GROUP ASSESSMENT: CYCLE I JANUARY-MARCH 2015 DISPLACEMENT TRACKING MATRIX GROUP ASSESSMENT: CYCLE I DISPLACEMENT TRACKING MATRIX | JANUARY - MARCH 2015 Methodology Coverage The Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) is an information During this period, 9,924 groups were assessed (397,608 management tool developed by the International Organi- households and 2,385,648 individuals), in 2,599 locations. zation for Migration (IOM) that gathers information on the During the selection process, larger groups were prioritized. numbers, location and conditions of displaced persons across This GA cycle assessed 80% of the total locations identified in Iraq. the reporting period. The DTM has four components: Master List (ML), Returnee Map 1 shows the geographic distribution/location of groups Mater List (RML), Group Assessment (GA), and Emergency identified throughout the reporting period by the Master Tracking (ET). List component of DTM. Blue dots indicate groups that were assessed by the GA and orange dots indicate those that were Rapid Assessment and Response Teams (RARTs) work across not. Iraq collecting data on groups of IDPs and returnees, either through a well-established network of more than 1,300 key The map shows that most of the groups that were not as- informants (for the ML, RML and ET), or through direct visits sessed ( those in Ninewa, Kirkuk, and Salah al-Din) are in ar- (for the GA).1 eas with limited or no access due to the security situation at the time of the assessment. Data presented in this report were collected through the GA methodology between January and March 2015 and corre- spond to GA cycle I. The GA is a comprehensive assessment carried out by the RARTs, on displaced groups identified 2 through the ML (see Annex 1 for the data collection form). Dahuk Erbil Ninewa Sulaymaniyah Kirkuk Salah al-Din Diyala Baghdad Anbar Wassit Kerbala Babylon Qadissiya Missan Thi-Qar Najaf Assessed locations Non-assessed locations Basrah Muthanna Map 1: Coverage of GA Cycle I. Assessed and non-assessed locations. 1. A group of IDPs is defined as “a group of families sharing the same governorate of origin, the same wave of displacement, housed in the same type of shelter, displaced in the same location”. A group of returnees is defined as “a group of returnee families sharing the same wave of displacement, the same governorate of last displacement and housed in the same type of shelter, who returned to the former district of residence”. 2. The GA form collects the following information: Age and Sex Disaggregated Data (SADD), information on area of origin, time of displacement, primary needs, vulnerabilities, reasons for displacement, health access and conditions, and movement intentions (please refer to Annex 1 to view the GA form). 1 GROUP ASSESSMENT: CYCLE I JANUARY-MARCH 2015 DISPLACEMENT TRACKING MATRIX Map 2 shows the level of access by district, as reported by Governorate of Assessed Existing Coverage RART teams based on their knowledge and observation on displacement locations locations the ground. The map clearly illustrates that districts with Central North 1,667 2,054 81% limited access are Hatra, Mosul, Tal Afar, Sinjar and Tilkaf (Ninewa governorate), Shirkat, Baiji and Tikrit (Salah al-Din Anbar 273 281 97% governorate), Muqdadiya (Dyala governorate) and Tarmia Babylon 287 302 95% (Baghdad governorate). Baghdad 435 559 78% Diyala 187 199 94% Table 1 shows the number of locations assessed between Kerbala 174 177 98% January and March 2015 and the coverage by governorate of Kirkuk 44 103 43% displacement and region. It is not possible to give an estimate of the coverage in terms of number of families in each loca- Ninewa 47 131 36% tion as these figures change rapidly with respect to the base- Salah al-Din 27 104 26% line. Estimates refer to coverage of the assessed locations Wassit 193 198 97% without taking into consideration the number of families. KRI 297 438 68% Erbil 89 105 85% Sulaymaniyah 125 249 50% Dahuk 83 84 99% Zakho DahukAmedi South 635 683 93% Dahuk Mergasur Sumel Soran Akre Basrah 193 219 88% Telafar Shikhan Choman Tilkaif Shaqlawa Missan 113 118 96% Sinjar Hamdaniya Rania Pshdar Erbil Muthanna 14 16 88% Mosul Erbil Ninewa Koisnjaq Dokan Najaf 88 104 85% Makhmur Sharbazher Penjwin Ba'aj Dabes Sulaymaniyah Hatra Shirqat Kirkuk Sulaymaniya Thi-Qar 78 81 96% Kirkuk Chamchamal Hawiga Darbandihkan Halabja Daquq Qadissiya3 149 145 103% Baiji Kalar Tooz Ru'ua Tikrit Total 2599 3175 82% Kifri Salah al-DinDaur Samarra Khanaqin Table 1: Number of locations assessed through GA Cycle I and Ka'im coverage by governorate and region of displacement. Haditha Thethar Khalis Ana Balad Diyala Muqdadiya Heet Fares Tarmia Ba'quba Baladrooz Adhamia Thawra2 Kadhimia Ramadi Thawra1 Abu Ghraib Baghdad Karkh Mada'in Falluja Mahmoudiya Anbar Azezia Badra Suwaira Musayab Rutba Mahawil Wassit Kerbala Ain Al-TamurKerbala HindiyaBabylon Kut Ali Al-Gharbi Hilla Hashimiya Na'maniya Accessibility level Hai Kufa Diwaniya Afaq Amara Manathera Easy access Qadissiya Missan Shamiya Rifa'i Kahla Hamza Rumaitha Maimouna Shatra Qal'at Saleh Mejar Al-Kabi Samawa Khidhir Thi-Qar Najaf Midaina Limited access Najaf Nassriya Qurna Suq Al-Shoyokh Chibayish Shatt Al-Arab Basrah Basrah Abu Al-Khaseeb Zubair No access Muthanna Fao Salman No locations/no data Map 2: Security level (access) by district. 3. The number of locations in Qadissiya governorate increased during the period of observation. Therefore, the number of assessed locations is higher than the initial number of locations. 2 GROUP ASSESSMENT: CYCLE I JANUARY-MARCH 2015 DISPLACEMENT TRACKING MATRIX The report is articulated as follows 1. Geographic analysis: this chapter describes the location and size of the IDP population and the burden of displacement (namely the ratio of IDPs to resident population). Data are provided on a governorate and re- gional level.4 2. Demographic profile: this chapter presents demographic indicators such as age and sex distribution, child and elderly dependency ratios. 3. Displacement history: this chapter provides information on the displacement period, the location of dis- placement and governorate of origin. In addition to the information normally provided by the DTM biweekly report, the reason for displacement is also investigated. 4. Current conditions: this chapter explores the current conditions of the displaced population, assessing ac- cess to health, safety and security, duration of displacement and vulnerability.5 5. Future intentions: this chapter shows future prospects and intentions. The analysis attempts to assess the relation between intentions, current conditions in the place of displacement, and the conditions in the area of origin. Partial data have already been reported in the biweekly DTM reports, published from January to March, and are also published on the DTM website. 4. To facilitate analysis, this report divides Iraq in three regions: the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) includes the Dahuk, Sulaymaniyah and Erbil governorates; the South includes the Basrah, Missan, Najaf, Thi Qar, Qadissiya and Muthana governorates; Central North includes the Anbar, Babylon, Baghdad, Diyala, Kerbala, Kirkuk, Ninewa, Salah al-Din and Wassit governorates. 5. The vulnerability index was calculated on the basis of multiple risk factors to create a composite score. The index adds identified risks such as the shelter type, the dependency and sex ratio, the feeling of safety and security and access to health; it then attributes a vulnerability score to each group (See Annex 2 for a detailed description of the methodology). 3 GROUP ASSESSMENT: CYCLE I JANUARY-MARCH 2015 DISPLACEMENT TRACKING MATRIX 1. Geographic location of IDPs and burden of displacement This section describes the location and numbers of IDPs. A total number of 397,608 families (2,385,648 individuals) have been assessed across 2,518 locations (Table 2); 62% of these families live in the Central North governorates and only 5% in the South. Region Number of IDP households Number of IDP individuals Percentage Central North 247,325 1,483,950 62.2% KRI 128,908 773,448 32.4% South 21,375 128,250 5.4% Total 397,608 2,385,648 100% Table 2: Distribution of IDP families and individuals by region. Map 3 shows the concentration of assessed IDPs across the country with a colour gradient. The assessed groups appear census estimate for Iraq in 2014. as dots. The map clearly shows that the highest concentra- In four districts, the number of IDPs exceeds the number of tion of IDPs is along the northern part of Anbar, in the Kurd- the resident population. These districts are Sumel, Rutba, istan Region of Iraq and in the central governorates of Dyala, Shikhan and Akre. Overall, Dahuk is the governorate with Salah al-Din, Baghdad, Babylon, and Kerbala. the highest ratio, with 51 IDPs per 100 residents. Map 4 shows the burden of displacement with dots, calcu- lated as the number of IDPs over the resident population. Darker dots represent higher ratios of IDPs to resident pop- ulation. The resident population is derived from the inter- Dahuk Dahuk Erbil Erbil Ninewa Ninewa Sulaymaniyah Sulaymaniyah Kirkuk Kirkuk Salah al-Din Salah al-Din Diyala Diyala Baghdad Anbar Baghdad Anbar Wassit Wassit Kerbala Babylon Kerbala Babylon Qadissiya Missan Qadissiya Missan Thi-Qar Thi-Qar Najaf Resident population density Najaf IDP concentration Basrah High Low Basrah Muthanna Muthanna High IDP to resident population ratio 0.00 0.01 - 0.02 Low 0.03 - 0.09 Assessed locations 0.10 - 0.24 0.25 - 1.89 Maps 3 and 4: IDP population density (individuals per area unit) and burden of displacement by district. South Iraq has the lowest ratio of IDPs to resident population, or less than 2 IDPs per 100 residents. 4 GROUP ASSESSMENT: CYCLE I JANUARY-MARCH 2015 DISPLACEMENT TRACKING MATRIX 2. Demographic profile of IDPs This section describes the demographic profile of the displaced population assessed from January to March 2015.