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Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast

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Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast THE RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES INSTITUTE OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF TERRITORIES OF RAS ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL CHANGES: FACTS, TRENDS, FORECAST 4 (22) 2012 The journal is published according to the decision of RAS economic institutions’ administration in the North-West federal district Institute of Socio-Economic and Energy Problems of the North Komi scientific centre of the Ural RAS department (Komi Republic) Institute of Economics of Karelian scientific centre of RAS (Karelia Republic) G.P. Luzin Institute of Economic Problems of Kola scientific centre of RAS (the Murmansk region) Institute of Socio-Economic Development of Territories of RAS (the Vologda region) and according to the decision of St. Petersburg State University of Engineering and Economics administration and other RF regions Institute of Social and Economic Research of Ufa Science Centre of RAS (Bashkortostan Republic) The decision of Presidium of the Higher Attestation Commission of the Russian MES (№6/6, dated 19.02.2010) the journal is included in the list of leading scientific editions, recommended for publication of the main results of dissertations for the degree of Doctor and Candidate of Sciences. Editorial Council: RAS Academician V.L. Makarov (Moscow, Russia) RAS Academician V.V. Ivanter (Moscow, Russia) RAS Academician V.V. Okrepilov (St. Petersburg, Russia) RAS Academician A.I. Tatarkin (Yekaterinburg, Russia) Belarus NAS Academician P.A. Vityaz (Minsk, Belarus) Belarus NAS Academician P.G. Nikitenko (Minsk, Belarus) RAS Corresponding Member V.N. Lazhentsev (Syktyvkar, Russia) Professor J. Sapir (Paris, France) Doctor of Economics, Professor S.D. Valentey (Moscow, Russia) Doctor of Economics, Professor D.A. Gaynanov (Ufa, Russia) Doctor of Economics, Professor A.E. Dayneko (Minsk, Belarus) Doctor of Economics, Professor V.A. Ilyin (Vologda, Russia) Professor M. Kivinen (Helsinki, Finland) Doctor of Sociology, Professor I.V. Kotlyarov (Minsk, Belarus) Doctor of Economics, Professor S.V. Kuznetsov (St. Petersburg, Russia) Doctor of Economics, Professor F.D. Larichkin (Apatity, Russia) Doctor of Technics, Professor A.V. Putilov (Moscow, Russia) Doctor of Technical Sciences Yu.Ya. Chukreev (Syktyvkar, Russia) Doctor of Technics, Professor A.I. Shishkin (Petrozavodsk, Russia) Doctor, Professor Zhang Shuhua (Beijing, China) Professor Wu Enyuan (Beijing, China) Chief Editor – V.A. Ilyin Editorial Board: Doctor of Economics, Professor L.A. Anosova Doctor of Economics, Professor A.G. Vorobyov Doctor of Economics, Professor E.S. Gubanova Ph.D. in History K.A. Gulin (Deputy Chief Editor) Ph.D. in Economics K.A. Zadumkin, Ph.D. in Economics I.A. Kondakov (Executive Editor) Ph.D. in Economics G.V. Leonidova Ph.D. in Economics M.F. Sychev (Deputy Chief Editor) Ph.D. in Economics S.V. Terebova Doctor of Economics T.V. Uskova, Doctor of Economics A.A. Shabunova Opinions presented in the articles can differ from the editorial board’s point of view Authors of the articles are responsible for the material selected and stated. ISSN 1998-0698 © ISEDT RAS, 2012 Internet address: http://esc.vscc.ac.ru CONTENT FROM THE CHIEF EDITOR Ilyin V.А. Dynamics of the RF Presidents' activities approval by the region's population .... 5 DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY Glazyev S.Yu., Lokosov V.V. Assessment of the critical threshold values of the indicators of the state of Russian society and their use in the socio-economic development management ........................................................................ 17 Gulin K.A. On the issue of socio-economic modernization of Russian regions ................. 35 Perova M.B., Perov Е.V. Socio-economic transformation of Russian society ................... 50 Povarova A.I. Socio-economic condition of the regions specializing in metallurgy: 2011 results .............................................................................................. 63 Shcherbakov G.A. Anti-innovations as a factor of macroeconomic instability (the case of derivative financial instruments) ............................................ 73 Gao Ping. Study on open economy development of underdeveloped regions under counter-crisis background ......................................................................... 81 SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT Shestakova N.N. Mechanisms of formation and implementation of organizational and managerial component of the region’s human capital ......................... 86 Lastochkina М.А. Socio-cultural types of population in the region .................................. 99 Morev M.V., Popova V.I., Vasilchuk E.O. Expansion of subcultural movements as a result of social disunity among the young population ........................ 107 Li Zhimeng. Anti-poverty study of ecological preservation area (the case study of Poyang Lake) .............................................................. 116 PROBLEMS OF MUNICIPAL ENTITIES Dyadik V.V. Institutional reasons for economic problems in Russia’s local self-government ..............................................................................121 Burtseva I.G., Burtsev I.N. Comparative evaluation of the economic development of underdeveloped areas in the Republic of Komi .....................................132 CONTINUING THE THEME OF THE PREVIOUS ISSUE Tuvayev V.N., Tuvayev A.V. Assessment of economic efficiency of scientific-technical progress in dairy cattle breeding ..............................141 Ivanova E.V. Information and advisory support of the management of sustainable development of agriculture in the northern region ...............151 In memoriam: Mikhail N. Khurs .....................................................................................164 Information about authors ........................................................................................... 165 Requirements to manuscripts ....................................................................................... 169 Subscription information ............................................................................................. 171 FROM THE CHIEF EDITOR Dynamics of the RF President’s activities approval by the region’s population August 14, 2012 marked the first one hundred days of the third Vladimir Putin’s presidency in Russia. Hundred days report has become a tradition in the world as a landmark date when some results of top-ranking politician’s activity are summed up. Most experts are of a unanimous opinion that “the third advent” of Putin took place in the conditions when domestic and foreign-policy situation in Russia cardinally differed from its position during two Vladimir A. previous terms of Putin’s presidency1. He faces a range of new ILYIN Doctor of Economics challenges, the main of which is a need to change and select a new Professor scenario of our country’s development. Honored Scientist of the RF The first hundred days of the third Vladimir Putin’s presidency are Director of ISEDT RAS characterized, on the one hand, by the clear priorities of medium-term [email protected] national development perspective, and, on the other hand, by the increased reliance on the national-oriented elite (D.O. Rogozin was appointed to the post of Vice-Premier in charge of military-industrial complex; S.Yu. Glazyev was appointed to the post of Presidential Adviser responsible for coordinating work on developing Eurasian integration; V.V. Medinskiy was nominated as the Minister of Culture and I.R. Kholmanskikh became the Presidential Envoy in the Urals Federal District). There is a rule in the expert and the scientific community around the world to assess the efficiency of government activity, including the authorities of higher rank, through sociological measurements that allow experts to identify the share of people who approve (or do not approve) the authorities’ work. In this case, as a rule, data collection is carried out simultaneously by some factors which are the main powers that influence the results of measurements. 1 The differential characteristics of the current socio-economic situation in the country were described in detail, for example, in the following work: Glazyev S., Ivanter V. Makarov V., Nekipelov A., Tatarkin A., Greenberg, R., Fetisov G., Tsvetkov V., Batchikov S., Ershov M., Mityayev D., Petrov Yu. On the strategy of Russia’s economic development. Economics of contemporary Russia. 2011. No. 3. It is necessary to note that the situation in the country during the third V.V. Putin’s presidency and his previous presidential terms is characterized in the article by many Russian political scientists and such well-known writers as N. Starikov, A. Prokhanov. Economical and social changes: facts, trends, forecast 4 (22) 2012 5 Dynamics of the RF President’s activities approval by the region’s population ISEDT RAS has been using these basic dependence3 between the level of approval and approaches for assessing presidential activity the share of people with low “patience reserves”. in opinion polls since 19962. The Institute has The share of positive characteristics of the RF accumulated the comprehensive materials President’s activity increased significantly covering the period from 1996 till 2012. The in the category of 20% the most prosperous database accumulated over 16 years is actually people in the Oblast (by 13 percentage points, unique: as far as we know, other academic up to 82%, fig. 3.), as well as among young institutions in the regions of the country do not people (aged from 18 to 30) and middle-aged have the similar system databases. population (30 - 55 years) (by 11 percentage points,
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