5 Last Chance of an Opportune War: Preempting Woodrow Wilson in Asia
5 Last Chance of an Opportune War: Preempting Woodrow Wilson in Asia Away, then, with the alien and repulsive slogan, "democratic!" Never will the mechanical-democratic state of the West be naturalized with us. -Thomas Mann, Reflections of a Nonpolitical Man, 1918 The American president's propagation of democracy throughout the world in the wake of military victory has given a strong push [to parliamentary gov ernment and universal suffrage] .... For better or for worse, we are truly up against a time of crisis. -Mori Ogai, 1918 The principal belligerents entered the third year of war in the fall of 1916 reinvigorated for battle. The heroes of Germany's eastern campaign, General Paul von Hindenburg and Major General Erich Ludendorff, be came in August the chief of the German General Staff and quartermaster general, respectively, and refused to accommodate Russia by renouncing German gains in Poland. In France, General Robert Nivelle, architect of recent spectacular advances at Verdun, assumed the role of supreme commander on the Western front in November and announced that "victory is certain."1 In London, the Liberal Party's David Lloyd George, who had called in parliament for a "knock-out blow" against the Ger mans, in December formed a "national unity" cabinet and promised to prosecute the war with vigor. LAST CHANCE OF AN OPPORTUNE WAR 155 While the French and British thus focused on crushing the German menace, their Japanese allies had turned their attention to a very different challenge. That challenge was graphically described in the title of a spe cial three-part series in the monthly Chuo koron beginning October 1916: "A Study of America, Which Is Extending Its Expansionary Wings over the Pacific and East Asian Continent." Japan's most prominent intellec tuals, businessmen, and soldiers gathered in the fall of 1916 for a forum not on how to defeat Germany in the present but on how to confront the United States in the future.
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