Discussion Paper | Discussion Paper | Discussion Paper | Discussion Paper | Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 7, 5547–5575, 2010 Hydrology and www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci-discuss.net/7/5547/2010/ Earth System HESSD doi:10.5194/hessd-7-5547-2010 Sciences 7, 5547–5575, 2010 © Author(s) 2010. CC Attribution 3.0 License. Discussions Estimation of This discussion paper is/has been under review for the journal Hydrology and Earth predictive System Sciences (HESS). Please refer to the corresponding final paper in HESS hydrological if available. uncertainty Estimation of predictive hydrological A. H. Weerts et al. uncertainty using quantile regression: Title Page examples from the national flood Abstract Introduction forecasting system (England and Wales) Conclusions References Tables Figures A. H. Weerts1, H. C. Winsemius1, and J. S. Verkade1,2 1 Deltares, P.O. Box 177, 2600 MH Delft, The Netherlands J I 2Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Department of Hydraulic Engineering, P.O. Box 5, 2600 AA Delft, The Netherlands J I Received: 18 July 2010 – Accepted: 19 July 2010 – Published: 11 August 2010 Back Close Correspondence to: A. H. Weerts (
[email protected]) Full Screen / Esc Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union. Printer-friendly Version Interactive Discussion 5547 Discussion Paper | Discussion Paper | Discussion Paper | Discussion Paper | Abstract HESSD In this paper, a technique is presented for assessing the predictive uncertainty of rainfall-runoff and hydraulic forecasts that conditions forecasts uncertainty on the fore- 7, 5547–5575, 2010 casted value itself, based on retrospective quantile regression of hindcasted water level 5 forecasts and forecast errors.