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The Conversion of a Climate-Change Skeptic - the New York Times
12/11/2017 The Conversion of a Climate-Change Skeptic - The New York Times https://nyti.ms/Ouq7Yv Opinion | OP-ED CONTRIBUTOR The Conversion of a Climate-Change Skeptic By RICHARD A. MULLER JULY 28, 2012 Berkeley, Calif. CALL me a converted skeptic. Three years ago I identified problems in previous climate studies that, in my mind, threw doubt on the very existence of global warming. Last year, following an intensive research effort involving a dozen scientists, I concluded that global warming was real and that the prior estimates of the rate of warming were correct. I’m now going a step further: Humans are almost entirely the cause. My total turnaround, in such a short time, is the result of careful and objective analysis by the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project, which I founded with my daughter Elizabeth. Our results show that the average temperature of the earth’s land has risen by two and a half degrees Fahrenheit over the past 250 years, including an increase of one and a half degrees over the most recent 50 years. Moreover, it appears likely that essentially all of this increase results from the human emission of greenhouse gases. These findings are stronger than those of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the United Nations group that defines the scientific and diplomatic consensus on global warming. In its 2007 report, the I.P.C.C. concluded only that most of the warming of the prior 50 years could be attributed to humans. It was possible, according to the I.P.C.C. -
Great Revival Stories
Great Revival Stories from the Renewal Journal Geoff Waugh (Editor) Copyright © Geoff Waugh, 2014 Compiled from two books: Best Revival Stories and Transforming Revivals See details on www.renewaljournal.com Including free digital revival books ISBN-13: 978-1466384262 ISBN-10: 1466384263 Printed by CreateSpace, Charleston, SC, USA, 2011 Renewal Journal Publications www.renewaljournal.com PO Box 2111, Mansfield, Brisbane, Qld, 4122 Australia Power from on High Contents Introduction: “Before they call, I will answer” Part 1: Best Revival Stories 1 Power from on High, by John Greenfield 2 The Spirit told us what to do, by Carl Lawrence 3 Pentecost in Arnhem Land, by Djiniyini Gondarra 4 Speaking God’s Word, by David Yonggi Cho 5 Worldwide Awakening, by Richard Riss 6 The River of God, by David Hogan Part 2: Transforming Revivals 7 Solomon Islands 8 Papua New Guinea 9 Vanuatu 10 Fiji 11 Snapshots of Glory, by George Otis Jr 12 The Transformation of Algodoa de Jandaira Conclusion Appendix: Renewal and Revival Books Expanded Contents These chapters give details of many events 5 Worldwide Awakening, by Richard Riss Argentina Rodney Howard-Browne Kenneth Copeland Karl Strader Bud Williams Oral Roberts Charles and Frances Hunter Ray Sell Mona And Paul Johnian Jerry Gaffney The Vineyard Churches Randy Clark Argentina as a Prelude to the “Toronto Blessing” John Arnott Worldwide Effects of the Vineyard Revival Impact upon the United Kingdom Holy Trinity Brompton Sunderland Christian Centre Vietnam and Cambodia Melbourne, Florida Revival Mott Auditorium, -
U.S. National Black Carbon and Methane Emissions a Report to the Arctic Council
U.S. NATIONAL BLACK CARBON AND METHANE EMISSIONS A REPORT TO THE ARCTIC COUNCIL AUGUST 2015 U.S. NATIONAL BLACK CARBON AND METHANE EMISSIONS A REPORT TO THE ARCTIC COUNCIL AUGUST 2015 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY. 1 ABOUT THIS REPORT. 1 SUMMARY OF CURRENT BLACK CARBON EMISSIONS AND FUTURE PROJECTIONS . 2 SUMMARY OF CURRENT METHANE EMISSIONS AND FUTURE PROJECTIONS. 4 SUMMARY OF NATIONAL MITIGATION ACTIONS BY POLLUTANT AND SECTOR . 6 BLACK CARBON . .6 METHANE . 11 HIGHLIGHTS OF BEST PRACTICES AND LESSONS LEARNED FOR KEY SECTORS . .16 TRANSPORT/MOBILE . 16 OPEN BIOMASS BURNING (INCLUDING WILDFIRES) . 16 RESIDENTIAL/DOMESTIC . .17 OIL & NATURAL GAS. .17 OTHER . 17 PROJECTS RELEVANT FOR THE ARCTIC. .18 ARCTIC AIR QUALITY IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELING. 18 BLACK CARBON DEPOSITION ON U.S. SNOW PACK . .18 EMISSIONS AND TRANSPORT FROM AGRICULTURAL BURNING AND FOREST FIRES . .18 MEASUREMENT OF BLACK CARBON AND METHANE IN THE ARCTIC. .18 MEASUREMENT OF MARITIME BLACK CARBON EMISSIONS AND DIESEL FUEL ALTERNATIVES. .18 REDUCTION OF BLACK CARBON IN THE RUSSIAN ARCTIC. .19 VALDAY CLUSTER UPGRADE FOR BLACK CARBON REDUCTION IN THE REPUBLIC OF KARELIA, RUSSIAN FEDERATION. 19 AVIATION CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH INITIATIVE. .20 TRACKING SOURCES OF BLACK CARBON IN THE ARCTIC . 20 OTHER INFORMATION. .20 APPENDIX 1: U.S. BLACK CARBON EMISSIONS . .22 APPENDIX 2: U.S. METHANE EMISSIONS (MMT CO2E), 1990–2013 . 24 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY U.S. black carbon emissions are declining and additional reductions are expected, largely through strategies to reduce the emissions from mobile diesel engines that account for roughly 40 percent of the U.S. total. A number of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) control strategies have proven successful in reducing black carbon emissions from mobile sources. -
Climate Effects of Black Carbon Aerosols in China and India Surabi Menon, Et Al
Climate Effects of Black Carbon Aerosols in China and India Surabi Menon, et al. Science 297, 2250 (2002); DOI: 10.1126/science.1075159 The following resources related to this article are available online at www.sciencemag.org (this information is current as of October 3, 2008 ): Updated information and services, including high-resolution figures, can be found in the online version of this article at: http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/297/5590/2250 Supporting Online Material can be found at: http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/297/5590/2250/DC1 A list of selected additional articles on the Science Web sites related to this article can be found at: http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/297/5590/2250#related-content This article cites 23 articles, 3 of which can be accessed for free: http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/297/5590/2250#otherarticles on October 3, 2008 This article has been cited by 251 article(s) on the ISI Web of Science. This article has been cited by 8 articles hosted by HighWire Press; see: http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/297/5590/2250#otherarticles This article appears in the following subject collections: Atmospheric Science http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/collection/atmos www.sciencemag.org Information about obtaining reprints of this article or about obtaining permission to reproduce this article in whole or in part can be found at: http://www.sciencemag.org/about/permissions.dtl Downloaded from Science (print ISSN 0036-8075; online ISSN 1095-9203) is published weekly, except the last week in December, by the American Association for the Advancement of Science, 1200 New York Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20005. -
Transforming Revivals –
Transforming Revivals This book is also Part 2 of Great Revival Stories Geoff Waugh Transforming Revivals Copyright © Geoff Waugh, 2014 These stirring stories of Transforming Revivals include accounts from Flashpoints of Revival, 2nd edition 2009, and South Pacific Revivals, 2nd edition 2010, and Revival Fires, 2011, and include articles from the Renewal Journal. This book is also Part 2 of Great Revival Stories ISBN: 978-1463778965 We need and value your positive comment/review on Amazon and Kindle Renewal Journal Publications www.renewaljournal.com PO Box 2111, Mansfield, Brisbane, Qld, 4122 Australia Logo: lamp & scroll, basin & towel, in the light of the cross 2 Transforming Revivals To George & Lisa Otis Jr Steve Loopstra and all the Sentinel Group with loving appreciation for your pioneering research and ministry in transforming revivals 3 Transforming Revivals South Pacific and surrounding nations 4 Transforming Revivals Contents Preface Introduction: Australian Aborigines 1 Solomon Islands 2 Papua New Guinea 3 Vanuatu 4 Fiji 5 Snapshots of Glory, by George Otis Jr 6 The Transformation of Algodao de Jandaira Conclusion Appendix: Renewal and Revival Books These stirring stories of revival include community and ecology transformation. They are compiled from articles in Flashpoints of Revival (2nd edition, 2009), South Pacific Revivals (2nd edition, 2011) and Revival Fires (2011), Details on www.renewaljournal.com 5 Transforming Revivals Expanded Contents 1 Solomon Islands Honiara and Malaita, 1970 Marovo Lagoon, 2000 Revival mission -
Climate Change: Examining the Processes Used to Create Science and Policy, Hearing
CLIMATE CHANGE: EXAMINING THE PROCESSES USED TO CREATE SCIENCE AND POLICY HEARING BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED TWELFTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION THURSDAY, MARCH 31, 2011 Serial No. 112–09 Printed for the use of the Committee on Science, Space, and Technology ( Available via the World Wide Web: http://science.house.gov U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 65–306PDF WASHINGTON : 2011 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512–1800; DC area (202) 512–1800 Fax: (202) 512–2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC 20402–0001 COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY HON. RALPH M. HALL, Texas, Chair F. JAMES SENSENBRENNER, JR., EDDIE BERNICE JOHNSON, Texas Wisconsin JERRY F. COSTELLO, Illinois LAMAR S. SMITH, Texas LYNN C. WOOLSEY, California DANA ROHRABACHER, California ZOE LOFGREN, California ROSCOE G. BARTLETT, Maryland DAVID WU, Oregon FRANK D. LUCAS, Oklahoma BRAD MILLER, North Carolina JUDY BIGGERT, Illinois DANIEL LIPINSKI, Illinois W. TODD AKIN, Missouri GABRIELLE GIFFORDS, Arizona RANDY NEUGEBAUER, Texas DONNA F. EDWARDS, Maryland MICHAEL T. MCCAUL, Texas MARCIA L. FUDGE, Ohio PAUL C. BROUN, Georgia BEN R. LUJA´ N, New Mexico SANDY ADAMS, Florida PAUL D. TONKO, New York BENJAMIN QUAYLE, Arizona JERRY MCNERNEY, California CHARLES J. ‘‘CHUCK’’ FLEISCHMANN, JOHN P. SARBANES, Maryland Tennessee TERRI A. SEWELL, Alabama E. SCOTT RIGELL, Virginia FREDERICA S. WILSON, Florida STEVEN M. PALAZZO, Mississippi HANSEN CLARKE, Michigan MO BROOKS, Alabama ANDY HARRIS, Maryland RANDY HULTGREN, Illinois CHIP CRAVAACK, Minnesota LARRY BUCSHON, Indiana DAN BENISHEK, Michigan VACANCY (II) C O N T E N T S Thursday, March 31, 2011 Page Witness List ............................................................................................................ -
A Voyage Through Scales Zoom Into a Cloud
vv Blöschl A VOYAGE T THROUGH SCALES est. 2002 hybo Günter Blöschl Hans Thybo S Hubert Savenije avenije A VOY A GE THROUGH SC GE THROUGH A VOYAGE THROUGH SCALES Zoom into a cloud. Zoom out of a rock. Watch The Earth System in Space and Time the volcano explode, the lightning strike, an aurora undulate. Imagine ice A sheets expanding, retreating – pulsating – while continents continue their LES leisurely collisions. Everywhere there are structures within structures … within structures. A Voyage Through Scales is an invitation to contemplate the Earth’s extraordinary variability extending from milliseconds to billions of years, from microns to the size of the universe. T he E arth S ystem in ystem S pace and pace T ime est. 2002 T 2 A Voyage Through Scales A Voyage Through Scales 3L A VOYAGE THROUGH SCALES The Earth System in Space and Time T 4 A Voyage Through Scales A Voyage Through Scales L1 PREFACE Patterns of billions of stars on the night skies, cloud patterns, sea ice whirling in the ocean, rivers meandering in the landscape, vegetation patterns on hillslopes, minerals glittering in the sun, and the remains of miniature crea- tures in rocks – they all reveal themselves as complex patterns from the scale of the universe down to the molecu- lar level. A voyage through space scales. From a molten Earth to a solid crust, the evolution and extinction of species, climate fluctuations, continents moving around, the growth and decay of ice sheets, the water cycle wearing down mountain ranges, volcanoes exploding, forest fires, avalanches, sudden chemical reactions – constant change taking place over billions of years down to milliseconds. -
Climate Change and Water Management in South Florida
Interdepartmental Climate Change Group District Leadership Team Subteam: Kenneth Ammon Deena Reppen Sharon Trost Interdepartmental Climate Change Group Members: Wossenu Abtew Chandra Pathak Restoration Sciences SCADA & Hydrological Data Management Matahel Ansar Christopher Pettit Operations & Maintenance Office of Counsel Jenifer Barnes Barbara Powell Hydrologic & Environmental Systems Water Supply Modeling Dean Powell Luis Cadavid Water Supply Hydrologic & Environmental Systems Angela Prymas Modeling Regulation James Carnes Garth Redfield Intergovernmental Programs Restoration Sciences Tibebe Dessalegne-Agaze Keith Rizzardi BEM Systems Inc. (contractor) Office of Counsel Cynthia Gefvert Winifred Said Water Supply Hydrologic & Environmental Systems Lawrence Gerry Modeling Everglades Restoration Natalie Schneider Linda Hoppes Intergovernmental Programs Water Supply Bruce Sharfstein Michelle Irizarry-Ortiz Restoration Sciences Hydrologic & Environmental Systems Modeling Kim Shugar Intergovernmental Programs Jeremy McBryan Restoration Sciences Fred Sklar Restoration Sciences Damon Meiers Intergovernmental Programs Paul Trimble Hydrologic & Environmental Systems John Morgan Modeling Intergovernmental Programs Bob Verrastro John Mulliken Intergovernmental Programs Water Supply Patti Nicholas Dewey Worth Public Information Everglades Restoration Jayantha Obeysekera Nathan Yates Hydrologic & Environmental Systems Restoration Sciences Modeling i Table of Contents Executive Summary ................................................................................................ -
Aerosols, Their Direct and Indirect Effects
5 Aerosols, their Direct and Indirect Effects Co-ordinating Lead Author J.E. Penner Lead Authors M. Andreae, H. Annegarn, L. Barrie, J. Feichter, D. Hegg, A. Jayaraman, R. Leaitch, D. Murphy, J. Nganga, G. Pitari Contributing Authors A. Ackerman, P. Adams, P. Austin, R. Boers, O. Boucher, M. Chin, C. Chuang, B. Collins, W. Cooke, P. DeMott, Y. Feng, H. Fischer, I. Fung, S. Ghan, P. Ginoux, S.-L. Gong, A. Guenther, M. Herzog, A. Higurashi, Y. Kaufman, A. Kettle, J. Kiehl, D. Koch, G. Lammel, C. Land, U. Lohmann, S. Madronich, E. Mancini, M. Mishchenko, T. Nakajima, P. Quinn, P. Rasch, D.L. Roberts, D. Savoie, S. Schwartz, J. Seinfeld, B. Soden, D. Tanré, K. Taylor, I. Tegen, X. Tie, G. Vali, R. Van Dingenen, M. van Weele, Y. Zhang Review Editors B. Nyenzi, J. Prospero Contents Executive Summary 291 5.4.1 Summary of Current Model Capabilities 313 5.4.1.1 Comparison of large-scale sulphate 5.1 Introduction 293 models (COSAM) 313 5.1.1 Advances since the Second Assessment 5.4.1.2 The IPCC model comparison Report 293 workshop: sulphate, organic carbon, 5.1.2 Aerosol Properties Relevant to Radiative black carbon, dust, and sea salt 314 Forcing 293 5.4.1.3 Comparison of modelled and observed aerosol concentrations 314 5.2 Sources and Production Mechanisms of 5.4.1.4 Comparison of modelled and satellite- Atmospheric Aerosols 295 derived aerosol optical depth 318 5.2.1 Introduction 295 5.4.2 Overall Uncertainty in Direct Forcing 5.2.2 Primary and Secondary Sources of Aerosols 296 Estimates 322 5.2.2.1 Soil dust 296 5.4.3 Modelling the Indirect -
Black Carbon-Induced Snow Albedo Reduction Over the Tibetan Plateau
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 11507–11527, 2018 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-11507-2018 © Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Black carbon-induced snow albedo reduction over the Tibetan Plateau: uncertainties from snow grain shape and aerosol–snow mixing state based on an updated SNICAR model Cenlin He1,2, Mark G. Flanner3, Fei Chen2,4, Michael Barlage2, Kuo-Nan Liou5, Shichang Kang6,7, Jing Ming8, and Yun Qian9 1Advanced Study Program, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA 2Research Applications Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA 3Department of Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA 4State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China 5Joint Institute for Regional Earth System Science and Engineering, and Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA 6State key laboratory of Cryospheric Science, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, China 7CAS Center for Excellence in Tibetan Plateau Earth Sciences, Beijing, China 8Multiphase Chemistry Department, Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany 9Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA Correspondence: Cenlin He ([email protected]) Received: 12 May 2018 – Discussion started: 22 May 2018 Revised: 31 July 2018 – Accepted: 4 August 2018 – Published: 15 August 2018 Abstract. We implement a set of new parameterizations into regional and seasonal variations, with higher values in the the widely used Snow, Ice, and Aerosol Radiative (SNICAR) non-monsoon season and low altitudes. -
Archons (Commanders) [NOTICE: They Are NOT Anlien Parasites], and Then, in a Mirror Image of the Great Emanations of the Pleroma, Hundreds of Lesser Angels
A R C H O N S HIDDEN RULERS THROUGH THE AGES A R C H O N S HIDDEN RULERS THROUGH THE AGES WATCH THIS IMPORTANT VIDEO UFOs, Aliens, and the Question of Contact MUST-SEE THE OCCULT REASON FOR PSYCHOPATHY Organic Portals: Aliens and Psychopaths KNOWLEDGE THROUGH GNOSIS Boris Mouravieff - GNOSIS IN THE BEGINNING ...1 The Gnostic core belief was a strong dualism: that the world of matter was deadening and inferior to a remote nonphysical home, to which an interior divine spark in most humans aspired to return after death. This led them to an absorption with the Jewish creation myths in Genesis, which they obsessively reinterpreted to formulate allegorical explanations of how humans ended up trapped in the world of matter. The basic Gnostic story, which varied in details from teacher to teacher, was this: In the beginning there was an unknowable, immaterial, and invisible God, sometimes called the Father of All and sometimes by other names. “He” was neither male nor female, and was composed of an implicitly finite amount of a living nonphysical substance. Surrounding this God was a great empty region called the Pleroma (the fullness). Beyond the Pleroma lay empty space. The God acted to fill the Pleroma through a series of emanations, a squeezing off of small portions of his/its nonphysical energetic divine material. In most accounts there are thirty emanations in fifteen complementary pairs, each getting slightly less of the divine material and therefore being slightly weaker. The emanations are called Aeons (eternities) and are mostly named personifications in Greek of abstract ideas. -
Black Carbon and Methane in the Norwegian Barents Region Black Carbon and Methane in the Norwegian Barents Region | M276
REPORT M-276 | 2014 Black carbon and methane in the Norwegian Barents region Black carbon and methane in the Norwegian Barents region | M276 COLOPHON Executive institution The Norwegian Environment Agency Project manager for the contractor Contact person in the Norwegian Environment Agency Ingrid Lillehagen, The Ministry of Climate and Solrun Figenschau Skjellum Environment, section for polar affairs and the High North M-no Year Pages Contract number M-276 2014 15 Publisher The project is funded by The Norwegian Environment Agency The Norwegian Environment Agency Author(s) Maria Malene Kvalevåg, Vigdis Vestreng and Nina Holmengen Title – Norwegian and English Black carbon and methane in the Norwegian Barents Region Svart karbon og metan i den norske Barentsregionen Summary – sammendrag In 2011, land based emissions of black carbon and methane in the Norwegian Barents region were 400 tons and 23 700 tons, respectively. The largest emissions of black carbon originate from the transport sector and wood combustion in residential heating. For methane, the largest contributors to emissions are the agricultural sector and landfills. Different measures to reduce emissions from black carbon and methane can be implemented. Retrofitting of diesel particulate filters on light and heavy vehicles, tractors and construction machines will reduce black carbon emitted from the transport sector. Measures to reduce black carbon from residential heating are to accelerate the introduction of wood stoves with cleaner burning, improve burning techniques and inspect and maintain the wood stoves that are already in use. In the agricultural sector, methane emissions from food production can be reduced by using manure or food waste as raw material to biogas production.