Greater RVA Transit Vision Plan GREATER RVA TRANSIT VISION PLAN

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Greater RVA Transit Vision Plan GREATER RVA TRANSIT VISION PLAN Greater RVA Transit Vision Plan GREATER RVA TRANSIT VISION PLAN GREATER RVA TRANSIT VISION PLAN The Richmond Regional Transportation Planning Organization Serves: Ashland | Charles City | Chesterfield | Goochland Hanover | Henrico | New Kent | Powhatan | Richmond This report was funded by DRPT and prepared by: Michael Baker International with: Rhodeside and Harwell, Inc. AECOM Southeastern Institute of Research Foursquare Integrated Transportation Planning A Vision for Regional Access, Mobility and Connectivity GREATER RVA TRANSIT VISION PLAN C ONTENTS Executive Summary ������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 1 Why a Vision Plan? ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 1 Who Shaped the Plan? �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 1 What is the Vision for 2040? �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 2 What Routes and Services Meet the Vision? �������������������������������������������������������������������� 2 Overview ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 2 Vision Plan Transit Network ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 3 Performance ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 7 Cost ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 8 What is the Role of Land Use? ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 9 Existing Land Use and Future Plans ����������������������������������������������������������������������� 11 Opportunities in the Vision ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 11 Wild Card: Autonomous Vehicles ��������������������������������������������������������������������������� 12 Where Do We Go from Here? ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 13 Critical First Steps ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 13 Chapter One: The Starting Line �������������������������������������������������������������� 15 Where is transit available today? ����������������������������������������������������������������������������� 15 How is transit administered and funded today? �������������������������������������������������������������� 17 How does our region compare in transit mobility? ����������������������������������������������������������� 17 Chapter Two: The Vision ���������������������������������������������������������������������� 19 Crafting a Vision ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 19 Values ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 19 Public Input ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 20 Vision Statement �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 21 Chapter Three: Where Will Transit Succeed? ��������������������������������������������� 22 How Does Land Use Support Transit and Vice-versa? �������������������������������������������������������� 22 Where Do Regional Land Use Patterns Appear to Support Transit? ����������������������������������������24 Relationship between Activity Density and Supportable Transit Mode �������������������������������24 Summary ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 27 Who is likely to use transit and where? ����������������������������������������������������������������������� 28 Transit-Oriented Population Propensity ������������������������������������������������������������������ 29 Commuter Propensity ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 30 Destination Propensity �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 31 Work PropensitDestination Propensity �������������������������������������������������������������������� 32 A Vision for Regional Access, Mobility and Connectivity i GREATER RVA TRANSIT VISION PLAN C ONTENTS Work Propensity ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 33 Education Propensity ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 34 Low-Income Populations ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 35 All-Day Propensity �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 36 Summary ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 37 Chapter Four: The Regional Transit Vision ������������������������������������������������� 38 High Quality Transit Services ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 38 What is Bus Rapid Transit? ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 38 BRT ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 39 Enhanced Local Service ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 40 Local Fixed Route Transit ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 40 Other Transit Services �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 44 Express/Regional Routes ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 44 Park and Ride Lots ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 44 Demand-Responsive Transit Services ���������������������������������������������������������������������� 45 Transportation Demand Management �������������������������������������������������������������������������� 45 What is Transportation Demand Management? ���������������������������������������������������������� 45 The Vision for TDM ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 47 Alternatives �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 49 Performance Measures �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 49 Initial Alternatives ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 50 Vision Plan Performance ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 51 Costs ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 55 Chapter Five: Pursuing the Vision ����������������������������������������������������������� 58 Where Do We Start? ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 58 BRT and Enhanced Local Transit Services ���������������������������������������������������������������� 58 Express Services and Local Circulators ������������������������������������������������������������������� 60 Fixed Route Services ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 61 Wild Card: Autonomous Vehicles ��������������������������������������������������������������������������� 61 How can we realize the Vision? ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 62 Visualize Transit-Oriented Development ����������������������������������������������������������������� 62 Understand and Promote Unique Development Opportunities ����������������������������������������63 Summary ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 70 Strategically Promote Transit-Oriented Development Policies ����������������������������������������70 A Vision for Regional Access, Mobility and Connectivity ii GREATER RVA TRANSIT VISION PLAN C ONTENTS Improve Local Accessibility to Enhance Ridership ������������������������������������������������������ 79 Scenario Planning �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 80 Funding �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 80 Critical First Steps ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 81 T ABLES Table 1: Vision Plan Cost Summary (2016 dollars) ���������������������������������������������������������������� 9 Table 2: Types of Multimodal Corridors ��������������������������������������������������������������������������� 23 Table 3: Multimodal Center Types and Supportable Transit Investment Based On Activity Density ������24 Table 4: High Quality Service Comparison ������������������������������������������������������������������������ 39 Table 5: Proposed Local Routes������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 43 Table 6: Vision Plan Cost Breakdown ����������������������������������������������������������������������������� 56 Table 7: Recommendations for BRT and Enhanced Local Service Corridors ���������������������������������59
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