National Poverty Center Working Paper Series #06‐22 June, 2006 The Effects of Male Incarceration Dynamics on AIDS Infection Rates among African‐American Women and Men Rucker C. Johnson, Goldman School of Public Policy, University of California, Berkeley Steven Raphael, Goldman School of Public Policy, University of California, Berkeley This paper is available online at the National Poverty Center Working Paper Series index at: http://www.npc.umich.edu/publications/working_papers/ Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the view of the National Poverty Center or any sponsoring agency. The Effects of Male Incarceration Dynamics on AIDS Infection Rates among African- American Women and Men* Rucker C. Johnson Goldman School of Public Policy University of California, Berkeley Tel: (510) 643-0169 E-mail:
[email protected] Steven Raphael Goldman School of Public Policy University of California, Berkeley Tel: (510) 643-0536 E-mail:
[email protected] June 2006 * We are grateful to David Card, Ken Chay, Sheldon Danziger, William Dow, Robert Greifinger, Theodore Hammett, Harry Holzer, Matt Kahn, Lawrence Katz, Lars Lefgren, David Levine, David Newmark, Karl Scholtz, and Eugene Smolensky for their valuable input, and seminar participants at UC-Berkeley, Harvard, Princeton, Michigan, UW-Madison, Yale, NYU, Brown, Maryland, the PAA Economic Demography Workshop, and PPIC for helpful comments and discussion. We also wish to thank Harry Holzer, Steven Levitt, and Kevin Reitz for sharing their data on state prison sentencing reform, prison overcrowding litigation, and crack cocaine prevalence; Peter Bacchetti for sharing data on the AIDS incubation period distribution; and Matthew McKenna of the CDC for providing useful information about the data collection process of AIDS cases.