-Spartanburg Weather reports during this time (Figure 3). the air within the downdraft reaches Forecast Offices’s County Warning the surface, it spreads out parallel to Area only experience a total of 12 the ground. Very strong to damaging to 15 tornadoes during an average year. However, thunderstorms and even severe thunderstorms are a relatively common occurrence across our area, especially from late spring through mid-summer. This is because a warm and humid (i.e., unstable) atmosphere is required for thunderstorm development. If some atmospheric process forces the unstable air Fig. -
ESSENTIALS of METEOROLOGY (7Th Ed.) GLOSSARY
ESSENTIALS OF METEOROLOGY (7th ed.) GLOSSARY Chapter 1 Aerosols Tiny suspended solid particles (dust, smoke, etc.) or liquid droplets that enter the atmosphere from either natural or human (anthropogenic) sources, such as the burning of fossil fuels. Sulfur-containing fossil fuels, such as coal, produce sulfate aerosols. Air density The ratio of the mass of a substance to the volume occupied by it. Air density is usually expressed as g/cm3 or kg/m3. Also See Density. Air pressure The pressure exerted by the mass of air above a given point, usually expressed in millibars (mb), inches of (atmospheric mercury (Hg) or in hectopascals (hPa). pressure) Atmosphere The envelope of gases that surround a planet and are held to it by the planet's gravitational attraction. The earth's atmosphere is mainly nitrogen and oxygen. Carbon dioxide (CO2) A colorless, odorless gas whose concentration is about 0.039 percent (390 ppm) in a volume of air near sea level. It is a selective absorber of infrared radiation and, consequently, it is important in the earth's atmospheric greenhouse effect. Solid CO2 is called dry ice. Climate The accumulation of daily and seasonal weather events over a long period of time. Front The transition zone between two distinct air masses. Hurricane A tropical cyclone having winds in excess of 64 knots (74 mi/hr). Ionosphere An electrified region of the upper atmosphere where fairly large concentrations of ions and free electrons exist. Lapse rate The rate at which an atmospheric variable (usually temperature) decreases with height. (See Environmental lapse rate.) Mesosphere The atmospheric layer between the stratosphere and the thermosphere. -
Glossary of Severe Weather Terms
Glossary of Severe Weather Terms -A- Anvil The flat, spreading top of a cloud, often shaped like an anvil. Thunderstorm anvils may spread hundreds of miles downwind from the thunderstorm itself, and sometimes may spread upwind. Anvil Dome A large overshooting top or penetrating top. -B- Back-building Thunderstorm A thunderstorm in which new development takes place on the upwind side (usually the west or southwest side), such that the storm seems to remain stationary or propagate in a backward direction. Back-sheared Anvil [Slang], a thunderstorm anvil which spreads upwind, against the flow aloft. A back-sheared anvil often implies a very strong updraft and a high severe weather potential. Beaver ('s) Tail [Slang], a particular type of inflow band with a relatively broad, flat appearance suggestive of a beaver's tail. It is attached to a supercell's general updraft and is oriented roughly parallel to the pseudo-warm front, i.e., usually east to west or southeast to northwest. As with any inflow band, cloud elements move toward the updraft, i.e., toward the west or northwest. Its size and shape change as the strength of the inflow changes. Spotters should note the distinction between a beaver tail and a tail cloud. A "true" tail cloud typically is attached to the wall cloud and has a cloud base at about the same level as the wall cloud itself. A beaver tail, on the other hand, is not attached to the wall cloud and has a cloud base at about the same height as the updraft base (which by definition is higher than the wall cloud). -
Title Author(S)
th 5 European Conference on Severe Storms 12 - 16 October 2009 - Landshut - GERMANY ECSS 2009 Abstracts by session ECSS 2009 - 5th European Conference on Severe Storms 12-16 October 2009 - Landshut – GERMANY List of the abstract accepted for presentation at the conference: O – Oral presentation P – Poster presentation Session 09: Severe storm case studies and field campaigns, e.g. COPS, THORPEX, VORTEX2 Page Type Abstract Title Author(s) An F3 downburst in Austria - a case study with special G. Pistotnik, A. M. Holzer, R. 265 O focus on the importance of real-time site surveys Kaltenböck, S. Tschannett J. Bech, N. Pineda, M. Aran, J. An observational analysis of a tornadic severe weather 267 O Amaro, M. Gayà, J. Arús, J. event Montanyà, O. van der Velde Case study: Extensive wind damage across Slovenia on July M. Korosec, J. Cedilnik 269 O 13th, 2008 Observed transition from an elevated mesoscale convective J. Marsham, S. Trier, T. 271 O system to a surface based squall line: 13th June, Weckwerth, J. Wilson, A. Blyth IHOP_2002 08/08/08: classification and simulation challenge of the A. Pucillo, A. Manzato 273 O FVG olympic storm H. Bluestein, D. Burgess, D. VORTEX2: The Second Verification of the Origins of Dowell, P. Markowski, E. 275 O Rotation in Tornadoes Experiment Rasmussen, Y. Richardson, L. Wicker, J. Wurman Observations of the initiation and development of severe A. Blyth, K. Browning, J. O convective storms during CSIP Marsham, P. Clark, L. Bennett The development of tornadic storms near a surface warm P. Groenemeijer, U. Corsmeier, 277 O front in central England during the Convective Storm C. -
10.6 ADVANCES in DOWNBURST MONITORING and PREDICTION with GOES-16 Kenneth L. Pryor Center for Satellite Applications and Resear
10.6 ADVANCES IN DOWNBURST MONITORING AND PREDICTION WITH GOES-16 Kenneth L. Pryor Center for Satellite Applications and Research (NOAA/NESDIS) College Park, MD 1. INTRODUCTION The three-channel GOES imager product (Pryor 2009) has been developed and The launch of Geostationary Operational experimentally implemented to assess downburst Environmental Satellite (GOES)-16 in November potential over the western United States with 2016 and subsequent activation of the Advanced improved temporal and spatial resolution. The Baseline Imager (ABI) in January 2017 has availability of the split-window channel in the resulted in the increased accessibility to high GOES-16 imager allows for the inference of spatial and temporal satellite image datasets for boundary layer moisture content. Wakimoto convective storm monitoring and nowcasting. (1985), based on his study of microbursts that The existing suite of GOES downburst prediction occurred during the Joint Airport Weather Studies algorithms employs the GOES imager and (JAWS) project, noted favorable environmental sounder to calculate potential of occurrence conditions over the western United States: (1) based on conceptual models of favorable intense solar heating of the surface and a environmental thermodynamic profiles for resulting superadiabatic surface layer; (2) a deep, downburst generation. Traditional meteorological dry-adiabatic convective boundary layer (Sorbjan satellite techniques for deep convective storm 1989) that extends upward to near the 500mb monitoring, including the water vapor – longwave level; (3) a well-mixed moisture profile with a infrared (WV – IR) brightness temperature large relative humidity gradient between the mid- difference (BTD), have recently been extended troposphere and the surface. The GOES-16 ABI by multichannel techniques for diagnosing microburst algorithm employs brightness attributes of a favorable downburst environment. -
Weather Spotter's Field Guide
Weather Spotter’s Field Guide © Roger Edwards A Guide to Being a SKYWARN® Spotter U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service Ⓡ June 2011 The Spotter’s Role Section 1 The SKYWARN® Spotter and the Spotter’s Role The United States is the most severe weather- prone country in the world. Each year, people in this country cope with an average of 10,000 thunderstorms, 5,000 floods, 1,200 tornadoes, and two landfalling hurricanes. Approximately 90% of all presidentially Ⓡ declared disasters are weather-related, causing around 500 deaths each year and nearly $14 billion in damage. SKYWARN® is a National Weather Service (NWS) program developed in the 1960s that consists of trained weather spotters who provide reports of severe and hazardous weather to help meteorologists make life-saving warning decisions. Spotters are concerned citizens, amateur radio operators, truck drivers, mariners, airplane pilots, emergency management personnel, and public safety officials who volunteer their time and energy to report on hazardous weather impacting their community. Although, NWS has access to data from Doppler radar, satellite, and surface weather stations, technology cannot detect every instance of hazardous weather. Spotters help fill in the gaps by reporting hail, wind damage, flooding, heavy snow, tornadoes and waterspouts. Radar is an excellent tool, but it is just that: one tool among many that NWS uses. We need spotters to report how storms and other hydrometeorological phenomena are impacting their area. SKYWARN® spotter reports provide vital “ground truth” to the NWS. They act as our eyes and ears in the field. -
Dissertation Cold Pool Processes in Different
DISSERTATION COLD POOL PROCESSES IN DIFFERENT ENVIRONMENTS Submitted by Leah Danielle Grant Department of Atmospheric Science In partial fulfillment of the requirements For the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado Spring 2018 Doctoral Committee: Advisor: Susan C. van den Heever David A. Randall Steven A. Rutledge Jeffrey D. Niemann Copyright by Leah Danielle Grant 2017 All Rights Reserved ABSTRACT COLD POOL PROCESSES IN DIFFERENT ENVIRONMENTS Cold pools are localized regions of dense air near Earth’s surface. They form in association with precipitating clouds in many environments ranging from moist tropical to semi- arid continental conditions, and they play important roles in weather in climate. The overarching goal of this dissertation research is to improve our process-level understanding of cold pool interactions with different components of the Earth system, focusing on two key knowledge gaps: (1) interactions with Earth’s surface in continental environments; and (2) interactions with organized convective systems in tropical oceanic environments. The primary goal of the first study conducted in this dissertation is to evaluate how surface sensible heat fluxes impact cold pool dissipation in dry continental environments via two pathways: (a) by directly heating the cold pool, and (b) by changing mixing rates between cold pool air and environmental air through altering turbulence intensity. Idealized 2D simulations of isolated cold pools are conducted with varying sensible heat flux formulations to determine the relative importance of these two mechanisms. The results demonstrate that the impact of sensible heat fluxes on mixing, i.e. mechanism (b), contributes most significantly to cold pool dissipation. -
THE BOW ECHO and MCV EXPERIMENT Observations and Opportunities
THE BOW ECHO AND MCV EXPERIMENT Observations and Opportunities BY CHRISTOPHER DAVIS, NOLAN ATKINS, DIANA BARTELS, LANCE BOSART, MICHAEL CONIGLIO, GEORGE BRYAN, WILLIAM COTTON, DAVID DOWELL, BRIAN JEWETT, ROBERT JOHNS,* DAVID JORGENSEN, JASON KNIEVEL, KEVIN KNUPP, WEN-CHAU LEE, GREGORY MCFARQUHAR, JAMES MOORE, RON PRZYBYLINSKI, ROBERT RAUBER, BRADLEY SMULL, ROBERT TRAPP, STANLEY TRIER, ROGER WAKIMOTO, MORRIS WEISMAN, AND CONRAD ZIEGLER The field campaign, involving multiple aircraft and ground-based instruments, documented numerous long-lived mesoscale convective systems, many producing strong surface winds and exhibiting mesoscale rotation. hile the observational study of mesoscale Kansas Preliminary Regional Experiment for convective systems (MCSs) has been active Stormscale Operational and Research Meteorology W since the 1940s (e.g., Newton 1950 and ref- (STORM)-Central (PRE-STORM) (Cunning 1986) erences within), until the Bow Echo and Mesoscale were geographically fixed by the ground-based instru- Convective Vortex Experiment (BAMEX) there were ment networks employed. The unique observing no studies designed to sample multiscale aspects of strategy of BAMEX relied on the deployment of these systems throughout the majority of their life highly mobile observing systems, both airborne and cycles. Previous field studies such as the Oklahoma- ground based, supported by the enhanced operational AFFILIATIONS: DAVIS, BRYAN, DOWELL, KNIEVEL, BARTELS, LEE, Missouri; SMULL—NSSL, and University of Washington, Seattle, TRIER, AND WEISMAN—National -
Downburst-Producing Thunderstorms in Southern Germany: Radar Analysis and Predictability
ARTICLE IN PRESS ATMOS-01868; No of Pages 17 Atmospheric Research xxx (2008) xxx–xxx Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Atmospheric Research journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/atmos Downburst-producing thunderstorms in southern Germany: Radar analysis and predictability Nikolai Dotzek a,b,⁎, Katja Friedrich a,1 a Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, 82234 Wessling, Germany b European Severe Storms Laboratory (ESSL), Münchner Str. 20, 82234 Wessling, Germany article info abstract Article history: Three days with downburst-producing thunderstorms during the VERTIKATOR intensive Received 14 December 2007 observation period in June and July 2002 are studied by means of the C-band polarisation Received in revised form 5 September 2008 diversity radar POLDIRAD and its network of three bistatic receivers. We present the first wind Accepted 26 September 2008 vector fields from a downburst measured by such a bistatic network. The polarimetric radar Available online xxxx data allowed testing the recent hypothesis that a dominant trigger mechanism for wet downbursts might be the cooling due to melting of small hail or graupel in the storm, and we Keywords: found some evidence for this process in the VERTIKATOR storms. This could be exploited by Downburst polarimetric radar nowcasting algorithms for downburst detection. The predictability of the Polarimetric bistatic radar WINDEX downburst potential was further investigated from proximity soundings and their derived GUSTEX indices WINDEX as well as different formulations of GUSTEX. In particular, a new formulation of GUSTEX is proposed here which shows promising predictive skill for the VERTIKATOR cases and a number of other severe (and non-severe) situations from the same region in southern Germany. -
Fp5j.2 an Airborne Dual-Doppler Back-Trajectory Study of Downdrafts in Bow-Echoes During Bamex
FP5J.2 AN AIRBORNE DUAL-DOPPLER BACK-TRAJECTORY STUDY OF DOWNDRAFTS IN BOW-ECHOES DURING BAMEX William C. Straka III+, William R. Cotton*, and Ray McAnelly Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado + Current affiliation: Space Science and Engineering Center, University of Wisconsin at Madison, Madison, WI 1. INTRODUCTION Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) have been observed to often produce severe windstorms, which can pose a significant hazard to life and property. These windstorms often occur in much of the United States during the spring and summer months, coincidentally the same time that most MCSs occur in the mid-west. Johns and Hirt (1987) defined the long-lived, large scale convectively produced windstorms, called derechos, basing their criteria on data available from the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) and the National Severe Storms Forecast Center (the predecessor to the Storm Prediction Center; SPC). Johns and Hirt (1987) defined derecho events to be associated with an extratropical MCS that produces a “family of downburst clusters” (Fujita and Wakimoto, 1981). Based on the criteria of Johns and Hirt (1987), the geographical distribution of the 70 Figure 1. Total number of derechos in a 2o x 2o warm season events they observed suggest that most squares during May through August 1980-1981. warm season derechos occur in a region from the Interpreted from Johns and Hirt (1987). upper Midwest to the Ohio valley and are relatively infrequent in other locations (Figure 1). It is thought line winds, they also have been associated with the that most derechos are manifestations of “bow- formation of tornados (e.