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Historical Weather Data for Climate Risk Assessment
Historical Weather Data for Climate Risk Assessment Stefan Brönnimann1,2,*, Olivia Martius1,2,3, Christian Rohr1,4, David N. Bresch5,6 Kuan-Hui Elaine Lin7 1 Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Switzerland 2 Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Switzerland 3 Mobiliar Lab for Natural Risks, University of Bern, Switzerland 4 Institute of History, University of Bern, Switzerland 5 Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zurich, Universitätstrasse 22, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland 6 Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Operation Center 1, P.O. Box 257, 8058 Zurich-Airport, Switzerland 7 Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan Revised submission to Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences * corresponding author: Stefan Brönnimann Institute of Geography, University of Bern Hallerstr. 12 CH-3012 Bern Switzerland [email protected] Short title: Historical Weather Data for Climate Risk Assessment Keywords: extreme events, climate risk, climate data, historical data | downloaded: 26.9.2021 Abstract. Weather and climate-related hazards are responsible for large monetary losses, material damages and societal consequences. Quantifying related risks is therefore an important societal task, particularly in view of future climate change. The past record of events plays a key role in this context. Historically, it was the only source of information and was maintained and passed on within cultures of memory. Today, new numerical techniques can again make use of historical weather data to simulate impacts quantitatively. In this paper we outline how historical environmental data can be used today in climate risk assessment by (i) developing and validating numerical model chains, (ii) providing a large statistical sample which can be directly exploited to estimate hazards and to model present risks, and (iii) establishing „worst-case“ events which are relevant references in the present or future. -
Ex-Hurricane Ophelia 16 October 2017
Ex-Hurricane Ophelia 16 October 2017 On 16 October 2017 ex-hurricane Ophelia brought very strong winds to western parts of the UK and Ireland. This date fell on the exact 30th anniversary of the Great Storm of 16 October 1987. Ex-hurricane Ophelia (named by the US National Hurricane Center) was the second storm of the 2017-2018 winter season, following Storm Aileen on 12 to 13 September. The strongest winds were around Irish Sea coasts, particularly west Wales, with gusts of 60 to 70 Kt or higher in exposed coastal locations. Impacts The most severe impacts were across the Republic of Ireland, where three people died from falling trees (still mostly in full leaf at this time of year). There was also significant disruption across western parts of the UK, with power cuts affecting thousands of homes and businesses in Wales and Northern Ireland, and damage reported to a stadium roof in Barrow, Cumbria. Flights from Manchester and Edinburgh to the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland were cancelled, and in Wales some roads and railway lines were closed. Ferry services between Wales and Ireland were also disrupted. Storm Ophelia brought heavy rain and very mild temperatures caused by a southerly airflow drawing air from the Iberian Peninsula. Weather data Ex-hurricane Ophelia moved on a northerly track to the west of Spain and then north along the west coast of Ireland, before sweeping north-eastwards across Scotland. The sequence of analysis charts from 12 UTC 15 to 12 UTC 17 October shows Ophelia approaching and tracking across Ireland and Scotland. -
LOCUS FOCUS Forum of the Sussex Place-Names Net
ISSN 1366-6177 LOCUS FOCUS forum of the Sussex Place-Names Net Volume 2, number 1 • Spring 1998 Volume 2, number 1 Spring 1998 • NET MEMBERS John Bleach, 29 Leicester Road, Lewes BN7 1SU; telephone 01273 475340 -- OR Barbican House Bookshop, 169 High Street, Lewes BN7 1YE Richard Coates, School of Cognitive and Computing Sciences, University of Sussex, Brighton BN1 9QH; telephone 01273 678522 (678195); fax 01273 671320; email [email protected] Pam Combes, 37 Cluny Street, Lewes BN7 1LN; telephone 01273 483681; email [email protected] [This address will reach Pam.] Paul Cullen, 67 Wincheap, Canterbury CT1 3RX; telephone 01233 612093 Anne Drewery, The Drum, Boxes Lane, Danehill, Haywards Heath RH17 7JG; telephone 01825 740298 Mark Gardiner, Department of Archaeology, School of Geosciences, Queen’s University, Belfast BT7 1NN; telephone 01232 273448; fax 01232 321280; email [email protected] Ken Green, Wanescroft, Cambrai Avenue, Chichester PO19 2LB; email [email protected] or [email protected] Tim Hudson, West Sussex Record Office, County Hall, Chichester PO19 1RN; telephone 01243 533911; fax 01243 533959 Gwen Jones, 9 Cockcrow Wood, St Leonards TN37 7HW; telephone and fax 01424 753266 Michael J. Leppard, 20 St George’s Court, London Road, East Grinstead RH19 1QP; telephone 01342 322511 David Padgham, 118 Sedlescombe Road North, St Leonard’s on Sea TH37 7EN; telephone 01424 443752 Janet Pennington, Penfold Lodge, 17a High Street, Steyning, West Sussex BN44 3GG; telephone 01903 816344; fax 01903 879845 Diana -
Catching Terrorists: the British System Versus the U.S
S. HRG. 109–701 CATCHING TERRORISTS: THE BRITISH SYSTEM VERSUS THE U.S. SYSTEM HEARING BEFORE A SUBCOMMITTEE OF THE COMMITTEE ON APPROPRIATIONS UNITED STATES SENATE ONE HUNDRED NINTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION SPECIAL HEARING SEPTEMBER 14, 2006—WASHINGTON, DC Printed for the use of the Committee on Appropriations ( Available via the World Wide Web: http://www.gpoaccess.gov/congress/index.html U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 30–707 PDF WASHINGTON : 2006 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512–1800; DC area (202) 512–1800 Fax: (202) 512–2250 Mail: Stop SSOP, Washington, DC 20402–0001 COMMITTEE ON APPROPRIATIONS THAD COCHRAN, Mississippi, Chairman TED STEVENS, Alaska ROBERT C. BYRD, West Virginia ARLEN SPECTER, Pennsylvania DANIEL K. INOUYE, Hawaii PETE V. DOMENICI, New Mexico PATRICK J. LEAHY, Vermont CHRISTOPHER S. BOND, Missouri TOM HARKIN, Iowa MITCH MCCONNELL, Kentucky BARBARA A. MIKULSKI, Maryland CONRAD BURNS, Montana HARRY REID, Nevada RICHARD C. SHELBY, Alabama HERB KOHL, Wisconsin JUDD GREGG, New Hampshire PATTY MURRAY, Washington ROBERT F. BENNETT, Utah BYRON L. DORGAN, North Dakota LARRY CRAIG, Idaho DIANNE FEINSTEIN, California KAY BAILEY HUTCHISON, Texas RICHARD J. DURBIN, Illinois MIKE DEWINE, Ohio TIM JOHNSON, South Dakota SAM BROWNBACK, Kansas MARY L. LANDRIEU, Louisiana WAYNE ALLARD, Colorado BRUCE EVANS, Staff Director TERRENCE E. SAUVAIN, Minority Staff Director SUBCOMMITTEE ON HOMELAND SECURITY JUDD GREGG, New Hampshire, Chairman THAD COCHRAN, Mississippi ROBERT C. BYRD, West Virginia TED STEVENS, Alaska DANIEL K. INOUYE, Hawaii ARLEN SPECTER, Pennsylvania PATRICK J. LEAHY, Vermont PETE V. DOMENICI, New Mexico BARBARA A. -
A User-Friendly Database of Coastal Flooding in The
www.nature.com/scientificdata OPEN A user-friendly database of coastal SUBJECT CATEGORIES » Environmental sciences flooding in the United Kingdom » Environmental social sciences from 1915–2014 » Physical oceanography Ivan D. Haigh1,2, Matthew P. Wadey1, Shari L. Gallop1, Heiko Loehr1, Robert J. Nicholls3, » Atmospheric dynamics Kevin Horsburgh4, Jennifer M. Brown4 & Elizabeth Bradshaw5 Coastal flooding caused by extreme sea levels can be devastating, with long-lasting and diverse consequences. Historically, the UK has suffered major flooding events, and at present 2.5 million properties and £150 billion of assets are potentially exposed to coastal flooding. However, no formal system is in place to catalogue which storms and high sea level events progress to coastal flooding. Furthermore, information Received: 19 January 2015 on the extent of flooding and associated damages is not systematically documented nationwide. Here we Accepted: 16 April 2015 present a database and online tool called ‘SurgeWatch’, which provides a systematic UK-wide record of Published: 12 May 2015 high sea level and coastal flood events over the last 100 years (1915-2014). Using records from the National Tide Gauge Network, with a dataset of exceedance probabilities and meteorological fields, SurgeWatch captures information of 96 storms during this period, the highest sea levels they produced, and the occurrence and severity of coastal flooding. The data are presented to be easily assessable and understandable to a range of users including, scientists, coastal engineers, managers and planners and concerned citizens. Design Type(s) observation design • data integration objective • time series design Measurement Type(s) oceanography Technology Type(s) data collection method Factor Type(s) Sample Characteristic(s) coast • England • Wales • British Isles • Scotland 1Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton, European Way, Southampton SO14 3ZH, UK. -
Sussex Archaeological Society
GB 1850 MS Collections Sussex Archaeological Society This catalogue was digitised by The National Archives as part of the National Register of Archives digitisation project NRA 41416 The National Archives NOTE ON ACCESS Searchers should note that to secure access to any of these collections they must first make an appointment with the honorary librarian of the Sussex Archaeological Society. Sussex Archaeological Society, Barbican House, 169 High Street, Lewes BN7 1YE Tel. 01273-486290. COLLECTIONS OF WORKING PAPERS - AUTHORS Allcroft, A. Hadrian Andrews, P.B.S. Attree, F.W.T. Barton, Kenneth J. Bax, Alfred R. Biggar, Joyce T. M. Blaauw, William Henry Bleach, John Booker, T. P.L. Bothamley, Henry W. Brackenbury, K.F. Buck land, L.A. Budgen, Walter Burstow, George Philip Chandler, Allan Child, F. Cooper, William Durrant Courthope, Daphne Crook, B.M. Curwen, Eliot & E. Cecil Davenport, W.S. De Candole, H. Dell, Richard Denman, John Domes, R.L. Dunk in, Edwin H.W. Farrant, John H. * Godfrey, Walter H. Grant ham, W.W. Gray, J.V. Grlnsell, Leslie V. Gunnis, Rupert Hannah, I. Hodson, Leonard J. Holden, Eric W. Holgate, M. S. Honeywood, W. Johnston, George D. Langdon, F.G. Leeney, 0.H. Long, A. Lovegrove, H. Lower, Mark Antony MacDermott, K.H. Machell-Cox, E. , Mannington, H. Marten (Martin) family (several members) Meads, W.E. Norris, N.E.S. Pullein, Catherine Remnant, G.L. Rice, R. Garraway Ross, T. Salt, Mary C.L. Salzman, Louis F. Shaw, Frank Sheppard, V. Simmonds, C. Smith, Verena Standen family Stevens, F. Bentham Straker, E. Style, - Tebbutt, C.F. -
Resilience and the Threat of Natural Disasters in Europe Denis Binder
Resilience and the Threat of Natural Disasters in Europe Denis Binder, Chapman University, United States The European Conference on Sustainability, Energy & the Environment 2018 Official Conference Proceedings iafor The International Academic Forum www.iafor.org Introduction This paper focuses on the existential threat of natural hazards. History and recent experience tell us that the most constant, and predictable, hazard in Europe is that of widespread flooding with storms, often with hurricane force winds, slamming the coastal area and causing flooding inland as well. The modern world is seemingly plagued with the scourges of the Old Testament: earthquakes, floods, tsunamis, volcanoes, hurricanes and cyclones, wildfires, avalanches and landslides. Hundreds of thousands, if not millions, have perished globally in natural hazards, falling victim to extreme forces of nature. None of these perils are new to civilization. Both the Gilgamesh Epic1 and the Old Testament talk of epic floods.2 The Egyptians faced ten plagues. The Minoans, Greeks, Romans, Byzantines, and Ottomans experienced earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, and pestilence. A cyclone destroyed Kublai Khan’s invasion fleet of Japan on August 15, 1281. A massive earthquake in Shaanxi Province, China on January 23, 1556 is estimated to have killed 830,000 persons. A discussion of extreme hazards often involves a common misconception of 100 year floods, 500 year floods, 200 year returns, and similar periods. A mistaken belief is that a “100 year” flood only occurs once a century. The measurement period is a statistical average over an extended period of time. It is not a means of forecasting. It means that on average a storm of that magnitude will occur once in a hundred years, but these storms could be back to back. -
Chesterfield Wfa
CHESTERFIELD WFA Newsletter and Magazine issue 28 Patron –Sir Hew Strachan FRSE FRHistS President - Professor Peter Simkins MBE Welcome to Issue 28 - the April 2018 FRHistS Newsletter and Magazine of Chesterfield WFA. Vice-Presidents Andre Colliot Professor John Bourne BA PhD FRHistS The Burgomaster of Ypres The Mayor of Albert Lt-Col Graham Parker OBE Professor Gary Sheffield BA MA PhD FRHistS Christopher Pugsley FRHistS Lord Richard Dannat GCB CBE MC rd DL Our next meeting will be on Tuesday April 3 where our guest speaker will be the Peter Hart, no stranger to Roger Lee PhD jssc the Branch making his annual pilgrimage back to his old www.westernfrontassociation.com home town. Branch contacts Peter`s topic will be` Not Again` - the German Tony Bolton offensive on the Aisne, May 1918. ` (Chairman) anthony.bolton3@btinternet .com Mark Macartney The Branch meets at the Labour Club, Unity House, Saltergate, (Deputy Chairman) Chesterfield S40 1NF on the first Tuesday of each month. There [email protected] is plenty of parking available on site and in the adjacent road. Access to the car park is in Tennyson Road, however, which is Jane Lovatt (Treasurer) one way and cannot be accessed directly from Saltergate. Grant Cullen (Secretary) [email protected] Grant Cullen – Branch Secretary Facebook http://www.facebook.com/g roups/157662657604082/ http://www.wfachesterfield.com/ Western Front Association Chesterfield Branch – Meetings 2018 Meetings start at 7.30pm and take place at the Labour Club, Unity House, Saltergate, Chesterfield S40 1NF January 9th Jan.9th Branch AGM followed by a talk by Tony Bolton (Branch Chairman) on the key events of the last year of the war 1918. -
Conquest to Dissolution 1067–1538
Conquest to Dissolution 1067–1538 A new history of eastern Sussex, Battle, Bexhill, Hastings, Pevensey, Robertsbridge, Rye and Winchelsea – a fascinating part of England How did William and his successors, from the houses of Normandy and Blois, via the Angevin and Plantagenet kings, through the Wars of the Roses to the rise of the Tudors change eastern Sussex? Most of the history is hidden away in ancient documents, but some remains visible, in the ruins of old abbeys and castles and in the landscape itself. The ways in which Battle and all of eastern Sussex evolved between 1067 and 1538 are covered in this book. It also acts as a guide book to further reading about the more complex issues. Keith co-wrote the well-regarded 1066 and the Battle of Hastings – Preludes, Events and Postscripts as part of the 950th commemoration of 1066. This book is its sequel. 240 pages, 93 colour illustrations, 9 grayscale illustrations Published by BDHS, with a cover price of £15 Members price £12. The book will be available to members at the BDHS meeting of Thursday 12th September 2019 and all subsequent meetings until Christmas. After that it will remain available to members at later meetings and on request from Neil Clephane- Cameron or Keith Foord at the same price. After 12th September it will also be available via ordering from our website http://www.battlehistory.btck.co.uk/BooksandArts/HowtobuyBDHSbooks , from Rother Books and Battle Museum of Local History, and English Heritage may stock it at the Abbey shop. It will also become more widely available from booksellers. -
Counterintelligence in the Kingdom and the States
Counterintelligence in the Kingdom and the States A Historical Comparison of the FBI and MI5 Matthew Kalkavage Master’s Thesis Advisor: Professor Arthur Hulnick Submitted: April 14, 2014 Executive Summary The United States and the United Kingdom have different kinds of organizations to defend their national security from espionage and terrorist threats. The US relies on the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), a law enforcement agency with counterintelligence functions, while the UK depends on the Security Service (MI5), a purely counterintelligence agency without law enforcement powers, to meet these challenges. The purpose of this paper is to examine the benefits, detriments, and the key motivations behind each system’s development for the sake of showing that MI5 has ultimately served the UK better than the FBI has served the US in the realm of counterintelligence. The historical trajectory of the Security Service is one of constant honing of counterintelligence work from its very inception. The history of the FBI reveals an organization that was initially established for law enforcement purposes and has never completely abandoned its preference for that mission amid US governmental pressure to become more intelligence- driven in times of international crisis (especially during World War I, World War II, and parts of the Cold War). The counterintelligence practices of the Service and the Bureau throughout their histories illustrate the deficiencies and proficiencies of each, which mutually contribute to the understanding of key counterintelligence qualities that are presented in the final chapter. These attributes are an overall penchant for secrecy, an external orientation, and a preventative operational culture. -
East Sussex Record Office Report of the County Archivist April 2008 to March 2009 Introduction
eastsussex.gov.uk East Sussex Record Office Report of the County Archivist April 2008 to March 2009 Introduction The year was again dominated by efforts towards achieving The Keep, the new Historical Resource Centre, but the core work of the Record Office continued more busily than ever and there was much of which to be proud. In July 2008 we took in our ten-thousandth accession, something of a milestone in the office’s own history of almost 60 years. An application to the Heritage Lottery Fund (HLF) for £4.9million towards the costs of The Keep was submitted by the Record Office on behalf of the capital partners, East Sussex County Council, Brighton & Hove City Council and the University of Sussex, in September. This represented around 20% of the anticipated costs of the building, since the partners remain committed to find the remainder. In December we learned our fate: that we had been unsuccessful. Feedback from the HLF indicated that ours had been an exemplary application, and one which they would have liked to have supported but, in a year when the effect of diverting HLF money to the Olympics was being felt, it was thought necessary to give precedence to some very high-profile projects. We were, of course, disappointed, but determined not to be deterred, and the partners agreed to pursue ways forward within the existing funding. Because it would further hold up the project, adding to inflation costs, but give no guarantee of success, we decided not to re-apply to the HLF, and by the end of the financial year were beginning to look at options for a less expensive building. -
Historical Weather Data for Climate Risk Assessment
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Bern Open Repository and Information System (BORIS) Historical Weather Data for Climate Risk Assessment Stefan Brönnimann1,2,*, Olivia Martius1,2,3, Christian Rohr1,4, David N. Bresch5,6 Kuan-Hui Elaine Lin7 1 Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Switzerland 2 Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Switzerland 3 Mobiliar Lab for Natural Risks, University of Bern, Switzerland 4 Institute of History, University of Bern, Switzerland 5 Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zurich, Universitätstrasse 22, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland 6 Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Operation Center 1, P.O. Box 257, 8058 Zurich-Airport, Switzerland 7 Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan Revised submission to Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences * corresponding author: Stefan Brönnimann Institute of Geography, University of Bern Hallerstr. 12 CH-3012 Bern Switzerland [email protected] Short title: Historical Weather Data for Climate Risk Assessment Keywords: extreme events, climate risk, climate data, historical data | downloaded: 6.1.2020 Abstract. Weather and climate-related hazards are responsible for large monetary losses, material damages and societal consequences. Quantifying related risks is therefore an important societal task, particularly in view of future climate change. The past record of events plays a key role in this context. Historically, it was the only source of information and was maintained and passed on within cultures of memory. Today, new numerical techniques can again make use of historical weather data to simulate impacts quantitatively.