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Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Report Q3 2018

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Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Report Q3 2018 OFFICE RETAIL TOURISM & HOSPITALITY RESIDENTIAL MAJOR PROJECTS UPDATE ALLIANCE FOR DOWNTOWN NEW YORK LOWER MANHATTAN REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT Q3 2018 CHANGE IN OCCUPANCY 2008 - 2018 TAMI 10 pts FIRE 20 pts GOVT 6 pts PROF 3 pts FASHION 1 pt EDU 2 pts HEALTH 1 pt Years After the Financial Crisis, 10 Lower Manhattan Office Occupancy is More Diverse than Ever. Lower Manhattan’s office occupancy 11, 2001. Most notably, the Technology, companies like the Associated Press, the experienced a dramatic transformation in Advertising, Media and Information sectors Meredith Corporation (formerly Time Inc.), the ten years since one of the worst financial (TAMI) occupy triple the share of space the College Board and J.Crew as some of its crises in history rocked the market. today that they did in 2008 - 5 percent vs biggest occupants. This diversification is also The Finance, Insurance and Real Estate 15 percent. A flurry of nonprofit, healthcare, apparent in employment trends. Professional (FIRE) industry’s historic dominance of and professional services companies have Services employment is at its highest level in Lower Manhattan’s office market has given moved to Lower Manhattan helping to grow LM since at least 2001 - 51,332 employees, way to a more diverse tenant mix. Lower these sectors’ share of the office market up nearly 50 percent since the depths of Manhattan’s economy is more vibrant and as well. This transformation is evident in the recession in 2009. Information sector dynamic today than at any time in the buildings across the district. The World Trade employment, which includes jobs in media more than twenty years since the Center campus (One, 3 and 4 World Trade and publishing, is just 5 percent off from creation of the Downtown Alliance. Center) is currently 41 percent leased to its most recent peak in 2001 with 12,083 TAMI companies, a significant shift from the employees today. If you work in Lower These changes have transformed the culture makeup of the original twin towers where Manhattan today, you’re almost as likely to and composition of Lower Manhattan’s office less than 5 percent of space was occupied be working in Information or Professional buildings. According to Jones Lang LaSalle, by these types of tenants. Today, each tower Services as you are in Financial Services or FIRE’s share of occupancy has dropped from in the World Trade Center campus has a Insurance. 55 percent in 2008 to just over a third today TAMI anchor tenant. 195 Broadway is nearly (35 percent). Meanwhile, other industries entirely leased to the creative and technology The timeline illustrates the milestones have filled in the gap and then some, helping industries. Brookfield Place, once dominated in Lower Manhattan’s office market to drive private sector employment to by banks and financial firms such as Merrill diversification and the post-2008 economic 243,800, its highest level since September Lynch, Nomura Holdings and others, counts expansion. RBC J.CREW CONDÉ NAST IEX MEDIAMATH TEACH FOR AMERICA ESPN GOLDMAN SACHS SPOTIFY SPORTSNET MACMILLAN PLANNED PARENTHOOD LAMDA LEGAL AMEX MEREDITH MCKINSEY & CO MM.LAFLEUR HARPERCOLLINS VOX MEDIA MCGRAW-HILL JONES DAY GROUP M OMNICOM GUCCI BOOKING.COM HUGO BOSS REVLON COLLEGE BOARD Photo: iStock, By Getty Images. Trace Rouda. Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Report | Q3 2018 1 5% 3% 7% 10 YEARS AFTER THE 8% 1% 2% 5% FINANCIAL CRISIS, 35% 2008 LOWER MANHATTAN 15% 2018 13% 55% 55% OFFICE OCCUPANCY IS 35% 1% FIRE MORE DIVERSE THAN FIRE 15% 14% EVER Lower Manhattan occupancy by industry data provided by Jones Lang LaSalle 20% FIRE Government Professional Services Flexible Space Providers TAMI Fashion & Retail Trade Education, Healthcare & Nonprofits Other Services 213,881 243,805 Private Sector Signs major deal to Private Sector Employees Employees relocate from Times Private sector Peak since September 11 Square to One WTC employment Signs deal to reaches National September 11 relocate to 227,069 Memorial dedicated on Sign relocation Brookfield Place 10th Anniversary deals Sign 32% of relocation new leasing Westfield deals from TAMI Federal economic Brookfield WTC retail sector stimulus bill passed Office Place's opens Download data leasing Sign relocation redeveloped FIRE's 4 WTC breaks rebounds deals retail opens share of ground to 5.9 Sign relocation deals office Lower Manhattan MSF One WTC Sign relocation occupancy private sector tops out drops to employment low - 4 WTC deals 3 WTC 37% 199,491 opens Commits to opens NYC HQ in 4 WTC 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 OFFICE RETAIL TOURISM & HOSPITALITY RESIDENTIAL MAJOR PROJECTS UPDATE THIRD QUARTER LEASING DIPS BounceX, one of the fastest growing software companies in the AFTER BANNER SECOND QUARTER United States, signed a deal to relocate from Times Square and expand to a 79,118-square-foot office in One World Trade Center Following an above average second quarter, new leasing activity in early October. slowed with just 726,000 square feet of new deals inked in the third quarter. With this below-average quarter, year to date NEW LARGE DEALS SCARCE BUT TAMI AND activity is now 24 percent below the level at this time last year. FLEXIBLE SPACE PROVIDERS STILL ACTIVE Despite this, several pending deals announced in the third quarter, but not yet officially closed are expected to boost year- Technology, Advertising, Media and Information (TAMI) and end totals and close the year on par with the historical average. Flexible Space Providers continued to be Lower Manhattan’s Elsewhere in Manhattan, leasing slowed slightly in Midtown and strongest dealmakers in the third quarter, now accounting for Midtown South, but both markets remain on track to best 2017’s more than 43 percent of all new activity year to date. While more year-end totals. active south of Chambers Street than the Midtown market, these industries are currently the majority of new activity in Midtown More than 266,000 square feet of new deals were announced South, accounting for more than 76 percent so far this year. in the third quarter but have yet to close. The NYPD is in negotiations for 106,000 square feet in 375 Pearl Street. Spotify is expected to close on a 85,666-square-foot expansion that will “For us, the decision was simple. bring their footprint in 4 World Trade Center to 564,000 square feet. With this expansion, Spotify will be the largest tenant in 4 All of our clients in digital media World Trade Center and the second largest overall World Trade continue to move down here.” Center campus tenant behind Condé Nast. Also, the London Stock Exchange is expected to close on a deal to relocate from -Michael Pallad, President - Undertone Midtown to 75,000 square feet in 28 Liberty Street. Finally, LOWER MANHATTAN YEAR TO DATE LEASING ACTIVITY, 2013 - 2018 Source: CBRE 6 o o on o o on 3.4 o o o on on on 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Report | Q3 2018 2 Education, Healthcare & Nonprofit Other Services 3.7% 3.9% Government TAMI 27.0% 2017 31.9% New Leasing OFFICE ActivityRETAIL by TOURISM & HOSPITALITY RESIDENTIAL MAJOR PROJECTS UPDATE Fashion & Industry Retail Trade 1.0% FIRE Professional 14.5% NEW LEASINGServices ACTIVITY18.1% BY INDUSTRY, 2018 YEAR-TO-DATE AND 2017 OVERALL Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Education, Healthcare Education, Healthcare & Nonprofit Other Services 3.2% & Nonprofit Other Services 3.7% 3.9% 10.7% Government 2.7% Government Fashion & TAMI TAMI Retail Trade 2018 35.2% 27.0% 31.9% 12.5% Year-to-Date 2017 Flexible New Leasing New Leasing Space Activity by Activity by Providers Industry Fashion & Industry 7.3% Retail Trade 1.0% Professional FIRE Services 12.8% Professional 14.5% FIRE Services 18.1% 15.6% *By square-footage *By square footage LOWER MANHATTAN TOP LEASES, Q3 2018 Education, Healthcare Source: Downtown Alliance, CBRE, JLL, CoStar, Colliers International & Nonprofit Other Services 3.2% SF 10.7% Tenant Name Location Transaction Type Sector LeasedGovernment 2.7% Professional Services, 1 WeWork 85 Broad Street 76,814 Expansion Fashion & Flexible OfficeT SpaceAM ProvidersI Retail Trade 2018 35.2% 2 Broadcast Music, Inc 7 World Trade Center 61,390 12.5%Renewal Year-to-DateNonprofit Emmet Marvin Flexible New Leasing 3 120 Broadway 53,314 Renewal Professional Services, Legal & Martin LLP Space Activity by Providers Professional Services, 4 Knotel 110 William Street 36,848 New LM LocationIndustry 7.3% Flexible Office Space Providers 5 Rafeal Vinoly 375 Pearl Street 36,550ProfessionalRelocation Professional Services, Design ServicesRenewal12.8% and 6 Posse Foundation, Inc 14 Wall Street 36,345 NonprofitFIRE Expansion 15.6% 7 Cision (PR Newswire) 200 Vesey Street 33,866 *By squareRelocation footage TAMI, Media 8 National Debt Relief 180 Maiden Lane 30,548 Expansion FIRE 9 Undertone One World Trade Center 25,550 Relocation TAMI, Technology 10 Framestore 61 Broadway 24,479 Relocation TAMI, Technology 11 Pace University 52 Broadway 23,041 New LM Location Education 12 PR Consulting Group, Inc 100 Wall Street 19,645 Relocation TAMI, Public Relations Renewal and 13 Fundera 123 William Street 19,051 FIRE Expansion Morris Duffy Alonso 14 101 Greenwich Street 18,089 Renewal Professional Services, Legal & Faley 15 Barton F Graf 100 Broadway 17,625 Relocation TAMI, Advertising Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Report | Q3 2018 3 OFFICE RETAIL TOURISM & HOSPITALITY RESIDENTIAL MAJOR PROJECTS UPDATE WeWork was especially active Manhattan-wide in the third NONPROFIT AND EDUCATION TENANTS RENEW quarter and announced their new ranking as the largest private AND EXPAND LOWER MANHATTAN ROOTS occupier of space in Manhattan overall with over 5.3 million square feet.
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