OFFICE RETAIL TOURISM & HOSPITALITY RESIDENTIAL MAJOR PROJECTS UPDATE
ALLIANCE FOR DOWNTOWN NEW YORK LOWER MANHATTAN REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT Q3 2018
CHANGE IN OCCUPANCY 2008 - 2018 TAMI 10 pts FIRE 20 pts GOVT 6 pts PROF 3 pts FASHION 1 pt EDU 2 pts HEALTH 1 pt Years After the Financial Crisis, 10 Lower Manhattan Office Occupancy is More Diverse than Ever. Lower Manhattan’s office occupancy 11, 2001. Most notably, the Technology, companies like the Associated Press, the experienced a dramatic transformation in Advertising, Media and Information sectors Meredith Corporation (formerly Time Inc.), the ten years since one of the worst financial (TAMI) occupy triple the share of space the College Board and J.Crew as some of its crises in history rocked the market. today that they did in 2008 - 5 percent vs biggest occupants. This diversification is also The Finance, Insurance and Real Estate 15 percent. A flurry of nonprofit, healthcare, apparent in employment trends. Professional (FIRE) industry’s historic dominance of and professional services companies have Services employment is at its highest level in Lower Manhattan’s office market has given moved to Lower Manhattan helping to grow LM since at least 2001 - 51,332 employees, way to a more diverse tenant mix. Lower these sectors’ share of the office market up nearly 50 percent since the depths of Manhattan’s economy is more vibrant and as well. This transformation is evident in the recession in 2009. Information sector dynamic today than at any time in the buildings across the district. The World Trade employment, which includes jobs in media more than twenty years since the Center campus (One, 3 and 4 World Trade and publishing, is just 5 percent off from creation of the Downtown Alliance. Center) is currently 41 percent leased to its most recent peak in 2001 with 12,083 TAMI companies, a significant shift from the employees today. If you work in Lower These changes have transformed the culture makeup of the original twin towers where Manhattan today, you’re almost as likely to and composition of Lower Manhattan’s office less than 5 percent of space was occupied be working in Information or Professional buildings. According to Jones Lang LaSalle, by these types of tenants. Today, each tower Services as you are in Financial Services or FIRE’s share of occupancy has dropped from in the World Trade Center campus has a Insurance. 55 percent in 2008 to just over a third today TAMI anchor tenant. 195 Broadway is nearly (35 percent). Meanwhile, other industries entirely leased to the creative and technology The timeline illustrates the milestones have filled in the gap and then some, helping industries. Brookfield Place, once dominated in Lower Manhattan’s office market to drive private sector employment to by banks and financial firms such as Merrill diversification and the post-2008 economic 243,800, its highest level since September Lynch, Nomura Holdings and others, counts expansion.
RBC J.CREW CONDÉ NAST IEX MEDIAMATH TEACH FOR AMERICA ESPN GOLDMAN SACHS SPOTIFY SPORTSNET MACMILLAN PLANNED PARENTHOOD LAMDA LEGAL AMEX MEREDITH MCKINSEY & CO MM.LAFLEUR HARPERCOLLINS VOX MEDIA MCGRAW-HILL JONES DAY GROUP M OMNICOM GUCCI BOOKING.COM HUGO BOSS REVLON COLLEGE BOARD
Photo: iStock, By Getty Images. Trace Rouda.
Lower Manhattan Real Estate Market Report | Q3 2018 1
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P 4 OFFICE RETAIL TOURISM & HOSPITALITY RESIDENTIAL MAJOR PROJECTS UPDATE
THIRD QUARTER LEASING DIPS BounceX, one of the fastest growing software companies in the AFTER BANNER SECOND QUARTER United States, signed a deal to relocate from Times Square and expand to a 79,118-square-foot office in One World Trade Center Following an above average second quarter, new leasing activity in early October. slowed with just 726,000 square feet of new deals inked in the third quarter. With this below-average quarter, year to date NEW LARGE DEALS SCARCE BUT TAMI AND activity is now 24 percent below the level at this time last year. FLEXIBLE SPACE PROVIDERS STILL ACTIVE Despite this, several pending deals announced in the third quarter, but not yet officially closed are expected to boost year- Technology, Advertising, Media and Information (TAMI) and end totals and close the year on par with the historical average. Flexible Space Providers continued to be Lower Manhattan’s Elsewhere in Manhattan, leasing slowed slightly in Midtown and strongest dealmakers in the third quarter, now accounting for Midtown South, but both markets remain on track to best 2017’s more than 43 percent of all new activity year to date. While more year-end totals. active south of Chambers Street than the Midtown market, these industries are currently the majority of new activity in Midtown More than 266,000 square feet of new deals were announced South, accounting for more than 76 percent so far this year. in the third quarter but have yet to close. The NYPD is in negotiations for 106,000 square feet in 375 Pearl Street. Spotify is expected to close on a 85,666-square-foot expansion that will “For us, the decision was simple. bring their footprint in 4 World Trade Center to 564,000 square feet. With this expansion, Spotify will be the largest tenant in 4 All of our clients in digital media World Trade Center and the second largest overall World Trade continue to move down here.” Center campus tenant behind Condé Nast. Also, the London Stock Exchange is expected to close on a deal to relocate from -Michael Pallad, President - Undertone Midtown to 75,000 square feet in 28 Liberty Street. Finally,
LOWER MANHATTAN YEAR TO DATE LEASING ACTIVITY, 2013 - 2018 Source: CBRE