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Document of The World Bank Report No: ICR00001513 Public Disclosure Authorized IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT (IDA-36820 IDA-H3810 TF-50589) ON AN INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION CREDIT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 7.9 MILLION (US$10 MILLION EQUIVALENT) AND AN ADDITIONAL INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF Public Disclosure Authorized SDR 1.6 MILLION (US$2.5 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE REPUBLIC OF TAJIKISTAN AND AN INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CORPORATION FINANCING CONSISTING OF: AN “A” LOAN IN THE AMOUNT OF US$4.5 MILLION AND AN EQUITY SUBSCRIPTION OF UP TO US$3.5 MILLION TO THE PAMIR ENERGY COMPANY Public Disclosure Authorized FOR THE PAMIR PRIVATE POWER PROJECT IN THE REPUBLIC OF TAJIKISTAN June 28, 2011 Sustainable Development Department Public Disclosure Authorized Central Asia Country Unit Europe and Central Asia Region CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective December 31, 2010) Currency Unit = Somoni 1.00 = US$ 0.23 US$ 1.00 = 4.40 Somoni FISCAL YEAR January 1 – December 31 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ADB Asian Development Bank AKDN Aga Khan Development Network AKFED Aga Khan Fund for Economic Development CapEx Capital Expenditures (Pamir Energy Company‟s own funds) CAS Country Assistance Strategy FM Financial Management FMR Financial Management Report GBAO Gorno Badakshan Autonomous Oblast GoT Government of Tajikistan HPP Hydro Power Plant ICR Implementation Completion and Results Report IDA International Development Association IFC International Finance Corporation IFI International Financial Institution IFR Interim Financial Report KfW Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau LICUS Low Income Countries Under Stress M&E Monitoring and Evaluation O&M Operations and maintenance PAD Project Appraisal Document PEC Pamir Energy Company PIU Project Implementation Unit SECO State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (Switzerland) WBG World Bank Group Vice President: Philippe Le Houerou Country Director: Motoo Konishi Sector Manager: Ranjit J. Lamech Project Team Leader: Imtiaz Hizkil ICR Team Leader: Imtiaz Hizkil TAJIKISTAN Pamir Private Power Project CONTENTS Data Sheet A. Basic Information B. Key Dates C. Ratings Summary D. Sector and Theme Codes E. Bank Staff F. Results Framework Analysis G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs H. Restructuring I. Disbursement Graph 1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design ............................................... 1 2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes .............................................. 5 3. Assessment of Outcomes .......................................................................................... 10 4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome ......................................................... 13 5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance ..................................................... 14 6. Lessons Learned ....................................................................................................... 16 7. Comments on Issues Raised by Borrower/Implementing Agencies/Partners .......... 16 Annex 1. Project Costs and Financing .......................................................................... 18 Annex 2. Outputs by Component ................................................................................. 20 Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis ................................................................. 23 Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes ............ 32 Annex 5. Beneficiary Survey Results ........................................................................... 34 Annex 6. Stakeholder Workshop Report and Results ................................................... 35 Annex 7. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR ..................... 36 Annex 8. Comments of Cofinanciers and Other Partners/Stakeholders ....................... 48 Annex 9. List of Supporting Documents ...................................................................... 49 MAP IBRD 31770 ........................................................................................................ 50 A. Basic Information Pamir Private Power Country: Tajikistan Project Name: Project IDA-36820,IDA- Project ID: P075256 L/C/TF Number(s): H3810,TF-50589 ICR Date: 06/29/2011 ICR Type: Core ICR GOVERNMENT OF Lending Instrument: SIL Borrower: TAJIKISTAN Original Total XDR 7.90M Disbursed Amount: XDR 8.29M Commitment: Revised Amount: XDR 8.29M Environmental Category: B Implementing Agencies: Pamir Energy Company Cofinanciers and Other External Partners: Pamir Energy Company International Finance Corporation Aga Khan Fund for Economic Development (AKFED) B. Key Dates Revised / Actual Process Date Process Original Date Date(s) Concept Review: 05/31/2001 Effectiveness: 03/31/2003 03/31/2003 07/31/2008 Appraisal: 03/18/2002 Restructuring(s): 12/29/2010 Approval: 06/27/2002 Mid-term Review: Closing: 12/31/2006 12/31/2010 C. Ratings Summary C.1 Performance Rating by ICR Outcomes: Satisfactory Risk to Development Outcome: Moderate Bank Performance: Satisfactory Borrower Performance: Satisfactory C.2 Detailed Ratings of Bank and Borrower Performance (by ICR) Bank Ratings Borrower Ratings Quality at Entry: Satisfactory Government: Satisfactory Implementing Quality of Supervision: Satisfactory Satisfactory Agency/Agencies: Overall Bank Satisfactory Overall Borrower Satisfactory i Performance: Performance: C.3 Quality at Entry and Implementation Performance Indicators Implementation QAG Assessments Indicators Rating Performance (if any) Potential Problem Project Quality at Entry Yes None at any time (Yes/No): (QEA): Problem Project at any Quality of No None time (Yes/No): Supervision (QSA): DO rating before Satisfactory Closing/Inactive status: D. Sector and Theme Codes Original Actual Sector Code (as % of total Bank financing) Power 100 100 Theme Code (as % of total Bank financing) Infrastructure services for private sector development 33 33 Pollution management and environmental health 33 33 Rural services and infrastructure 34 34 E. Bank Staff Positions At ICR At Approval Vice President: Philippe H. Le Houerou Johannes F. Linn Country Director: Motoo Konishi Dennis N. de Tray Sector Manager: Ranjit J. Lamech Peter D. Thomson Project Team Leader: Imtiaz Hizkil Raghuveer Y. Sharma ICR Team Leader: Imtiaz Hizkil ICR Primary Author: Peggy Janice Masterson F. Results Framework Analysis Project Development Objectives (from Project Appraisal Document) The objective of the Project is, through private sector involvement, to improve the reliability and enhance the quantity of supply of electricity in the Gorno Badakshan Autonomous Oblast (GBAO) region in a financially, environmentally and socially sustainable way. ii Revised Project Development Objectives (as approved by original approving authority) The Project Development Objective was not revised. (a) PDO Indicator(s) Original Target Formally Actual Value Values (from Revised Achieved at Indicator Baseline Value approval Target Completion or documents) Values Target Years Sign Concession Agreement between PamirEnergy and Government of Indicator 1 : Tajikistan Concession Agreement Private Private Value signed at appraisal (May Concessionaire Concessionaire quantitative or 24, 2002) for a term of 25 operating operating Qualitative) years. satisfactorily. satisfactorily. Date achieved 05/24/2002 12/31/2010 12/31/2010 Comments Target 100% achieved and expected to continue for duration of Concession (incl. % Agreement. achievement) Indicator 2 : Increased electricity sales in GBAO region 174,395 MWh in Value 200,000 2009; quantitative or 135,000 MWh/year MWh/year 163,215 MWh in Qualitative) 2010 Date achieved 12/31/2002 12/31/2010 12/31/2010 Comments Target 82% achieved in 2010. Generation was slightly lower than envisaged in (incl. % view of lower demand. achievement) Residential consumers, especially the poorer section, consuming desired level of Indicator 3 : electricity. Value 22 hours/day in 22-24 hours/day in quantitative or 3 hours/day in winter winter winter Qualitative) Date achieved 12/31/2002 12/31/2010 12/31/2010 Comments Target 100% achieved. The above electricity supply is to the main grid area, (incl. % which covers 80% of the electricity consumption in GBAO. Moreover, since achievement) 2008 PamirEnergy (PEC) has exported electricity to Afghanistan. Indicator 4 : PamirEnergy improving collection rates. Collections were Value Collection rates of 100.35% of sales quantitative or Collection rates of 40% 95% for the year ending Qualitative) December 31, 2010 Date achieved 12/31/2002 12/31/2010 12/31/2010 Comments (incl. % Target exceeded. achievement) iii (b) Intermediate Outcome Indicator(s) Original Target Actual Value Formally Values (from Achieved at Indicator Baseline Value Revised approval Completion or Target Values documents) Target Years Indicator 1 : Implementation of the agreed Environmental Management Plan Implementation of Implementation of Value Environmental the agreed the agreed (quantitative Management Plan Environmental Environmental or Qualitative) prepared at appraisal. Management Plan Management Plan is satisfactory. is satisfactory. Date achieved 06/30/2002 12/31/2010 12/31/2010 Comments Target 100% achieved. WB environmental specialist reviewed the (incl. % implementation of EMP during site visits in September 2009 and September achievement) 2010 and found it satisfactory. Maintaining the maximum average tariffs in US cents/kWh as agreed in the Indicator 2 : Concession Agreement. 3.00 US cents/kWh
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