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Game #5 // Illinois (3-1) Vs. the Citadel (0-3*) *Plays Nov. 19 Nov

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2019-20 UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI BASKETBALL Game #5 // Illinois (3-1) vs. The Citadel (0-3*) *plays Nov. 19 Nov. 20, 2019 // 8 p.m. CT // Champaign, Ill. // State Farm Center (15,544) TV: BTN – Kevin Kugler (Play-By-Play), Stephen Bardo (Analyst) Radio: Illini Sports Network – Brian Barnhart (Play-By-Play), Deon Thomas (Analyst) // Satellite Radio: Sirius/XM – 84, Streaming – 84 ILLINOIS 2019-20 SCHEDULE & RESULTS PROBABLE STARTERS (FROM THE LAST GAME) Pos. No. Name Ht. Wt. Yr. PPG RPG APG Note DATE OPPONENT TIME/RESULT TV/STREAM G 11 Ayo Dosunmu 6-5 185 So. 13.5 3.5 3.8 Wooden & Naismith Watch Lists NOVEMBER (3-1) G 10 Andres Feliz 6-2 195 Sr. 16.0 8.8 3.5 51.3% 2FG & 80.8% FT 5 NICHOLLS W, 78-70 (OT) BTN+ G 1 Trent Frazier 6-2 175 Jr. 9.8 2.5 1.8 Jerry West Watch List 8 at Grand Canyon W, 83-71 WCIX F 15 Giorgi Bezhanishvili 6-9 235 So. 9.0 5.0 1.3 50% FG & 57.1% 3FG 10 at #21 Arizona L, 69-90 PAC12 C 21 Kofi Cockburn 7-0 290 Fr. 14.3 11.5 0.5 3 double-doubles 18 HAWAII W, 66-53 ESPNU 20 THE CITADEL 8 p.m. BTN OFF THE BENCH 23 HAMPTON 7 p.m. BTN+ Pos. No. Name Ht. Wt. Yr. PPG RPG APG Note 26 LINDENWOOD 7 p.m. BTN+ G 0 Alan Griffin 6-5 195 So. 6.8 4.0 0.3 Leads team w/ 5 threes DECEMBER (0-0) F 2 Kipper Nichols 6-6 220 r-Sr. 3.3 1.8 0.5 9 points vs. Hawaii 2 MIAMI [1] 6 p.m. ESPN2 F 4 Zach Griffith 6-6 210 Jr. 0.0 0.0 0.0 2019 Academic All-Big Ten 7 at #6 Maryland 4 p.m. ESPN2 G 5 Tevian Jones 6-7 205 So. 0.0 0.0 0.0 18 pts last yr v. #13 Maryland 11 MICHIGAN 8 p.m. BTN F 13 Benjamin Bosmans-Verdonk 6-8 235 Fr. 0.0 0.7 0.0 BC Oostende youth team 14 OLD DOMINION 5 p.m. BTN G 20 Da’Monte Williams 6-3 210 Jr. 1.5 3.0 0.8 16.0 min/game 21 vs. Missouri [2] 12 p.m. SEC G 32 Tyler Underwood 6-2 180 Gr. 0.0 0.0 0.0 Son of Coach Underwood 29 NORTH CAROLINA A&T 1 p.m. ESPNU C 34 Jermaine Hamlin 6-10 235 Fr. 0.0 1.0 0.0 2 reb at Grand Canyon JANUARY (0-0) F 35 Samson Oladimeji 6-4 210 Sr. 0.0 0.0 0.0 2-time Academic All-Big Ten 2 at #3 Michigan State 7 p.m. FS1 5 PURDUE 7 p.m. FS1 OUT 8 at Wisconsin 8 p.m. BTN Pos. No. Name Ht. Wt. Yr. PPG RPG APG Note 11 RUTGERS TBA BTN G/F 3 Jacob Grandison 6-6 200 Jr. 11.8* 7.6* 1.0* Transfer (*Holy Cross stats) 18 NORTHWESTERN 4 p.m. BTN G 22 Austin Hutcherson 6-6 175 Jr. 11.8* 7.6* 1.0* Transfer (*Wesleyan stats) 21 at Purdue 6 p.m. ESPN/2/U 25 at Michigan 11 a.m. FS1 HEAD COACH BRAD UNDERWOOD 30 MINNESOTA 6:30 p.m. FS1 Career Record: 138-67 (.673), 7th year FEBRUARY (0-0) At Illinois: 29-40 (.420), 3rd year 2 at Iowa 12 p.m. FS1 7 #6 MARYLAND 7 p.m. FS1 11 #3 MICHIGAN STATE 8 p.m. ESPN/2 SERIES NOTES VS. THE CITADEL 15 at Rutgers 3:30 p.m. BTN Record: First meeting 18 at Penn State 5:30 p.m. FS1 Underwood vs. The Citadel: First meeting 24 NEBRASKA 7 p.m. BTN 27 at Northwestern 7 p.m. BTN Opening Tips MARCH (0-0) • Wednesday night’s contest vs. The Citadel marks Illinois’ second game of a four-game, nine-day stretch. 1 INDIANA 1 p.m. BTN 5 at #10 Ohio State 6 p.m. ESPN/2 • Illinois plays six of its next seven games at State Farm Center, and seven of the next nine to close out 2019. 8 IOWA 6 p.m. BTN 11-15 at Big Ten Tournament [3] • Illinois ranks fourth nationally in offensive rebound percentage (42.1%) and fourth in the NCAA in rebound margin (+17.3). All Times Listed are Central BOLD - State Farm Center, Champaign, Ill. • Illinois is currently 29th in the nation in free throw rate (44.0), and 32nd in defensive free throw rate (19.8). [1] – Big Ten/ACC Challenge These are dramatic early-season improvements compared to last year, when the Illini ranked 272nd in free [2] – Braggin’ Rights; Enterprise Center, St. Louis throw rate (29.5) and 338th in defensive free throw rate (42.4). [3] – Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis • Kofi Cockburn is the only freshman in the country to record three double-doubles. ILLINOIS ATHLETICS COMMUNICATION Address: 1700 S. Fourth St., Champaign, IL 61820 • Cockburn’s three double-doubles is tied for fifth-most nationally, and tied with Minnesota’s Daniel Oturu Office: 217-333-1391 for tops among Big Ten players. Basketball SID: Derrick Burson Email: [email protected] • Trent Frazier is averaging 13.5 points and shooting 71.4 percent from 3-point range (5-7) over the last Cell: 217-766-7315 two games. Twitter: @IlliniMBB Website: FightingIllini.com • 6-foot, 2-inch Andres Feliz leads the Big Ten and ranks 23rd in NCAA in defensive rebounding (8.0 rpg). 2019-20 ILLINOIS NUMERICAL ROSTER No. Name Pos. Ht. Wt. Yr. Hometown Notable 0 Alan Griffin G 6-5 195 So. Ossining, N.Y. Added 15 pounds in offseason 1 Trent Frazier G 6-2 175 Jr. Wellington, Fla. Ranked 43rd in NCAA in 3-point shooting at 40.6% last season (80-197) 2 Kipper Nichols F 6-6 220 r-Sr. Cleveland, Ohio Lone 4-year scholarship senior on Illini roster 3 Jacob Grandison G/F 6-6 200 Jr. Oakland, Calif. Holy Cross’ leading scorer last year at 13.9 ppg 4 Zach Griffith F 6-6 210 Jr. Fisher, Ill. Second-year walk-on is a former manager 5 Tevian Jones G 6-7 205 So. Chandler, Ariz. Career-high 18 points at Madison Square Garden in win over No. 13 Maryland 10 Andres Feliz G 6-2 195 Sr. Guachupita, Dom. Rep. Team’s sixth-man of the year averaged 8.3 points as a junior 11 Ayo Dosunmu G 6-5 185 So. Chicago, Ill. First-ever true freshman to lead Illini in scoring on the season 13 Benjamin Bosmans-Verdonk F 6-8 235 Fr. Lommel, Belgium Belgian power forward played on youth team of BC Oostende 15 Giorgi Bezhanishvili F 6-9 235 So. Rustavi, Georgia Set UI freshman single-game scoring record with 35 points vs. Rutgers 20 Da’Monte Williams G 6-3 210 Jr. Peoria, Ill. Started final 17 games last season 21 Kofi Cockburn C 7-0 290 Fr. Kingston, Jamaica Top-50 recruit is highest-ranked center to join Illini since Meyers Leonard 22 Austin Hutcherson G 6-6 175 Jr. New York, N.Y. First-team All-NESCAC pick averaged 20.0 points last year at Wesleyan 32 Tyler Underwood G 6-2 180 Gr. Champaign, Ill. Son of Coach Underwood in third year with program 34 Jermaine Hamlin C 6-10 235 Fr. Lincoln, Ill. Played at Lincoln for Neil Alexander, who also coached UI great Brian Cook 35 Samson Oladimeji F 6-4 210 Sr. Rolling Meadows, Ill. Two-time Academic All-Big Ten selection Richmond Family Endowed Men’s Head Basketball Coach: Brad Underwood (3rd year at Illinois, 7th year overall) Assistant Coaches: Orlando Antigua (3rd year), Ron Coleman (3rd year), Stephen Gentry (1st year) Assistants to the Head Coach: Jamall Walker (8th year), Geoff Alexander (3rd year) Director of Operations: Joey Biggs (3rd year) Pronunciation Pronunciation Video Coordinator: Zach Hamer (1st year) GIORGI BEZHANISHVILI GEORGE-ee Andres FELIZ fe-LEASE Graduate Manager: Kwa Jones (1st year) be-SHON-ish-vil-ee Samson OLADIMEJI oh-lah-di-MAY-jee Strength and Conditioning Coach: Adam Fletcher (5th year) KOFI COCKBURN KO-fee KO-burn DA’MONTE Williams da-MON-tay Athletic Trainer: Paul Schmidt (8th year) AYO DOSUNMU EYE-oh dough-SUE-moo Illini Notables RETURNING FOR THE ILLINI IN 2019-20 • The Illini are 3-0 this season, and 23-2 in the Underwood era, when shooting better than the opponent. • Three different players have led the Illini in scoring through four games. Category 18-19 Returning Lost Return Pct. Minutes 6,675 5,454 1,221 81.7% • Illinois, Indiana and Michigan are the only Big Ten teams with three players averaging at least 13 points. Points 2,398 2,045 353 85.3% Field Goals 862 748 114 86.8% • Kofi Cockburn ranks second in the Big Ten and 16th in the NCAA in rebounding (11.5 rpg). 3-Pt. FGs 259 200 59 77.2% • Cockburn leads the league and ranks 16th in the NCAA in offensive boards (4.5 rpg). Free Throws 415 349 66 84.1% Rebounds 1,088 776 209 78.8% • Cockburn ranks 21st nationally in offensive rebound percentage (21.2%) Assists 446 387 59 86.8% • Cockburn is 24th nationally in fouls drawn per 40 minutes (8.1). Blocks 86 62 24 72.1% Steals 245 209 36 85.3% • Cockburn is 25th in the NCAA in free throw attempts (29).
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  • Modeling Basketball Games As Alternating Renewal-Reward Processes and Predicting Match Outcomes a Thesis Submitted to the Department of Mathematics for Honors

    Modeling Basketball Games As Alternating Renewal-Reward Processes and Predicting Match Outcomes a Thesis Submitted to the Department of Mathematics for Honors

    Modeling Basketball Games as Alternating Renewal-Reward Processes and Predicting Match Outcomes A thesis submitted to the Department of Mathematics for honors Conrad De Peuter April 22, 2013 Duke University, Durham NC Abstract We fit an Alternating Renewal-Reward Process model to basketball games and use the models to predict the outcomes of 1209 games in the 2012-2013 National Basketball Association (NBA) season. Using data collected from NBC play-by-play pages we fit various models for each team’s renewal process (time of possession) and reward process (points per possession). Using these estimated distributions we simulate the outcome of each of the 1209 games. We introduce four seperate models to predict these games. To evaulate our models we compared their predictions with that of other commonly used methods such as team record, Pythagorean Win Percentage, and Bookmaker odds. The research suggests that an Alternating Renewal-Reward Process is an appropriate fit to a basketball game. 1 Introduction Possession based statistics have been a cornerstone of most advanced statistical analysis of the National Basketball Association (NBA) in the past decade. Although possessions are not an official NBA statistic, their use is considered essential in advanced statistical analysis. A possession starts when a team gains control of the ball, and ends when the team loses control of the ball [9]. It is important to distinguish between possessions and plays. A play is an individual action to score, and a possession can have multiple plays. For example, a period in which a team shoots and misses, gets an o↵ensive rebound, then shoots and scores has two plays; however, it is only one possession since the opposing team never gained control of the ball.
  • Game Notes Final Four 1953 • 1981 • 1986 • 2006

    Game Notes Final Four 1953 • 1981 • 1986 • 2006

    @LSUBasketball NATIONAL TITLES 1935 2019-2020 MEN’S BASKETBALL SEC CHAMPIONS 1935 • 1953 • 1954 • 1979 1981 • 1985 • 1991 • 2000 • 2006 • 2009 • 2019 GAME NOTES FINAL FOUR 1953 • 1981 • 1986 • 2006 GAME 12:30 p.m. CT SEC Network vs. Liberty Pete Maravich Assembly Center LSU Sports Radio Network December 29, 2019 12 Baton Rouge, Louisiana (Guaranty Media Eagle 98.1 FM) 2019-20 LSU SCHEDULE LSU STARTING LINEUP (BASED ON LAST GAME) Season Stats: 16.2 ppg, 4.8 ppg, 2.82 apg, 2.18 spg LSU (7-4) • Is at 1,278 career points, 313 assists and 182 steals in 110 career games. H - 6-1; A - 0-1; N - 1-2; OT - 0-0 • Had career high of 30 pts in game vs. Utah St. (11/22), Hit 5 three-pointers. November 4 • Leads the league in steals average; Sixth in field goal percentage (51.2%). Fri. 8 BOWLING GREEN (SECN+) W, 88-79 SKYLAR • FIrst Team CoSIDA Academic All-America in 2019; Second Team Academic A-A in 2018. Wed. 13 at VCU (ESPN2) L, 82-84 • Started 49 consecutive games ... ETSU game (12/18) his 100th career start. Sat. 16 NICHOLLS (SECN+) W, 75-65 MAYS • Nine games in double figures this season ... 70 games in double figures for career. Tues. 19 UMBC (SECN) W, 77-50 G • Sr. • 6-4 • 205 • Scored 21 points vs. USC (12/21), 6 rebounds, two assists, three steals. JERSEY MIKE’S JAMAICA CLASSIC - Montego Bay, Jamaica Baton Rouge, Louisiana Fri. 22 vs. Utah State (CBSSN) L, 78-80 Sun.