AMSTATNEWS the Membership Magazine of the American Statistical Association •

May 2017 • Issue #479 AMSTATNEWS The Membership Magazine of the American Statistical Association • http://magazine.amstat.org

JSM Is Baltimore Bound!

ALSO: ASA Visits Capitol Hill During Seventh Climate Science Day Pastimes of Statisticians: What Does Fred Faltin Do When He Is Not Being a Statistician? LessonPlan_8.33x11.83.indd 1 7/8/2015 4:55:36 PM AMSTATNEWS MAY 2017 • ISSUE #479

Executive Director Ron Wasserstein: [email protected] Associate Executive Director and Director of Operations features Stephen Porzio: [email protected] 3 President’s Corner Director of Science Policy Steve Pierson: [email protected] 5 PhD Student Credits Math Alliance with Success Director of Strategic Initiatives and Outreach 9 Interview with Editor of Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Donna LaLonde: [email protected] Research Director of Education 10 Cultivating a Culture of Collaboration (with Gusto) Rebecca Nichols: [email protected] in Your Career Managing Editor Megan Murphy: [email protected] 14 ASA Visits Capitol Hill During Seventh Climate Science Day

Production Coordinators/Graphic Designers Sara Davidson: [email protected] Megan Ruyle: [email protected]

Publications Coordinator Val Nirala: [email protected]

Advertising Manager Claudine Donovan: [email protected]

Contributing Staff Members Lara Harmon • Naomi Friedman Amy Nussbaum • Kathleen Wert

Amstat News welcomes news items and letters from readers on matters of interest to the association and the profession. Address correspondence to Page 14 Managing Editor, Amstat News, American Statistical Association, 732 North Washington Street, Alexandria VA 22314-1943 USA, or email amstat@ amstat.org. Items must be received by the first day of the preceding month The ASA’s Amy Nussbaum introduces Rep. Bill Foster (D-IL) as one to ensure appearance in the next issue (for example, June 1 for the July issue). of the keynote speakers for the Climate Science Day workshop. Material can be sent as a Microsoft Word document, PDF, or within an email. Articles will be edited for space. Accompanying artwork will be accepted in graphics file formats only (.jpg, etc.), minimum 300 dpi. No material in WordPerfect will be accepted. Amstat News (ISSN 0163-9617) is published monthly by the American Statistical Association, 732 North Washington Street, Alexandria VA 22314- 1943 USA. Periodicals postage paid at Alexandria, Virginia, and additional columns mailing offices. POSTMASTER: Send address changes to Amstat News, 732 North Washington Street, Alexandria VA 22314-1943 USA. Send Canadian 18 PASTIMES OF STATISTICIANS address changes to APC, PO Box 503, RPO West Beaver Creek, Rich Hill, ON L4B 4R6. Annual subscriptions are $50 per year for nonmembers. Amstat What Does Fred Faltin Do When He Is Not Being News is the member publication of the ASA. For annual membership rates, a Statistician? see www.amstat.org/join or contact ASA Member Services at (888) 231-3473. This column focuses on what statisticians do when they are not being statisticians. American Statistical Association If you would like to share your pastime with readers, please email Megan Murphy, 732 North Washington Street Amstat News managing editor, at [email protected]. Alexandria, VA 22314–1943 USA (703) 684–1221 ASA GENERAL: [email protected] ADDRESS CHANGES: [email protected] AMSTAT EDITORIAL: [email protected] ADVERTISING: [email protected] 20 STATtr@k WEBSITE: http://magazine.amstat.org Advocating for Ethical Guidelines Strengthens Printed in USA © 2017 Statisticians, Data Analysts American Statistical Association STATtr@k is a column in Amstat News and a website geared toward people who are in a statistics program, recently graduated from a statistics program, or recently entered the job world. To read more articles like this one, visit the website at http://stattrak.amstat.org. If you have suggestions for future articles, or would like to submit an article, please email Megan Murphy, Amstat News managing editor, at [email protected]. ® The American Statistical Association is the world’s largest community of statisticians. The ASA supports excellence in the development, application, and dissemination of statistical science through meetings, publications, membership services, education, accreditation, and advocacy. Our members serve in industry, government, and academia in more than 90 countries, advancing research and promoting sound statistical practice to inform public policy and improve human welfare. NEWS & ANNOUNCEMENTS 5th Nonclinical Biostatistics Conference A conference devoted to nonclinical biostatistics will take place June 12–14 at the Rutgers University Fiber Optics Building. departments With the theme “Statistics Accelerating the 22 meetings Pharmaceutical Sciences,” the conference will provide a JSM Is Baltimore Bound! venue for the presentation and discussion of scientific Featured Speakers and statistical issues relevant to nonclinical biostatistics. JSM 2017 Special Opportunities The program features 2 1/2 days of talks, a poster session, and special sessions for graduate students. Keynote What’s in Baltimore Besides JSM? More Than speakers are ASA President-elect Lisa LaVange and John You Think! Storey from Princeton University. Is This Your First JSM? Here Are Some Tips The full program and a set of abstracts are available at to Navigate the Conference https://goo.gl/SDkOEs. JSM Student Volunteer Opportunities Graduate students are encouraged to submit poster Data Art Show Returns abstracts to [email protected]. Student Diversity Mentoring Program Is Now registration is $120, with limited scholarships available Accepting Applications to offset travel costs. JSM Docents Are Ready to Help! Questions, suggestions, and comments may be directed to [email protected].

Nominate a woman in the statistical sciences for the Norwood Award The department of biostatistics and the school of public health at the University of Alabama at Birmingham (UAB) seeks nominations for the Janet L. Page 29 Norwood Award for Outstanding Achievement by a Woman in the Statistical Sciences. The award recipient will deliver a lecture at the UAB award ceremony in Baltimore has a lot to offer outside of JSM. Check it out! September, as well as receive paid travel expenses, a $5,000 prize, and the award. For details about the award, visit https://goo.gl/DPfhlz. Email nominations by June 23 to Charity Morgan, member news assistant professor of biostatistics, at [email protected]. 36 Awards & Deadlines 37 People News

38 Section • Chapter • Committee News For more upcoming events, check out the ASA Calendar of Events in this issue or, for the complete 42 Calendar of Events list of statistics meetings and workshops across the globe, 45 Professional Opportunities visit www.amstat.org/ dateline. Announcements are Follow us on Twitter www.twitter.com/AmstatNews accepted from educational and not-for-profit Join the ASA Community organizations. http://community.amstat.org Like us on Facebook www.facebook.com/AmstatNews

2 amstat news may 2017 president's corner

Bigger Isn’t Always Better When It Comes to Data

ife is more than just a sample size. I think in my With these concerns in mind, we must figure 40-year career with the U.S. Environmental out how to obtain a random, representative set of Protection Agency, the single question I was vehicles. EPA had a testing lab in Livonia, Michigan, askedL most was, “What sample size do I need?” so we used the Wayne County vehicle registration Frequently, the question was asked without any fur- list to randomly select vehicles. If your vehicle was ther explanation of the project, evoking my response selected, we phoned several times at different hours of, “Sit down, let’s talk.” I was fascinated, and admit- of the day, sent registered mail, etc. to reach you. No tedly disappointed, that the premier reason people substitution allowed for a convenience sample. But consulted with me was merely to ascertain the size of even if you were reached, we didn’t know if the car the sample. In fact, usually the sample size was the was well maintained and used until we administered least of the problem. Let me give an example. a rigorous questionnaire concerning your driving I was involved in a case that is quite old now, but and maintenance habits. Assuming that was satisfied, demonstrates the premise so well. In the late 1970s, why would you volunteer your car for government EPA ordered Chrysler Motors to recall a class of vehi- testing? We provided the following three-part incen- Barry D. Nussbaum cles for excessive emissions of carbon monoxide. These tive: a fully insured loaner vehicle, your car returned were rather large vehicles with 360- and 400-inch3 with our mechanics setting it to factory specifica- displacements. Even then, they were considered “mus- tions, and a $50 U.S. Savings Bond (remember, this cle cars.” But here comes the problem: How to mea- was the 1970s). So, after going through all this, the sure the emissions from these cars, since they were vehicle was submitted to testing. already “in use.” That is, instead of being on the Notice a subtle nuance here. Normally, you assembly line, motorists like you and me were driv- have a population and you sample elements from ing these. So how would you acquire a sample of the population. Here, we really didn’t know if the them? That is just the beginning of the questions vehicle’s emissions belonged to the population, due involving this sampling. In fact, let’s start at the to the maintenance and use restrictions, until we beginning and try to specify the population. administered the questionnaire after the vehicle had Thinking back to college, this is not a simple case of been randomly selected. picking balls out of an urn. Now, with all these considerations satisfied, we The population is: “Carbon monoxide emissions finally come to the problem of sample size. Here from well maintained and used 1975 model Chrysler the issue took an odd twist. Carbon monoxide vehicles under 100,000 miles not sold in California or emissions are clearly a continuous measurement. Denver as measured on the Federal Test Procedure.” The most applicable probability distribution is the That is a mouthful. Let’s examine it a bit. The actual log normal distribution. However, this was a legal data we want are the carbon monoxide emissions as enforcement case and the Clean Air Act only con- measured on the Federal Test Procedure (FTP). What siders a vehicle meeting or exceeding the applicable is the FTP? It is a test in which the car is on a dyna- standards. So, perhaps counterintuitively, we used mometer (think of it as a treadmill for cars) under a binomial model! And how many did we sample? controlled temperature and humidity conditions 10. Yes, just 10. and following a vehicle trace that mimics the average Prior ancillary data had indicated these vehicles morning commute in Los Angeles. (Just discussing were likely to exceed standards, and in fact all the FTP would consume enough President’s Corner 10 did exactly that. Think about your binomial articles for the next six months. I will spare you.) model. If the vehicles really did meet standards, the What is a well-maintained and used vehicle? One probability of observing all 10 failing is less than whose owner has dutifully followed the basic required 1/1000. I suspect readers of this column can under- maintenance, such as changing oil, and has not used stand that low probability, but this case went to an the vehicle as a race car, on off-road terrain, to tow a administrative court hearing. The biggest concern boat, etc. Why stop at 100,000 miles? That was con- was telling it succinctly to a judge, who was going sidered the “useful life” back then. What’s wrong with to decide whether we won or lost the case. (Talk California and Denver? California had its own set of about a binomial outcome!) emission standards, and Denver vehicles have differ- Many of you have heard my mantra and the sub- ent settings to adapt to high-altitude driving. ject of my March President’s Corner: “It’s not what

may 2017 amstat news 3 The Resident Statistician

If the sampling doesn’t make sense, then doubling the sample size still gives you nothing!

we said, it’s not what they heard, it’s what they say used. The clip is humorous, and in reflection, sad as they heard.” In this situation, it was crucial that the well. Look for yourself at https://goo.gl/9qdfjK. judge understood us and said what he heard cor- While I am thinking in terms of humorous rectly. I am happy to report Judge Edward Finch did determinations of sample size, I sometimes suggest precisely that. We won the case. we should stop at samples of size one, since other- The point of all this is that administering the wise variance starts to get in the way. I always have proper sampling was more difficult than just specify- a smile, but sometimes think the audience is taking ing a sample size. And if the sampling were defective, me seriously. (Note to Barry: Be careful here!) a higher sample size would not remedy the situation. Why my concern with a rather old case involv- Sure, larger sample sizes are typically better than ing a small sample? There are two reasons. I think smaller ones, but the real problem is in the sampling. because we currently have a fascination with Big By the way, why are larger sample sizes just “typi- Data—large volumes, velocity, variety, and, hopeful- cally” better? There is a paper I wrote in conjunc- ly, veracity—we sometimes forget the beautiful basic tion with Nagaraj Neerchal and Pepi Lacayo (“IS utility of inferential statistics: getting a lot of infor- a Larger Sample Size Always Better?”, American mation from small, but well-constructed, samples. Journal of Mathematical and Management Science, Second, again With Big Data in mind, I wanted to Vol. 28, Nos. 3&4, 2008) that shows this is not set straight the importance of the raw data, datum necessarily the case for some discrete distributions. by datum. This does not go away when we are del- Of course, there is a flip side to this problem. uged with data. I will write about my thoughts Once I specified a sample size of 10 in the automo- regarding Big Data in a future column. bile emissions recall example, most of the engineers So, when all is said and done, I am a bigger assumed 10 was always the answer. Heck, if it worked believer in the quality of data, not the quantity. for Chrysler, why not for the others? Of course, this depends on what we know from prior ancillary data. Significantly forward, This reminded me of a YouTube video clip many of Barry you may have seen in which a scientist and statistician try to collaborate. The scientist is hung up on a sample of size three since that is what was always

4 amstat news may 2017 PhD Student Credits Math Alliance with Success

The National Alliance for Doctoral Studies in the Mathematical Sciences is a program with a goal of ensuring that every under-represented or under-served American student with talent and ambition has the opportunity to earn a doctoral degree in a mathematical science. There are many ways to become involved with the Math Alliance, whether you are an undergraduate student, a graduate student, or a faculty member. More information can be found at https://mathalliance.org.

Widad Abdalla, Math Alliance Doctoral Scholar

n May of 2011, I graduated from the grant proposal about anything related to math- University of Puerto Rico – Cayey with a ematics and graduate school. Students used grant bachelor’s degree in mathematics, a minor in funds to travel to various conferences in prior Iaccounting, and a certification from the Honors years, but since I had already traveled to many Studies Program. Then, in 2013, I graduated conferences, I decided to seize that opportunity from the University of Puerto Rico – Mayaguez and organize a conference in Puerto Rico so all the with a master’s degree in applied mathematics. math major students on the island could benefit. My professional goal is to earn a doctorate and The Math Alliance accepted my proposal and the contribute to strengthening research in Puerto conference was held at the University of Puerto Rico through my work. Rico – Cayey on November 13, 2010. The con- When I started college, I was pursuing a degree ference was modeled after the Field of Dreams Widad Abdalla is in chemistry because my goal was to go to medi- Conference, and I organized it under the mentor- a third-year PhD cal or dentistry school. However, for as long as I ship of Math Alliance Director Phil Kutzko. student in education can remember, mathematics has been my favorite After finishing my bachelor’s degree, I decided measurement and subject. The only reason I did not contemplate a to stay in Puerto Rico to pursue a master’s degree statistics at the career in mathematics was because I did not know in applied mathematics. I was unsure of what I University of Iowa what I could do with a mathematics degree. So, for wanted to get my degree in at first, which is one and a Math Alliance doctoral scholar. me, studying mathematics was never an option. It reason I stayed. But, when I started my master’s was only when I started to get into more advanced degree, I got a teaching assistantship to fund my mathematics classes that I decided to switch my studies. It was then I discovered my passion for major. My thought was that I was going to earn teaching mathematics and knew I wanted to work a bachelor’s degree in something I am truly pas- toward a PhD related to education. sionate about, even if I wouldn’t practice anything Toward the end of my master’s, my adviser and related to my degree after graduating. Math Alliance mentor Juan Ariel Ortiz recom- In 2008, Errol Montes-Pizarro (a Math Alliance mended I again attend the annual Field of Dreams mentor) recommended I attend the second annual Conference. The Math Alliance was starting a uni- Field of Dreams Conference. I still remember how form admission process (now called the Facilitated enlightened I felt after returning home from that Graduate Admissions Program, F-GAP) that year, conference. Participants talked about possible career which consisted of pairing each aspiring PhD stu- paths, undergraduate research experiences, graduate dent with a mentor who evaluated their admission school, and financial aid, among other things. packets, including their personal statements and It was also through the Math Alliance that résumés. The mentor would provide recommenda- I was able to get my first research experience for tions for improving their admission profiles. After undergraduates (REU) at the University of Iowa. that, students would select the Math Alliance gradu- Throughout my undergraduate years, I had the ate program they wanted to apply to and send their privilege of completing five internships at various materials all at once. As part of the process, all the universities and research institutes. From these programs I selected waived the admission fee. I also experiences, I gained valuable skills and life experi- applied to several schools outside the Math Alliance, ence that prepared me for graduate school. so I know the hardships that come with applying to During my undergraduate research internship PhD programs and can affirm how smooth the Math at the University of Iowa, I was able to write a Alliance made that process for me.

may 2017 amstat news 5

PENN STATE ONLINE I am currently working toward a PhD in educational measurements and statistics, a program I learned about through the Math Alliance and Field of Dreams Conference. When I went to the booth for educational measurements and statistics, their first question was, “Are you interested in education?” This really caught my attention. I must admit this program intimidated me at first, because its entire foundation is statistics and I had never done statistics before. Although it was a program that was far outside my comfort zone, it was so interesting to me that I applied anyway. Part of the admission process was an interview with the program director and chair of the department. It turns out both came from a mathemat- MORE ONLINE ics background, just like me. They explained that The Math Alliance the program consists of three areas: educational Statistical Initiative will measurements, applied statistics, and an area of be meeting during the my choice, which could be applied mathematics, Joint Statistical Meetings in Baltimore. Look for mathematics education, or mathematical statis- more information about tics, among others. Earn a Master of the meeting in the After the interview, I felt inspired and was con- online program at http:// fident this program was a good fit for me. It turned ww2.amstat.org/jsm. out I was able to combine my passions for math- Applied Statistics ematics, education, and now statistics into one degree. It’s remarkable to see how I get to apply online in two years all my mathematics skills to this amazing area. It’s been three years since I started my PhD, and I don’t think I could be happier in another program. Learn biostatistics I became a doctoral scholar for the Math techniques, data mining, Alliance when I started my PhD and travel every year to the annual Field of Dreams Conference and predictive analytics to help recruit minority students. Also, I am one of the main contacts for the University of Puerto Use industry standard Rico (Cayey and Mayaguez campuses) for math- software: Minitab, R, SAS ematics students who wish to pursue graduate studies in the mathematics education field. Enhance your career The mentorship I received from the Math in market research, Alliance has allowed me to grow in various ways as an under-represented minority in the math- project management, ematical sciences. I know firsthand the value of public health research, these experiences, and I know the value of helping statistical consulting, others. So, after I graduate with my PhD, I intend to become a Math Alliance mentor to help guide and many other fields and recruit minority students interested in mathematical science fields. I have been a member of the Math Alliance for almost 10 years now, and I am a witness to how much the alliance has grown. I can honestly say I am where I am today, achieving my life-long dream of earning a doctoral degree, thanks to the Math Alliance. n

worldcampus.psu.edu/amstat 6 amstat news may 2017

U.Ed.OUT 17-0112/17-WC-0463/ajm/sss GiveASA Fund the Future: Support Statistics ASA needs YOUR help to deliver programs that support excellence in the practice and profession of statistics. GROW INSPIRE IMPROVE EDUCATE Providing Ongoing Supporting Statistics Raising the Pro le Advancing Statistical Professional Development Education of the Profession Literacy

“Thanks to the ASA’s “The ASA provides “Thanks to the advocacy “I see the future of journalism mentoring program and the publications, professional and policy work of the and the future of society opportunity to attend the contacts, and competitions ASA and its members, the as one where statisticians Conference on Statistical that empower teachers engagement of statisticians collaborate with journalists Practice through a scholar- to engage students in is deemed critical to the to report on stories that ship, I have been given the statistics using the most federal e orts to strengthen couldn’t be told accurately tools to help me navigate current statistical and the scienti c basis of forensic before and are vital my choices and choose the pedagogical methods.” science. Statisticians are to the public interest.” career that is right for me.” SHARON HESSNEY actively sought and engaged TREVOR BUTTERWORTH BRITTNEY BAILEY AP Statistics Content Leader, by federal agencies in this Editor, STATS.org 2016 Lester R. Curtin Award Mass Insight Education area, and the ASA is working winner ENCOURAGING SUPPORT FOR STATISTICS to broaden this success.” STATISTICAL LITERACY EDUCATION PROFESSIONAL STEVE PIERSON • Partnership with Stats.org DEVELOPMENT • ASA DataFest Director of Science Policy, ASA OPPORTUNITIES • This Is Statistics public • Census at School • Courses at JSM and CSP HIGHLIGHTING THE relations campaign • Meeting Within a Meeting WORK OF STATISTICIANS • Web-based lectures • Stats + Stories podcast and workshops • Beyond AP Statistics • Engaging statisticians in • House of Statistics • ASA traveling courses • Curriculum guideline federal research initiatives development • Advocating for funding • Media training • Mentoring programs for statisticians • K-12 Statistical Ambassador for federal statistical • Awards and scholarships and research agencies • ASA Science Policy Fellowship

LearnLearn more more atat www.amstat.org/giving.www.amstat.org/giving. 8 amstat news may 2017 Interview with Editor of Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research

rank Bretz is the editor of academia, and regulatory agencies to Statistics in Biopharmaceutical advance practices of pharmaceutical Research. We asked him to tell drug development. This could be done usF a little about himself, the journal, by, for example, establishing dedicated and what we can expect to read in sections such as a “regulatory corner” future issues. for a scientific exchange on newly developed statistical guidelines or a Where did you grow up and section on “out of box” statistical go to school, and what or methods and practices. Frank Bretz who inspired you to be a statistician? What do you find most I grew up on three continents, until I enjoyable about being settled in Germany to study mathematics with a journal editor? a minor in biology. It was not until my PhD, how- For me, I found that my past experiences as associ- ever, that I developed a passion for statistics and ate or guest editor for various journals was extremely recognized the necessity to bridge the gap between rewarding. I found I was involved in handling new methodological developments and their applica- science at a detailed level unmatched by other ven- tions in the day-to-day world. ues. I also found myself getting new contacts in the form of authors and reviewers. Why did you become interested in When the opportunity came around for me to being the editor for SBR? take on the editorial responsibility for SBR, I did not The role of statistics in biopharmaceutical research need much convincing, but the reasons were more is ever increasing, and SBR has played a major role personal than anything else. Becoming an editor is in this regard since its launch in 2009. Thus, it not something you just choose; you need to see if is an honor to build upon the work of the pre- you personally get something out of the job that vious editors and follow the call from Joe Heyse makes it worth your while. in the journal’s first issue to “publish original Ultimately, the most enjoyable part is the fact that peer-reviewed articles directed to researchers and I’m surrounded by an outstanding team that shoul- applied statisticians from academia, government, ders much of the heavy work: Jina Lee as the edito- and industry supporting the growing disciplines rial coordinator, Eric Sampson as the journal man- in the biopharmaceutical sciences.” ager, and, last but not least, the entire editorial board. Do you plan to make any changes to What do you find is the most the journal while you are editor? challenging part of your job as editor? We need to acknowledge the globalization of the phar- To sign up as chief editor likely means signing up maceutical industry. Complementing my other ser- for a longer period to be able to fully embrace the vices in supporting the ASA’s international outreach flow of articles and handle all the problems that activities—particularly for the Biopharmaceutical may occur. This is particularly true if you wish to Section—I would like to increase the visibility of see any results of your work while you are still asso- SBR outside the United States. As a first step, we have ciated with the journal. enriched the editorial board with selected members from other regions to broaden the impact of SBR and What do you enjoy doing in your encourage submissions from outside the United States. spare time? At the same time, I would like to sharpen SBR’s Traveling, hiking, reading, immersing into different profile at the scientific interface between industry, cultures. n

may 2017 amstat news 9 Cultivating a Culture of Collaboration (with Gusto) in Your Career

Joseph C. Cappelleri, Pfizer Inc.

You’ve attributed your professional success to condition. Strong and persuasive communication developing a reputation for cultivating a culture of skills, especially to colleagues not versed in the collaboration. How have you done this, and what language of statistics, is paramount regarding the advice do you have for young professionals to do so? methodological strengths and weaknesses of a par- My resource, or “secret sauce,” for cultivating a ticular strategy or position. culture of collaboration begins with taking owner- The influential 21st-century pharmaceutical ship of myself. By continuing to learn and relearn, statistician needs to understand the broad clini- and building on my academic training, I have cal, regulatory, and public health context. By being empowered and trained myself to relish and, in proactive with up-to-date knowledge, the pharma- some cases, master whatever set of skills was being ceutical statistician can provide team members with sought for its own intrinsic value—especially skills strategic directives—which he or she is encouraged related to biopharmaceutical research. to originate and propose—and with guidance The second ingredient in the special sauce of about design options and their tradeoffs, execu- With more than 400 publications and collaboration is to share a newly acquired knowl- tion regarding quality control and risk mitigation, at least twice as edge or idea with others who have a common analytic strategies including their strengths and many conference interest and stand to benefit. That means I have weaknesses, and effective interpretation of results. presentations, Joseph something of potential value to offer and engage Having an intrinsic passion for statistical science, C. Cappelleri is a other colleagues—be it a statistical method, novel along with knowledge of the subject matter to prolific author and medical researcher in application, methodological nuance, research or which it is applied, builds a natural momentum the pharmaceutical strategic idea, or something else. toward co-authoring manuscripts and conference industry. He is a senior The third factor, which combines self-interest and presentations on applied and methodological top- director of biostatistics common interest, involves merging the other two ics. And with that comes respect from others that at Pfizer Inc. factors to achieve a synergistic elevation and refine- opens the pathway for even more collaborative and ment of the research endeavor by capitalizing on authorship opportunities. each other’s strengths to fortify the endeavor more In the 21st century, a pharmaceutical statistician than it would have been individually. In doing so, who continually learns technical and nontechnical actively seek out collaborators with special talents or aspects of his or her business will be in a favorable knowledge and give them something in return that position to make a positive difference. Then the has professional value to them. Choose a regular col- “magic” happens: sharing these learnings so as to laborator and bring out the best in each other. redound benefit to individual team members. Such My advice to young professionals, therefore, is to a statistician, therefore, is rendering value not only follow this recipe: Build your skill set uncondition- by providing his or her expertise, but also by elevat- ally and regularly, share it with colleagues who share ing the work of others so they contribute more to a a common interest, and work together to make the project than they would have otherwise. Bring out summed contribution greater than its individual parts. the best in others. Beyond developing the reputation of someone to Your advice for professional success could be applied engage as a collaborator, what advice do you have to many career tracks. What do you like about work- for being a successful 21st-century statistician? ing in the pharmaceutical industry, and what advice The successful 21st-century statistician needs to do you have for students considering this sector? develop and refine first-rate quantitative skills The nature of the pharmaceutical industry—with through dedication, habitual study, and regular a premium placed on ongoing innovation and practice. Technical preparation is required through research aimed at optimal patient care—makes it competency in general areas and mastery in par- stimulating, rewarding, and challenging. I welcome ticular areas. Substance reigns with precision and the internal and external challenges that fuel stim- correctness as the hallmarks of analytical virtue. ulation and reward. I embrace the expectation to That said, being technically smart is—to use a challenge myself to work with others in the most statistical phrase—a necessary but not sufficient efficient manner and to adapt effectively in an

10 amstat news may 2017 evolving and competitive environment. This expectation motivates me to elevate myself to be the best The successful 21st-century statistician medical researcher possible because the ultimate objective and reward transcends personal ambition needs to develop and refine first-rate and has much higher stakes: It is about improving the quality and quantity of life for millions and millions of patients worldwide, and to do so with quantitative skills through dedication, integrity, honor, and distinction. I am fortunate and blessed to be part of a com- habitual study, and regular practice. pany and an industry that embodies the core values of collaboration, community, customer focus, innovation, integrity, leadership, performance, quality, and respect for people. These values are required for a company to have sustained, long-term success in In addition, expansion to fields seemingly unre- the industry. I embrace them and find them enno- lated to statistics—such as travel, music, sports— bling; they enrich the human spirit and condition. and reading good books on history, literature, art, My advice to students of statistics who wish to and other disciplines are encouraged as they stimu- enter the pharmaceutical industry is multifold. First, late a person to be more interesting and engaging there is no substitute for mastery of content. Be with an open mind to see things from multicolored the real deal. Others will soon realize and appreci- perspectives. Perhaps the determination and strate- ate your passion and expertise. It is the way we are gy observed or experienced during a sporting event, wired. Such mastery requires the virtues of working or an elegantly written passage of a historical event, industriously and consistently that open gates to may inspire an analogous strategy or interpretation technical creativity, implementation, and opportu- that helps resolve or refine a statistical inquiry for nities. Repetition is the mother of skills and all learn- a pharmaceutical application. One resource that ing: practice, practice, practice—here that old-fash- cultivates a personal strategy of life-long learning is ioned work ethic, tried and true, kicks in Mastery The Great Courses (www.thegreatcourses.com). for statisticians in a given disease area requires a good Fourth, living and practicing a positive attitude understanding of it, which makes the statistics more about ourselves, others, and life in general has a pertinent and the disease area more relevant as the way to propel higher, more cultivated thought. Live two disciplines feed on each other. in a state of gratitude and appreciation. The phar- Second, in addition to developing a strong foun- maceutical industry welcomes a can-do, confident dation in general and common areas of statistics, attitude full of optimism and farsightedness. students should specialize in at least one area based Fifth, I would encourage students to join a pro- on their passion for the subject while taking into fessional organization and become actively engaged account the demand and supply of talent in that in it by volunteering, identifying with it, and taking subject. Seek out specialized areas where there is advantage of its rich and expansive opportunities; much demand yet low supply of talent (or at least for example, the American Statistical Association is where demand exceeds supply), especially on the a gold mine for statistics education and other pro- quantitative side, and fill that void with gusto. And fessional opportunities. Joining the right eclectic then bring out the best talent in others by seeking organization, like the ASA, provides its members them out as partners, be they a fellow statistician with wide-ranging possibilities around the differ- or clinician, programmer, data manager, or some ent facets of statistical and data science, propelled other professional. Do this unconditionally and, by a diverse stream of geographic representation perhaps, they may even bring out the best in you. and scholastic interests. The benefit received from After all, statistics is a collaborative science. professional growth and development through such Third, as a personal strategy, students should organizations is proportional to the time and effort be life-long learners of not only statistical and made to them. data science, but also nonstatistical knowledge and Sixth, start networking. A corollary of actively con- organizational principles. Broadening nonstatistical tributing to a professional organization is the network- knowledge involves adroitness in business conduct ing opportunities provided. Networking provides an helpful to the industry statistician such as develop- opportunity for statisticians to have more impact on a ing skills in consulting, communication (presenta- larger scale, accomplish goals sooner or more efficient- tion and writing), influence, career planning, per- ly, and obtain an intrinsic sense of belonging. While sonality training, and team building. These skills virtual interactions among colleagues are welcomed fortify a winning culture at work. and worthwhile, face-to-face human interactions are

may 2017 amstat news 11 The role of statisticians in the pharmaceutical industry has become more elevated over the past two decades.

even better in identifying and connecting with people a role model—through his or her authored works, and a common cause. Networking is also a forum for presentations, and positions—may be sufficient to building character and contributing one’s voice, as a inspire the beneficiary to succeed as intended. Not stage for participants to earn respect and trust by shar- only can the right individuals inspire and enhance ing information and bestowing good will. your craft, programs or organizations of excellence Seventh, develop leadership qualities and lead by can be uplifting as well. action—walk your talk. Leadership qualities have multiple facets. Some are majoring in major things How has the role of a statistician in pharmaceutics and letting go of the small stuff; having a respect for evolved since you started at Pfizer in 1996? diversity and openness to different opinions; being What do you see as the future for statisticians willing to see things as they are, not as what we wish in pharmaceutics? them to be; having the wisdom to discern when to Beginning with the U.S. Kefauver Harris get involved and when not to; and having a healthy Amendment in 1962, FDA hired statisticians to appreciation for creativity and innovation. help with the review and approval of new drugs. Finally, elevate yourself through role models Consequently, statisticians were hired in the phar- and mentors. Doing so can be ennobling and will maceutical industry to provide what was needed for save time and effort in achieving many objectives. regulatory approval. Until around 1990, their role Different role models and mentors may serve dif- was limited. Statistical input was generally restrict- ferent purposes. They can come from multiple ed to what was deemed necessary, with little or no sources such as home, college, work, and the ASA. involvement elsewhere. In the 1970s, however, the Ideally, while personal interaction with a mentor is FDA’s Robert T. O’Neill made huge contributions expected, personal interaction with a role model is to promote clinical, as well as nonclinical, develop- preferred. But the beneficiary does not necessary ment and statistical rigor within FDA. This trend have to personally know a role model to achieve then permeated the industry and the situation the intended objective. The sheer embodiment of started to change.

12 amstat news may 2017 Since the early 1990s, the role of statisticians Pfizer medicines such as Viagra for erectile dys- in the pharmaceutical industry—especially those function, Chantix for smoking cessation, Lyrica employed by larger companies—has evolved and for fibromyalgia and neuropathic pain, Geodon become more elevated with the advent of the statisti- for schizophrenia, and Sutent for renal cell cancer. cal analysis plan and Statistical Principles for Clinical Over the years, my role has involved primarily Trials (International Conference on Harmonisation the design, measurement, validation, analysis, and E9: ICH-E9). In the mid-1950s, there was little use interpretation of health measurement scales where of statistics, but—as time moved forward—the role I have blended the statistics disciplines of biostatis- of clinical statistics progressed from being merely a tics and psychometrics. Another passion of mine formal requirement to one having tactical use. Since has been in methods and applications of meta-anal- around the beginning of the 21st century, the role of ysis in medical research. As a result of numerous co- statistician has expanded to include the strategic use authored publications and conference presentations of statistics and the craft of statistical thinking. Thus, on medical topics, it is only befitting to say I am a clinical statistics has come a long way in supporting medical researcher. And one with gusto! development of medicinal products for regulatory Medicine is the science and practice of the diag- approval and beyond when long-term effects of new nosis, treatment, and prevention of disease. The drugs are identified and evaluated in a larger popula- medical profession has many specializations and tion or subpopulation. sub-specializations grouped into certain branches of The statistician’s role has advanced to a full and medicine. Every physician is educated and trained equal partner with basic, clinical, and regulatory sci- in the basic sciences of medicine. Some groups of FURTHER READING entists, as ordained in ICH-E9, and I expect this role physicians, such as primary care physicians, are Chuang-Stein, C., R. Bain, M. Branson, C. Burton, to continue. I also expect statisticians to continue considered general health care providers, while oth- C. Hoseyni, F. Rockhold, their focus as consultants in different areas of phar- ers specialize in particular fields of internal medi- S. Ruberg, and J. Zhang. maceutical research and development, as well as to cine such as cardiology, urology, and oncology. 2010. Statisticians in be gatekeepers in experimental design and analysis. By analogy, a statistician is typically trained and the pharmaceutical The application of statistical thinking and quan- educated broadly in the statistical sciences by tak- industry. Statistics in Biopharmaceutical titative decision-making will continue to permeate ing core courses in a college program in statistics Research 2(2):145–132. throughout the life cycle of pharmaceutical prod- or related discipline. Some statisticians remain uct. The companies that thrive will recognize that generalists and provide a diverse mix of services or Hilton, C., and T. Lewis. statistics is the heart of medical research. Major consult with other statisticians who specialize in a 2003. Statistics in topics of interest in the pharmaceutical industry particular area of application or theory. These other the pharmaceutical are those presented at the ASA Biopharmaceutical statisticians spend more time delving into particu- industry. Careers with the Pharmaceutical Section Regulatory-Industry Statistics Workshop, lar branches of statistics such as biometrics, econo- Industry, edited by P.D. including (but not limited to) benefit-risk assess- metrics, and psychometrics. Stonier. Second edition. ment, biosimiliars, and patient-reported outcomes. Statisticians in the pharmaceutical industry Chichester, United As parallel progress is made in related areas recognize their purpose is to provide new impor- Kingdom: John Wiley & such as genomics, epidemiology, and risk manage- tant medicines of the highest quality to patients as Sons Ltd. ment, even more opportunities will exist for the quickly, efficiently, and safely as possible. Doing so statistician to contribute and collaborate (see, for requires a first-rate operating model with related example, a recent posting in the Biopharmaceutical disciplines in drug development, including data Report from the ASA Biopharmaceutical Section). management, statistical programming, regulatory, pharmacology, and clinical. The foundation In social settings, we understand that, when asked of this developmental infrastructure emphasizes what you do, you say you are a medical researcher. being both efficient and effective, getting things Why do you do this, and how do you still convey right the first time, having the right people in the your pride about being a statistician? right roles, and taking full ownership of data. Statistics is, in my opinion, the center of research This agile model also strives for greater clar- and the most sacred of the sciences. For the past ity, accountability, and cost efficiencies; promotes 24 years (21 in the pharmaceutical industry, three reduced organizational complexity; and embraces in academe), I have been fully committed and innovation and new technologies that leverage wholly engaged with clinical applications intend- deep expertise and broad capabilities. By inter- ed to improve the quality of life and health status weaving a seamless end-to-end approach across of millions and millions of patients worldwide. all disciplines within a development organization, For example, I have been fortunate to have made quality and efficiency of clinical trials become a instrumental contributions to regulatory approv- reality and the patients who benefit from the medi- al or subsequent medical triumphs of successful cines are best served. n

may 2017 amstat news 13 Photo by Carissa Bunge, American Geophysical Union The ASA’s Amy Nussbaum introduces Rep. Bill Foster (D-IL) as one of the keynote speakers for the Climate Science Day workshop. ASA Visits Capitol Hill During Seventh Climate Science Day Amy Nussbaum, ASA Science Policy Fellow

n March 21, statisticians Peter Bloomfield, As in past years, messages were targeted to pos- Noel Cressie, Dorit Hammerling, and sible effects of climate change in specific districts— Leonard Smith joined 23 other scientists for instance, drought in the southeast or increased Ofrom 13 scientific societies on Capitol Hill for the instances of other extreme events. By using such 7th annual Climate Science Day (CSD). Sponsored examples, CSD participants hoped to emphasize that by the ASA and other scientific societies, the event climate science affects many people in many ways all puts scientists in the same room as lawmakers and over the country. In addition, policy conversations their staffs for frank discussions about climate sci- were avoided, giving the science a chance to shine. ence research. ASA CSD participants visited CSD participants note the tone of the meet- Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, North ings has been changing over the years. Many of the Carolina, and Ohio offices, as well as various com- meetings were positive, and more staffers seem to mittee and EPA staff members. acknowledge the human role in climate change.

14 amstat news may 2017 Photo by Josh Shiode of AAAS Photo by Alison Mize, American Meteorological Society Dorit Hammerling, left, of the University Corporation for Atmospheric Noel Cressie of the University of Wollongong in Australia Research in Boulder, Colorado, stands outside Rep. Mike Coffman’s (R-CO) stands outside Sen. Rob Portman’s (R-OH) office. Cressie office with Sarah Truebe. Hammerling said she was impressed by the wants to be a resource for lawmakers on climate change knowledge and interest of the staffers she met. and environmental issues.

According to Leonard Smith of the London School Participant Dorit Hammerling of the University of Economics and Pembroke College, Oxford, Corporation for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, and the only participant to have attended all seven Colorado, says, “I was impressed by the inter- Climate Science Days, the reception felt much dif- est and knowledge of the staffers, as well as the ferent, especially compared to seven years ago. “The generally congenial atmosphere of the meetings.” desire for open, honest, transparent information on Hammerling and her team visited the office of climate is like nothing I have ever seen on Capitol Rep. Coffman (R-CO), whose staffers seemed par- Hill before,” he says. “The Republican Climate ticularly curious and open-minded. In the week Resolution (H. Res. 195), the bipartisan Climate following Climate Science Day, Rep. Coffman Solutions Caucus, and the healthy disagreement joined the bipartisan Climate Solutions Caucus between republican offices on climate issues each with Rep. Annie Kuster (D-NH), indicating a evidence a willingness for more open discussion,” true interest in the quality of the environment and Smith continued. “For CSD participants and the solutions to current problems. greater scientific community, these developments Noel Cressie, formerly of The Ohio State open new doors for science to inform. As a Gator, University and now at the University of I’m also proud of the lead that Florida republicans Wollongong in Australia, says, “My pitch was to be are taking on the CSC and H.Res. 195.” a resource for them in matters of the environment

may 2017 amstat news 15 Photo by Amy Nussbaum/ASA Peter Bloomfield, left, representing the American Chemical Society, and Daniel Markewitz, center left, of the Soil Science Society of America, discuss climate science with two aides, right, from Sen. David Perdue’s (R-GA) office.

and climate-change impacts, which I think is how we can make a real difference.” Content-wise, the meetings varied widely. Peter Bloomfield of North Carolina State University was paired with a state climatologist and noted that some of the people really responded to the clima- tology side and weather effects in the short run, while others responded to the global aspect of climate science. One staff member asked about the provenance and reliability of climate change data, leading to a fruitful discussion. Still others recognized the impact of climate events on their home districts and saw that scientists can be counted Photo by Steve Pierson/ASA Leonard Smith of the London School of Economics and among their allies when it comes to finding solu- Pembroke College, Oxford, talks about climate science tions to new problems. with a staffer. A workshop held on the previous afternoon featured Rep. Bill Foster (IL), the only PhD physicist in Congress, and former Rep. Bob Inglis aims regarding the ‘science to inform’/ ‘science to (SC), now an outspoken champion for climate motivate’ divide.” science. These perspectives were especially helpful Other events included a congressional staff brief- for participants. Smith says, “I was particularly ing and Q&A session and presentations with advice struck by Congressman Bob Inglis’ plea that sci- for a successful Hill meeting. Participants were able entists, as individuals, ‘do not become an advo- to meet with their assigned teams, strategize, and cate,’ lest we undermine our credibility. This reso- develop their message and ask based on the offices nates with my experience and with my personal they would be visiting. n

16 amstat news may 2017 omen in conference Statistics and Data Science October 19-21, 2017

influence community knowledge

PARTICIPATE IN THE PROGRAM Concurrent and Speed Abstract Submissions Open March 1–April 20

SAVE REGISTER THE Registration and Hotel Reservations Open June 1 Early Registration Closes September 6 DATE Hotel Reservations Close September 22 Regular Registration Closes October 5

Students and mid-career and experienced professionals will be represented! Learn more and become involved at ww2.amstat.org/wsds!

Women in Statistics and Data Science Conference • La Jolla, California • Hyatt Regency • October 19-21, 2017

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PASTIMES OF STATISTICIANS What Does Fred Faltin Do When He Is Not Being a Statistician?

Photo by Fred Faltin An abandoned miner’s cabin in Animas Forks, Colorado

Who are you, and what is your statistics Tell us about what you like to do for fun position? when you are not being a statistician. I am Fred(erick W.) Faltin. I’m managing direc- My favorite pastime is researching, finding, and tor and—with my wife, Donna—co-founder of photographing ghost towns in America’s western The Faltin Group. We’ve provided consulting and states. Many of these towns have a rich history and training services in statistics, Six Sigma, econom- played a role the growth of the nation and expan- ics, and operations research to companies through- sion of the U.S. economy from the mid-1800s out the Americas, Europe, and Asia. Previously, through the mid-1900s. I started and managed the Strategic Enterprise While some western cities and towns—the ones we Technologies Laboratory at GE Research. I’m a all know of—grew and became permanent centers of fellow of the ASA and, with my friends and col- commerce, industry, and culture, others that seemed leagues Ron Kenett and Fabrizio Ruggeri, work- sure to succeed withered and passed into history. Some Faltin ing on the book Analytic Methods in Systems and of these still have a few longtime or newly arrived resi- Software Testing. (Our previous projects were The dents, but many are completely abandoned. Creating Encyclopedia of Statistics in Quality and Reliability a visual chronicle of what remains and exploring the and Statistical Methods in Healthcare.) civic structure and physical architecture of these towns has long been of fascination to me.

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PASTIMES OF STATISTICIANS

Photo by Fred Faltin A crumbling one-room schoolhouse in Cherry Creek, Nevada

What drew you to this hobby, and what keeps you interested? When I was an undergraduate at MIT, my adviser, Gian-Carlo Rota, was the mathematics fellow of the Los Alamos National Laboratory. That led to my working at the lab as a research assistant for a number of summers. Since I knew no one in the area at first, I had plenty of time to explore the mountains and deserts of New Mexico. I soon came across a number of interesting old (mostly mining) towns that were abandoned, or nearly so. Seeing and photographing some naturally led me to want to find more, and the rest is history (pun intended). Today, I enjoy the fact that ghost-towning allows me to combine my interest in history with my love of the outdoors. Many of the towns I’ve located are in extremely remote locations in the vast reaches of the West, so I often find myself camped out under the stars beside my 4WD in what most people would consider the middle of nowhere. Always fond of hiking and backpacking, I love having an excuse

to scramble up hill and down dale in search of what Photo by Fred Faltin might be over the next rise. And there’s a sense of An empty home in Animas Forks, Colorado freedom and solitude that is hard to equal. n

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STATtr@K Advocating for Ethical Guidelines Strengthens Statisticians, Data Analysts Rochelle E. Tractenberg, PStat®

“I regard the lost opportunities—specifically bad science—as unethical.” — John Bailar (https://goo.gl/RN8gTC) “Bad statistics makes bad research, and bad medical research is not ethical.” — Doug Altman (https://goo.gl/UIs4Xz)

did not become a statistician to advocate for Specifically, the 2017 AAAS theme announce- “good science,” but as I prepare to celebrate my ment stated, “Policies both within and outside sci- 20th year as both a scientist and a statistician, I ence should be informed by the best available evi- haveI come to the same conclusion as John Bailar dence.” As a biostatistician and sometimes patient, and Doug Altman: Bad research and bad science I know evidence-based medicine is contingent on are unethical. good science; medicine, like science and policy, Throughout my career, I have consistently should be based on the best available evidence. advocated for good science and transparency in This is as true today as it was 38 years ago when Rochelle Tractenberg is an associate professor my roles as grant reviewer, journal reviewer and Altman noted, “Medical research is one of the in the department editor, and instructor and mentor (and collabora- main foundations of medical knowledge, influenc- of neurology at tor). I joined the ASA’s Committee on Professional ing diagnosis and treatment, so research which is Georgetown University. Ethics (COPE) in 2013 and became the committee badly designed or misleading analyses may lead to She earned her PhD chair this year. I was also engaged in the revision of wrong diagnostic or therapeutic decisions and so from the University of Maryland, College the ASA Ethical Guidelines for Statistical Practice put patient health or even lives at risk.” Park, in measurement, (https://goo.gl/lZeB9G), which the board of directors The session I organized featured three disciplin- statistics, and endorsed in May of 2016, and I plan to spend my ary perspectives. We first heard from engineering, evaluation. Contact her time as COPE chair helping our profession—and which has professional ethical guidelines that are at rochelle.tractenberg@ all those who engage in data analysis—understand required content in every accredited degree pro- gmail.com. how and why these guidelines can support and gram. Richard Maudslay, an elected fellow of the strengthen the role and visibility of the statistician, Royal Academy of Engineering and chair of the analyst, and data scientist. Ethics Working Group, discussed the working This advocacy probably will not be a top, or group and Royal Academy’s efforts to create, main- even a top 20, priority for the beginning statistician. tain, and disseminate this training. However, in the current “post-truth” era, I think integ- I was the next speaker, and I presented the ASA rity and professionalism have an increasing impor- Ethical Guidelines for Statistical Practice. My pre- tance. Beyond avoiding misconduct, which is a natu- sentation outlined the origins and contents of our ral top priority for all statisticians at all career stages, ethical guidelines, but contrasted with the engineer- encouraging and advocating for good science through ing perspective in terms of the nonrequirement and appropriate and transparent statistical analysis can be nonaccreditation of statistics courses or programs pursued. If this seems weighty, I would argue that the throughout the United States—and, subsequently, heft of this obligation makes the data analyst stronger the lack of requirement that our guidelines be inte- and adds a substantive dimension to the statistician as grated into quantitative training at any level. a collaborator and partner in the scientific enterprise. Finally, George DeMartino, an economics pro- The American Association for the Advancement fessor at Denver University, brought this perspec- of Science’s (AAAS) 2017 annual meeting was held tive from economics: no guidance and no guide- in Boston February 16–20 with the theme, “Serving lines. One dramatic difference between economics Society Through Science Policy.” I organized a ses- and engineering and statistics is a longstanding sion to highlight the crucial ways ethical profession- and active resistance—from across practitioners al practice is essential to promoting ethical policy at all levels and in all industries where econom- and decision making. ics are used—to the notion that such guidelines

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How You Can Get Involved An initiative Rochelle Tractenberg is planning for with, the ASA’s ethical guidelines. (Contributors her tenure as the ASA’s Committee on Professional may consider submitting their cases directly to Ethics (COPE) chair is to collect, standardize, and make NCCSTS, although their primary responsibility is available case studies for statisticians and data analysts not to use cases to teach ethics per se.) to use as they teach or familiarize themselves with the Submissions should be sent to rochelle.tractenberg@gmail. ASA’s ethical guidelines. She invites all statisticians com with “ASA GUIDELINES CASE STUDY: LASTNAME. and data scientists to consider contributing a case for dd.month.yy” in the subject line. Depending on the rate this effort. The standardization of cases will have the of submissions, COPE may create a working group to following two key features: explore how well the 2016 guidelines revision handles the 1. It will align each case with at least one of the case cases submitted. Since COPE will be revisiting the 2016 types described by the National Center for Case revisions in 2021, any unmet challenges that arise from Study Teaching in Science (NCCSTS, https://goo.gl/ these cases will be incorporated into the 2021 revision. MGgEfy), with particular attention given to incor- Tractenberg points out that economics, with neither porating at least one—preferably two—of the guidelines nor professional guidance, is also lacking ASA’s ethical guideline principles or sub-elements. this straightforward mechanism for the evolution of what it means to be an economist. She does not 2. It will make every case fully anonymous so no anticipate statistics and data science will reach the individual, group, or agency/institution can level of accreditation and integration of ethical be identified (by name, practice, or other indi- guidelines engineering has achieved, but she hopes rect method). COPE seeks to create accessible to more fully engage practicing data analysts in the resources that instructors and mentors at all familiarization with and cultural embedding of the levels can use to introduce, and provide practice ASA Ethical Guidelines for Statistical Practice. are needed or could be useful for economists. as COPE chair to disseminating the ASA’s ethical Another important distinction between econom- guidelines and integrating them into the culture of ics and engineering and statistics is whether ethi- practicing statistics and data science. cal guidelines are a required part of the degree- I appreciate the sense in which this added dimen- MORE ONLINE granting preparation. Engineers and statisticians sion to the study and practice of data analysis may Find the ASA's ethical can actually say, “I’m sorry, but what you’re asking seem “heavy,” but I also believe the ASA’s ethical guidelines here: https://goo.gl/bnPyxp. or suggesting is not part of what it means to be guidelines promote a sense of professionalism not a professional.” That is, with no ethical code or widely available across careers or career tracks. For professional guidelines of any sort, economists can example, before I became a biostatistician, I was a be asked—ordered—to construct an analysis con- cognitive scientist. Ethics training was limited to, forming to a decision that has already been made. and entirely focused on, treating human subjects This may happen to an engineer or a data analyst, in psychology and cognitive experiments ethically. but individuals in these professions at least have My obligations to the profession, science, and other the opportunity to push back. cognitive scientists were never mentioned. Each of After the presentations, we had a lively discus- these obligations is specifically discussed in the sion with the AAAS 2017 audience—moderated by ASA’s ethical guidelines. Andrew Gelman—about the importance of profes- As a biostatistician working mainly in neurol- sional guidelines for the profession, for the reliabil- ogy and neuropsychological applications, I have ity of results arising from the hard and careful work also read through the ethical guidelines for other professionals across these disciplines do, and for the disciplines. Those of the Society for Neuroscience protection and empowerment of the practitioners. (https://goo.gl/Cux8Rp), for example, almost exclu- I organized this session to bring these perspec- sively relate to publishing. Since publishing is a tives into alignment, but participating also made tiny part of what professional neuroscientists do, me appreciate the hard work the ASA COPE did these guidelines cannot promote engagement in to get the guidelines codified in 1995. I saw how our professional development (of ourselves, our important it is to share these guidelines as widely mentees/students, or our collaborators) as actively as possible and engage those who analyze data in as the ASA’s ethical guidelines do for statisticians doing good science. I have committed my time and data scientists. n

may 2017 amstat news 21 meetings

JSM Is Baltimore Bound! Get a Peek at This Year’s Featured Speakers and Other Highlights

JSM BY THE NUMBERS ith more than 3,000 individual presen- expanding boundaries of statistics, such as analyt- More than 6,000 attendees from 52 tations arranged into approximately ics and data science. countries 204 invited sessions, 300 contributed This year, the exhibit hall is the place to be. The Wsessions, and 500 poster and speed poster presen- Opening Mixer will take place there in addition 600+ sessions, including tations, the 2017 Joint Statistical Meetings will be to Spotlight Baltimore, which will feature events invited and contributed, one of the largest statistical events in the world. It throughout the week. Moreover, if you are looking and poster presentations will also be one of the broadest, with topics rang- for a way to help the local community, you’ll want to More than 1,000 student ing from statistical applications in numerous visit IMPACT Baltimore. Finally, there will be an art attendees industries to new developments in statistical show featuring data artists just inside the hall. 75+ employers hiring methodologies and theory. Additionally, there will Here are a few more highlights to let you know for more than 200 be presentations about some of the newer and what to expect. We hope to see you there. positions

90+ exhibitors

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FEATURED SPEAKERS

Monday, July 31 Tuesday, August 1 4:00 p.m. 4:00 p.m. ASA President’s Invited ASA Deming Lecture Address Fritz Scheuren Jo Craven McGinty NORC at the University The Wall Street Journal of Chicago “A Rake’s Progress Revisited” Abstract unavailable. Deming’s statistical consulting advice to us is rich and varied. I knew Deming a little and long loved him from afar. That affection for this great man should be evident in this talk. To give focus to my remarks, I will cover just one of his quality ideas Tuesday, August 1 in depth: the algorithm commonly called “raking.” 8:00 p.m. Raking, or raking ratio estimation, was advanced ASA President’s Address by Deming and Stephan for use in the 1940 U.S. and Founders & Fellows Decennial Census. The algorithm employs at its heart a process whereby the weights of a data set are Recognition iteratively ratioed-adjusted within categories, until Barry D. Nussbaum they simultaneously meet, within tolerance, a set of “Statistics: Essential Now More Than Ever pre-specified population totals. (Or, Why Uber Should Be in the Driver’s Some confusion surrounding raking’s intro- Seat for Cars, Not for Data Analysis)” duction slowed its development. At its base, the approach was intuitive. Its theoretical development came long after, and some of the justifications for its Now is the time for statisticians to come to the res- use were misplaced, including by Deming. cue of rational analysis of today’s challenges. Our For a long time, the lack of computing power profession is essential now, perhaps more than ever limited raking to modest applications and, given the before. The world is besieged with a deluge of Big work needed, the benefit/cost ratio often seemed Data and analysts ready to process it. Rather than insufficient relative to the time and money that had being captive to this burgeoning field, statisticians to be expended. These limitations no longer hold. are poised to provide the critical elements for affect- The problem of variance calculation account- ing social problems. This talk focuses on the new ing for raking posed additional challenges. These initiatives taken to ensure the proper and vital use were solvable asymptotically in some decennial and of statistics now and into the future. Let the Ubers sample survey settings, but usually not in a closed of the world be in the driver’s seat to speed you to form. Even now, replication techniques are most the airport, while the statisticians correctly assess the commonly the only practical solution available for data. Examples will be given showing the crucial general sample survey settings. importance and vital strength of statisticians who This talk will motivate these assertions with are at the table when decisions are made. The art examples taken from my practice and that of of effective collaboration with clear and succinct other statisticians. Extensions by me to multivari- explanations is more important than ever. Come ate raking will also be covered and speculations on hear how you can improve your contributions to unsolved or incompletely posed problems will be society and our collective standing in the world. offered. Throughout, I will intersperse examples from my decades of practice.

may 2017 amstat news 23 meetings

Wednesday, August 2 Monday, July 31 4:00 p.m. 8:00 p.m. COPSS Awards IMS Presidential Address and Fisher Lecture and Awards Ceremony Robert E. Kass Jon A. Wellner Carnegie Mellon University University of Washington “The Importance of Statistics: Lessons “The IMS at 82: Past, Present, and Future” from the Brain Sciences” In 2017, the IMS reaches the age of 82. Will it The brain’s complexity is daunting, but much has make it to 100? In this talk, I will argue that the been learned about its structure and function, IMS has succeeded remarkably well in fulfilling and it continues to fascinate. On the one hand, its fundamental goal: “To foster the development we are all aware that our brains define us; on the and dissemination of the theory of statistics and other hand, it is appealing to regard the brain as probability.” The IMS publishes the top journals an information processor, which opens avenues of in both statistics and probability and organizes computational investigation. world-class meetings on a regular basis in con- While statistical models have played major roles junction with its sister/brother organizations, the in conceptualizing brain function for more than 50 Bernoulli Society and the ASA. years, statistical thinking in the analysis of neural As noted by Jim Pitman in his 2008 IMS Bulletin data has developed much more slowly. This seems article, “... [A]mong many organizations with this ironic, especially because computational neuroscien- goal, the IMS stands out as the most responsive to tists can, and often do, apply sophisticated data ana- creative suggestions about how to achieve it.” In lytic methods to attack novel problems. The diffi- this talk, I will review the history of the IMS, sum- culty is that, in many situations, trained statisticians marize the current state of affairs of the IMS as an proceed differently than those without formal train- organization and its goals, and briefly discuss future ing in statistics. What makes the statistical approach directions. With continued creative responsiveness different and important? I will give you my answer to recent trends, it seems likely the IMS will easily to this question and go on to discuss a major sta- reach its 100th anniversary. tistical challenge, one that could absorb dozens of research-level statisticians in the years to come.

Monday, July 31 LOOK AHEAD TO 8:30 a.m. IMS Medallion Lecture I Edoardo M. Airoldi Harvard University “Design and Analysis of Randomized Experiments on Networks” Jul uust Classical approaches to causal inference largely rely on the assumption of “no interference,” according e ates or S to which the outcome of an individual does not depend on the treatment assigned to others. In Ma a.m. June a.m. Jul many applications, however, such as evaluating .m. Registration and housing open the effectiveness of health care interventions that Late Registration June increased fees apply leverage social structure or assessing the impact of Early registration deadline product innovations on social media platforms, June assuming lack of interference is untenable. In fact, June a.m. June Housing deadline .m. the effect of interference itself is often an inferential target of interest, rather than a nuisance. In Regular registration Jul uust increased fees apply 21 oint Statistical eetings this lecture, we will formalize technical issues that arise in estimating causal effects when interference

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can be attributed to a network among the units in basic and clinical neuroscience research: charac- of analysis, within the potential outcomes frame- terizing how the rodent hippocampus maintains a work. We will then introduce and discuss several dynamic representation of the animal’s position in strategies for experimental design in this context. its environment; real-time tracking of brain states of patients receiving general anesthesia; and real- time assessment and control of medical coma. This research has led to the development of state-space Monday, July 31 methods for point process observation models and 10:30 a.m. state-space multitaper methods for time-frequency Blackwell Lecture analysis of nonstationary time series. Martin Wainwright University of California, Berkeley Tuesday, August 1 “Information-Theoretic Methods in Statistics: From Privacy to Optimization” 8:30 a.m. IMS Medallion Lecture III Blackwell made seminal contributions to informa- Subhashis Ghoshal tion theory and statistics, including early work on North Carolina State University characterizing the capacities of various channels. The notion of channel capacity has a natural ana- “Coverage of Nonparametric Credible Sets” logue for statistical problems, where it underlies the characterization of minimax rates of estima- The celebrated Bernstein-Von Mises theorem implies tion. Inspired by this seminal work, this talk is that for regular parametric problems, Bayesian credi- devoted to the use of information-theoretic meth- ble sets are also approximately frequentist confidence ods for tackling statistical questions, and I provide sets. Thus, the uncertainty quantification by the two vignettes. First, in the realm of privacy-aware two approaches essentially agree, even though they statistics, how to characterize the tradeoffs between have very different interpretations. A frequentist can preserving privacy and retaining statistical utility? then construct confidence sets by Bayesian means, Second, in the realm of statistical optimization, which are often easily obtained from posterior sam- how can we characterize the fundamental limits of pling. However, the incredible agreement can fall dimensionality reduction methods? apart in nonparametric problems whenever the bias This lecture will draw on joint work with John becomes prominent. Recently, positive results have Duchi, Michael Jordan, and Mert Pilanci. appeared in the literature overcoming the problem by undersmoothing or inflation of credible sets. We shall discuss results on Bayes-frequentist agreement of uncertainty quantification in white noise models, Monday, July 31 nonparametric regression, and high-dimensional 2:00 p.m. linear models. We shall also discuss related results on nonlinear functionals. IMS Medallion Lecture II Emery N. Brown Massachusetts Institute of Technology “State-Space Modeling of Dynamics Processes in Neuroscience”

Dynamic processes are the rule, rather than the exception, in all areas of neuroscience. For this reason, many of the data analysis challenges in neuroscience lend themselves readily to formulation and study using the state-space paradigm. In this lecture, I will discuss the state-space paradigm using both point process and continuous valued observation models in the study of three problems

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Tuesday, August 1 in terms of strong adequacy between the Bayesian 2:00 p.m. and frequentist approaches. In non-regular models, IMS Medallion Lecture IV a similar adequacy can happen; however, the asymp- Mark Girolami totic distribution may not be Gaussian nor the con- centration rate by $1/\sqrt{n}$. These results are well Imperial College London known in parametric models. “Probabilistic Numerical Computation: A In this talk, I will present developments that Role for Statisticians in Numerical Analysis?” have been obtained in both regular and nonregular semiparametric models (i.e., when the A research frontier has emerged in scientific compu- parameter of interest $\theta$ is finite dimen- tation founded on the principle that numerical error sional, but the model also includes an infinite or in numerical methods that, for example, solve differ- high-dimensional nuisance parameter). ential equations entails uncertainty that ought to be subjected to statistical analysis. This viewpoint raises exciting challenges for contemporary statistical and numerical analysis, including the design of statisti- Wald Lectures cal methods that enable the coherent propagation of Emmanuel J. Candes probability measures through a computational and inferential pipeline. A probabilistic numerical meth- Stanford University od is equipped with a full distribution over its out- “What’s Happening put, providing a calibrated assessment of uncertainty in Selective Inference?” shown to be statistically valid at finite computational Tuesday, August 1 levels, as well as in asymptotic regimes. The area of probabilistic numerical computation defines a nexus 4:00 p.m. of ideas, philosophies, theories, and methodologies Wald Lecture I bringing together statistical science, applied math- Wednesday, August 2 ematics, engineering, and computing science. This talk seeks to make a case for the importance of this 10:30 a.m. viewpoint. I will examine the case for probabilistic Wald Lecture II numerical methods in mathematical modeling and Thursday, August 3 statistical computation while presenting case studies. 8:30 a.m. Wald Lecture III

Wednesday, August 2 Science has long operated as follows: A scientific theory can only be empirically tested, and only after 8:30 a.m. it has been advanced. Predictions are deduced from IMS Medallion Lecture V the theory and compared with the results of experi- Judith N. Rousseau ments so they can be falsified or corroborated. This principle, formulated by Popper and operationalized Université Paris Dauphine by Fisher, has guided the development of scientific “On the Semiparametric Bernstein-Von Mises research and statistics for nearly a century. We have, Theorem in Regular and Nonregular Models” however, entered a new world where large data sets are available prior to the formulation of scientific theories. Researchers mine these data relentlessly in search of In regular models, the renown Bernstein-Von Mises new discoveries, and it has been observed that we have theorem states that the posterior distribution of a run into the problem of irreproducibility. Consider the quantity of interest, say $\theta$, is asymptotically April 23, 2013, Nature editorial: “[...] Nature has pub- Gaussian with mean $\hat \theta$ and variance $V/ lished a string of articles that highlight failures in the n$ when the data are assumed to be distributed from reliability and reproducibility of published research.” a model $P_{0}$. It also states that, under $P_0$, The field of statistics needs to reinvent itself to adapt $\sqrt{n}( \hat \theta- \theta_0) $ is asymptotically to the new reality in which scientific hypotheses/theo- Gaussian with mean zero and variance $V$. This ries are generated by data snooping. I will make the duality between the asymptotic behavior of the pos- case that statistical science is taking on this great chal- terior distribution of $\theta$ and the frequentist dis- lenge and discuss exciting achievements such as FDR tribution of $\hat \theta$ has important implications theory, knockoffs, and post-selection inference. n

26 amstat news may 2017 meetings JSM 2017 SPECIAL OPPORTUNITIES

What do you think of when 3:30 p.m. you think of Baltimore? Join us Experience for featured events throughout I Maryland Wines the week that give you a little S Don’t miss taste of the city. Check out the the chance schedule and stop by Spotlight to taste local to see more! wines. Samples from Sweet Cakes, SUNDAY, JULY 30 Boordy Vineyards, 1:00 p.m. and Linganore Spotlight Baltimore Kick-Off Winery (while B supplies last). Swing by and kick-off JSM with a A E taste of some Charm City delights. LTIMOR Enjoy sample sizes WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 2 of crab cakes, pit 10:00 a.m. beef, and 1:30 p.m. JSM Coffee House more while Popcorn Break, Refresh with a cup of coffee or tea. they last! sponsored by XLSTAT Swing by and grab a little 3:30 p.m. snack. Feel like spicing Baltimore’s things up? Try adding Old Berger Cookies Bay or Truffle Salt! Made from vanilla shortbread DON'T FORGET covered in a fudge ganache, 3:30 p.m. JSM Registration Berger cookies were Baltimore opened May 1! Visit originally brought from Germany Microbrew Tasting Interested in giving back to the ww2.amstat.org/jsm community while in Baltimore? to sign up! to Baltimore by George and Stop by to taste a There are two ways to do so: Henry Berger in 1835. Enjoy variety of Baltimore samples (while supplies last). Heavy Seas • Drop off donations (school microbrews (while supplies such as pencils, MONDAY, JULY 31 supplies last). rulers, crayons, and paper) 9:00 a.m. in the donation boxes Baltimore Insider Tips TUESDAY, at the ASA Booth in the Think you know Charm City? AUGUST 1 EXPO. Supplies will be passed out to schools in Whether you have been to 10:00 a.m. the Baltimore area. Baltimore many times and want Get Your JSM Energy Fix to discover something new or Come check out this healthy • Connect with other JSM it’s your first time in the city, Visit alternative to a coffee break. attendees while Baltimore will be around to help. Power up with smoothies, energy making blankets (no bars, and make-your-own trail mix. sewing involved) to be 10:00 a.m. donated to Project Linus. JSM Coffee House 1:30 p.m. Just drop by Spotlight Refresh with a cup of coffee or tea. Monday through Popcorn Break, sponsored by Wednesday between XLSTAT 11:00 a.m. - 3:00 p.m. 11:30 a.m. and 1:00 p.m. Swing by and grab a to participate. JSM Photo Booth little snack. Feel like Create memories spicing things up? Try with your friends adding Old Bay or using fun props. Truffle Salt!

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www.amstat.org/education/mwm

Based on the Common Core State Standards for Mathematics (corestandards.org) and Guidelines for Assessment and Instruction of Statistics Education (GAISE): A Pre-K–12 Curriculum Framework (www.amstat.org/education/gaise)

Dates: Tuesday, August 1, and Wednesday, August 2, 2017, 8:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m.

Place: The University of Maryland, Baltimore (meeting room TBD)

Audience: Middle- and high-school mathematics and science teachers. Multiple mathematics/science teachers from the same school are especially encouraged to attend.

Objectives: Enhance understanding and teaching of statistics within the mathematics/science curriculum through conceptual understanding, active learning, real-world data applications, and appropriate technology

Content: Teachers will explore problems that require them to formulate questions; collect, organize, analyze, and draw conclusions from data; and apply basic concepts of probability. The MWM program will include examining what students can be expected to do at the most basic level of understanding and what can be expected of them as their skills develop and their experience broadens. Content is consistent with Com- mon Core standards, GAISE recommendations, and NCTM Principles and Standards for School Mathematics.

Presenters: GAISE Report authors and prominent statistics educators

Format: Middle-school and high-school statistics sessions Activity-based sessions, including lesson plan development

Provided: Refreshments Handouts Certificate of participation from the ASA certifying professional development hours Optional graduate credit available

Cost: The course fee for the two days is $50. Please note: Course attendees do not need to register for the Joint Statistical Meetings* to participate in this workshop.

Follow up: Follow-up activities and webinars (www.amstat.org/asa/education/K-12-Statistics-Education-Webinars.aspx)

Network with statisticians and teachers to organize learning communities

Registration: More information and online registration is available at www.amstat.org/education/mwm. Space is limited. If interested in attending, please register as soon as possible.

Contact: Rebecca Nichols, [email protected]; (703) 684-1221, Ext. 1877

*The Joint Statistical Meetings are the largest annual gathering of statisticians, where thousands from around the world meet to share advances in statistical knowledge. JSM activities include statistics education sessions, poster sessions, and an exhibit hall.

Sponsored by

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What’s in Baltimore Besides JSM? More Than You Think!

Baltimore has a lot to offer, from the Inner Harbor to Oriole Park at Camden Yards to Fells Point.

The Baltimore Convention Center is located at 1 W. Pratt St., just two blocks from Baltimore’s famous Inner Harbor. The location makes it convenient to squeeze a little “tourist time” into your busy JSM schedule. Baltimore’s Inner Harbor is home to a number of interesting attractions, including the following:

the new exhibit, Science & Main, that takes you past Baltimore landmarks as you learn how science inter- acts with your everyday life.

National Aquarium 501 E. Pratt St. https://aqua.org Open daily, see website for hours and ticket prices Strongly recommend purchasing tickets in advance The National Aquarium in Baltimore houses sharks, dolphins, rays, and tropical fish among the more than Historic Ships 17,000 creatures in naturalistic exhibits, including a Pier 1, 301 E. Pratt St. walk-through rain forest, a 4-D immersion theater, the www.historicships.org Living Seashore touch pool, and an Australian exhibit Sunday-Thursday, 10:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.; featuring a 35-foot waterfall. Friday, 10:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m.; Saturday, Maryland Science Center 10:00 a.m. – 7:00 p.m. 601 Light St. See website for ticket prices www.mdsci.org Be sure to witness the historic ships in Baltimore Open daily, check website for hours and prices by touring the USS Constellation, the USS Torsk, the Strongly recommend purchasing tickets in advance USCGC Taney, and the Lightship Chesapeake. Learn about the role these vessels played during various Explore numerous hands-on activities at the Mary- battles in American history. Also tour Seven Foot land Science Center. Featuring an IMAX theater and Knoll Lighthouse (above). planetarium, it’s sure to please all visitors. Don’t miss

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CHEER ON THE BIRDS! Baltimoreans take their sports seriously. Today, sports fans flock to Oriole Park at Camden Yards, the first of the new breed of retro ballparks, to cheer on the O’s—or the Birds as they are known locally. Take this opportunity to watch the O’s host the Kansas City Royals July 31–August 2 or take on the Tigers August 3–6. Can’t make a game? Tours are also available, game schedules permitting. Ticket information: www.mlb.com/orioles Tour Information: http://m.mlb.com/orioles/tickets/tours

But wait, there is more! Just a bit farther, but easily ac- Fort McHenry National Monument cessible with public transportation, are the following: and Historic Shrine 2400 E. Fort Ave. Baltimore Museum of Art www.nps.gov/fomc/index.htm 10 Art Museum Drive Open daily, 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. https://artbma.org Entrance fee: $10 for adults; children 15 years and Wednesday – Sunday, 10:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. younger are free Entry to the BMA is free for everyone At Fort McHenry, you can learn about the Battle Home to an internationally renowned collection of of Baltimore and the birth of the “Star Spangled 19th-century, modern, and contemporary art, the Banner” and experience events like living history BMA includes one of the most important African col- weekends, where the Fort McHenry Guard performs lections in the country. Founded in 1914 with a single demonstrations—all just a water taxi ride away from painting, the BMA today has 95,000 works of art—in- the Inner Harbor. cluding the largest holding of works by Henri Matisse in the world. The museum has a long tradition of GETTING AROUND collecting the art of the day, beginning with the Cone Charm City Circulator Sisters, whose acquisitions from living artists led to the museum’s commitment to contemporary art. Be sure to take advantage of Baltimore’s Charm City Circulator, a fleet of free bus shuttles that travel four B&O Railroad Museum routes throughout the city. Operating every day, 901 W. Pratt St. check out the Circulator website at www.charmcity www.borail.org circulator.com to download the Circulator app to use Open Monday – Saturday, 10:00 a.m. – 4:00 p.m.; Sun- while moving around the city. day, 11:00 a.m. – 4:00 p.m. Monday – Thursday: 7:00 a.m. – 8:00 p.m. Entrance fee: Adults $18; Seniors (60+) $16; Children Friday: 7:00 a.m. – midnight (2–12) $12 Saturday: 9:00 a.m. – midnight This fascinating and fun place for kids, families, and Sunday: 9:00 a.m. – 8:00 p.m. lovers of history features the most important railroad collection in America, as well as seasonal train rides and free parking. Walters Art Museum 600 N. Charles St. https://thewalters.org Wednesday – Sunday, 10:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.; Thursday, 10:00 a.m. – 9:00 p.m. The collection at the Walters Art Museum presents Baltimore Water Taxi an overview of world art from pre-dynastic Egypt to This water transportation system of 17 20th-century Europe and counts among its many blue-and-white boats is the oldest of its kind in the treasures Greek sculpture, Roman sarcophagi, medi- country. Offering one price for all-day, unlimited eval ivories, Old Master paintings, Art Nouveau jewelry, on-off service to more than 30 attractions and and 19th-century European and American master- neighborhoods—including Fell’s Point, Canton pieces. Try out the new mobile guide to discover the Waterfront Park, and Fort McHenry—don’t miss this stories behind the collection. fun way to get around Baltimore. n

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BEYOND AP STATISTICS WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 2, 2017 • 8:00 A.M. - 4:30 P.M. • BALTIMORE, MARYLAND

A WORKSHOP FOR EXPERIENCED TEACHERS Sponsor: ASA-NCTM Joint Committee on Curriculum in Statistics and Probability

The ASA/NCTM Joint Committee will sponsor a Beyond AP Statistics (BAPS) workshop at the annual Joint Statistical Meetings* in Baltimore, Maryland, August 2, 2017. Organized by Roxy Peck, the BAPS workshop is offered for AP Statistics teachers and consists of enrichment material just beyond the basic AP syllabus. The course is divided into four sessions led by noted statisticians. Topics in recent years have included experimental design, topics in survey methodology, multiple regression, logistic regression, what to do when assumptions are not met, and randomization tests.

COST PROVIDED REGISTRATION The course fee for the full day • Refreshments Online registration is is $50. Please note: Course (lunch on your own) available at www.amstat.org/ attendees do not need to education/baps. Registra- register for the Joint Statistical • Handouts tions will be accepted until Meetings (JSM)* to participate • Pass to attend the the course fills, but should in this workshop, although exhibit hall at the Joint arrive no later than July 14, there is a discounted JSM Statistical Meetings 2017. Space is limited. If registration for K-12 teachers interested in attending, please available at www.amstat.org/ • Certificate of participa- register as soon as possible. meetings/jsm/2017. tion from the American Statistical Association QUESTIONS LOCATION certifying professional Contact Rebecca Nichols at The University of Maryland, development hours [email protected] or call Baltimore (workshop meeting • Optional graduate (703) 684-1221, Ext. 1877. room TBD) credit available

*The Joint Statistical Meetings are the largest annual gathering of statisticians, where thousands from around the world meet to share advances in statistical knowledge. JSM activities include statistics and statistics education sessions, poster sessions, and an exhibit hall.

® may 2017 amstat news 31 meetings Is This Your First JSM? Here Are Tips to Navigate the Conference Christopher Bilder, University of Nebraska-Lincoln

he largest congregation of statisticians in the of presentations involve speakers being available for world happens every August during the Joint questions next to their displayed poster during the Statistical Meetings (JSM). More than 6,000 entire session. Most posters are of the traditional Tpeople attend these meetings, which are sponsored by paper format, but an increasing number now are in an 11 statistical societies, including the American electronic format. This latter format involves a large, Statistical Association. The meetings offer a variety of high-definition TV that shows the poster all at once activities such as attending research presentations, or cycles through a small number of slides that would interviewing for jobs, taking professional development normally be printed on paper. Relatively new to JSM courses and workshops, and browsing the exhibit hall. is a hybrid of an oral and poster presentation. The oral With so many opportunities, new attendees can be poster presentation component begins with a “speed overwhelmed easily by their first JSM experience. session,” in which four-minute presentations are given Based on my familiarity with attending meetings by each speaker. Later the same day, electronic posters over the last 16 years and the experiences of student are made available for these same presentations. groups I have led, I’m going to tell you how to get Online registration for JSM begins around May the most out of JSM. If you would like to share your 1. For members of a sponsoring statistical society, own recommendations, I encourage you to submit a the cost is $430 during the early registration period. comment at http://stattrak.amstat.org. The cost increases to $525 if you register at JSM. Registration for student members is only $105, Before JSM and this rate is available at any time. Also start- Most new attendees who choose to present their ing around May 1, you can reserve a hotel room research do so in a contributed session via an oral through the JSM website. A number of hotels near or poster presentation. The deadline to submit an the convention center are designated as official con- abstract for acceptance into the program was in early ference hotels, and they discount their normal rates. Christopher Bilder February. For those who did this, additional proof of However, even with a discount, you can expect to is a professor in the progress (e.g., drafts of a paper) for the presentation pay $200 or more per night for a room. department of statistics at the University of must be submitted by mid-May. Attending JSM can be expensive. Students have Nebraska-Lincoln. He A preliminary program listing the presentation several options to reduce the cost burden. First, ask will be presenting the schedule is now available at https://goo.gl/yVaKx4. your adviser or department for funding. Many depart- continuing education Because there may be more than 40 concurrent ments offer financial support for students who pres- course “Analysis of presentations at any time, it is best to arrive at JSM ent their research at JSM. Students also may qualify Categorical Data” during JSM. He earned his PhD with an idea of which to attend. This can be done by for funding from the student activities office on their in statistics from Kansas examining the session titles and performing keyword campus. For example, when I was a student, my State University. searches in the online program prior to JSM. department’s statistics club received funding this way, Oral presentations are separated into invited, top- which paid for most of my first JSM expenses. ic-contributed, and contributed sessions, with each In addition to school-based resources, many session lasting 1 hour and 50 minutes. Invited and ASA sections sponsor student paper competitions topic-contributed sessions include groups of related that provide travel support to award winners. For presentations that were submitted together and select- example, the Biometrics Section of the ASA sponsors ed by JSM Program Committee members. These pre- the David P. Byar Young Investigators Award, with sentations each last for 25 or more minutes for invited $2,000 awarded to the winner and separate $1,000 and 20 minutes for topic-contributed. Contributed awards given to authors of other outstanding papers. paper sessions include groups of 15-minute oral Most competitions require a completed paper to be presentations. Unlike invited and topic-contributed submitted many months prior to JSM. sessions, contributed presentations are submitted individually and then grouped by JSM Program At JSM Committee members. JSM begins on a Sunday afternoon in late July. Poster presentations are also separated into invited, Business casual clothing is the most prevalent topic-contributed, and contributed sessions, with the attire, but some attendees wear suits and others vast majority in contributed sessions. These types wear T-shirts and shorts. When you arrive at JSM,

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go to the registration counter at the convention fellows introduction is especially interesting because center to obtain your name badge and additional approximately 50 ASA members (<0.33% of conference materials. all members) are recognized for their con- There is a significant online presence during JSM. tributions to the statistics profession. A main resource is the JSM app and online pro- In addition to presentations, the gram. Both contain all the information you’ll need JSM exhibit hall features more and more. Also, the ASA posts the most up-to-date than 70 companies and organi- news about JSM through its Twitter (@AmstatNews) zations exhibiting their products and Facebook accounts. Attendees at JSM can use and services. Many exhibitors #JSM2017 to tag their JSM-related posts. give away free items (e.g., candy, To welcome and orient new attendees, the JSM pens, etc.). All the major statistics First-Time Attendee Orientation and Reception is textbook publishers and software scheduled for early Sunday afternoon. At this recep- companies are there. Textbook pub- tion, docents will be present (identified with a spe- lishers usually offer a discount on their cial orange button by their name badge) to answer books during JSM and often for a short any questions you may have about the meetings. time after. The exhibit hall also includes These docents will be available throughout the con- electronic charging stations and tables that ference as well. can be used for meetings. It’s also the location Later on Sunday evening, the Opening Mixer will for the poster presentations. be held in the exhibit hall. This event is open to all The JSM Career Service provides a way for job attendees, and drinks and hors d’oeuvres will be served. seekers and employers to meet. Pre-registration is In between the orientation and the mixer, the required, and the fee is discounted if you register ASA Awards Celebration and Editor Appreciation before mid-July. The service works by providing an session is held. Many first-time attendees are hon- online message center for job seekers and employ- ored during it due to being awarded a scholarship or ers to indicate their interest in each other. Once a winning a student-paper competition. common interest is established, an interview can be The main sessions start Sunday at 2:00 p.m. arranged for during the meetings. Many of the research presentations are difficult to Other activities at JSM include the following: understand completely. My goal for a session is to have 1–2 presentations in which I learn something • Shopping at the ASA Store to purchase a statistics-themed T-shirt or mug Important Links relevant to my teaching or research interests. This JSM 2017: ww2.amstat. may seem rather low, but these items add up after • Attending an organized roundtable discussion org/jsm attending many sessions. during breakfast or lunch about a topic of First-Time Attendees: For attendees who teach introductory cours- interest (pre-registration is required) https://goo.gl/xcMor9 es, the sessions sponsored by the ASA Section on Online Program: Statistical Education are often the easiest to under- • Taking a little time off from JSM for sightseeing or attending a sporting event https://goo.gl/PzEtQT stand. Many of these sessions share innovative ideas Job Seekers: https:// about how to teach particular topics. After JSM goo.gl/OP53rt Introductory overview lectures are another type of session that has easier-to-understand topics. JSM ends in the early afternoon on Thursday. Don’t Professional Development: https:// Recent lectures have included introductions to Big let what happens at JSM stay at JSM! The first thing goo.gl/WWruCZ Data, bioinformatics, and complex survey sampling. I do after the meetings is prepare a short review of There are also many Professional Development my activities. Using notes I took during sessions, Student Paper Competitions: https:// courses and workshops available for an additional I summarize items from presentations I want to goo.gl/bNNaMC fee. However, you can attend a course for free by examine further. I also summarize meetings I had volunteering prior to JSM to be a monitor. Monitors with individuals about research or other important perform duties such as distributing and picking up topics. Much of this review process starts at the air- materials during the course. As an added benefit, port while waiting for my return flight. monitors can attend one additional course for free If you give a presentation at JSM, you may submit without any duties. Those who are interested should a corresponding paper to be published in the confer- contact Rick Peterson at [email protected]. ence proceedings. Papers are not peer-reviewed in the Featured talks at JSM are usually scheduled for same manner as for journals, but authors are encour- late afternoon on Monday through Wednesday. On aged to have others examine their paper before sub- Tuesday evening, the ASA presidential address is mission. The proceedings are published online around given, along with an introduction to the new ASA December. Authors retain the right to publish their fellows and winners of the Founders Award. The research later in a peer-reviewed journal. n

may 2017 amstat news 33 meetings JSM Student Volunteer Opportunities Lara Harmon, ASA Community Coordinator tudents, will you be joining us at JSM 2017? student chapters. Time and place TBA. Contact Lara We hope to see you there! We’re in Baltimore Harmon, marketing and online community coordina- this year, and we’ve got plenty of opportunities tor, at [email protected] if you’re interested in helping linedS up for you to get involved and learn more with setting up and moderating the event. about what the ASA offers. Would you like to … Meet fellow student members from across the country (and the world)? Attend a Continuing Education (CE) course for free? If you’ve been to JSM before, you’ve probably expe- JSM’s CE courses give conference attendees a rienced the JSM student mixer. It’s not to be missed! chance to dive into a new topic, brush up skills they Join students from across the U.S. and abroad, both already possess, and benefit from the knowledge of first-time attendees and seasoned pros, as we gather for experts they might never otherwise have the chance drinks, snacks, and a free raffle on July 31 from 6–8 to learn from in person. You can take advantage of p.m. Prizes in past years have ranged from stats soft- all these benefits for free! As a CE monitor, you will ware packages to an Xbox 360 (so you might want to MORE ONLINE help the course run smoothly while also observing leave a little room in your carry-on luggage if you plan You can learn more about events and course content and meeting course attendees and on attending)! We always appreciate a little extra help opportunities on the instructors. Interested? Contact Rick Peterson, the handing out raffle tickets before the mixer; if you’re JSM 2017 website ASA’s professional development and chapters and interested, contact Lara Harmon at [email protected]. at ww2.amstat.org/ sections manager, at [email protected]. Keep an eye meetings/jsm. on the JSM 2017 website for a list of CE courses at Relax and put your feet up while helping https://goo.gl/awXTro. children in need? Networking and walking from session to session (to Meet presenters and get experience managing session to session) can wear you out, mentally and a session? physically. If you need a break, check your program Session chairs introduce and support session present- for IMPACT Baltimore activities. Head over to the ers. The work of these volunteers helps keeps sessions exhibit hall at the times shown in the program and on topic and running on time. It also gives the chairs you can help make no-sew blankets for children in the opportunity to meet and work directly with ses- need. Last year, ASA members used up all the blan- sion presenters. Our session chair slots are full for JSM ket-making materials we brought, and we’re hoping 2017, but you can volunteer to be an emergency back- to repeat our success this year. The blankets are easy up. To learn more about what session chairs do, visit to make and all supplies are provided, so grab some the JSM 2017 website at https://goo.gl/B9rRHY, scroll friends and do your daily good deed. down to the “Chairs” bar, and click to see the details. Dance? Learn more about student chapters? Deviate from the standard conference routine and get The ASA established a student chapter program several to know your fellow ASA members in a casual environ- years ago, and it’s taken off—we now have more than ment. After meeting up with your peers at the Monday 50 student chapters, thanks to your energy and enthu- student mixer, we give you the chance to dance on siasm! This year, we’re planning our first JSM student Tuesday! A JSM tradition, the dance party invites you chapter event. Join us to learn from the experiences to mingle and chat or get out on the floor. Either way, of a panel of student chapter presidents and faculty you can relax, catch up on others’ JSM experiences, advisers, and then break out into small groups to share and share your plans for the rest of the conference. your own ideas as we brainstorm about the future of We hope you can come! n

Data Art Show Returns Explore the “art” in data art Baltimore Convention Center. JSM this is the perfect opportunity to with the JSM exhibit featuring hosts thousands of professional have your data art seen! Submit data artists. The exhibition will statisticians from industry, your work by May 15. Visit https:// take place in Hall AB, inside the government, and academia, so goo.gl/XVbB7s for details.

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Diversity Mentoring Program Is Now Accepting Applications

JSM 2016 diversity mentoring program participants received career information and mentoring and gained a peer network.

pplications are being accepted for the JSM include small-group discussions and one-on-one Diversity Mentoring Program, which brings meetings between mentor-protégé pairs. minority graduate and undergraduate stu- Apply online at https://goo.gl/Wl2bm7. Preference dents,A postdoctoral scholars, and junior professionals will be given to applications received by May 31. together with senior-level statisticians and faculty in For more information, contact Dionne Swift at academia, government, and the private sector in a [email protected]. structured program during the Joint Statistical This program is sponsored by the American Meetings. The program provides career information, Statistical Association and the ASA Committee on mentoring, and a peer network. Program activities Minorities in Statistics. n

JSM Docents Are Ready to Help! If you have more questions or If you have attended three or July 30 and need additional help working more JSMs, consider becoming a thank-you your way through JSM, find a a 2017 JSM docent by following reception docent! They have orange but- these easy steps: • Attend JSM events tons and a ribbon on their badg- • Make plans to attend JSM 2017 and invite first-timers es and can provide additional to join you information about the confer- • Be willing to answer questions • Send your contact information ence and tips for making the and help first-timers have a to Donna LaLonde at DonnaL@ most of it! positive JSM experience • Attend an orientation session on amstat.org for details

may 2017 amstat news 35 awards & deadlines

Ulf Grenander Prize Presented annually, the award Candidates must be within The Ulf Grenander Prize in was designed to encourage the cre- 15 years of their terminal degree Stochastic Theory and Modeling is ative development and application on January 1, 2017, and cannot a new prize that recognizes excep- of statistical techniques to problem be a previous HPSS Mid-Career tional theoretical and applied con- solving in the quality field. Named Award winner. The 2015 win- tributions in stochastic theory and in honor of the division’s founding ner is Elizabeth A. Stuart of The modeling. It is awarded for seminal chair, the award recognizes that Johns Hopkins University. work, theoretical or applied, in person (or persons) whose actions The HPSS Long-Term probabilistic modeling, statistical most closely mirror the following Excellence Award recognizes sig- inference, or related computational aspects of who Bill Hunter was: nificant contributions to health algorithms, especially for the analy- • A communicator care policy and health services sis of complex or high-dimensional research through mentoring and/ systems. The prize was established • A consultant or service that advance the aims by colleagues of Grenander, who • An educator (especially of HPSS. Candidates cannot be died in 2016. A longtime faculty for practitioners) within 15 years of their termi- member and chair of the Brown nal degree on January 1, 2017, University Department of Applied • An innovator and cannot be a previous HPSS Mathematics, Grenander received • An integrator (of statistics Long-Term Excellence Award many honors. He was a fellow of with other disciplines) winner. The 2015 winners are the American Academy of Arts and Constantine A. Gatsonis of Brown Sciences and the National Academy • An implementer (who University and Donald Hedeker of Sciences, as well as a member of obtained results) of The University of Chicago. the Royal Swedish Academy. Download award criteria and These awards will be pre- Nominations are open until a nomination form at https://goo. sented at the 12th International June 30 for the first Grenander gl/uJCsEg. n Conference on Health Policy Prize, which will be awarded in Statistics (ICHPS), January January 2018. Nominate someone Health Policy Statistics 10–12, 2018, in Charleston, South at https://goo.gl/Gx7VL0. n Section Achievement Carolina (https://goo.gl/XcFEi1). Nominations should include Bertrand Russell Prize Awards the following: The American Mathematical The 2018 HPSS Achievement • The nominee’s curriculum Society (AMS) has a new prize: Awards honor individuals who vitae Bertrand Russell Prize of the have made significant contribu- AMS. The prize was established tions to the development of sta- • A letter (not to exceed two by Thomas Hales of the University tistical methods or have developed pages) from the nominator of Pittsburgh and honors research innovative statistical applications summarizing the nominee’s or service contributions of math- for health care policy or health ser- credentials ematicians or related professionals vices research to encourage research • Additional independent to promoting good in the world. in this area and to increase aware- (other than the nominator or It also recognizes the ways math- ness of the HPSS. nominee) evaluation ematics furthers human values. The HPSS Mid-Career letters (not required) Nominations are being accept- Award recognizes someone who ed until June 30 for the 2018 prize has shown leadership in the field • Contact information for the at https://goo.gl/KHW8o5. n of health care policy and health nominee or nominator (if services research through out- different) William G. Hunter Award standing contributions of meth- Nominations should be June 30 is the application deadline odological or applied work and sent by midnight on August for the William G. Hunter Award the promise of continued excel- 11 to the awards committee at (https://goo.gl/uJCsEg), sponsored lence at the frontier of statistical [email protected]. by the Statistics Division of the practice that advances the aims Questions should be directed to American Society for Quality. of HPSS. [email protected]. n

36 amstat news may 2017 people news

Davina Durgana and Paul Zador, both statisticians Obituary working in the anti-trafficking Joseph Hilbe field, presented several poten- Joseph Hilbe, fellow and longtime member of tial techniques to improve the ASA, passed away March 12. how data are collected and Hilbe’s work and life reflected his passions, analyzed during a presenta- including track and field, astronomy, and statistics. tion at AAAS in March. They Hilbe excelled as a track and field athlete. walked through strategies that He was listed in the Track and Field News could provide investigators a World List rankings in the 100 yards (1967) better idea of the number of and 400 meters (1965), and he set the Hawaii trafficking victims in a given state records in the Javelin (1976). He played geographical area. numerous roles as a leader in track and field and Jessica Wyndham—interim was hired by the Turner Broadcasting System to director of the AAAS Scientific serve as athletics broadcast coordinator for the Responsibility, Human Rights, 1990 Goodwill Games in Seattle, Washington. Hilbe and Law Program—noted the His love for astronomy led to him initiating the world’s largest general scien- International Statistical Institute (ISI) Astrostatistics Interest Group. In 2009, tific organization has a long the ISI council approved the creation of the group, which eventually led to the history of applying science and first professional association for astrostatisticians, the International Astrostatistics technology to address human Association, with Hilbe elected as its founding president. rights concerns. Hilbe was a fellow of the ASA and Royal Statistical Society, an elected member “We are pleased to be able to of the ISI, and a full member of the American Astronomical Society. From 1997 to co-host this event highlighting 2009, he served as software reviews editor for The American Statistician, becoming the value of rigorous statistical one of the longest-serving editors for the publication. methods in determining human In addition to editing TAS, Hilbe published numerous works, co-edited trafficking prevalence, and hope the Astrostatistics and Astroinformatics Portal, edited the Springer Series in that this work will contribute to Astrostatistics, and served as coordinating editor of the Cambridge University the design of effective programs Press Series on Predictive Analytics in Action. He chaired the ISI’s sports statistics to address human trafficking committee, and was chair of the ASA Statistics and Sports Section in 2014. and support those affected,” Hilbe is survived by his wife, Cheryl Hilbe; his children; and his grandchildren. Wyndham said. Read more about his life on his Wikipedia page at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ The presentation was Joseph_Hilbe. co-organized by AAAS, the Washington Statistical Society, and Statistics without Borders—a group that offers Peterson Prize, which celebrates Fitzgerald did great work trained volunteers capable of Peterson’s long commitment in Introduction to Statistical using statistics and data science to collaboration as a means of Learning in the fall of 2015, to help solve problems. advancing understanding and particularly on her final proj- Details of the presenta- expanding opportunity. ect in which she applied a tion can be viewed on the Fitzgerald was awarded the large range of supervised and AAAS website at https://goo.gl/ $500 prize for the research proj- unsupervised machine learning Nb5Ld0. n ects at Smith and Hampshire methods to analyze astrometric and activities such as DataFest data on Hyades star cluster. Hampshire College student that foster collaboration in the To read more about the pro- data sciences among students gram and additional student Brooke Fitzgerald was and faculty members from awardees, visit www.fivecolleges. recently awarded the Lorna M. across the Five Colleges. edu/statistics/news. n

may 2017 amstat news 37 section • chapter • committee news

sectionnews Survey Research Methods project and time management techniques. The second half focuses on best practices for the data The Online Proceedings of the Survey Research science pipeline to minimize errors, maximize Methods Section (SRMS) for the 2016 Joint time to think, and maintain reproducibility. Statistical Meetings, held in Chicago, are available Invited Sessions at ww2.amstat.org/sections/srms/Proceedings. • Bayesian Adaptive Survey Designs, The section is actively searching for a student to organized by Natalie Shlomo of the University work on assembling the proceedings for the next JSM of Manchester (with a $500 stipend). If you are a student interested in working on this project, contact the section’s publi- • Improper Imputation, organized by Paul T. cation officer, Tony An, at [email protected]. von Hippel of The University of Texas 2017 JSM Updates • Recent Development of Bayesian Methods in Survey Sampling, organized by Yajuan Si The 2017 JSM, to be held in Baltimore, is fast of the University of Wisconsin-Madison approaching. The Survey Research Methods Section sponsors 10 invited sessions, 13 topic-contributed • Session in Honor of Jim Lepkowski’s sessions, and 12 contributed sessions. In addition, Retirement, organized by Michael R. Elliott the section sponsors traditional and speed poster of the University of Michigan sessions, three full-day short courses, and two P.M. • Analyzing Government Data with Missing roundtables. Here is a preview of the 2017 lineup: Item Values: A WSS Invited Session, Continuing Education Courses organized by Phillip Kott of RTI International • Synthetic Data Sets for Statistical • Environmental Surveys: A Hot Spot Disclosure Limitation for Statisticians, organized by Stanislav Led by Jörg Drechsler of the Institute for Kolenikov of Abt SRBI Employment Research, IAB, Nuremberg, • Multiple Imputation for Complex Health Germany, and Jerry Reiter of Duke University Survey Data, organized by Joseph Kang of This course focuses on practical aspects of the National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral confidentiality protection and provides an Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention overview of modeling strategies, analytical validity evaluations, and potential measures • Nonparametric Saturated Methods to to quantify the remaining risk of disclosure, Handle Nonignorable Missing Data, orga- with illustrations of R programming. nized by Mauricio Sadinle of Duke University • Construction of Weights in Surveys • Recent Developments in Survey Sampling, Session in Honor of J.N.K. Rao’s 80th Led by David Haziza of the University of Montréal Birthday, organized by David Haziza of the This course offers a detailed description of University of Montréal weighting methods, including inversion of probability of selection, nonresponse adjust- • Using Big Data to Improve Official ment, calibration, and trimming adjustments. Economic Statistics, organized by Carma R. Hogue of the U.S. Census Bureau • Research and Analysis Workflows: Low- Cost, Every-Day Project Management Topic-Contributed Sessions Techniques, Tools, and Tips That Produce High-Quality, Streamlined, Stress-Free • Current Themes in Record Linkage Research and Data Science Research, organized by Jana L. Asher of Led by Matt Jans of Abt Associates and Abhijit AABB Gupta of ARAASTAT • Improving Efficiency and Maintaining The first half of this course introduces general High Data Quality: Outcomes for the 2017

38 amstat news may 2017 section • chapter • committee news

Survey of Consumer Finances, organized • Estimation with Statistical Models by Catherine C. Haggerty of NORC at the University of Chicago • Impact of Data Collection Modes and Data Sources • Methods for Imputing Missing Survey Data, organized by Daniell Toth of the • Imputation and Nonresponse Bias Bureau of Labor Statistics • Instrumentation and Data Quality • Multiple Imputation for Measurement • Predicting Attrition and Adaptive Strategies Errors and Other Structured Patterns of Missing Data, organized by Philipp Gaffert • Sample Design of GfK • Small Area Estimation and Use • Practical Applications of Small Area of Unit-Level Models Estimation, organized by Andreea L. • Weighting Adjustments Erciulescu of NISS and USDA NASS • New Developments in Small Area • Weighting and Variance Estimation Estimation Research at the U.S. Census Bureau, organized by Robert Ashmead of the P.M. Roundtables U.S. Census Bureau • The Connectivity of Data Science to Survey Design and Statistical Practice, led by Steve • Nonparametric Modeling of Survey Data, Cohen of RTI International. organized by Daniell Toth of the Bureau of Labor Statistics This roundtable will focus on the capacity of data science to improve the design of sur- • Non-Probability Sampling and Estimation: veys and their operations. We will also dis- Fit for Purpose Designs, organized by Karol cuss strategies for reducing survey errors and Krotki of RTI International enhancing data quality. • Nontraditional Approaches for Sampling • Election 2016 Polling: What We Learned, Rare Populations, organized by Sunghee Lee led by Mark Schulman of Abt SRBI of the University of Michigan We will cover both the methodological issues • Time-Trend Analysis with Complex and the sizeable misses by many pollsters, as Survey Data, organized by Dan Liao of RTI well as substantive issues in campaign strate- International gies, electoral map, and media coverage. • Advances in Modeling Multilevel Observational Data from Complex Surveys, The SRMS will hold its annual poster competi- organized by Mulugeta Gebregziabher of tions in which the most informative and interest- MUSC ing posters will be awarded with cash prizes. The traditional poster session will be from 10:30 a.m. - • GSS/SSS/SRMS Student Paper Award 12:20 p.m. on August 1. SRMS has 11 contributed Presentations, organized by Stanislav posters during this session. Kolenikov of Abt SRBI The SRMS also gives out awards for winners in • Improving Data Quality and Estimation a speed presentation session that consists of 20 pre- Methods for the Current Employment senters. The speed presentation involves two parts. Establishment Survey, organized by Greg The first is for oral presentation and will take place Erkens of the Bureau of Labor Statistics from 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. on August 2. Each presenter will talk for five minutes about their work. Contributed Sessions The second part is for “learning more.” It will immediately follow the oral session, taking place • Combining Data and Use from 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. Each presenter is proof Administrative Lists vided a computer to present their work in detail. • Estimation with Complex Samples If you are interested in volunteering as a judge for either the poster competition or speed presentation, • Estimation with Non-Probability Samples

may 2017 amstat news 39 section • chapter • committee news

contact SRMS program chair-elect, Stas Kolenikov, at • Teaching Introductory Statistics and [email protected]. The winners will be announced Biostatistics at the section’s business meeting on the evening of • Topics in Math/Stat and Advanced Courses August 2. n Roundtables Statistical Education We have a great slate of roundtables this year. Roundtables are an informal, themed discussion over Dalene Stangl and Kelly McConville breakfast or lunch. They are a great way to meet edu- The 2017 JSM program will include nearly 100 speak- cators from other institutions. Registration for round- ers sponsored by the Statistical Education Section. tables opens with general registration on May 1. These speakers will appear throughout three invited sessions, five topic-contributed sessions, five contrib- A.M. Roundtables uted sessions, 24 speed/posters, and 11 roundtables. • Infusing Data Science into the Statistics Curriculum Invited Sessions • Turning a Tweet into a Lesson: Using • Modernizing the Undergraduate Statistics Current Events as a Context Curriculum • Introducing Bayesian Statistics at Courses Speakers: Nick Horton, Hilary Parker, of Various Levels Jo Hardin, and Colin Rundel • Why Do Students Hate Statistics? • Novel Approaches to First Statistics / Data Science Course P.M. Roundtables Speakers: Ben Baumer, Mine Çetinkaya-Rundel, • A Course in Business Analytics Rebecca Nugent, and Daniel Kaplan • Student Involvement in Community Projects • Training Statisticians to Be Effective • Discussing the Uses and Creation of R Shiny Instructors Applications Panelists: Adam Loy, Jennifer Kaplan, Meghan Short, Patricia Buchanan, and Paul Stephenson • Incorporating Complex Survey Concepts into the Curriculum Topic-Contributed Sessions • Recruiting and Engaging Students • Being Research Active in Teaching-Focused • GAISEing at a Lecture Hall: Effective Colleges Pedagogy in Large-Enrollment Courses • The Essential Connections Between Industry • What Are the 25 Most Common Terms in and Statistics Education: Innovation, Statistics from the Last 20 Years? Technology, and Partnerships • Design, Implementation, and Impact For more information about the JSM program, of Different Approaches to Professional view the online program at ww2.amstat.org/jsm and Development for Teachers of Statistics check out the program section. For information about the Statistical Education Section, visit https:// • Teaching Introductory Statistics Using goo.gl/h5rmPS. n Simulation-Based Inference Methods • Modernizing the Statistical Collaboration Course Biopharmaceutical The Biopharmaceutical Section extends its invita- Contributed Sessions tion for the 2017 mentoring program to all bio- • Advances in Pedagogy pharmaceutical section members. • Technologies in the Classroom Networking can be challenging, but it is benefi- • Teaching Special Groups and Undergraduate cial. Meeting others in our profession can help us Research quickly learn the ropes, improve our careers, and contribute to the statistical profession. Finding a mentor has its challenges and, keeping that in

40 amstat news may 2017 section • chapter • committee news

mind, the Biopharmaceutical Section has created achieving personal and professional goals. This may a mentoring program based on the mentoring occur through sharing of knowledge and experience blueprint created by the Committee on Applied between a professional practitioner and someone Statisticians. More than 100 people have partici- entering the profession. pated in our mentoring program since 2014. A constructive mentorship relationship can Mentor Allison Florance said, “The ASA take many forms and may occur at any stage of Biopharmaceutical Section did a great job in one’s career with benefits for both the mentor matching me to a mentee. It has been a win-win and mentee. We will provide hands-on resources for both of us!” for mentors and mentees to facilitate their inter- Mentor Bruce Binkowitz said, “The ASA actions. Information related to the mentoring Biopharmaceutical Section did a great job match- activities and additional resources for mentors and ing me with a mentee. I feel I have a lot to offer her, mentees is available via the Biopharmaceutical and, in return, since she is in a different type of sta- Section website (https://goo.gl/hCPnmK). tistics company than I am, I learn a lot about issues Currently, we are looking for mentors and and challenges that occur in her environment …” mentees for the 2017–2018 mentoring pro- Mentee Nobuhle Mpofu said, “The biopharma- gram. Are you interested in becoming a mentor ceutical mentoring program has proved to be invalu- to a biopharmaceutical statistician? Are you a able to me. Through my countless conversations potential mentee, or can you nominate a stat- with my mentor, I chose to focus on a thesis topic istician who may be looking for a mentorship that is of high interest to me and yet highly relevant program? If so, please email your contact infor- to the pharmaceutical industry and other settings.” mation to [email protected] with The goal of this program is to help members “Biopharmaceutical Section Mentoring Program” further enrich their professional experience through in the subject line. n

Boston University Student Chapter Rocks!

The ASA’s Boston University Student Chapter had a rock-climbing social. Kristin Baltrusaitis (left), Heather Shappell, Clementine Mottet, Kendra Plourde, Ellie Gurary, Crystal Qin, Scarlett Li, and Dan Posner took part. The chapter is also in the final stages of planning for their annual Statistics in Practice panel. This year, the theme is “Statistics in New Media Technology,” and the panel will feature speakers from Facebook, Spotify, and Boston Children’s Hospital. To learn more about the ASA’s student chapters or to start one, visit https://goo.gl/dtPQod.

may 2017 amstat news 41 calendar of events

The following events are the latest additions to the ASA’s online calendar of events. Announce- ments are accepted from education and not-for- profit organizations only. To view the complete list of statistics meetings and workshops, visit www. Pittsburgh, PA 15122; (412) Floor, Boston, MA 02115; (617) 432- amstat.org/dateline. 268-6557; [email protected]. 7449; [email protected].

* Indicates events sponsored by the ASA or one of June 13–15—2017 Quality and its sections, chapters, or committees 5–7—14th Graybill Productivity Research Conference on Statistical Conference, Storrs, Connecticut

›› Indicates events posted since the previous issue Genetics and Genomics, For details, visit qprc2017.org or Fort Collins, Colorado contact Nalini Ravishanker, AUST For details, visit graybill. 333, 215 Glenbrook Road, Storrs, CT 2017 wolpe2.natsci.colostate.edu 06269; (860) 486-4760; nalini. or contact [email protected]. May Wen Zhou, 208 Statistical Building, 15–19—International 15–17—ARS’17 International Colorado State Workshop on Perspectives Workshop, Naples, Italy University, Fort on High-dimensional For details, visit www.ars17.unisa. Collins, CO 80523; Data Analysis (HDDA-VII), it/index or contact Maria Rosaria (970) 491-1306; riczw@ Guanajuato D’Esposito, Via Giovanni Paolo II, stat.colostate.edu. For details, visit hddavii. Fisciano (SA), International I-84084, eventos.cimat.mx or contact Lilia Italy; (+39) 089962206; 7–9—ISBIS 2017 - Statistics in Leticia Ramirez, Calle Jalisco [email protected]. Business Analytics, Yorktown SN Col Valenciana, Guanajuato, Heights, New York International 36023, Mexico; »*17–19—IMS/ASA Spring For more information, visit www. +52 473 732 7155 x 4490; leticia. Research Conference 2017, isbis2017.org or contact ISBIS 2017, [email protected]. New Brunswick, New Jersey 1101 Kitchawan Road, Route 134, For more information, visit statistics. Yorktown Heights, NY 10598; (914) 18–7/1—Summer Institute in rutgers.edu/src2017 or contact Ying 945-1793; [email protected]. Computational Social Science, Hung, 110 Frelinghuysen Road, Princeton, New Jersey Piscataway, NJ 08854; (848) 445- For details, visit www.russellsage. 2690; [email protected]. 9–10—Conference in Celebration of Jeremy Taylor’s org/summer-institute-computa- 60th Birthday, Ann Arbor, tional-social-science or contact 22–24—40th Annual Midwest Matt Salganik, 145 Wallace Hall, Biopharmaceutical Statistics Michigan For more information, visit https:// Princeton, NJ 08544; (609) 258-8867; Workshop (MBSW), Muncie, [email protected]. Indiana goo.gl/P9GJil or contact Menggang Yu, 600 Highland Ave., Madison, For details, visit www.mbswonline. 20–23—The 10th International com or contact Melvin Munsaka, WI 53792; (608) 261-1988; meyu@ biostat.wisc.edu. Conference on Multiple One Takeda Parkway, Deerfield, IL Comparison Procedures, 60015; (224) 554-2846; melvin. Riverside, California [email protected]. 11–23—Summer Institute in Social-Science Genomics, For details, visit www.mcp- conference.org or contact Xinping 29—Workshop on Statistical Santa Barbara, California For details, visit https://goo.gl/ Cui, 1337 Olmsted Hall, University of Perspectives of Uncertainty California at Riverside, Riverside, CA Quantification, Atlanta, Georgia fpQH2N or contact Dan Benjamin, 312 Dauterive Hall, Los Angeles, 92521; (951) 827-2563; xinping.cui@ For details, visit pwp.gatech.edu/ ucr.edu. spuq-2017 or contact Roshan Joseph, CA 90089; (617) 548-8948; RSF. Industrial and Systems Engineering, [email protected]. Atlanta, GA 30332-0205; (404) 894- »26–28—LASR Workshop, 0056; [email protected]. »12–16—An Introduction Leeds, United Kingdom to Causal Inference, Boston, For details, visit https://goo. 31–6/2—Statistical Analysis Massachusetts gl/9Kd2U9 or contact Jessica of Neural Data (SAND8), For more information, visit www. Brennan, University of Leeds, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania hsph.harvard.edu/causal/shortcourse Leeds, International LS2 9JT, UK; For details, visit sand.stat.cmu.edu or contact Shaina Andelman, 655 01133435116; [email protected]. or contact Barbara Dorney, CNBC, Huntington Ave., Building 2, 4th

42 amstat news may 2017 calendar of events

26–30—10th Extreme Value 3–7—Research on Productivity, 10–22—Bocconi Summer Analysis Conference, Delft, The Trade, and Growth: Theory School in Statistics and Netherlands and Practice, Amsterdam, The Probability: Statistical Causal For more information, visit www. Netherlands Learning, Como, Italy eva2017.nl or contact John For more information, visit https:// For more information, visit Einmahl, P.O. Box 90153, Tilburg, goo.gl/jI9zvc or contact Judith van http://spas.lakecomoschool.org or International 5000LE, Netherlands; Kronenburg, Gustav Mahlerplein contact Sonia Petrone, Via Roentgen +31 134668208. 117, Amsterdam, International 1087 1, Milano, International 20123, Italy; MS, The Netherlands; +31 (0)10 40 +39 0258365602; sonia.petrone@ 88919; [email protected]. unibocconi.it. July 2–7—IWSM 2017, Groningen, 9–13—38th Annual Conference 10–28—2017 UW Biostatistics The Netherlands of the International Society for Summer Institutes, Seattle, For more information, visit Clinical Biostatistics, Vigo, Spain Washington iwsm2017.webhosting.rug.nl or con- For details, visit jacobo.webs.uvigo.es/ For details, visit https://goo.gl/ tact Marco Gzegorczyk, Nijenborgh Flyer_ISCB38.pdf or contact Jacobo RrWcba or contact Deb Nelson, UW 9, Groningen, International 9747 de Uña Álvarez, University of Vigo, Tower 15T, Campus Box 359461, AG, Netherlands; +31503633985; Department of Statistics and OR, Seattle, WA 98195; (206) 685-9323; [email protected]. Vigo, International 36310, Spain; [email protected]. 986812492; [email protected]. *3–7—ICORS 2017, Wollongong, 12–14—Data Science, Statistics, Australia »10–12—Small Area Estimation and Visualisation (DSSV 2017), For more information, visit https:// 61th ISI World Statistical Lisbon, Portugal goo.gl/7dtu3x or contact Anica Congress Satellite Meeting, For details, visit iasc-isi.org/ Damcevski, NIASRA, University Paris, France dssv2017 or contact Peter of Wollongong, Wollongong, For more information, visit sae2017. Filzmoser, Vienna University of International 2522, Australia; 0061-2- ensai.fr or contact Daniel Bonnery, Technology, Vienna, International 4221-5435; [email protected]. 1218 LeFrak Hall, 7251 Preinkert Dr., 1040, Austria; +43 1 58801 10560; College Park, MD 20742; (301) 314- [email protected]. 7911; [email protected].

may 2017 amstat news 43 calendar of events

17–21—Introduction in Genome-Wide Data Analysis, Amsterdam, The Netherlands For details, visit https://goo.gl/ ajGxSH or contact Judith van Kronenburg, Gustav Mahlerplein 117, Amsterdam, International 1040, Austria; +43 1 58801 10560; 1087 MS, The Netherlands; +31 8–12—MiF2017, Kruger [email protected]. (0)10 40 88919; summerschool@ *25–27—2017 ASA tinbergen.nl. National Park, South Africa For more information, visit www. Biopharmaceutical Section up.ac.za/mif2017 or contact Riaan Regulatory-Industry Statistics 17–22—Crash Course in de Jongh, 12 Bodensteinstreet, Workshop, Washington, DC Experimental Economics, Potechefstroom, International 2531, For more information, visit ww2. Amsterdam, The Netherlands South Africa; 27829050880; riaan. amstat.org/meetings/biopharm For more information, visit [email protected]. workshop/2017 or contact ASA https://goo.gl/CfdGKc or contact Meetings, 732 North Washington Judith van Kronenburg, Gustav 12–14—Second Workshop on St., Alexandria, VA 22314; (703) 684- Mahlerplein 117, Amsterdam, Higher-Order Asymptotics and 1221, [email protected]. International 1087 MS, The Post-Selection Inference (WHOA- Netherlands; +31 (0)10 40 88919; PSI)^{2}, St. Louis, Missouri October [email protected]. For more information, visit https:// *4–6—Fall Technical Conference, goo.gl/fE3rdE or contact Todd Philadelphia, Pennsylvania *29–8/3—2017 Joint Statistical Kuffner, 1 Brookings Dr., Campus For details, visit www.falltechnical Meetings, Baltimore, Maryland Box 1146, St. Louis, MO 63130; kuff- conference.org or contact Maria For more information, visit ww2. [email protected]. Weese, 800 E. High St., Oxford, OH amstat.org/jsm or contact ASA 45056; (513) 529-0591; weeseml@ Meetings, 732 N. Washington St., 28–9/1—CEN-ISBS Vienna 2017 miamioh.edu Alexandria, VA 22314; (703) 684- Joint Conference on Biometrics 1221; [email protected]. & Biopharmaceutical Statistics, Vienna, Austria For details, visit www.cenisbs2017. August org or contact Alexandra Seppi, 3–5—23rd ISSAT International Mariannengasse 32, Vienna, Conference on Reliability and International 1090, Austria; Quality in Design (RQD 2017), cenisbs2017 @aimgroup.eu. Chicago, Illinois *11–13—ASAOCTOBER Symposium 11-13,1-13, 202017 on17 For details, visit issatconferences.org StatisticalBETHES Inference,DA, MMARYLANDA RBethesda,YLAND or contact RQD 2017 Conference September Maryland For more information, visit ww2. Secretary, P.O. Box 1504, Piscataway, »4–7—International Conference IL 08855; [email protected]. amstat.org/meetings/ssi/2017 or on Class Groups of Number contact ASA Meetings, 732 North Fields and Related Topics, 8–12—XXVII International Washington St., Alexandria, VA Allahabad, India 22314; (703) 684-1221; meetings@ Symposium on Statistics, For details, visit https://goo.gl/sVgK0x amstat.org. Medellín, Colombia or contact Azizul Hoque, Chhatnag For more information, visit Road, Jhunsi, Allahabad, https://goo.gl/V3y9pT or contact International 211019, India; +91-532- 12–14—Design and Analysis Carlos Eduardo Alonso Malaver, 227 4373; [email protected]. of Experiments (DAE 2017) Calle 44 No. 45-67, Bogotá, Conference, Los Angeles, California International 111321, Colombia; 21–24—Mountain Village For more information, visit https:// 57-1 3165327; Science Series (MOVISS 2017), goo.gl/g5ekI9 or contact Hongquan [email protected]. Vorau, Austria Xu, Department of Statistics, Los For details, visit www.moviss.eu or Angeles, CA 90095-1554; (310) contact Peter Filzmoser, Wiedner Hauptstr. 8-10, Vienna, International 206-0035; [email protected]. n

44 amstat news may 2017 professional opportunities

Professional Opportunity listings may not exceed 65 words, plus equal opportunity information. The deadline for their receipt is the 20th of the month two months prior to when the ad is to be published (e.g., May 20 for the July issue). Ads will be published in the next available issue following receipt. Listings are shown alphabetically by state, followed by international list- Georgia ings. Vacancy listings may include the institutional name and address or be nEmory University’s Department of identified by number, as desired. Biostatistics and Bioinformatics is Professional Opportunities vacancies also will be published on the ASA’s recruiting a dynamic leader for this website (www.amstat.org). Vacancy listings will appear on the website for rapidly evolving field to serve as chair. the entire calendar month. Ads may not be placed for publication in the We seek candidates with a doctoral magazine only; all ads will be published both electronically and in print. degree in biostatistics, statistics, or Rates: $320 for nonprofit organizations (with proof of nonprofit status), a related discipline, strategic under- $478 for all others. Member discounts are not given. For display and online standing of trends in the field, dem- advertising rates, go to www.amstat.org/ads. onstrated ability to foster creativity, proven leadership abilities, and strong Listings will be invoiced following publication. All payments should be advocacy for methodological and col- made to the American Statistical Association. All material should be sent laborative research. View the full job to Amstat News, 732 North Washington Street, Alexandria, VA 22314- ad at www.sph.emory.edu/BIOSchair. 1943; fax (703) 684-2036; email [email protected]. pdf. Emory University is an equal Employers are expected to acknowledge all responses resulting from opportunity / affirmative action / dis- publication of their ads. Personnel advertising is accepted with the under- ability / veteran employer. standing that the advertiser does not discriminate among applicants on the basis of race, sex, religion, age, color, national origin, handicap, or sex- New York ual orientation. nStony Brook Department of Applied Also, look for job ads on the ASA website at www.amstat.org/jobweb. Mathematics and Statistics seeks to fill tenure-track assistant professor position in quantitative finance. Applicants should send cover letter, research statement, teaching statement, reprints or preprints of research publications, resume/CV, and arrange to have three letters of recommendation emailed to [email protected]. For a full position description, or application procedures visit: www.stonybrook. edu/jobs (F-9745-17-02) Stony Brook University is an EEO/AA employer and educator. Ohio nNationwide Children’s Hospital (NCH) is seeking a healthcare data scientist with expertise in statistical and predictive modeling, machine learning, and/or text analytics including NLP. Join a team of highly capable PhD and MS scientists working a mix of projects related to healthcare research and clinical healthcare delivery. Successful candidates will have a MS degree with 5+ years of experience or a PhD. Apply here: tinyurl.com/j9uya3f EOE M/F/ disability/vet. n

may 2017 amstat news 45 46 amstat news may 2017 Come to Your Census

Join the U.S. Census Bureau to help produce AMSTATNEWS quality data that enable Americans to better ADVERTISING DIRECTORY understand our country—its population, Listed below are our display advertisements resources, economy, and society. only. If you are looking for job-placement ads, please see the professional opportunities section. For more job listings or more information Your Work as a Mathematical Statistician about advertising, please visit www.amstat.org. at the Census Bureau

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may 2017 amstat news 47 SOCIAL CHATTER What our followers are saying online FOLLOW US Because April was Mathematics and Statistics Awareness Month, our community. amstat.org Facebook followers shared who or what inspired them to be statisticians.

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www.instagram the plant and talked to him about his pro- .com/AmstatNews fession. What he said made me change my major to Stats. It was (I’m retired now) the best profession for me. Next month’s question: How do others Md Jamal Uddin My uncle who is a react when you Statistician! tell them you are a statistician? Make sure to tag Hakiim Jamaluddin My @AmstatNews in Probability Theory Lecturer your response. where I changed from Maths to Stats

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48 amstat news may 2017

Statistics The latest release of SAS/STAT® is now available. SAS/STAT 14.2 enriches numerous analyses and adds two more procedures to your portfolio.

SAS/STAT 14.2 Highlights Propensity score analysis. Two-stage fully e cient fractional imputation and fractional hot-deck methods for survey data. Estimation of causal treatment e ects. Balanced bootstrap and sequential Poisson Time-dependent ROC curves for methods for selecting random samples. Cox regression.

Recent SAS/STAT Highlights Generalized additive models by penalized Weighted GEE methods. likelihood estimation. Proportional hazards regression models for LASSO method for selecting generalized interval-censored data. linear models. Bayesian choice models. Classiﬁ cation and regression trees.

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SAS and all other SAS Institute Inc. product or service names are registered trademarks or trademarks of SAS Institute Inc. in the USA and other countries. ® indicates USA registration. Other brand and product names are trademarks of their respective companies. © 2016 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved. G42504US.1116