Prepared in cooperation with the International Joint Commission
Flood-Inundation Maps for Lake Champlain in Vermont and New York
Scientific Investigations Report 2018–5169
U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Cover. Photograph showing Lake Champlain shoreline, Colchester, Vermont, April 29, 2011. Photograph taken by Bill Howland, Lake Champlain Basin Program. Flood-Inundation Maps for Lake Champlain in Vermont and New York
By Robert H. Flynn and Laura Hayes
Prepared in cooperation with the International Joint Commission
Scientific Investigations Report 2018–5169
U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey U.S. Department of the Interior DAVID BERNHARDT, Acting Secretary U.S. Geological Survey James F. Reilly II, Director
U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia: 2019
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Suggested citation: Flynn, R.H., and Hayes, L., 2019, Flood-inundation maps for Lake Champlain in Vermont and New York: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2018–5169, 14 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20185169. [Supersedes USGS Scien- tific Investigations Report 2016–5060.]
ISSN 2328-0328 (online) iii
Acknowledgments
The authors wish to thank the International Joint Commission for funding this study and the Vermont Agency of Transportation and New York Department of Environmental Conservation for funding the operation and maintenance of some of the gages used for this study. Thanks are given to the National Weather Service for their forecasted Lake Champlain stages at USGS Lake Gage 04295000 at Rouses Point, New York. iv
Contents
Acknowledgments...... iii Abstract...... 1 Introduction...... 2 Purpose and Scope...... 2 Study Area Description and Physical Setting...... 5 Previous Flood Inundation Mapping Studies...... 6 Creation of Flood-Inundation-Map Series...... 6 Computation of Water-Surface Flood-Inundation Extents...... 7 Hydrologic Data...... 7 Topographic Data...... 7 Development of Water-Surface Flood Extents...... 8 Development of Flood-Inundation Maps and Grids...... 8 Flood-Inundation Map Delivery...... 8 Disclaimer for Flood-Inundation Maps...... 8 Uncertainties and Limitations Regarding Use of Flood-Inundation Maps...... 10 Estimating Potential Losses Due to Flooding...... 10 Summary...... 10 References Cited...... 11
Figures
1. Map showing Lake Champlain Basin and U.S. Geological Survey lake gages...... 3 2. Flood-inundation map for Lake Champlain in New York and Vermont, corresponding to a stage of 106.0 feet at the U.S. Geological Survey lake elevation gage at Richelieu River at Rouses Point, N.Y., and inset map showing 11 flood-inundation stages at St. Albans Bay, Vermont...... 9
Tables
1. Information for U.S. Geological Survey lake gages, Lake Champlain, Vermont and New York...... 4 2. Federal Emergency Management Agency flood insurance studies for towns abutting Lake Champlain in Vermont and New York...... 4 v
Conversion Factors
U.S. customary units to International System of Units
Multiply By To obtain Length inch (in.) 2.54 centimeter (cm) inch (in.) 25.4 millimeter (mm) foot (ft) 0.3048 meter (m) mile (mi) 1.609 kilometer (km) Area square mile (mi2) 2.590 square kilometer (km2) Flow rate cubic foot per second (ft3/s) 0.02832 cubic meter per second (m3/s) inch per year (in/yr) 25.4 millimeter per year (mm/yr)
Temperature in degrees Fahrenheit (°F) may be converted to degrees Celsius (°C) as °C = (°F – 32) / 1.8.
Datum
Vertical coordinate information is referenced to (1) stage, the height above an arbitrary datum established at a lake gage, or (2) elevation, the height above the National Geodetic Vertical Datum of 1929 (NGVD 29) and (or) North American Vertical Datum of 1988 (NAVD 88). Horizontal coordinate information is referenced to the North American Datum of 1983 (NAD 83).
Flood-Inundation Maps for Lake Champlain in Vermont and New York
By Robert H. Flynn and Laura Hayes
Abstract recently acquired (2009, 2012, 2014, and 2015) light detection and ranging (lidar) data. The corresponding flood-inundation In 2016, digital flood-inundation maps along the shore- maps may be referenced to any of the four active USGS lake gages on Lake Champlain. Of these four active lake gages, line of Lake Champlain in Addison, Chittenden, Franklin, and USGS lake gage 04295000, Richelieu River (Lake Champlain) Grand Isle Counties in Vermont and northern Clinton County at Rouses Point, N.Y.; USGS lake gage 04294500, Lake in New York were created by the U.S. Geological Survey Champlain at Burlington, Vt.; USGS lake gage 04279085 (USGS) in cooperation with the International Joint Commis- Lake Champlain north of Whitehall, N.Y.; and USGS lake sion (IJC). This report discusses the creation of updated static gage 04294413, Lake Champlain at Port Henry, N.Y., only the digital flood-inundation mapping, in 2018, to include the Richelieu River (Lake Champlain) at Rouses Point, N.Y., gage entire shoreline of Lake Champlain in the United States. The also serves as a National Weather Service prediction location. flood-inundation maps, which can be accessed through the Lake Champlain static flood-inundation map boundary extents USGS Flood Inundation Mapping Science website at http:// corresponding to the May 2011 peak flood stage (103.20 feet water.usgs.gov/osw/flood_inundation/, depict estimates of [ft], National Geodetic Vertical Datum of 1929 [NGVD 29], as the areal extent of flooding corresponding to selected water- recorded at the USGS Rouses Point lake gage, were com- surface elevations (stages) at the USGS lake gages on Lake pared to the flood-inundation area extents determined from Champlain. satellite imagery for the May 2011 flood (which incorporated As a result of the record setting floods of May 2011 documented high-water marks from the flood of May 2011) in Lake Champlain and the Richelieu River, the U.S. and and were found to be in good agreement. The May 2011 flood Canadian governments requested that the IJC issue a is the highest recorded lake water level (stage) at the Rouses reference for a study to identify how flood forecasting, Point, N.Y., and Burlington, Vt., lake gages. Flood stages preparedness, and mitigation could be improved in the Lake greater than 101.5 ft (NGVD 29) exceed the “major flood Champlain–Richelieu River Basin. The IJC submitted the stage” as defined by the National Weather Service for USGS Lake Champlain–Richelieu River Plan of Study to the govern- lake gage 04295000. ments of Canada and the United States in 2013. The flood- Updated digital elevation models (DEMs) were created inundation maps in this study are one aspect of the task work from the recent lidar data for Lake Champlain in Vermont outlined in the IJC 2013 Plan of Study. and New York. These DEMs were used in determining the Wind and seiche effects (standing oscillating wave with flood-inundation boundary and associated depth grids for a long wavelength) that can influence flooding along the 11 flood stages at 0.5-ft or 1-ft intervals from 100.0 to 106.0 ft Lake Champlain shoreline were not represented. The flood- (NGVD 29) as referenced to the USGS lake gages. In addition, inundation maps reflect 11 stages for Lake Champlain that are the May 2011 flood-inundation area for elevation 103.20 ft static for the entire area of the lake. Near-real-time stages at (NGVD 29) (102.77 ft, North American Vertical Datum of the USGS gages on Lake Champlain may be obtained from 1988) was determined from these updated DEMs. the USGS National Water Information System website at The availability of these maps, along with online infor- http://waterdata.usgs.gov/ (https://doi.org/10.5066/F7P55KJN) mation regarding current stages at the USGS lake gages or from the National Weather Service Advanced Hydrologic and forecasted high-flow stages from the National Weather Prediction Service at http://water.weather.gov/ahps/. Service at USGS lake gage 04295000, Richelieu River (Lake Updated static flood-inundation boundary extents were Champlain) at Rouses Point, N.Y., will provide emergency created for Lake Champlain in Franklin, Chittenden, Addison, management personnel and residents with information that is Rutland, and Grand Isle Counties in Vermont and Clinton, critical for flood response activities such as evacuations and Essex, and Washington Counties in New York by using road closures, as well as for post-flood recovery efforts. 2 Flood-Inundation Maps for Lake Champlain in Vermont and New York
Introduction is the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) flood insurance studies (FIS) for the communities surrounding Lake During the spring and summer of 2011, historic flood- Champlain. These communities are in Franklin, Chittenden, ing was recorded (Kiah and others, 2013) in Lake Champlain Addison, Rutland, and Grand Isle Counties in Vermont and (fig. 1) as a result of heavy spring rainfall on a warm, satu- Clinton, Essex, and Washington Counties in New York (table 2). rated, late spring snowpack across the Androscoggin, Con- Not all communities adjacent to Lake Champlain participate in necticut, and St. Lawrence River Basins (which includes the the FIS program. Data from the USGS lake gages (table 1) are a second Lake Champlain and Richelieu River Basins) in northern New source of information. Current and historical water levels, Hampshire and Vermont. As a result of melting snow and including annual peak stages, are available for five USGS lake rainfall, historically high flood levels were observed in Lake gages (USGS, 2018a, b, c, d, e). Champlain beginning in late April and extending through May A third source of flood-related information is the National 2011. Damage caused by shoreline erosion and variable lake Weather Service (NWS) Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Ser- levels during this period of high water was exacerbated by vice (AHPS), which displays the USGS stage and forecasted wind-driven waves associated with local fetch and lake-wide stage data for the Rouses Point, N.Y., gage (USGS, 2018a) and seiche effects (standing oscillating wave with a long wave- for the Burlington, Vt., gage (USGS, 2018b). length) (Bjerklie and others, 2014). Seiche effects have been One way to address the informational gaps in flood extent previously reported on the lake (Shanley and Denner, 1999) is to produce a series of flood-inundation maps that are refer- and are created by wind and atmospheric pressure changes. enced to the stages recorded at the USGS lake gage. By refer- The flood of May 2011 resulted in a period of record ring to the appropriate map, emergency responders can discern maximum stage (lake level) as recorded at all of the lake gages the severity of flooding (areal extent), identify roads that are or in Lake Champlain. The maximum recorded stage at U.S. will soon be flooded, and make plans for notification or evacu- Geological Survey (USGS) lake gage 04295000, Richelieu ation of residents in harm’s way. In addition, the capability River (Lake Champlain) at Rouses Point, N.Y. (hereinafter to visualize the potential extent of flooding has been shown referred to as the Rouses Point, N.Y., gage; USGS, 2018a), to motivate residents to take precautions and heed warnings was 103.20 ft (National Geodetic Vertical Datum of 1929 that they previously might have disregarded. In 2014–15, the [NGVD 29]) on May 6, 2011, and the maximum recorded USGS, in cooperation with the International Joint Commission stage at USGS lake gage 04294500, Lake Champlain at Burl- (IJC), conducted a project to produce a series of static flood- ington, Vt. (hereinafter referred to as the Burlington, Vt., gage; inundation maps for the perimeter of Lake Champlain where USGS, 2018b), was 103.27 ft (NGVD 29) on May 6, 2011 light detection and ranging (lidar) data were available. During (table 1). The maximum recorded stage at the USGS lake gage 2018, updated static flood-inundation boundary extents were 04279085, Lake Champlain north of Whitehall, N.Y. (herein- created for Lake Champlain in Franklin, Chittenden, Addison, after referred to as the Whitehall, N.Y., gage; USGS, 2018c), Rutland, and Grand Isle Counties in Vermont and Clinton, was 103.57 ft (NGVD 29) on May 9, 2011. This lake eleva- Essex, and Washington Counties in New York. These updated tion, in the southern part of the lake, was affected by seiche maps include creation of static flood-inundation boundaries on (USGS, 2018c). Before the flooding of May 2011, the highest the New York side of Lake Champlain (south of the northern stage recorded at the Rouses Point, N.Y., gage was 102.1 ft part of Clinton County) along with the creation of depth grids (NGVD 29) on May 4, 1869 (USGS, 2018a), and the high- for all of Lake Champlain. The previous report (Flynn and est stage recorded at the Burlington, Vt., gage was 101.86 ft Hayes, 2016) did not include this information. In addition, (NGVD 29) on April 27, 1993 (USGS, 2018b). recently acquired, higher resolution lidar data were used for Lake water-surface elevations recorded at the Rouses the creation of the flood-inundation boundaries and depth grids Point, N.Y., and Burlington, Vt., gages are generally in close for Rutland, Grand Isle, and Chittenden Counties in Vermont agreement as both gages are located in the northern part of as well as for northern Clinton County in New York. The Lake the lake. Although the net difference in lake levels at the Champlain static flood-inundation maps are intended to aid Burlington and Rouses Point sites averages near zero, internal residents in assessing the extent of flooding based on the stage seiches in the lake have been found to cause differences in as shown on the USGS gage websites and stage predictions by the lake levels by as much as 0.3 ft (0.1 meter [m]) (Shan- the NWS for the Rouses Point, N.Y., gage. ley and Denner, 1999). On August 28, 2011, during tropical storm Irene, lake levels varied by as much as 4 ft, with a lake elevation of 98.5 ft (NGVD 29) at the Whitehall, N.Y., gage Purpose and Scope at the southern end of the lake and a lake elevation of 94.5 ft (NGVD 29) at the Rouses Point gage at the northern end of This report describes the development of a series of the lake (Lumia and others, 2014). 11 estimated flood-inundation maps for the entire shoreline of Prior to this study, emergency responders in the New Lake Champlain in Franklin, Chittenden, Addison, Rutland, York and Vermont communities bordering Lake Champlain and Grand Isle Counties in Vermont and Clinton, Essex, and relied on several information sources to make decisions on Washington Counties in New York and identifies where these alerting the public and mitigating flood damages. One source maps and ancillary data (for example, geographic information Introduction 3