Coastal Impacts Due to Sea-Level Rise Duncan M. FitzGerald1, Michael S. Fenster2, Britt A. Argow3, and Ilya V. Buynevich4 1Department of Earth Sciences, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts 02215,
[email protected] 2Environmental Studies Program, Randolph-Macon College, Ashland, Virginia 23005,
[email protected] 3Geosciences Department, Wellesley College Wellesley, MA 02481,
[email protected] 4Geology and Geophysics Department, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA 02543,
[email protected] Key Words barrier islands, tidal inlets, saltmarsh, wetlands, inundation, estuaries, equilibrium slope Abstract Recent estimates by Intergovermental Panel on Climate Change (2007) are that global sea level will rise from 0.18 to 0.59 m by the end of this century. Rising sea level not only inundates low-lying coastal regions, but it also contributes to the redistribution of sediment along sandy coasts. Over the long-term, sea-level rise (SLR) causes barrier islands to migrate landward while conserving mass through offshore and onshore sediment transport. Under these conditions, coastal systems adjust to SLR dynamically while maintaining a characteristic geometry that is unique to a particular coast. Coastal marshes are susceptible to accelerated SLR because their vertical accretion rates are limited and they may drown. As marshes convert to open water, tidal exchange through inlets increases, which leads to sand sequestration on tidal deltas and erosion of adjacent barrier shorelines. INTRODUCTION Many scientists consider global warming-forced climatic change as the most serious environmental threat facing the world today (IPCC 2007). Global warming has the potential to affect many humans dramatically and adversely as a consequence of both natural and anthropogenic changes to temperature, precipitation, sea level, storms, air quality, and other climatic conditions.