Gibbardian Collapse and Trivalent Conditionals
Gibbardian Collapse and Trivalent Conditionals Paul Égré* Lorenzo Rossi† Jan Sprenger‡ Abstract This paper discusses the scope and significance of the so-called triviality result stated by Allan Gibbard for indicative conditionals, showing that if a conditional operator satisfies the Law of Import-Export, is supraclassical, and is stronger than the material conditional, then it must collapse to the material conditional. Gib- bard’s result is taken to pose a dilemma for a truth-functional account of indicative conditionals: give up Import-Export, or embrace the two-valued analysis. We show that this dilemma can be averted in trivalent logics of the conditional based on Reichenbach and de Finetti’s idea that a conditional with a false antecedent is undefined. Import-Export and truth-functionality hold without triviality in such logics. We unravel some implicit assumptions in Gibbard’s proof, and discuss a recent generalization of Gibbard’s result due to Branden Fitelson. Keywords: indicative conditional; material conditional; logics of conditionals; triva- lent logic; Gibbardian collapse; Import-Export 1 Introduction The Law of Import-Export denotes the principle that a right-nested conditional of the form A → (B → C) is logically equivalent to the simple conditional (A ∧ B) → C where both antecedentsare united by conjunction. The Law holds in classical logic for material implication, and if there is a logic for the indicative conditional of ordinary language, it appears Import-Export ought to be a part of it. For instance, to use an example from (Cooper 1968, 300), the sentences “If Smith attends and Jones attends then a quorum *Institut Jean-Nicod (CNRS/ENS/EHESS), Département de philosophie & Département d’études cog- arXiv:2006.08746v1 [math.LO] 15 Jun 2020 nitives, Ecole normale supérieure, PSL University, 29 rue d’Ulm, 75005, Paris, France.
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