2012 Statistical Returns
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2012 EVALUATION REPORT AND STATISTICAL RETURNS ELECTORAL COMMISSION QUEENSLAND QUEENSLAND ELECTION 24 March SOUTH BRISBANE BY-ELECTION 28 April 2012 State General Election: Evaluation Report and Statistical Returns QUEENSLAND STATE ELECTION 2012 Held on SATURDAY 24 MARCH 2012 EVALUATION REPORT AND STATISTICAL RETURNS ELECTORAL COMMISSION OF QUEENSLAND Electoral Commission of Queensland GPO Box 1393 BRISBANE QLD 4001 Telephone: 1300 881 665 Fax: (07) 3229 7391 Email: [email protected] © Electoral Commission Queensland 1 2012 State General Election: Evaluation Report and Statistical Returns Queensland State General Election 2012 Statistical Returns Electoral Commission of Queensland ABN: 69 195 695 244 ISBN No. 978-0-7242-6868-9 November 2012 2 © Electoral Commission Queensland 2012 State General Election: Evaluation Report and Statistical Returns CONTENTS Page No Letter to the Attorney-General and Minister for Justice ......................................... 5 Part 1: Foreword ...................................................................................................... 9 Part 2: Conduct of the Election ............................................................................... 13 Part 3: Client Feedback ........................................................................................... 21 Part 4: Electoral Innovation ..................................................................................... 29 Part 5: Where Can We Improve? ............................................................................ 33 Part 6: Statistical Returns........................................................................................ 37 Part 7: Ballot Paper Survey ..................................................................................... 277 Part 8: South Brisbane By-Election ........................................................................ 299 Appendix A: Survey Data Tables ............................................................................. 313 © Electoral Commission Queensland 3 2012 State General Election: Evaluation Report and Statistical Returns 4 © Electoral Commission Queensland 2012 State General Election: Evaluation Report and Statistical Returns 21 November 2012 The Honourable Jarrod Bleijie MP Attorney-General and Minister for Justice Parliament House Cnr Alice and George Streets BRISBANE QLD 4000 Dear Attorney I am pleased to submit for presentation to Parliament my report on the State General Election held on 24 March 2012. The report contains detailed results of voting in every electorate and a survey of ballot papers cast in a sample of districts. The report also incorporates an evaluation of stakeholder feedback based on comprehensive surveys based on recognised random sampling methodology. I am pleased to record that public feedback has once again been highly supportive of the efficiency of the Commission’s election operations. In addition you will note a number of recommendations for legislative change aimed at enhancing the effectiveness and accessibility of Queensland’s electoral system. The report contains information and statistical tables in relation to the South Brisbane By-Election, which was held on Saturday, 28 April 2012. Pursuant to section 18(3) of the Act, the report should be tabled within three sitting days of your receipt. Once tabled, a copy of the report will be made available to the public on the Commission’s website. Yours sincerely David Kerslake Electoral Commissioner © Electoral Commission Queensland 5 2012 State General Election: Evaluation Report and Statistical Returns 6 © Electoral Commission Queensland 2012 State General Election: Evaluation Report and Statistical Returns PART 1 FOREWORD © Electoral Commission Queensland 7 2012 State General Election: Evaluation Report and Statistical Returns 8 © Electoral Commission Queensland 2012 State General Election: Evaluation Report and Statistical Returns Part 1: Foreword PART 1: FOREWORD The Electoral Commission of Queensland (ECQ) is an independent body charged with responsibility for the impartial conduct of Queensland parliamentary elections. The General Election held on 24 March 2012 was the eighth conducted by the Commission since its inception in 1991. The writ issued for the 2012 State election differed from other recent State elections in two significant respects. In the absence of fixed term elections the Commission normally has no advance notice of when the election will be held. In this instance, however, the (then) Premier of Queensland announced the date of the election beforehand (on Wednesday 25 January 2012), approximately 25 days prior to the actual issue of the writ on Sunday 19 February 2012. In addition, whereas the election period for the two previous elections was the minimum allowed under the Act, for the 2012 election the campaign period was one week longer. All other things being equal, these differences would have allowed the Commission to administer the election under a little less pressure than is the norm. The Commission was also responsible, however, for the conduct of the 2012 Local Government elections, with an actual overlap between the election periods for the two events. The rescheduling of the Local Government elections (from just before to just after the State election) added further to the level of complexity. As a small agency with only 50 permanent staff, the Commission’s resources were tested to the limit. To inform the evaluation of its election operations, the Commission undertook random surveys of a range of stakeholders including voters, candidates, political parties and polling place officials, independently validating the survey methodology. Feedback was also obtained from the ECQ’s own staff as well as Returning Officers. The evaluation findings are outlined in Part 3, with the related survey data tables provided in Appendix A. Part 4 comprises detailed election statistics, including the results of polling in each electorate. Part 5 contains a ballot paper survey outlining levels and types of formal and informal voting in a sample of electoral districts. The successful conduct of two major electoral events within such close proximity was no mean feat and I thank all of the Commission’s staff for their tireless efforts and professionalism. I would also like to thank all of the Commission’s stakeholders for their continued cooperation and constructive feedback. David Kerslake Electoral Commissioner © Electoral Commission Queensland 9 2012 State General Election: Evaluation Report and Statistical Returns 10 © Electoral Commission Queensland 2012 State General Election: Evaluation Report and Statistical Returns PART 2 CONDUCT OF THE ELECTION © Electoral Commission Queensland 11 2012 State General Election: Evaluation Report and Statistical Returns 12 © Electoral Commission Queensland 2012 State General Election: Evaluation Report and Statistical Returns Part 2: Conduct of the Election PART 2: CONDUCT OF THE ELECTION Election snapshot Electoral districts 89 Total number of candidates 430 Enrolled electors 2,746,844 Votes counted 2,499,763 Polling places: Polling Booths 2,100 Declared Institutions 579 Pre-Poll Centres 439 Employed election staff 7,951 Cost: Cost of election operations $19.185 million Public funding for candidates and parties $14.745 million Election Timetable The chain of electoral events was triggered by the issue of the writ on Sunday 19 February 2012. The first key event was the process of voter registration – every Australian citizen aged 18 and over is required to enrol to vote. In previous elections, once the writ was issued, electors had a period of five days in which to enrol or to update their enrolment details. Following recent amendments to the Electoral Act 1992, for the 2012 State election electors had up until the day before polling day to enrol for their current address. The Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) provided assistance with the processing of these enrolments and the production of roll data on the eve of the election. Nominations for candidates closed on Monday 27 February 2012. Unlike federal elections (where a 24 hour processing period is allowed after the close of nominations), at a State election the Commission’s Returning Officers are required to conduct the draw for ballot paper positions immediately. Electors unable to attend a polling booth on Election Day had the option of voting beforehand at a pre-poll centre (which for this election commenced on Friday 2 March 2012). Once the ballot paper draw was completed, the Commission had to begin printing ballot papers immediately in order to meet this deadline. Polling day for the 2012 Election was Saturday 24 March 2012, 34 days after the issue of the writ. Although the elector’s involvement ceased at that point, electoral officials were required to continue counting votes for a period of 10 days after polling day to allow for the return of postal votes, as well as conducting a full preference count. Results in a number of electorates could not be declared until a full preference count © Electoral Commission Queensland 13 Part 2: Conduct of the Election 2012 State General Election: Evaluation Report and Statistical Returns was concluded. The result of the General Election was formally communicated to the Governor on Monday 23 April 2012, the deadline specified in the writ. Key dates Issue of writ Sunday 19 February Close of roll 5:00 pm Saturday 25 February Close of nominations 12:00 noon Monday 27 February Pre-poll voting Start: Friday 2 March End: