8-9 April 2008
GEN David H. Petraeus
Multi-National Force-Iraq
Charts to accompany the testimony of Weekly Security Incidents
Ramadan 16OCT-14NOV04 05OCT-04NOV05 24SEP-23OCT06 13SEP-13OCT07 Fardh al-Qanoon, 15 February 2007
Samarra mosque Parliamentary bombing, elections, 22 February 2006 15 December 2005
Iraqi elections, Constitutional 30 January 2005 referendum, 15 October 2005
1 Civilian Deaths
2 Ethno-Sectarian Violence
DEC 06 APR 07 SEP 07
Baghdad Baghdad Baghdad Density plots depict incidents of ethno-sectarian deaths. MAR 08 Ethno-Sectarian Deaths
Baghdad
Density Least Most Neighborhood Sect Legend
75% Shi’a 75% Sunni 51% Shi’a / 25% Sunni 51% Sunni / 25% Shi’a Unknown Mixed - No majority 3 High Profile Attacks (Explosions)
4 Sons of Iraq Concerned Local Citizens
Total Contracted: 91,641 Dahuk Volunteers: 4,605 Sunni: 78% Mosul Tall ‘Afar Irbil Shia: 19% Other: 3% Kirkuk As Sulaymaniyah Transitioned: 21,128 Bayji Anbar: 8,206 Iraqi Security Forces: 8,241 Tikrit Al Qa’im Samarra Non-Security Employment: 4,681 Al Haditha Balad Ba’qubah Ramadi
Costs: Al Baghdad Average Monthly CERP: $16M Fallujah Al Kut Karbala Al Hillah
Al ‘Amarah An Najaf Ad Diwaniyah
As Al Qurnah Samawah An Nasiriyah Al Basrah Az Zubayr
Umm Qasr
Density Least Most 5 Caches Found and Cleared
Year Anbar Iraq 2008 to Date 748 2837 2007 3147 6963 2006 1213 2660 2005 1271 2862 2004 367 1531
6 Al Qaeda in Iraq and Sunni Insurgents
December 2006 March 2008
7 Anaconda Strategy vs. AQI Work with Syria Strategic Source Countries Engagement Interagency Communications Border Ports of Entry Improvements Information Operations Kinetics AQI NEEDS Internet Counter-Terrorist AQ Senior Leader Force Ops Weapons Guidance Conventional Money Religious Force Ops Ansar Engagement al Sunna AQI Foreign Iraqi Conventional Command Education & Special Force Ops Fighters Other and Control Jobs Programs Groups Sons of Iraq Services Safe Ideology Non-kinetics Havens Popular Counter Ethno-Sectarian Support Pressures Counterinsurgency Tribal in Detention Facilities Politics Awakenings Detainee Intel Fusion Intel, Surveillance Releases Detainee Political and Recce Platforms Reconciliation Ops Armed Unmanned Intelligence (Laws/policies) Aerial Vehicles 8 Provincial Iraqi Control
Dahuk Dahuk
Ninewa Irbil Ninewa Irbil FEB 07 MAR 08 Ta’mim Sulaymaniyah Ta’mim Sulaymaniyah
Salah Ad Salah Ad Din Din Diyala Diyala
Baghdad Baghdad Anbar Anbar Wasit Wasit Karbala Babil Karbala Babil
Qadisiyah Maysan Qadisiyah Maysan
An Najaf An Najaf Dhi Qar Dhi Qar Muthanna Muthanna Basra Basra Projected Transfer Date Transitioned JUN 08 Anbar JUL 08 Qadisiyah Projected within 6 Months NOV 08 Wasit NOV 08 Babil Partially Ready DEC 08 Diyala DEC 08 Baghdad Not Ready JAN 09 Salah Ad Din JAN 09 Ninewa TBD Ta’mim 9 Iraqi Combat Battalion Generation
Infantry, Armor, Special Operations, and National Police Battalions JAN 2007 MAR 2008 DEC 2008 (Projected) 187 171 Battalions Battalions
112 115 Battalions in Battalions the lead 93 Battalions in the lead
44 Battalions 36 Battalions 27 Battalions
Operational Readiness Assessment = ORA 10 Iraq Security Forces Expenditures
11