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Perspectives Ophthalmology and the emergence of

Rapid advances in AI in ophthalmology are a harbinger of things to come for other fields of medicine

he autonomous detection and triage of eye for retinopathy using retinal photography. This disease, or even accurate estimations of gender, vast demand for diabetic eye screening services Tage, and blood pressure from a simple retinal has stimulated the development of AI algorithms to photo, may sound like the realms of fiction, identify sight-threatening disease. Several algorithms but advances in artificial intelligence (AI) have already have achieved performance that meets or exceeds that made this a .1 Ophthalmology is at the vanguard of human experts.4,5 Accordingly, in 2018, the United of the development and clinical application of AI. States Food and Drug Administration approved an AI Advances in the field may provide useful insights into to detect referable diabetic retinopathy from the application of this technology in health care more retinal photographs, the first autonomous diagnostic broadly. system to be approved in any field of medicine.6 Advances in deep learning have extended to other Artificial intelligence imaging modalities that are commonly used in ophthalmology. Ocular coherence tomography is an Once described as the capacity of intelligent machines imaging technology that produces highly detailed, to imitate human intelligence and behaviour, AI now depth-resolved images of the retina. A recent describes many theories and practices used to achieve collaboration between researchers and clinicians computer intelligence (Box 1).2 is at Google DeepMind, Moorfields Eye Hospital an application of AI that uses algorithms or statistical and University College London culminated in the models to make decisions or predictions. Complex development of a deep learning system capable patterns and relationships are learned from data to of detecting and triaging more than 50 different generate an outcome.2 Machine learning traditionally retinal conditions at levels equivalent to a panel of relies on the extraction of features from the data by experienced ophthalmologists.7 AI with the human operators which then serve as input variables capacity to detect a wide range of diseases, such as to optimise algorithm performance. The performance this, are likely to be most useful in clinical practice. of these systems is constrained by the features that are recognised as important by humans. A highly anticipated is the development of AI systems capable of accurate disease prediction. Such In contrast, artificial neural networks are an advanced tools could assist in managing patient expectations, method of machine learning able to extract features improve the of care and reduce treatment without explicit programming.2 Deep learning is the costs.3 In ophthalmology, prediction models have construction of multiple layers of artificial neural been trained to personalise re-treatment intervals for networks which can identify features in data that are not recognisable by humans. Although deep learning systems may be powerful, they lack human-crafted inputs, meaning that large 1 Relationship between artificial intelligence and its subtypes quantities of data are typically required to train algorithms. Jane Scheetz1

1,2 Mingguang He Artificial intelligence in ophthalmology Peter van Wijngaarden1,3 As a discipline, ophthalmology is at the forefront of AI system development and translation in 1 Centre for Eye Research Australia, Royal clinical practice. Leading uses of the technology MJA 214 Victorian Eye and include detecting, classifying and triaging a Ear Hospital, University of Melbourne, range of diseases, such as diabetic retinopathy,

Melbourne, VIC. ( age-related macular degeneration (AMD), 4 )

2 State Key Laboratory of glaucoma, retinopathy of prematurity, and ▪ 1 March 2021 Ophthalmology, Zhongshan 3 Ophthalmic Center, retinal vein occlusion, from clinical images. The Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, increasing global burden of eye diseases, coupled China. with the development of new therapies for 3 University of Melbourne, previously untreatable conditions, has served as a Melbourne, VIC. major driver for AI innovation in ophthalmology. peterv@unimelb. As a case in point, there are presently over 430 edu.au million people living with diabetes, most of 155 doi: 10.5694/mja2.50932 whom require annual or biennial screening Perspectives

patients with neovascular AMD,8 predict progression is not certain how data withdrawal requests will from early to late AMD,9 estimate the extent of future be dealt with when an individual’s data have been visual field defects in patients with glaucoma,10 and used in the process of training a deep learning predict diabetic retinopathy progression.11 Although system. Accordingly, developments in AI need to these models presently achieve only moderate levels be accompanied by advanced data protection and of accuracy, their performance has been shown to security measures. be superior to humans in several studies.3,8 Future Another challenge to the acceptance of deep advances in the accuracy of prediction models will learning algorithms in medicine is the difficulty likely come from the use of large longitudinal datasets in determining the basis for clinical decisions drawing on multiple data sources, together with the made by these systems, informally described as development of more advanced AI systems.3 the “black box” problem. Visualisation tools have Despite these significant advances, AI systems are not been developed to assist clinicians by highlighting in widespread clinical use and in some cases real-world the salient image features that contribute to the AI performance has been inferior compared with in silico system classification (Box 2).12 This has the potential validation.2,3 Training and validation of deep learning to create trust in system-generated decisions, algorithms with large, representative data (eg, data particularly if the features correspond with those from people of different ethnicities) acquired using used by experienced clinicians for clinical decision multiple devices (eg, different retinal camera models) making.14 and data collection protocols (eg, retinal photographs Interpretability is particularly important when acquired with and without pupil dilation) are key to considering legal liability in the event of patient achieving clinical applicability.4,5 This approach was harm arising from the use of AI in medicine. In used in the development of deep learning systems for traditional malpractice cases, a physician may be retinal photographic screening for diabetic retinopathy, asked to justify the basis for a particular clinical AMD and glaucoma which are now being used in large decision and this is then considered in light of scale screening programs in Singapore and China.4,5 In conventional medical practice.15 In comparison, these programs, AI is used to identify images without challenges in identifying the basis for a given evidence of disease, so that human graders can focus decision made by AI might pose problems for their efforts on the images of those with disease, clinicians whose actions were based on that decision. enabling improved efficiency and cost savings.12 The extent to which the clinician, as opposed to the technology manufacturer, should be held accountable Challenges to the clinical adoption of artificial for harm arising from AI use is a subject of intense intelligence

Several obstacles to the adoption 2 Original retinal photograph of right eye with macular degeneration (A). of AI in health care remain. The Heat map of image A showing visualisation of traditional features associ- training of deep learning systems ated with macular degeneration, such as central scarring (B). Original retinal requires access to large amounts photograph of left eye with referable diabetic retinopathy (C). Heat map of of medical data which has image C showing visualisation of traditional features, such as micro-aneu- significant implications relating rysms and haemorrhages (D) to privacy and data protection. In the context of ophthalmology, this is particularly pertinent, as the retinal vasculature may be considered biometric data, making it impossible to completely anonymise retinal photographs.3 Furthermore, characteristics that are not visible to human examiners, such as age and sex, can now be accurately predicted from a single retinal photograph using deep learning.1 Several recent major breaches of data protection laws relating to AI system development have already come to light.13 1 March 2021 ▪ 1 March While individual patient data 4 ) ( used to train an algorithm do not remain within the system,

MJA 214 incorrect handling and sharing of data may lead to patients withdrawing to the use 156 of their data under General Data Protection Regulation laws. It

Perspectives debate.15 Factors such as the manner in which these development, Australia is aiming to advance its AI systems are used and their classification as either AI competitiveness. These framework documents products or software are likely to have important provide guidance for developers, clinicians and health bearings on how cases are litigated.15 Further care consumers to navigate this rapidly evolving field. challenges for existing regulatory frameworks come Broad dissemination of these documents should form from algorithms that continue to learn and evolve part of a wider public engagement and education over .15 Understanding how a given system is campaign to ensure that AI is developed and used in trained, its accuracy, and its operational limits is a considered and careful manner in health care. of great importance. Oversampling of a particular Rapid advances in AI in ophthalmology are a population or disease severity during training harbinger of things to come for other fields of has the potential to introduce bias.4 Therefore, medicine. While these technologies may eventually consideration of performance thresholds will help to lead to more efficient, cost-effective and safer health inform appropriate use of AI systems. care, they are not a panacea in isolation. The successful The Australian Government, through the CSIRO integration of AI into health systems will need to first and Data61;16 the Australian Council of Learned consider patient needs, ethical challenges and the Academies;17 the Australian Academy of Health performance limits of individual systems. and Medical ;18 and specialty groups, such Acknowledgements: The Centre for Eye Research Australia receives as the Royal Australian and New Zealand College operational and infrastructure support from the Victorian State of Radiologists,19 have made significant efforts to Government. Jane Scheetz is supported by a Melbourne Academic Centre develop frameworks and policies for the effective for Health Translational Research Fellowship. and ethical development of AI. These consultative Competing interests: No relevant disclosures. works have highlighted key priorities, including Provenance: Commissioned; externally peer reviewed. building a specialist AI workforce, ensuring effective ■ data governance and enabling trust in AI through © 2021 AMPCo Pty Ltd transparency and appropriate safety standards. Through targeted investment in research and References are available online. MJA 214 ( 4 ) ▪ 1 March 2021

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1 Poplin R, Varadarajan AV, Blumer K, et al. requirements in neovascular AMD using intelligence (AI) and autonomous robotic Prediction of cardiovascular risk factors a machine learning approach. Invest surgery. Int J Med 2019; 15: e1968. from retinal fundus photographs via Ophthalmol Vis Sci 2017; 58: 3240–3248. 16 Hajkowicz SA, Karimi S, Wark T, et al. deep learning. Nat Biomed Eng 2018; 2: 9 Schmidt-Erfurth U, Waldstein SM, Artificial Intelligence: solving problems, 158. Klimscha S, et al. Prediction of individual growing the and improving 2 Topol E. Deep medicine: how artificial disease conversion in early AMD using our quality of . CSIRO Data61, 2019. intelligence can make healthcare human artificial intelligence. Invest Ophthalmol https://data61.csiro.au/en/Our-Resea​ again. London: Hachette UK, 2019. Vis Sci 2018; 59: 3199–3208. rch/Our-Work/AI-Roadmap (viewed Jan 3 Schmidt-Erfurth U, Sadeghipour A, 10 Wen JC, Lee CS, Keane PA, et al. 2021). Gerendas BS, et al. Artificial intelligence Forecasting future Humphrey visual 17 Walsh T, Levy N, Bell G, et al. The in retina. Prog Retin Eye Res 2018; 67: fields using deep learning. PLoS One effective and ethical development of 1–29. 2019; 14: e0214875. artificial intelligence: an opportunity to 4 Ting DSW, Cheung CY-L, Lim G, et al. 11 Arcadu F, Benmansour F, Maunz A, et al. improve our wellbeing. Report for the Development and validation of a deep Deep learning algorithm predicts diabetic Australian Council of Learned Academies. learning system for diabetic retinopathy retinopathy progression in individual ACOLA 2019. https://acola.org/wp-conte​ and related eye diseases using retinal patients. NPJ Digit Med 2019; 2: 1–9. nt/uploa​ds/2019/07/hs4_artif​icial​-intel​ ligen​ce-report.pdf (viewed Jan 2021). images from multiethnic populations 12 Bellemo V, Lim G, Rim TH, et al. Artificial with diabetes. JAMA 2017; 318: 2211–2223. intelligence screening for diabetic 18 Australian Academy of Health and 5 Li Z, Keel S, Liu C, et al. An automated retinopathy: the real-world emerging Medical Sciences. Response to the grading system for detection of application. Curr Diab Rep 2019; 19: 72. Department of Industry, Innovation and Science Consultation on the vision-threatening referable diabetic 13 Hern A. Google DeepMind 1.6 m patient Artificial Intelligence. Australia’s Ethics retinopathy on the basis of color fundus record deal “inappropriate”. https:// Framework, May 2019. https://aahms. photographs. Diabetes Care 2018; 41: www.thegu​ardian.com/techn​ology/​2017/ org/wp-conte​nt/uploa​ds/2019/06/ 2509–2516. may/16/google-deepm​ ind-16m-patie​ ​ AAHMS_Consultati​ on-Respo​ nse_Artif​ ​ 6 Abràmoff MD, Lavin PT, Birch M, et al. nt-record-deal-inapp​ ropri​ ate-data-​ icial​-Intel​ligen​ce-Austr​alias​-Ethic​s-Frame​ Pivotal trial of an autonomous AI-based guard​ian-royal​-free (viewed Jan 2021). work.pdf (viewed Jan 2021). diagnostic system for detection of The Guardian 2017; 16 May. 19 Royal Australian and New Zealand diabetic retinopathy in primary care 14 Sayres R, Taly A, Rahimy E, et al. Using a College of Radiologists. Member offices. NPJ Digit Med 2018; 1: 39. deep learning algorithm and integrated Consultation: RANZCR Standards of 7 De Fauw J, Ledsam JR, Romera-Paredes gradients explanation to assist grading Practice for Artificial Intelligence; 25 B, et al. Clinically applicable deep learning for diabetic retinopathy. Ophthalmology Sept 2019. https://www.ranzcr.com/​ for diagnosis and referral in retinal 2019; 126: 552–564. fellows/clini​cal-radio​logy/profe​ssion​ disease. Nat Med 2018; 24: 1342–1350. 15 O’Sullivan S, Nevejans N, Allen C, et al. al-docum​ents/stand​ards-of-pract​ice-​ 8 Bogunović H, Waldstein SM, Schlegl T, Legal, regulatory, and ethical frameworks for-artif​icial​-intel​ligence (viewed Jan et al. Prediction of anti-VEGF treatment for development of standards in artificial 2021). ■ 1 March 2021 ▪ 1 March 4 ) ( MJA 214

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