Book Reviews
Book Reviews Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, branch of statistics, hypothesis testing, is importance of first-hand observation, Probability & Statistics, by William Briggs, built around the worst fallacy, the “We- insight, and intuition. To my mind, hardcover, 258 pp, $59.75, ISBN 978- Have-To-Do-Something Fallacy.” he shows that the need for the art of 3-319-39759-9, Springer International Some of the book’s key insights are: medicine is proven by the science. Publishing Switzerland, 2016. Probability is always conditional. Chance Despite its heavy subject matter, the never causes anything. Randomness is book is full of humor and a delight to read not a thing. Random, to us and to science, and re-read. This book has the potential to turn the means unknown cause. Jane M. Orient, M.D. world of evidence-based medicine upside One fallacy that Briggs chooses Tucson, Ariz. down. It boldly asserts that with regard to for special mention, because it is everything having to do with evidence, so common and so harmful, is the we’re doing it all wrong: probability, epidemiologist fallacy. He prefers his statistics, causality, modeling, deciding, neologism to the more well-known Waking the Sleeping Giant: How communicating—everything. The flavor “ecological fallacy” because without this Mainstream Americans Can Beat Liberals is probably best conveyed by the title of fallacy, “most epidemiologists, especially at Their Own Game, by Timothy Daughtry one of my favorite sections: “Die, p-Value, those employed by the government, and Gary Casselman, hardcover, 240 pages, Die, Die, Die.” would be out of a job.” It is also richer $24.95, ISBN-10: 0825306795, ISBN-13: 978- Nobody ever remembers the than the ecological fallacy because it 0825306792, Beaufort Books, 2012.
[Show full text]