100 Postulates on Russia–India Relations: Working Paper No
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S SUMMER sc HOOLS XPERTC OMMENTARIES S GUEST LECTURES E T SC ENARIOS S TABLE NTERNATIONALRELATIONS S I C OREIGNPOLICY ANALYSIS AND FORE CASTING F T DICS S US IONS C REFERENCE BOOKS IALOGUE ETWORK SC IENCE WORKING PAPERS DU CATION D N PROJE OUND E REPORTS U NALYSISANDFORE CASTING S R A A C C PROJE E RITY ORGANIZATION COMPETITIONS NTERNATIONAL ACTIVITY CONFERENCES DU TION I E S S S OREIGNPOLICYTALENTPOOL CS DU CATION F S POOL E POLITI EPORTS OUNDTABLES R R I E GLOBAL POLITICS ETWORK C NARIO NTERNATIONAL I N NTERNATIONALORGANIZATIONS S CIVIL SOCIETY I LOBAL RELATION G S TALENT REFERENCE BOOKS INTERNATIONAL Y Y RUSSIAN Y S S C ORGANIZATIONS C E DU CATION INTERNATIONALE U SE CURITY C C SUMMER RELATION AFFAIRS COUNCIL POLI SCHOOLS IALOGUE IETY T D ONAL OUND UEST LECTURES I G C R S S I C S ON O TABLES TY IGRATION EPORTS I S OREIGN A ARTNER SHIP R V P I NTERNATIONAL IBRARY XPERT OADMAPS F I S R E ONFEREN IPLOMA D M L C U NTERNAT LOBAL IVIL IGRATION G C OMMENTARIES C M I ACT S NTHOLOGIE ILATERAL C POOL D I SCIENCE C REPORTS E RITY BOOK NTERN SHIPS I ICS S US IONS B IPLOMA A D S E WEB SITE PARTNER SHIP INTERN SHIPS S C Y TALENT C IALOGUE D LOBAL Y GLOBAL NTHOLOGIES C S A G D POLI ONFERENCES SCIENCE C FORE ING POLI S Y C S I S EFEREN IGRATION ANALYSIS SCIENCE IBRARY EB TE OADMAP E OREIGN R IPLOMA C NARIO NALY F R L M OREIGN D S W AND FORE CASTING F S IALOGUE INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS A AND DS NETWORK INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS E CLUB MEETINGS DIALOGUE DIPLOMACY PROJECTS S S H S T DIALOGUE C C U I E S UMMER H S C C TURE S IVIL OCIETY OMMENT C S EB SITE E RITY WORKING PAPER C C ARIE EB TE H W S IGRATION PROJE LE S S sc OOL EXPERTC OMMENTARIES FOREIGN POLICY T I W M S RELATION XPERT E IPLOMACY UE D S EDU CATION G ETWORK ARTNER IP S NTERN IP NALYSISAND sc AEN I E N 100P POSTULATES IBRARY FORE CASTING C ONFEREN L U IVIL OCIETY C C S E RITY S I S S S C ANTHOLOGIES ON RUSSIA–INDIAGLOBAL POLITI CS C EN S ILATERAL CLUB MEETINGS S OMPETITIONS H B C H S OUNDTABLES S R S EPORT RELATIONS WORKING PAPERS OADMAPS E IGRATION R PAPER RUSSIAN INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS COUNCIL (RIAC) ANALYSIS AND FORE CASTING E C C R C ENARIOS 1, B. Yakimanka street, 119180, Moscow, Russia ARTNER SHIP LOBAL S S P REFERENCE BOOKS S Tel.: +7 (495) 225 6283 OMPETITION S ORKING IBRARY ARTNER IP L M I NTERN IP S Fax: +7 (495) 225 6284 G S C I W EXPERTC OMMENTARIES P LIBRARY OMMENT I sc EN E–mail: [email protected] C ARIE 29 / 2016 www.russiancouncil.ru S NTERNATIONALORGANIZATION S S S I U ORGANIZATION REFERENCE BOOKS DU CATION E IETY S I C S ON C ICS S US IONS LOBAL UMMERsc HOOLS OADMAP XPERT D S OMPETITION IVIL UEST LECTURES O G ILATERAL HOOL NTERNATIONALRELATIONS I E C R C D G S E B RELATION ORKING PAPERS NTHOLOGIE MEETING NTHOLOGIES W C A UMMER ONFEREN I LOBALPOLITICS LUB G C EN NTERNATIONAL S SC C S I A FOREIGN POLICY TALENT POOL REFERENCE BOOKS C RUSSIAN INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS COUNCIL MOSCOW 2016 Russian International Affairs Council Editorial Board Editor-in-Chief: I.S. Ivanov, RAS Corresponding Member, Dr. of History Authors: I.E. Denisov; O.A. Popadyuk, Ph.D. in Law Copy editors: I.N. Timofeev, Ph.D. in Political Science; T.A. Makhmutov, Ph.D. in Political Science; L.V. Filippova; A.P. Tsvetov 100 Postulates on Russia–India Relations: Working Paper No. 29 / 2016 / [I.E. Denisov, O.A. Popadyuk]; [I.S. Ivanov (Editor-in-Chief)]; Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC). – Moscow: NPMP RIAC, 2016. – 40 pages. – Authors and editors are listed on reverse of the title page. ISBN 978-5-9908499-2-1 The Working Paper was prepared by the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) as part of the “Russia– India: Toward a New Bilateral Agenda” project. The purpose of the Paper is to identify the prospects and offer recommendations for developing Russia–India relations. The publication takes the form of postulates that deal with the full spectrum of relations between the two countries and their overlapping interests in regional and global politics. The authors and editors thank the following persons for their expert opinions on the subjects discussed in the Working Paper: V.I. Trubnikov, Member of the Board of Directors of the Primakov Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences (IMEMO RAS), Vice President of RIAC; G.A. Ivashentsov, Member of the Supervisory Board of Russian APEC Study Center at RANEPA, Member of RIAC; M.A. Konarovsy, Leading Research Fellow of the Institute of International Studies at MGIMO-University, Member of RIAC; A.G. Volodin, Chief Research Fellow at IMEMO RAS; B.M. Volkhonsky, Head of the Asia Sector of the Centre for Asia and the Middle East at Russian Institute for Strategic Studies; Y. A. Dubinin, Professor at MGIMO-University; G.D. Toloraya, Executive Director of BRICS National Research Committee; V.F. Pryakhin, Professor at Russian State University for the Humanities; V.A. Kuznetsov, Head of the Centre for Arab and Islamic Studies at the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences; V.I. Sazhin, Senior Research Fellow at the Institute of Orien- tal Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences; V.V. Panova, Director of the Institute of Oriental Studies – School of Regional and International Studies at the Far Eastern Federal University: V.B. Kashin, Leading Research Fellow at the Institute of Far Eastern Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of RIAC. Any linguistic inadequacies in the publication are the sole responsibility of the translation editors. Cover photo credits: top right: NPMP RIAC, down left: FLICKR/IncMan, down right: FLICKR/ImagineCup The full text is published on RIAC’s website. You can download the Working Paper or leave a comment via this direct link: russiancouncil.ru/en/paper29 © I.E. Denisov, O.A. Popadyuk, 2016 © Drafting, translation and design. NPMP RIAC, 2016 TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction 4 1. Russia and India on the International Arena 6 1.1. Key Foreign Policy Results of the Narendra Modi Administration 6 1.2. Russian and Indian Positions on Shaping a New Architecture of International Relations 8 1.3. Interaction on Regional Problems 10 1.4. Searching for Common Approaches to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation 13 2. Russia and India: Toward a New Agenda in Economic and Trade Relations 14 2.1. The Economic Programme of the Modi Government 14 2.2. Problems and Prospects of Bilateral Trade and Economic Relations 16 3. Russia–India Relations: Toward a New Agenda in Military-Technical Cooperation 26 3.1. Key Features of India’s Arms and Military Equipment Market 26 3.2. State, Problems and Prospects of Russia–India Military-Technical Cooperation 28 4. Problems of Russia-India Educational, Scientific and Cultural Cooperation 31 4.1. Improving Russia’s Image in India: Opportunities and Problems 31 4.2. Russian and Indian Media: Toward a New Quality of Cooperation 32 4.3. Education, Academic and Cultural Exchanges 34 Conclusions and Recommendations 36 About the Authors 39 100 POSTULATES ON RUSSIAINDIA RELATIONS Introduction By 2016, Russia found itself in a completely new foreign policy reality. Both ex- ternal and internal factors have brought the country into a difficult economic sit- uation, and negative trends in Russia’s relations with the West have defined the task of qualitatively diversifying external ties. The main focus of this re-orienta- tion is on Russia’s strategic partners in Asia, above all China. As Russia’s new Asian policy takes on greater conceptual depth, new outlines of Russia’s inter- action with Japan and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries also take shape. And it is only with regard to India that comparable foreign policy steps have not been taken. Meanwhile, India itself has entered a period of active change. In 2014, Narendra Modi, a modern and ambitious politician, became India’s Prime Minister. His programme entails enhancing India’s role in international affairs, initiating a new stage in economic modernization, making innovations a priority in manufactur- ing, developing the country’s infrastructure, and improving the quality of life. This new stage in India’s development requires a new approach on Russia’s part. The level of strategic partnership provides the necessary basis for a new quality of Russia-India relations. Over the last 15 years, much has been done to strengthen these ties. The trade turnover between the two countries has grown sixfold, large-scale military-technical projects are being implemented, natural resources are being developed jointly, and the number of academic programmes and educational exchanges is growing. Russia and India have virtually identical positions on the most pressing regional and international problems and they ef- ficiently coordinate the steps they take on influential international platforms, in- cluding new platforms such as BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organiza- tion (SCO). Still, to achieve substantial progress in bilateral relations it is necessary to re- new the strategic paradigm of these relations. Forming the portfolio of coopera- tion projects on the basis of the economic renewal needs of Russia and India makes a qualitative leap possible.