Roll Projections

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Roll Projections for Secondary Schools in Bearsden and Milngavie The roll projections include an allowance for known housing development and trends in placing requests e.g the number of placing requests out of the catchment. They are not calculated using actual addresses. It is important to be clear the roll projections below are based on analysis of population data, interpreted through current trends. Should there be changes to current trends – e.g. changes in behaviour around placing requests, unforeseen changes in demographics, other major disruptions to families’ behaviours – this will not be accounted for in the projections, and they will not be accurate. It is also important the projections are not taken to be exact predictions. They are intended to provide a guide to likely levels of school population, and we would expect them to be correct in terms of the likely direction of travel, but not to provide accurate specific numbers. These transfer intake figures include St Nicholas Primary as well as associated primary schools; Bearsden Academy: the S1 intake is capped at 210 ; Transfer School Year Intake Bearsden Academy 2020 194 Bearsden Academy 2021 195 Bearsden Academy 2022 171 Bearsden Academy 2023 165 Bearsden Academy 2024 177 Bearsden Academy 2025 163 Boclair Academy : the S1 intake is capped at 180; Transfer School Year Intake Boclair Academy 2020 119 Boclair Academy 2021 113 Boclair Academy 2022 124 Boclair Academy 2023 128 Boclair Academy 2024 124 Boclair Academy 2025 120 Douglas Academy :the S1 intake is capped at 180; Transfer School Year Intake Douglas Academy 2020 143 Douglas Academy 2021 127 Douglas Academy 2022 155 Douglas Academy 2023 142 Douglas Academy 2024 144 Douglas Academy 2025 154 Projected intake into S1 for Bearsden and Milngavie schools for Session 2020: This has been done by analysing addresses for the current Primary 7 pupils with an address in the catchment. It includes pupils who attend St Nicholas Primary, associated primary schools and those who are currently enrolled in another East Dunbartonshire school. School Projected catchment based on analysis of addresses in November 2019 Bearsden Academy 193 Boclair Academy 100 Douglas Academy 132 .

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