1 December 2016 Europe/United Kingdom Equity Research Specialty Hardline Dixons Carphone Plc (DC.L) Rating OUTPERFORM Price (29 Nov 16, p) 335.40 INITIATION Target price (p) 420.00 Market Cap (£ m) 3,864.7 Enterprise value (£ m) 4,147.0 Standing tall – initiate at Outperform *Stock ratings are relative to the coverage universe in each analyst's or each team's respective sector. ■ Initiating with an Outperform rating and a target price of 420p. Despite ¹Target price is for 12 months. robust LFL growth and profit delivery this year, shares are down 33% year to Research Analysts date on investor concerns about weak sterling and demand next year. We Pradeep Pratti, CFA argue that Dixons Carphone will pass through higher costs, while demand is 44 207 888 5043 likely to remain stable and the flux in the industry should help the company
[email protected] gain market share in the UK and Europe. With additional benefits from Simon Irwin planned synergies, the ongoing store optimisation and focus on Services, we 44 20 7888 0320
[email protected] estimate the group can deliver 3-4% top-line growth, +60bps EBIT margin and strong cash generation over the next four years. On 10.5x 12-month P/E, we think the shares are discounting no growth and a 4% terminal margin; we view this as overly pessimistic. ■ Consolidation still playing out. The electricals retail sector is still right- sizing, and our analysis of key UK independent retailers highlights the sub- scale nature of the many operators and the likelihood of further consolidation.