Oppenheim a Dissertation Submitted in Partial Satisfaction of The
When States! Fall Apart by! Benjamin Aaron! Oppenheim ! ! ! A dissertation submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Political Science in the Graduate! Division of the University of California,! Berkeley ! ! ! Committee in charge: Professor Steven Weber, Chair Professor Ron Hassner Professor Edwin Epstein Professor George Rutherford Spring! 2014 ! Abstract When States Fall Apart by Benjamin Aaron Oppenheim Doctor of Philosophy in Political Science University of California, Berkeley ! Professor Steven Weber, Chair Failed states—countries in which governing institutions have corroded or collapsed— are considered by many scholars to pose a grave threat to global security. Policymakers broadly share this view. The United States’ 2002 National Security Strategy flatly declared that “America is now threatened less by conquering states than by failing ones”, while the United Nations warns of the !global dangers posed by states that cannot meet their responsibilities as sovereign powers. The conventional wisdom on the risks posed by failed states represents a significant shift in international relations scholarship, which has traditionally emphasized the threat that strong states pose to weaker polities. It also represents a shift in foreign policy, as fears of state failure have flooded resources into shoring up weak states and reconstructing failed ones. But do failed states pose a global security threat? Despite the stakes, there has been little empirical research that isolates and tests the causal mechanisms linking state failure with specific threats. This project empirically assesses the consequences of state failure, through an investigation of several security threats of global significance: transnational terrorism, and pandemic disease outbreaks.