DOCSLIB.ORG

The Next Cold War: Are the United States and China Undergoing a Power Transition Through Proxy Wars?

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
The Next Cold War: Are the United States and China Undergoing a Power Transition Through Proxy Wars? The Next Cold War: Are the United States and China undergoing a power transition through proxy wars? by Mohamed Elgayar Submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts at Dalhousie University Halifax, Nova Scotia December 2018 © Copyright by Mohamed Elgayar, 2018 Table of Contents List of Tables ................................................................................................................................... v List of Figures ............................................................................................................................... vi Abstract ......................................................................................................................................... vii Acknowledgements ...................................................................................................................... viii Chapter 1: Introduction ................................................................................................................. 1 Chapter 2: Review of Literature .................................................................................................. 10 The Rise to Power ................................................................................................................................. 11 Destined for War? ................................................................................................................................ 13 Intervention Theory ............................................................................................................................. 16 Opportunistic Intervention .................................................................................................................. 20 Strategic Balancing Intervention......................................................................................................... 24 Chapter 3: Theoretical Framework on Sino-American Transition ........................................... 29 Can the United States and China avoid the Thucydides Trap? ....................................................... 29 War, what is it good for? ...................................................................................................................... 34 Is Power Transition Dead? .................................................................................................................. 39 Following America’s Lead ................................................................................................................... 42 Chapter 4: Research Design and Methodology .......................................................................... 44 Hypothesis Testing ................................................................................................................................ 44 Methodology .......................................................................................................................................... 46 ii Dataset ................................................................................................................................................... 47 Dependent Variables ............................................................................................................................ 49 Independent Variables ......................................................................................................................... 51 Sino-American Rivalry ...................................................................................................................................... 51 Time of intervention ........................................................................................................................................... 59 Region of conflict ............................................................................................................................................... 61 Discovery of Petroleum...................................................................................................................................... 62 Control Variables ............................................................................................................................................... 63 Chapter 5: Empirical Findings and Results ............................................................................... 64 Observation of Raw Data ..................................................................................................................... 64 Empirical Findings over time .............................................................................................................. 66 Empirical findings by region ............................................................................................................... 69 Empirical Findings on Potential Balancing Interventions ................................................................ 71 Hypothesis Testing ................................................................................................................................ 72 Chapter 6: Addressing Sino-American Interventions ................................................................ 74 Rivalry Implications ............................................................................................................................. 76 Chinese Rivalry Intervention: Balancing or Opportunism? ............................................................ 77 The Iraqi Insurgency (2003-2013) ..................................................................................................................... 81 Fatah-Hamas Conflict ........................................................................................................................................ 83 Syrian Civil War ................................................................................................................................................ 86 Chinese Rivalry Interventions ............................................................................................................. 90 On Course to Collide? .......................................................................................................................... 93 Chapter 7: Conclusion ................................................................................................................. 96 iii Restrictions and Limitations ................................................................................................................ 98 Appendix 1 Sino-American Interventions by year .................................................................... 100 Appendix 2 Conflicts and Intervention Side ............................................................................. 102 Works Cited ................................................................................................................................ 104 iv List of Tables Table 1 Height of Rivalry by Time Period ................................................................................... 59 Table 2 Number of Interventions by Country ............................................................................... 66 Table 3 List of Conflict Interventions by Year ............................................................................. 67 Table 4 Potential Balancing Interventions within Each Time Period ........................................... 72 Table 5 Balancing V. Opportunistic Interventions ....................................................................... 79 v List of Figures Figure 1 Number of interventions and rivalry interventions by year ............................................ 65 Figure 2 Number of Interventions by Year ................................................................................... 65 Figure 3 Number of Interventions by Country ............................................................................. 69 Figure 4 Number of Interventions in Each Region ....................................................................... 70 Figure 5 Geopolitical Map of Mediterranean ............................................................................... 88 vi Abstract The thesis reviews the implications of Sino-American conflicts in the context of contemporary international relations. Since the end of the Cold War, the threat of direct conflict between major powers has declined due to the logic of mutually assured destruction, leaving a gap in the study of power transition theories: How can transitions be violent if there is no direct conflict? This thesis proposes that a new mechanism of conflict has replaced the traditional means of violent transition: proxy wars. The question this thesis seeks to answer is: Has the heightened Sino-American rivalry increased the number of conflicts Beijing has intervened in? If so, which factors best explain the logic behind Chinese intervention? Balancing intervention or opportunism? This thesis implements a longitudinal design to explore the changes in interventions by both actors over time. The cases that involved both actors intervening in opposition (Iraq, Syria, and Fatah-Hamas) were then presented in case studies to determine whether the intervention was best explained by strategic balancing or opportunism. While the thesis ultimately determines that it is too early to define a direct relationship between the height of rivalry and intervention, it does offer insight into the potential trajectory and what a power transition through proxy wars might look like. This research
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Corvettes and Opvs Countering Manpads Air Forces Directory Corvettes and Opvs Countering Manpads Air Forces Directory Singapore
    VOLUME 26/ISSUE 1 FEBRUARY 2018 US$15 ASIA PAcific’s LARGEST CIRCULATED DEFENCE MAGAZINE SINGAPORE’S ARMED FORCES ASIA-PACIFIC MAIN BATTLE TANKS MALE /HALE UAVS CORVETTES AND OPVS COUNTERING MANPADS AIR FORCES DIRECTORY www.asianmilitaryreview.com B:216 mm T:213 mm S:197 mm AQS-24 B:291 mm S:270 mm T:286 mm THE VALUE OF ENSURING AN UNDERSEA ADVANTAGE KNOWS NO BORDERS. Mines don’t recognize borders, nor should the most advanced mine hunting solutions. Only Northrop Grumman’s advanced AQS-24 family of sensors deliver unparalleled performance with complete adaptability. From hardware versatility (deployable from helicopter or unmanned surface vessel) to increased speed in mission execution, the AQS-24 is the future of mine warfare. That’s why we’re a leader in advanced undersea technology. www.northropgrumman.com/minehunter ©2017 Northrop Grumman Corporation 02 | ASIAN MILITARY REVIEW | ©2017 Northrop Grumman Corporation Project Manager: Vanessa Pineda Document Name: NG-MSH-Z35767-B.indd Element: P4CB Current Date: 9-18-2017 11:09 AM Studio Client: Northrop Grumman Bleed: 216 mm w x 291 mm h Studio Artist: DAW Product: MSH Trim: 213 mm w x 286 mm h Proof #: 3-RELEASE Proofreader Creative Tracking: NG-MSH-Z35767 Safety: 197 mm w x 270 mm h Print Scale: None Page 1 of 1 Print Producer Billing Job: NG-MSH-Z35767 Gutter: None InDesign Version: CC 2015 Title: AQS-24 Intl Aus - Asian Military Review Color List: None Art Director Inks: Cyan, Magenta, Yellow, Black Creative Director Document Path: Mechanicals:Northrop_Grumman:NG-MSH:NG-MSH-Z35767:NG-MSH-Z35767-B.indd
    [Show full text]
  • Taiwan's Indigenous Defense Industry: Centralized Control of Abundant
    Taiwan’s Indigenous Defense Industry: Centralized Control of Abundant Suppliers David An, Matt Schrader, Ned Collins-Chase May 2018 About the Global Taiwan Institute GTI is a 501(c)(3) non-profit policy incubator dedicated to insightful, cutting-edge, and inclusive research on policy issues regarding Taiwan and the world. Our mission is to enhance the relationship between Taiwan and other countries, especially the United States, through policy research and programs that promote better public understanding about Taiwan and its people. www.globaltaiwan.org About the Authors David An is a senior research fellow at the Global Taiwan Institute. David was a political-military affairs officer covering the East Asia region at the U.S. State Department from 2009 to 2014. Mr. An received a State Department Superior Honor Award for initiating this series of political-military visits from senior Taiwan officials, and also for taking the lead on congressional notification of U.S. arms sales to Taiwan. He received his M.A. from UCSD Graduate School of Global Policy and Strategy and his B.A. from UC Berkeley. Matt Schrader is the Editor-in-Chief of the China Brief at the Jamestown Foundation, MA candidate at Georgetown University, and previously an intern at GTI. Mr. Schrader has over six years of professional work experience in China. He received his BA from the George Washington University. Ned Collins-Chase is an MA candidate at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, and previously an intern at GTI. He has worked in China, been a Peace Corps volunteer in Mo- zambique, and was also an intern at the US State Department.
    [Show full text]
  • Able Archers: Taiwan Defense Strategy in an Age of Precision Strike
    (Image Source: Wired.co.uk) Able Archers Taiwan Defense Strategy in an Age of Precision Strike IAN EASTON September 2014 |Able Archers: Taiwan Defense Strategy and Precision Strike | Draft for Comment Able Archers: Taiwan Defense Strategy in an Age of Precision Strike September 2014 About the Project 2049 Institute The Project 2049 Institute seeks to guide decision makers toward a more secure Asia by the century’s Cover Image Source: Wired.co.uk mid-point. Located in Arlington, Virginia, the organization fills a gap in the public policy realm Above Image: Chung Shyang UAV at Taiwan’s 2007 National Day Parade through forward-looking, region-specific research on alternative security and policy solutions. Its Above Image Source: Wikimedia interdisciplin ary approach draws on rigorous analysis of socioeconomic, governance, military, environmental, technological and political trends, and input from key players in the region, with an eye toward educating the public and informing policy debate. ii |Able Archers: Taiwan Defense Strategy and Precision Strike | Draft for Comment About the Author Ian Easton is a research fellow at the Project 2049 Institute, where he studies defense and security issues in Asia. During the summer of 2013 , he was a visiting fellow at the Japan Institute for International Affairs (JIIA) in Tokyo. Previously, he worked as a China analyst at the Center for Naval Analyses (CNA). He lived in Taipei from 2005 to 2010. During his time in Taiwan he worked as a translator for Island Technologies Inc. and the Foundation for Asia-Pacific Peace Studies. He also conducted research with the Asia Bureau Chief of Defense News.
    [Show full text]
  • Chinese Civil War
    asdf Chinese Civil War Chair: Sukrit S. Puri Crisis Director: Jingwen Guo Chinese Civil War PMUNC 2016 Contents Introduction: ……………………………………....……………..……..……3 The Chinese Civil War: ………………………….....……………..……..……6 Background of the Republic of China…………………………………….……………6 A Brief History of the Kuomintang (KMT) ………..……………………….…….……7 A Brief History of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)………...…………...…………8 The Nanjing (Nanking) Decade………….…………………….……………..………..10 Chinese Civil War (1927-37)…………………... ………………...…………….…..….11 Japanese Aggression………..…………….………………...…….……….….................14 The Xi’an Incident..............……………………………..……………………...…........15 Sino-Japanese War and WWII ………………………..……………………...…..........16 August 10, 1945 …………………...….…………………..……………………...…...17 Economic Issues………………………………………….……………………...…...18 Relations with the United States………………………..………………………...…...20 Relations with the USSR………………………..………………………………...…...21 Positions: …………………………….………….....……………..……..……4 2 Chinese Civil War PMUNC 2016 Introduction On October 1, 1949, Chairman Mao Zedong stood atop the Gates of Heavenly Peace, and proclaimed the creation of the People’s Republic of China. Zhongguo -- the cradle of civilization – had finally achieved a modicum of stability after a century of chaotic lawlessness and brutality, marred by foreign intervention, occupation, and two civil wars. But it could have been different. Instead of the communist Chairman Mao ushering in the dictatorship of the people, it could have been the Generalissimo Chiang Kai-shek, of the Nationalist
    [Show full text]
  • Yiku Sitian” Movement in the 1960S and 1970S from the Perspective of Cultural Discourse Analysis
    University of Massachusetts Amherst ScholarWorks@UMass Amherst Doctoral Dissertations Dissertations and Theses March 2016 A Tale of “Ku” (Bitter) V.S. “Tian” (Sweet): Understanding China's “Yiku Sitian” Movement in the 1960s and 1970s from the Perspective of Cultural Discourse Analysis Xinmei Ge University of Massachusetts Amherst Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.umass.edu/dissertations_2 Part of the Communication Commons Recommended Citation Ge, Xinmei, "A Tale of “Ku” (Bitter) V.S. “Tian” (Sweet): Understanding China's “Yiku Sitian” Movement in the 1960s and 1970s from the Perspective of Cultural Discourse Analysis" (2016). Doctoral Dissertations. 573. https://doi.org/10.7275/7904288.0 https://scholarworks.umass.edu/dissertations_2/573 This Open Access Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the Dissertations and Theses at ScholarWorks@UMass Amherst. It has been accepted for inclusion in Doctoral Dissertations by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks@UMass Amherst. For more information, please contact [email protected]. A TALE OF “KU” (BITTER) V.S. “TIAN” (SWEET): UNDERSTANDING CHINA’S “YIKU SITIAN” MOVEMENT IN THE 1960S AND 1970S FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF CULTURAL DISCOURSE ANALYSIS A Dissertation Presented by XINMEI GE Submitted to the Graduate School of the University of Massachusetts Amherst in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY February 2016 Department of Communication © Copyright by Xinmei Ge 2016 All rights reversed A TALE
    [Show full text]
  • Taiwan's Internal and External Climate Policy Challenges I-Wei Jennifer Chang Implications of US-China Tech War for Taiwan's
    Global Taiwan Brief Vol. 6, Issue 10 Global Taiwan Brief Vol 6, Issue1 10 Taiwan’s Internal and External Climate Policy Challenges I-wei Jennifer Chang Implications of US-China Tech War for Taiwan’s Semiconductors Industry Jeremy Huai-Che Chiang Illegal Crossings Highlight Need for Enhanced Maritime Domain Awareness in Taiwan Strait J. Michael Cole A Strategic Review of “Strategic Ambiguity” Shirley Kan Biden-Suga Summit Underpinned by Strong Taiwan-Japan Economic Relationship Riley Walters Taiwan’s Internal and External Climate Policy Challenges The Global Taiwan Brief is a bi-weekly publication released By: I-wei Jennifer Chang every other Wednesday and pro- I-wei Jennifer Chang is a research fellow at the Global Taiwan Institute vides insight into the latest news on Taiwan. On April 22-23, US President Joseph Biden hosted a virtual Leaders Summit on Climate, Editor-in-Chief inviting world leaders to take stronger action to combat global climate change, ahead of Russell Hsiao the United Nations Climate Change Conference (Conference of the Parties, COP26) this Associate Editor November in Glasgow, Scotland. Biden pledged to reduce US greenhouse gas emissions John Dotson by 50 to 52 percent (as compared to 2005 levels) by 2030. Meanwhile, Chinese President Staff Editor Katherine Schultz Xi Jinping (習近平), who virtually attended the summit amid rising US-China tensions, did not make new commitments; instead, he reiterated Beijing’s earlier pledge to peak carbon The views and opinions expressed dioxide emissions before 2030 and to reach carbon neutrality before 2060. That same day, in these articles are those of the Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) also said that her government is “actively plan- authors and do not necessarily re- flect the official policy or position ning” to reach the target of zero net emissions by 2050.
    [Show full text]
  • Wang Sheng Papers
    http://oac.cdlib.org/findaid/ark:/13030/c8j96716 No online items Inventory of the Wang Sheng papers Finding aid prepared by Yinxue Zhang and Hoover Institution Archives Staff Hoover Institution Archives 434 Galvez Mall Stanford University Stanford, CA, 94305-6010 (650) 723-3563 [email protected] © 2012, 2014, 2016 Inventory of the Wang Sheng papers 2013C5 1 Title: Wang Sheng papers Date (inclusive): 1950-2000 Collection Number: 2013C5 Contributing Institution: Hoover Institution Archives Language of Material: Chinese Physical Description: 10 manuscript boxes, 4 oversize boxes(6.6 linear feet) Abstract: Diaries, photographs, and writings relating to Taiwanese military policy and to confidential relations between Taiwan and the People's Republic of China. Physical Location: Hoover Institution Archives Creator: Wang, Sheng, 1917- Access The collection is open for research. The Hoover Institution Archives only allows access to copies of audiovisual items. To listen to sound recordings or to view videos or films during your visit, please contact the Archives at least two working days before your arrival. We will then advise you of the accessibility of the material you wish to see or hear. Please note that not all audiovisual material is immediately accessible. Publication Rights For copyright status, please contact the Hoover Institution Archives. Preferred Citation [Identification of item], Wang Sheng papers, [Box number], Hoover Institution Archives. Acquisition Information Acquired by the Hoover Institution Archives in 2012. Accruals Materials may have been added to the collection since this finding aid was prepared. To determine if this has occurred, find the collection in Stanford University's online catalog at http://searchworks.stanford.edu/ .
    [Show full text]
  • S Status Value Long C AAA ARMY WAR COLLEGE C
    Search Where Name: MCRDCCTitle: MILITARYEDTYPE: CAREER S DEVELOPMENT COURSE COMPLETED Standard Definition: THE SPECIALTY SUPPORTING COURSE COMPLETED BY A SERVICE MEMBER. Abbreviation: MIL-CRER-DEV-CRS-COMPL Status Value Long C AAA ARMY WAR COLLEGE C AAB ARMY WAR COLLEGE DISTANCE EDUCATION PROGRAM C AAC BASIC ELECTRONIC WARFARE/CRYPTOLOGIC OFFICER C AAD ELECTRONIC COUNTERMEASURES OFFICER C AAE GENERAL ELECTRONIC WARFARE/CRYPTOLOGIC OFFICER C AAF SIGNAL SECURITY STAFF OFFICER C AAG SIGNAL INTELLIGENCE STAFF OFFICER C AAH ADVANCED IDENTIFICATION TECHNIQUES OPERATOR C AAI COMMUNICATION ELECTRONIC WARFARE EQUIPMENT OPERATIONS C AAJ ARMY TACTICAL SUPPORT ELEMENT OPERATIONS C AAK DIGITAL CONVERTING PROGRAMMING GROUP C AAL U.S. ARMY SECURITY AGENCY INDOCTRINATION C AAM ARMY INTEGRATED MATERIAL SYSTEMS MANAGEMENT COURSE C AAN TRAINING WITH INDUSTRY - ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY C AAO CYTOLOGY SPECIALTY C AAP EXECUTIVE ADMINISTRATIVE ASSISTANT COURSE C AAQ SMALL GROUP INSTRUCTOR TRAINING COURSE C AAR MK L5 CIWS OPERATION AND FAMILIARIZATION C AAS ARMY OPERATIONAL ELECTRONIC WARFARE C AAT ELECTRONIC WARFARE TACTICAL PRACTITIONER C AAU USMC EXPEDITIONARY WARFARE SCHOOL C AAV BRAZILIAN SUPERIOR WAR COLLEGE C AAW SENIOR SERVICE COLLEGE FELLOWSHIP - SINGAPORE C AAX SENIOR SERVICE COLLEGE FELLOWSHIP - ISRAEL C AAY SENIOR SERVICE COLLEGE FELLOWSHIP - DUKE UNIVERSITY C AAZ INTERMEDIATE COMMUNICATIONS SIGNAL ANALYSIS C ABA LEGAL ADMINISTRATOR COURSE C ABB SENIOR OFFICER ELECTRONIC WARFARE/CRYPTOLOGIC COURSE C ABC JUDGE ADVOCATE OFFICER BASIC C ABD JUDGE ADVOCATE OFFICER GRADUATE COURSE C ABE CIVIL LAW C ABF ORDNANCE OFFICER ADDITIONAL SPECIALTY CODE 91 COURSE C ABG CLAIMS C ABH CRIMINAL TRIAL ADVOCACY C ABI UH-72A AVIATOR QUALIFICATION (011-2C-SIB4 (UH-72A)) C ABJ UNIT AND ORGANIZATIONAL SUPPLY COURSE C ABK FEDERAL LABOR RELATIONS C ABL INTERNATIONAL LAW C ABM TELECOMMUNICATIONS OFFICER COURSE C ABN SECURITY MANAGERS ORIENTATION C ABO S-V80-A COMBAT SURVIVAL (U.S.
    [Show full text]
  • M14 Rifle History and Development.Book
    M14 Rifle History and Development Text Only Edition Lee Emerson Copyright 2009, 2010 by Lee Emerson All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the copyright owner. Front Cover: September 01, 1987 - Armed with a M14A1 rifle, a U. S. Navy Sea-Air-Land (SEAL) team member hides in the foliage at the edge of a river while providing cover for fellow team members during a tactical warfare training exercise. Photo by Journalist First Class Lynn Jenkins, U. S. Navy. Back Cover: Photo by the author. ii “Sincere and strong love is greatly gratified and delighted in the prosperity of the beloved object; and if the love be perfect, the greater the prosperity of the beloved is, the more is the lover pleased and delighted; for the prosperity of the beloved is, as it were, the food of love, and therefore the greater that prosperity, the more richly is love feasted.” – Jonathan Edwards, Heaven, A World of Charity Or Love, Northampton, England, 1738. This book is dedicated to those who love and to those who love liberty. iii iv Table of Contents Preface 9 Part 1: The Military M14 11 Introduction 11 Engineering Material 12 Engineering Definitions 12 AISI 4100 and 8600 Series Alloy Steels 15 M14 Rifle Preservation 17 M14 Rifle Lubrication 21 M14 Receiver Material 37 AISI 8620 Alloy Steel 40 How was the U. S. Government Issue M14 receiver made? 41 Receiver Heat Treatment 42 Development of Magnetic Particle Inspection 44 USGI Receiver Geometry 44 Intervening Rifle Models: M2 through M13 48 M14 Rifle Development Highlights 49 M14 Rifle Factory Inspection 59 M14 Production at Springfield Armory 60 M14 Production at Winchester 62 M14 Production at Harrington & Richardson 64 M14 Production at TRW 70 The TRW Mystique 71 Raritan Arsenal 74 Experimental Items for the USGI M14 Rifle 75 The Issue M14 Rifle 82 The M14 Rifle in Overhaul 89 M14 in Service with the U.
    [Show full text]
  • Issue Orientation, Party System and Strategic Interaction from Two Cases1
    Policy Outcomes of Social Movements in Taiwan: Issue Orientation, Party System and Strategic Interaction from Two Cases1 Huang-ting Yan2 Abstract Some social movements have reformed public policies or established the mode of participatory democracy while others had limited success in terms of intended results. Although resource mobilization theory has been offered to explain impacts of social movements, the application in Taiwan is restricted. Therefore, how to find out key factors, which can differentiate policy outcomes of social movements, is the problematic in the article. Political context, which interacts with social environment, is vital to develop precise casual mechanisms underlying the theoretical framework. First of all, issue orientation that movement actors adopt can be divided into concurrent issues, consisting of supra-partisan, cross-sectors and generalized expectation, and polarized issues, which are defined as linkage to parties, centered on particular sectors and conflicting values. Secondly, due to votes-maximization strategy, governing parties must be alerted to concurrent issues, which represent far-reaching resentments from populations while they take indifferent attitude toward polarized issues, which symbolize angers only from oppositions. Therefore, issue orientation results in different impacts on social movements. Finally, the strategic interaction between government and opposition in policy making, which is affected by party systems, determines policy outcomes of social movements. Polarized issues should be successfully articulated under coalition government, divided government or consensus democracy because more “veto players” participates in the policy-negotiating and formulation phase. In order to test some hypotheses derived from the theoretical framework, the article compares two social movements, the “Whiteshirts Movement” and the 1 This is a draft, which mainly compares two social movements in Taiwan.
    [Show full text]
  • Order 7340.1Z, Contractions
    U.S. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION CHANGE FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION 7340.1Z CHG 2 SUBJ: CONTRACTIONS 1. PURPOSE. This change transmits revised pages to change 2 of Order 7340.1Z, Contractions. 2. DISTRIBUTION. This change is distributed to select offices in Washington and regional headquarters, the William J. Hughes Technical Center, and the Mike Monroney Aeronautical Center; all air traffic field offices and field facilities; all airway facilities field offices; all international aviation field offices, airport district offices, and flight standards district offices; and the interested aviation public. 3. EFFECTIVE DATE. October 25, 2007. 4. EXPLANATION OF CHANGES. Cancellations, additions, and modifications are listed in the CAM section of this change. Changes within sections are indicated by a vertical bar. 5. DISPOSITION OF TRANSMITTAL. Retain this transmittal until superseded by a new basic order. 6. PAGE CONTROL CHART. See the Page Control Chart attachment. Michael A. Cirillo Vice President, System Operations Services Air Traffic Organization Date: __________________ Distribution: ZAT-734, ZAT-464 Initiated by: AJR-0 Vice President, System Operations Services 10/25/07 7340.1Z CHG 2 PAGE CONTROL CHART REMOVE PAGES DATED INSERT PAGES DATED CAM-1-1 and CAM-1-10 07/05/07 CAM-1-1 and CAM-1-10 10/25/07 1-1-1 03/15/07 1-1-1 10/25/07 3-1-11 03/15/07 3-1-11 03/15/07 3-1-12 03/15/07 3-1-12 10/25/07 3-1-23 03/15/07 3-1-23 03/15/07 3-1-24 03/15/07 3-1-24 10/25/07 3-1-31 03/15/07 3-1-31 03/15/07 3-1-32 through 3-1-34 03/15/07 3-1-32 through
    [Show full text]
  • The Dragon Awakes China's Military Modernization Trends and Implications
    The Dragon Awakes China's Military Modernization Trends and Implications Lawrence E. Grinter Editor USAF Counterproliferation Center Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama The Dragon Awakes: China’s Military Modernization Trends and Implications Lawrence E. Grinter Editor U. S. Air Force Counterproliferation Center 325 Chennault Circle Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama 36112-6427 October 1999 ii Disclaimer The views expressed in this academic research paper are those of the individual authors and do not reflect the official policy or position of the United States government, the Department of Defense, or Air University. In accordance with Air Force Instruction 51-303, it is not copyrighted, but is the property of the United States government. iii Contents Chapter Page Chapter 1. China’s Military Modernization Trends Introduction Lawrence Grinter…….…………….…………….………………. 1 Chapter 2. China as a Peer Competitor? Trends in Nuclear Weapons, Space, and Information Warfare Kathryn L. Gauthier…….…………….….………….………….... 5 Chapter 3. Chinese Power Projection Steven W. Rogers.….………………….…………….…………... 37 Chapter 4. Chinese Military Modernization: An Uneven Path Joseph F. Cheney….………………….…………….………….... 51 Chapter 5. Weapons Imports and Weapons Sales: Path to China’s Military Modernization Stephen J. Gensheimer…..……………….……………………... 63 iv v China’s Military Modernization Trends - Grinter CHAPTER 1 China’s Military Modernization Trends Introduction Lawrence Grinter When the most recent Cox Report was published in May 1999, it heightened concerns in the United States about how fast China has been modernizing its armed forces and military capabilities.1 Of course, the Cox Report focused on espionage and, in particular, on People’s Republic of China (PRC) efforts to acquire U.S. military and commercial technologies with an emphasis on highly sensitive nuclear warhead designs.
    [Show full text]