Publications Using the HMD or BMD

Table of Contents

Introduction...... 1 Official Reports...... 1 Books and Book Chapters...... 2 Journal Articles...... 8 Dissertations and Theses...... 27 Technical Reports and Working Papers...... 29

Introduction

The following comprises a list of publications that rely on from the Human Mortality Database (HMD) or the Berkeley Mortality Database (BMD). Works that used the BMD are identified by “[BMD]” at the end of the citation; all other publications used the HMD. This list is probably not a complete list of all publications based on the HMD, as there may be others that remain unknown to us.

The publications are grouped into six categories: i) official reports, ii) books and book chapters, iii) journal articles, iv) dissertations and theses, v) technical reports and working papers.

Official Reports

1. Balkwill, J., Chikodzore, K., etal. (2008). "Accounting for Pensions 2008- UK and International." Lane Clark and Peacock Actuaries and Consultants. p.43.

2. Bell, F. C. (1997). "Social Security Area Projections: 1997." No. 112. Social Security Administration.

3. Campbell, M. W., Flanagan, P. F., Levy, T. D. (2008). “Review of the Twenty Third Actuarial Report on the Canada Pension Plan.” Fellow of Canadian Institute of Actuaries.

4. Cristia, J. P., DeLeire, A. H., Iams, H., et al. (2007). "The Empirical Relationship Between Lifetime Earnings and Mortality." Congressional Budget Office, Washington, D.C.

5. Dunstan, Kim. (2006). “A History of Survival in New Zealand: Cohort life tables 1876-2004.” Wellington: New Zealand.

6. Ediev, D., Gisser, R. (2007) “Reconstruction of the Historical Series of Life Tables and of Age-Sex Structures for the Austrian Population in 19th-First Half of 20th Centuries.” Vienna Yearbook of Population Research. pp.327-355. Vienna: Austrian Academy of Sciences.

7. European Commission, Directorate-General for Research (2005). "Changing Population of Europe: Uncertain Future- UPE.” Final report. Project HPSE-CT2001-00095. Brussels, Belgium.

8. Hartmann, M., Strandell, G., (2006). “Stochastic Population Projections for .” Research and Development – Methodology reports from Statistics Sweden, 2006:2.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 1 of 33 9. Melnikov, A., Romanyuk, Y. (2006). “Efficient Hedging and Pricing of Equity-linked Life Insurance Contracts on Several Risky Assets.” Canada: Bank of Canada.

10. Mortensen, J. (2005). "Ageing, Health and Retirement in Europe the AGIR project, Final Report on Scientific Achievements." No. 11. European Network of Economic Policy Research Institutes.

11. Technical Panel on Assumptions and Methods. (2003). "Report to the Social Security Advisory Board (SSAB)." SSAB: Washington, D.C.

12. Watkins, Kevin. (2006). “Human Development Report 2006, Beyond Scarcity: Power, Poverty and Global Water Crisis.” New York: UNDP.

13. The World Bank. "2006 World Development Indicators." Washington, D.C.: International Bank.

14. The World Bank. "2007 World Development Indicators." Washington, D.C.: International Bank. http://siteresources.worldbank.org/DATASTATISTICS/Resources/WDI07frontmatter.pdf

15. The World Bank. "2008 World Development Indicators." Washington, D.C.: International Bank.

Books and Book Chapters

1. Albert, S. M. (2004). Public Health and Aging: An Introduction to Maximizing Function and Well Being. New York: Springer Publishing Company.

2. Alho, J., Cruijsen, H., & Keilman N. (2008). “Empirically Based Specification of Forecast Uncertainty,” pp.34-54 in: J. Alho, S. Hougaard Jensen, and J. Lassila (Eds.), Uncertain Demographics and Fiscal Sustainability. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

3. Anderson, M., Tuljapurkar, S., & Li, N. (2001). "How Accurate are Demographic Projections Used in Forecasting Pension Expenditure?" pp.9-27 in: Boeri, T., Börsch-Supan, A., Brugiavini, A., et al. (Eds.), Pensions: More Information, Less Ideology- Assessing the Long-Term Sustainability of European Pension Systems: Data Requirements, Analysis and Evaluations. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers. [BMD]

4. Bengtsson, T. & Dribe, M. (2000). "New Evidence on the Standard of Living in Sweden During the 18th and 19th Centuries: Long-Term Development of the Demographic Response to Short Term Economic Stress among Landless in Western Scania," pp. 341-372 in: Allen, R.C., Bengtsson, T., Dribe, M. (Eds.), Living Standards in the Past, New Perspectives on Well-Being in Asia and Europe. United Kingdom: Oxford University Press. [BMD]

5. Bijak, J. & Wickowska, B. (2008). "Prognozowanie Przecitnego Dalszego Trwania Ycia na Podstawie Modelu Lee i Cartera – Wybrane Zagadnienia," pp.9-27 in: Ostasiewicz, W. (Ed.), Statystyka Aktuarialna- Teoria i Praktyka. Wrocaw: Wrocaw University of Economics.

6. Bongaarts, J. (2008). "Five Period Measures of Longevity," pp.547-558 in: Barbi, E., Bongaarts, J., and Vaupel, J. (Eds.), How Long Do We Live: Demographic Models and Reflections on Tempo Effects? Rostock: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 2 of 33 7. Booth, H. & Zhao, Z. (2008). "Age Reporting in the CLHLS: A Re-assessment." pp.79-98 in: Yi, Z.Dudley L. Poston Jr, Vlosky, D.A. Gu, D. (Eds.), Healthy Longevity in China: Demographic, Socioeconomic, and Psychological Dimensions. Netherlands: Springer.

8. Bourbeau, R. & Smuga, M. (2003). "La Baisse de la Mortalité: Les Bénéfices de la Médecine et du Développement." pp.24-65 in: Piché, V., LeBourdais, C. (Eds.), La Démographie Québécoise. Enjeux du XXIe siècle. Montréal: Les Presses de l'Université de Montréal.

9. Crimmins, E. & Finch, C. E. (2005) “Early Life Conditions Affect Old Age Mortality,” pp. 99-106 in: James Carey et al., Longevity and Frailty. Verlag: Springer.

10. De Jong, P. & Heller, G. Z. (2008). Generalized Linear Models for Insurance Data. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

11. De Santis, G. (2008). "Dall'Unità d'Italia all'Unione Europea," in: Cavalli, L. (Ed.), Storia della Cultura Italiana. Torino: UTET.

12. Deaton, A. (2001). "Inequalities in Income and Inequalities in Health," pp.285-313 in: Welch, F. (Ed.), The Causes and Consequences of Increasing Inequality. Chicago: Chicago University Press. [BMD]

13. Deaton, A. & Paxson, C. (2001). "Mortality, Education, Income, and Inequality Among American Cohorts," pp.129-170 in: Wise, D. (Ed.), Themes in the Economics of Aging. Chicago: Chicago University Press for NBER.

14. Demeny, P. (2003). "Population policy," pp.654-662 in: International Encyclopedia of Population. New York: Macmillan Reference.

15. Devos, Isabelle. (2005). “Le Déclin de la Mortalité en Belgique,” pp.25 in: Eggerickx, T., Servais, P., Vilquin, E. (Eds.), Histoire de la Population de la Belgique et de Ses Territoires. Belgium: Louvain-la-Neuve.

16. Devos, Isabelle. (2006). All Animals. Mortality and Morbidity in Flanders, 18th-20th Century. Ghent: Academia Press.

17. Doblhammer, G. & Ziegler, U. (2006). “Future Elderly Living Conditions in Europe: Demographic Aspects,” in: Backes, G.M., Lasch, V., Reimann, K. (Eds.), Gender, Health and Ageing. European Perspectives on Life Course, Health Issues and Social Challenges. Verlag: Springer.

18. Ediev, D. M. (2003). Demographic Losses of Deported Soviet Peoples (in Russian). Stavropol: AGRUS, Stavropolservisshkola. pp.336.

19. Ediev, D. M. (2007). Demographic Potentials: Theory and Applications (in Russian). Moscow: Max-PRESS. pp.348.

20. Fischer, Claude S. & Hout, Michael. (2006). Century of Difference: How America Changed in the Last Hundred Years. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 3 of 33 21. Giles, K. (2006). Where Have All the Soldiers Gone? Russia's Military Plans Versus Demographic Reality. Great Britain: Conflict Studies Research Center.

22. Goda, G. S. & Shoven, J. B. (forthcoming 2008). "Adjusting Government Policies for Age Inflation," in: Shoven, John (Ed.), and the Economy. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

23. Goldsmith, T. C. (2003). The Evolution of Aging: How Darwin's Dilemma is Affecting Your Chance for a Longer and Healthier Life. Lincoln, NE: iUniverse Publishing.

24. Golubev, A. (2008). Biology of Aging and Lifespan (in Russian). N-L Publishers: St. Petersburg.

25. Greeley, A. & Hout, M. (2006). The Truth about Conservative Christians: What They Think and what They Believe. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

26. Guillot, M. (2003). “Event-History Analysis and Life Tables,” pp.325-29, 594-602 in: Demeny, Paul, and McNicoll, Geoffrey (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Population. Woodbridge: Macmillan Reference USA.

27. Guillot, M. (2008). “Tempo Effects in Mortality: An Appraisal,” pp.129-152 in: Barbi, E., Bongaarts, J., and Vaupel, James W. (Eds.), How Long Do We Live: Demographic Models and Reflections on Tempo Effects. Heidelberg: Springer.

28. Guillot, M. (forthcoming 2008). “Life Expectancy and Biological Limits to Human Life Span” in: Carr, Deborah (Ed.), Encyclopedia of the Life Course and Human Development. Chicago: Gale Cengage.

29. Harris, B. J. (forthcoming 2009). “Height, Health and Mortality in Continental Europe, 1700-2100,” in: Fogel, R., Floud, R., Harris, B., and Hong, S.C. (Eds.), Nutrition, Health and Human Development in the Western World Since 1700. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

30. Hazan, M. (2006). Longevity and Lifetime Labour Input: Data and Implications. Jerusalem, Mt. Scopus: Centre for Economic Policy Research, The Hebrew University.

31. Hoffmann, R. (forthcoming 2008). Socioeconomic Differences in Old Age Mortality: Vol. 25. The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis. Dordrecht: Springer.

32. Horiuchi, S. (1999). "Epidemiological Transitions in Human History," pp.54-71 in: Flemish Scientific Institute (Brussels), Health and Mortality: Issues of Global Concern. New York: United Nations.

33. Horiuchi, S. (2003). "Age Patterns of Mortality," in: Demeny, P., McNicoll, G. (Eds.), The Encyclopedia of Population. Farmington Hills, Michigan: Macmillan.

34. Hyndman, R. J. & Shang, H. L. (2008) "Bagplots, Boxplots and Outlier Detection for Functional Data," in: Dabo-Niang, S., and Ferraty, F. (Eds.), Functional and Operatorial Statistics. Heidelberg: Springer.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 4 of 33 35. Insurance Forskningsnämnden. (2007). Försäkrade i Sverige- Dödlighet och Livslängder, Prognoser 2007-2050. Stockholm: Elanders Gotab AB.

36. Jencks, Sandy & Smeeding, T. M. (forthcoming 2009). "Health and Economic Inequality," in: Salverda, W., Nolan, B., and Smeeding,T. (Eds.), The Oxford Handbook of Economic Inequality. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

37. Keilman, N. (2005). “Erroneous Population Forecasts,” pp.7-26 in: Keilman, N. (Ed.), Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting: Vol. 2. Probabilistic Models. Stockholm: Swedish National Social Insurance Board.

38. Keilman, N., Cruijsen, H., & Alho, J. (2008). “Changing Views of Future Demographic Trends,” pp.11-33 in: Alho, J., Hougaard Jensen, S., and Lassila, J. (Eds.), Uncertain Demographics and Fiscal Sustainability. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

39. Klein, H. S. (2004). A Population History of the . Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.

40. Kunitz, S. J. (2006). The Health of : General Theories and Particular Realities. New York: Oxford University Press.

41. Lee, R. & Edwards, R. (2001). "The Fiscal Impact of Population Change," pp.189-219 in: Little, J.S., Triest, R. K. (Eds.), Seismic Shifts: The Economic Impact of Demographic Change. Boston: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. [BMD]

42. Lee, R. & Edwards, R. (2002). "The Fiscal Effects of Population Aging in the US: Assessing the Uncertainties," pp.141-180 in: Poterba, M. J. (Ed.), Tax Policy and the Economy. Boston, MA: MIT Press. [BMD]

43. Lee, R. & Tuljapurkar, S. (2000). "Population Forecasting for Fiscal Planning: Issues and Innovations," pp.1-57 in: Auerbach, A., Lee, R. (Eds.), Demographic Change and Fiscal Policy. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press. [BMD]

44. Leonard, C. S. & Ljungberg, J. (forthcoming 2009). "Population and Living Standards, 1870-1914," in: Broadberry, S.N., O'Rourke, K.H. (Eds.), An Economic History of Modern Europe. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

45. Ljungberg, J. (2004). "Did Higher Technical Education Pay?" in: Ljungberg, J., Smits, J.P. (Eds.), Technology and Human Capital in Historical Perspective. Basinstoke: Palgrave Macmillan.

46. Maier, H. & Vaupel, J. W. (2003). “Age Differences in Cultural : Secular Trends in Longevity,” pp.59-78 in: Staudinger, U.M., Lindenberger, U. (Eds.), Understanding Human Development: Dialogues with Lifespan Psychology. Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

47. Manton, K. G. (1998). "The Future of Old Age," in Brocklehurst, J. C., Tallis, R. C., Fillit, H. M. (Ed.), Textbook of Geriatric Medicine and Gerontology. (5th ed.). London: Churchill Livingstone.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 5 of 33 48. Meszaros, J. (2006). “Mortality Differences in the Slovak and Czech Republic by Tempo- Adjusted Life Expectancy,” in: Backes, G.M., Lasch, V., Reimann, K. (Eds.), Gender, Health and Aging: European Perspectives on Life Course, Health Issues and Social Challenges. Verlag: VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften.

49. Ortega, J. A. & Silvestre, J. (2006). “Las Consecuencias Demográficas,” pp.53-105 in: Aceña, P. M., Ruiz, E.M. (Eds.), La Economía de la Guerra Civil. Madrid: Marcial Pons.

50. Pechholdová, M. & Gabriela, S. (2006). “Umrtnost senioru v Ceske republice: trendy a perspektivy,” pp.247-266 in: Hamplova, D., Salamounova, P., Samanova, G. (Eds.), Monograph: Zivotni Cyklus: Sociologicke a Demograficke Perspektivy. Prague: Institute of Sociology of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic.

51. Perna, C. & Sibillo, M. (Eds.). (2007). Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Insurance and Finance. Verlag: Springer.

52. Pham, H. (2008). "Mortality Modeling Perspectives," pp.509-516 in: Pham, H., Recent Advances in Reliability and Quality in Design. London: Springer.

53. Pollard, T. M. (2008). Western Diseases: An Evolutionary Perspective. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

54. Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P. & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Malden, MA: Blackwell Publishing. [BMD]

55. Riley, J. C. (2005). Poverty and Life Expectancy: The Jamaica Paradox. New York: Cambridge University Press.

56. Riley, J. C. (2008). Low Income, Social Growth, and Good Health: A History of 12 Countries. Berkeley: University of California Press.

57. Robine, J. M. (2002). "A New Health Expectancy Classification System," pp.205-212 in: Murray, C.J.L., Salomon, J.A., Mathers, C.D., Lopez, A.D. (Eds.), Summary Measures of Population Health. Gevena: World Health Organization. [BMD]

58. Rogers, R. G., Hummer, R. A., & Krueger, P. M. (2004). "Adult Mortality," pp.283-309 in: Poston, D. Micklin, M. (Eds.), Handbooks of Sociology and Social Research. New York: Springer.

59. Rosenthal, R. A., Zenilman, M. E., & Katlic, M. R., et al. (2001). "Principles and Practice of Geriatric Surgery," p.1098 in: Timiras, P.S. (Ed.), Demographic, Comparative and Differential Aging. (1st ed.). New York: Springer-Verlag.

60. Sheets, D. J., Bradley, D. B., & Hendricks, J. (2005). "Enduring Questions in Gerontology," p.296 in: A Biologist’s Perspective: Whence Come We, Where Are We, Where Go We? New York: Springer Publishing Company.

61. Shkolnikov, V. M. & Jdanov, D. (2008). "The Relationship Between Childhood Conditions and Older-Age Health: Disease Specificity, Adult Life Course, and Period Effects." pp. 211-222 in: Surkyn, J., Deboosere, P., Bavel, J.V. (Eds.), Demographic Challenges for the 21st Century. A State of the Art in Demography. Brussels: ASP/VUB Press.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 6 of 33 62. Skytthe, A., Jeune, B., & Wilmoth, J. R. (1999). "Age Validation of the Oldest Man," pp. 173-188 in: Jeune, B., Vaupel, J. W. (Eds.), Validation of Exceptional Longevity (Odense Monographs on Population Aging). Odense, : Odense University Press of Southern Denmark. [BMD]

63. Tcholakov, Nikola (2007) “,” in: Labor and . Sofia: University of National and World Economy.

64. Tuljapurkar, S. (2004). "The Emergence of Modern Human Mortality Patterns," pp.366-376 in: Singh, R., Uyenoyama, M. (Eds.), The Evolution of Population Biology: Modern Synthesis. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press. [BMD]

65. Tuljapurkar, S. (2008). “Comment: The UPE Forecasts: Strengths, Innovations, Developments,” pp.55-61 in: Alho, J., Hougaard Jensen, S., and Lassila, J. (Eds.), Uncertain Demographics and Fiscal Sustainability. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

66. Tuljapurkar S. & Lee R. (2000). "Demographic Uncertainty and the United States OASDI Fund," in: Mason, A., Tapinos, G. (Eds.), Intergenerational Economic Relations and Demographic Change. Oxford: Oxford University Press. [BMD]

67. Vaupel, J. W., Rau, R., Camarda, C. G., et al. (2006). Can Heterogeneity of Populations Explain Differences in Mortality? Chestnut Hill, MA: Center for Retirement Research at Boston College.

68. Viciana, F., Rodriquez, H., et al. (2003). "Longevidad y Calidad de Vida en Andalucia," pp. 1-10 in: Longevity and Quality of life in Andalucia. Isla de la Cartuja, Sevilla: Instituto Estadista de Andalucia.

69. Vladimir, C. R. (2003). Decomposition Methods in Demography. Amsterdam, The Netherlands: Rozenberg Publishers.

70. Wellner, R. B. (2002). "Demography and ," pp.3-12 in: Edwards, N. M., Mauer, M.S., Wellner, R. B. (Eds.), Aging, Heart Disease, and Its Management: Facts and Controversies. Totowa, NJ: Humana Press. [BMD]

71. Wilmoth, J. R. (1997). "In Search of Limits: What do Demographic Trends Suggest about the Future of Human Longevity?" pp.38-64 in: Watcher, K. W., Finch, C. E. (Eds.), Between Zeus and the Salmon: The Biodemography of Longevity. Washington, DC: National Academy Press. [BMD]

72. Wilmoth, J. R. (2002). "Human Longevity in Historical Perspective," pp.11-24 in: Timiras, P. S. (Ed.), Physiological Basis of Aging and Geriatrics. (3rd ed.). Boca Raton, Florida: CRC Press.

73. Wilmoth, J. R. (2003). "Mortality Decline," pp.654-662 in: Demeny, P., McNicoll, G. (Eds.), International Encyclopedia of Population. New York: Macmillan Reference USA.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 7 of 33 74. Wilmoth, J. R. & Horiuchi, S. (1999). "Do the Oldest Old Grow Old More Slowly?" pp.35-60 in: Robine, J. M., Forette, B., Franceschi, C., et al. (Eds.), The Paradoxes of Longevity. Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag. [BMD]

75. Wilmoth, J. R. & Timiras, P. S. (2001). "Demographic, Comparative and Differential Aging," pp.24-37 in: Rosenthal, R. A., Zenilman, M. E., Katlic, M. R. (Eds.), Principles and Practice of Geriatric Surgery. New York: Springer-Verlag. [BMD]

76. Wilson, P. & Rodway, P. (2006). "Ageing and the Long-Term Fiscal Position," p.99 in: Boston, J. and Davey, Judith A. (Eds.), Implications of Population Ageing: Opportunities and Risks. Wellington: Institute of Policy Studies.

77. Zhao, Z. (2008). "The Challenge to Healthy Longevity: Inequality in Health Care and Mortality in China," pp.269-287 in: Healthy Longevity in China. Netherlands: Springer.

Journal Articles

1. Abel, E. L. & Kruger, M. L. (2006). "The Healthy Worker Effect in Major League Baseball Revisited." Research in Sports Medicine, 14(1), pp.83-87.

2. Adda, J., Banks, J., & von Gaudecker, Hans-Martin. (forthcoming 2008). “The Impact of Income Shocks on Health: Evidence from Cohort Data.” Journal of the European Economic Association.

3. Анисимов, В & Михальский, А. (2004). "СТАРЕЕТ ЛИ НОБЕЛЕВСКИЙ ЛАУРЕАТ? Математический анализ возраста и продолжительности жизни лауреатов Нобелевскойпремии за 1901–2003 гг." Успехи геронтол, pp.14-22.

4. Akushevich, I., Kravchenko, J. S., & Manton, K. G. (2007). "Health-Based Population Forecasting: Effects of Smoking on Mortality and Fertility." Risk Analysis, 27(2), pp. 467-482.

5. Alber, J. (2005). "Wer ist das Schwache Geschlecht? Zur Sterblichkeit von Männern und Frauen innerhalb und außerhalb der Ehe." Leviathan, 33(1), pp.3-39.

6. Alders, M., Keilman, N., & Cruijsen, H. (2007). "Assumptions for Long-Term Stochastic Population Forecasts in 18 European Countries." European Journal of Population, 23(1), pp.33-69.

7. Alho, J., Alders, M., Cruijsen, H., Keilman, N., Nikander, T., & Pham, Q. D. (2006). “New Forecast: Postponed in Europe.” Statistical Journal of the United Nations ECE, 23(1), pp.1-10.

8. Allen, L. A., Yager, J. E., Funk, M. J., et al. (2008). "Discordance Between Patient-Predicted and Model-predicted Life Expectancy among Ambulatory Patients with Heart Failure." Journal of the American Medical Association, 299(21), p.2533.

9. Andreev, K. F. (2004). "A Method for Estimating Size of Population Aged 90 and Over with Application to the 2000 US Data." Demographic Research, 11(9), pp.235-262.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 8 of 33 10. Arora, S. (2002). "Health, Human Productivity, and Long-Term Economic Growth." The Journal of Economic History, 61(3), pp.699-749. [BMD]

11. Austad, S. N. (2005). "Diverse Aging Rates in Metazoans: Targets for Functional Genomics." Mechanisms of Ageing and Development, 126, Issue 1(1), pp.43-49.

12. Aylward, L. L., Charnley, G., Goodman, J., et al. (2008). "Comment on 'Chronic Disease and Early Exposure to Air-Borne Mixtures. 2. Exposure Assessment.'” Environmental Science and Technology, 42(6), pp.2201-2201.

13. Azbel, M. Y. (2001). "Phenomenological Theory of Survival." Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 297(1-2), pp.235-241. [BMD]

14. Azbel, M. Y. (2002). "An Exact Law Can Test Biological Theories of Mortality." Experimental Gerontology, 37(7), pp.859-869.

15. Azbel, M. Y. (2002). "The Law of Invariant Mortality." Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 310(3-4), pp.501-508. [BMD]

16. Azbel, M. Y. (2002). "Law of Universal Mortality." Physical Review E, 66(1), pp. 016107-1-016107-9. [BMD]

17. Azbel, M. Y. (2003). "Conservation Laws of Metabolism and Mortality." Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 329(3-4), pp.436-450.

18. Azbel, M. Y. (2005). "Exact Law of Live Nature." Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 353, pp.625-636.

19. Azbel, M. Y. (2007). "’Junk’ DNA, Genetic Regulation, and Major Mass Extinctions." http://arXiv.org/abs/q-bio.GN/0611027.

20. Bahna, M. & Tížik, M. (2006). "Slovenský Archív Sociálnych dát SASD–Možnosti Infraštruktúry pre Výskum v Sociálnych Vedách." [Slovak Archive of Social Data SASD – Infrastructural Resources for Research in Social Sciences]. Sociológia- Slovak Sociological Review, (5), p.415.

21. Barbi, E. & Vaupel, J. W. (2005). "Comment on 'Inflammatory Exposure and Historical Changes in Human Life-Spans'." Science, 308(5729), p.1743a.

22. Barford, A., Dorling, D., Smith, G. D., et al. (2006). "Life Expectancy: Women Now on Top Everywhere." British Medical Journal, 332(7545), p.808.

23. Berg, J., Fidan, D. & Lindgren, P. (2008). “Cost-Effectiveness of Clopidogrel Treatment in Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: A European Model Based on a Meta-Analysis of the PCI-CURE, CREDO and PCI-CLARITY Trials.” Current Medical Research and Opinion, 24(7), pp.2089-2101.

24. Berg, J., Lindgren, P., Spiesser, J., et al. (2007). "Cost-Effectiveness of Clopidogrel in Myocardial Infarction with ST-Segment Elevation: A European Model Based on the Clarity and Commit Trials." Clinical Therapeutics, 29(6), pp.1184-1202.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 9 of 33 25. Berrie, C. (2007). "Adjuvant Androgen Deprivation Can Cure Nonmetastasized Prostate Cancer." Medscape Medical News, March 26, Berlin.

26. Berry, D., Cronin, K., et al. (2005). "Effect of Screening and Adjuvant Therapy on Mortality from Breast Cancer." New England Journal of Medicine, 353(17), pp.1784-1792.

27. Bhaskaran, K., Hamouda, O., Sannes, M., et al. (2008). "Changes in the Risk of Death after HIV Seroconversion Compared with Mortality in the General Population." Journal of the American Medical Association, 300(1), p.51.

28. Bhattacharya, J. & Lakdawalla, D. (2006). "Does Medicare Benefit the Poor?" Journal of Public Economics, 99(1-2), pp.277-292.

29. Bijak, J. & Kupiszewska, D. (2008). "Methodology for the Estimation of Annual Population Stocks by Citizenship Group, Age and Sex in the EU and EFTA Countries." Informatica, 32, pp.133-145.

30. Bogojevića, A., Balaža, A., & Karapandžab, R. (2008). "Consequences of Increased Longevity for Wealth, Fertility, and ." Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 387(2-3), pp.543-555.

31. Bommier, A., Magnac, T., Rapoport, B., et al. (2005). "Droits la Retraite et Mortalité Différentielle." Economie & Pré Vision, 168(2), pp.1-16.

32. Bongaarts, J. & Feeney, G. (2002). "How Long Do We Live?" Population and Development Review, 28(1), pp.13-29. [BMD]

33. Bongaarts, J. & Feeney, G. (2003). "Estimating Lifetime." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 100(23), pp.13127-13133. [BMD]

34. Bongaarts, J. (2005). "Long- Trends in Adult Mortality: Models and Projection Methods." Demography, 42(1), pp.23-49.

35. Bongaarts, J. & Feeney, G., (2006). "The Quantum and Tempo of Life Cycle Events." Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, pp.115-151.

36. Bongaarts, J. (2006). "How Long Will We Live?" Population and Development Review, 32(4), pp.605-628.

37. Booth, H. (2006). "Demographic Forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in Review." International Journal of Forecasting, 22(3), pp.547-581.

38. Booth, H., Hyndman, R. J., Tickle, L., et al. (2006). "Lee-Carter Mortality Forecasting: a Multi-Country Comparison of Variants and Extensions." Demographic Research, 15(9), pp. 289-310.

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133. Hosenpud, J. D., Pamidi, S. R., Fiol, B. S., et al. (2000). "Outcomes in Patients Who Are Hepatitis B Surface Antigen-Positive Before Transplantation: An Analysis and Study Using the Joint ISHLT/UNOS Thoracic Registry." The Journal of Heart and Lung Transplantation: the Official Publication of the International Society for Heart Transplantation, 19(8), pp. 781-785. [BMD]

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135. Hout, M., Greeley, A., & Wilde, M. J. (2001). "The Demographic Imperative in Religious Change in the United States." American Journal of Sociology, 107(2), pp.468-500. [BMD]

136. Hyndman, R.J. & Ullah, Md. S. (2007). "Robust Forecasting of Mortality and Fertility Rates: A Functional Data Approach". Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 51(10), pp. 4942-4956.

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138. Janssen, F., Heide, A. V. D., Kunst, A. E., et al. (2006). "End-of-Life Decisions and Old-Age Mortality: A Cross-Country Analysis." Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 54(12), pp.1951-1953.

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142. Jarner, S. F., Kryger, E. M., & Dengsøe, C. (2008). “The Evolution of Death Rates and Life Expectancy in Denmark.” Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 1(27), pp.1-27.

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144. Jeune, B., Skytthe, A., Cournil, A., et al. (2006). "Handgrip Strength Among Nonagenarians and Centenarians in Three European Regions."Journal of Gerontology Series A: Biological Sciences and Med Sciences, 61(7), pp.707-712.

145. Jurges, H. (2007). "True Health Vs. Response Styles: Exploring Cross-Country Differences in Self-Reported Health." Health Economics, 16(2), pp.163-178.

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147. Kannisto, V. (2001). "Mode et Dispersion de la Duree de Vie." Population (French Edition), 56(1/2), pp.183-197.

148. Keilman, N. (2007). “UK National Population Projections in Perspective: How Successful Compared to Those in Other European Countries?” Population Trends, Autumn (129), pp. 20-30.

149. Keilman, N. (2008). “European Demographic Forecasts Have Not Become More Accurate During the Past 25 Years.” Population and Development Review, 34(1), pp.137-153.

150. Keiser, O., Taffe, P., Zwahlen, M., et al. (2004). "All Cause Mortality in the Swiss HIV from 1990 to 2001 in Comparison with the Swiss Population." AIDS, 18(13), pp. 1835-1843.

151. Kibele, E., Scholz, R., & Shkolnikov, V. M. (2008). "Low Migrant Mortality in Germany for Men Aged 65 and Older: Fact or Artifact?" European Journal of Epidemiology, 23(6), pp. 389-393.

152. Kivenzor, G. J. (2007). “Brand Equity Aberrations: Heritage Brand Perception Effects in Russian Markets.” Academy of Marketing Science Review, 2007(10).

153. Kohler, I. V., Maritkainen, P., Smith, K. P., & Elo, I. T. (forthcoming 2008). “Educational Differences in All-Cause Mortality by Marital Status—Evidence from Bulgaria, Finland and the United States.” Demographic Research.

154. Koissi, M. C. (2006). "Longevity and Adjustment in Pension Annuities, with Application to Finland." Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2006(4), pp.226-242.

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158. Krejčí, J. (2006). "Mezinárodní sociálněvědní komparativní výzkum a Česká republika: Přehled výzkumů a dostupných dat." [International and Comparative Social Science Research and the Czech Republic: A Report on Surveys and Available Data]. Sociologický časopis/Czech Sociological Review, (01), pp.149-173.

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163. Kruger, D. J. & Nesse, R. M. (2006). "An Evolutionary Life-History Framework for Understanding Sex Differences in Human Mortality Rates." Human Nature, 17(1), pp.74-97.

164. Kunitz, S. J. (2007). "Sex, Race and Social Role-History and the Social Determinants of Health." International Journal of Epidemiology, 36(1), pp.3-10.

165. Lakdawalla, D. N., Goldman, D. P., & Shang, B. (2005). "The Health and Cost Consequences of Obesity Among the Future Elderly." Health Affairs, 5, pp.30-41.

166. Lan, S., Cheung, K., & Robine, J. M. (2007). "Increase in Common Longevity and the Compression of Mortality: The Case of Japan." Population Studies, 61(1), pp.85-97.

167. Laszkiewicz, A., Szymczak, S., & Cebrat, S. (2003). "The Oldest Old and the Population Heterogeneity." International Journal of Modern Physics C, 14(10), pp.1355-1362.

168. Laszkiewicz, A., Szymczak, & S., Cebrat, S. (2003). "Prediction of the Human Life Expectancy." Theory in Biosciences, 122(4), pp.313-320(8).

169. Lau, S. H. P. (forthcoming 2008). “Demographic Structure and Capital Accumulation: A Quantitative Assessment.” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.

170. Lee, R. (2000). "The Lee-Carter Method for Forecasting Mortality, with Various Extensions and Applications." North American Actuarial Journal, 4(1), pp.80-93.

171. Lee, R. (2001). "Predicting Human Longevity." Science, 292(5522), pp.1654-1655.

172. Lee, R. & Miller, T. (2001). "Evaluating the Performance of the Lee-Carter Method for Forecasting Mortality." Demography, 38(4), pp.537-549.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 19 of 33 173. Lee, R. & Miller, T. (2002). "An Approach to Forecasting Health Expenditures, with Application to the U.S. Medicare System." Health Services Research, 37(5), pp.1365-1386.

174. Lee, R. (2003). "Rethinking the Evolutionary Theory of Aging: Transfers, Not Births, Shape Senescence in Social Species." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 100(16), pp.9637-9642.

175. Leigh, A. & Jencks, C. (2007). "Inequality and Mortality: Long-Run Evidence From a Panel of Countries." Journal of Health Economics, 26(1), pp.1-24.

176. Lekander, I., Borgström, F., Ström, O., et al. (2008). "Cost Effectiveness of Hormone Therapy in Women at High Risks of Fracture in Sweden, the US and the UK—Results Based on the Women's Health Initiative Randomized Controlled Trial." Bone, 42(2), pp. 294-306.

177. Leon, D. A., Saburova, L., Tomkins, S., et al. (2007). "Hazardous Alcohol Drinking and Premature Mortality in Russia: A Population Based Case-Control Study." The Lancet, 369(9578), pp.2001-2009.

178. Levy, W. C., Mozaffarian, D., Linker, D. T., et al. (2006). "Clinical Perspective." Circulation, 113(11), pp.1424-1433.

179. Li, N. & Lee, R. (2005). "Coherent Mortality Forecasts for a Group of Populations: An Extension of the Lee-Carter Method." Demography, 42(3), pp.575-594.

180. Li, S. H. N. & Chan, W. S. N. (2005). "Outlier Analysis and Mortality Forecasting: The United Kingdom and Scandinavian Countries." Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2005(3), pp. 187-211.

181. Lindgren, P., Buxton, M., Kahan, T., et al. (2008). "Economic Evaluation of ASCOT-BPLA: Antihypertensive Treatment with an Amlodipine-Based Regimen is Cost Effective Compared with an Atenolol-Based Regimen." British Medical Journal, 94(2), p.e4.

182. Ljungberg, J. & Nilsson, A. (2008). "Human Capital and Economic Growth: Sweden, 1870-2000." Cliometrica, 3(2).

183. Ludwig, H., Durie, B. G. M., Bolejack, V., et al. (2008). "Myeloma in Patients Younger than Age 50 Years Presents with More Favorable Features and Shows Better Survival: An Analysis of 10,549 Patients from the International Myeloma Working Group." Blood, 111(8), pp.4039.

184. Lussier, M. H., Bourbeau, R., & Choiniere, R. (2008). "Does the Recent Evolution of Canadian Mortality Agree with the Epidemiologic Transition Theory?" Demographic Research, 18(19), pp.531-568.

185. Lynch, S. M. & Brown, J. S. (2001). "Reconsidering Mortality Compression and Deceleration: An Alterative Model of Mortality Rates." Demography, 38(1), pp.79-95.

186. Lynch, S. M., Brown, J. S., & Harmsen, K. G. (2003). "Black-White Differences in Mortality Compression and Deceleration and the Mortality Crossover Reconsidered." Research on Aging, 25(5), pp.456-483.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 20 of 33 187. Maddison, D. (2007). "The Death Effect in Art Prices: Evidence from Denmark." Applied Economics, 003-6846, pp.1-5.

188. Maier, H. & Scholz, R. D. (2004). “Wiedervereinigung zeigt: für ein langes Leben ist es nie zu spät; Ostdeutsche holen in der Lebenserwartung auf.” Demografische Forschung Aus Erster Hand, 1(3), pp.1-2.

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192. Mariotto, A. B., Yabroff, K. R., Feuer, E. J., et al. (2006). "Projecting the Number of Patients with Colorectal Carcinoma by Phases of Care in the US: 2000-2020." Cancer Causes and Control, 17(10), pp.1215-1226.

193. Martel, S. & Bourbeau, R. (2003). "Compression de la Mortalité et Rectangularisation de la Courbe de Survie au Québec au Cours du XXe Siècle." Cahiers Québécois de Démographie, 32(1), pp.43-75.

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197. Melnikov, A. & Romanyuk, Y. (2008). “Efficient Hedging and Pricing of Equity-Linked Life Insurance Contracts on Several Risky Assets.” International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance. 11(3), pp.295-323.

198. Meslé, F. & Vallin, J. (2006). "Diverging Trends in Female Old-Age Mortality: The United States and the Netherlands Versus and Japan." Population and Development Review, 32(1), pp.123-145.

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200. Meszaros, J. (2007). “EAPS Working Group on Health.” Morbidity and Mortality, pp.17-19.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 21 of 33 201. Miller, T. (2001). "Increasing Longevity and Medicare Expenditures." Demography, 38(2), pp.215-226.

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203. Milne, E. M. (2007). "Postponement of Postmenopausal Mortality Acceleration in Low- Mortality Populations." Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1100, pp.46-59.

204. Milne, E. M. (forthcoming 2008). “The Natural Distribution of Survival.” Journal of Theoretical Biology, doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2008.07.021.

205. Mortensen, E. M., Kapoor, W. N., Chang, C. C. H., et al. (2003). "Assessment of Mortality After Long-Term Follow-Up of Patients with Community-Acquired Pneumonia." Clinical Infectious Diseases, 37(12), pp.1617-1624.

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207. Naslafkih, A., Dendukuri, N., Brophy, J. M., & Sestier, F. (2004). “Geographical Variations in Post Myocardial Infarction Mortality and their Impact on Risk Selection.” Journal of Insurance Medicine, 36(4), pp.282-291.

208. Naslafkih, A. Khoury, & F. Sestier (2007). “Mitral Valve Replacement and Long-Term Prognosis.” Journal of The Association of Insurance Medicine of Japan, 105(3), pp.1-10.

209. Nalsfkih, A., Sestier, F., Fix, J. M., & Khoury, A. (2006). “Aortic Valve Replacement and Long-Term Prognosis.” Journal of Insurance Medicine, 38(2), pp.126-135.

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211. Oksuzyan, A., Juel, K., Vaupel, J. W., & Christensen, K. (2008). “Men: Good Health and High Mortality; Sex Differences in Health and Aging.” Aging Clinical and Experimental Research, 20(2), pp.91-102.

212. Pampel, F. (2005). "Forecasting Sex Differences in Mortality in High Income Nations: The Contribution of Smoking." Demographic Research, 13(18), pp.455-484.

213. Passarino, G., Montesanto, A., Dato, S., et al. (2006). "Sex and Age Specificity of Susceptibility Genes Modulating Survival at Old Age." Human Heredity, 62(4), pp.213-220.

214. Pedroza, C. (2006). "A Bayesian Forecasting Model: Predicting U.S. Male Mortality." , 7, pp.530-550.

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217. Pinquet, J. & Guillén, M. (forthcoming 2008). "Long-Term Care: Risk Description of a Spanish Portfolio and Economic Analysis of the Timing of Insurance Purchase." Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance: Issues and Practice.

218. Pitacco, E. (2004). "Survival Models in a Dynamic Context: A Survey." Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 35(2), pp.279-298.

219. Pohar, M. & Stare, J. (2007). "Making Relative Relatively Easy.” Computers in Biology and Medicine, 37(12), pp.1741-1749.

220. Ponthiere, G. (2007). "Measuring Longevity Achievements Under Welfare Interdependencies: A Case for Joint Life Expectancy Indicators." Social Indicators Research, 84(2), pp.203-230.

221. Ponthiere, G. (2007). "Monetizing Longevity Gains Under Welfare Interdependencies: An Exploratory Study." Journal of Family and Economic Issues, 28(3), pp.449-469.

222. Pope III, C. A. (2000). "Epidemiology of Fine Particulate Air and Human Health: Biologic Mechanisms and Who's at Risk?" Environmental Health Perspectives Supplements, 108(S4), pp.713-723. [BMD]

223. Potterat, J. J., Brewer, D. D., et al. (2004). "Mortality in the Long-Term Open Cohort of Prostitute Women." American Journal of Epidemiology, 159(8), pp.778-785.

224. Rackwitz, R. (2002). "Optimization and Risk Acceptability Based on the Life Quality Index." Structural Safety, 24(2-4), pp.297-331.

225. Rackwitz, R. (2007). "Recent Developments in Risk Acceptability for Technical Facilities." International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, 7(6), pp.922-944.

226. Rackwitz, R. (June 2004). "Optimal and Acceptable Technical Facilities Involving Risks." and Systems Safety, 24(3), pp.675-695.

227. Richards, S. J., Ellam, J. R., Hubbard, J., Lu, J. L. C., Makin, S. J., & Miller, K. A., (forthcoming 2009). "Two-Dimensional Mortality Data: Patterns and Projections." British Actuarial Journal.

228. Rigby, J. E. & Dorling, D. (2007). "Mortality in Relation to Sex in the Affluent World." Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 61(2), pp.159-164.

229. Riley, J. C. (2005). "Estimates of Regional and Global Life Expectancy, 1800-2001." Population and Development Review, 31(3), pp.537-543.

230. Riley, J. C. (2005). "The Timing and Pace of Health Transitions Around the World." Population and Development Review, 31(4), pp.741-64.

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232. Robine, J. M., Michel, J. P., & Herrmann, F. R. (2007). “Who Will Care for the Oldest People in Our Ageing Society?” British Medical Journal, 334, 570-571.

233. Rosenberg, M. A. (2006). "Competing Risks to Breast Cancer Mortality." Journal of the National Cancer Institute. Monographs, 36, pp.15-19.

234. Rosero-Bixby, L. & Dow, W. H. (2004). "Insurance and Other Socioeconomic Determinants of Elderly Longevity in a Costa Rican Panel." Journal of Biosocial Science, 37(06), pp. 705-720.

235. Rossaint, R., Christensen, M. C., Choong, P. I. T., et al. (2007). "Cost-Effectiveness of Recombinant Activated Factor VII as Adjunctive Therapy for Bleeding Control in Severely Injured Trauma Patients in Germany." European Journal of Trauma and Emergency Surgery, 33(5), pp.528-538.

236. Rutter, C. M., Yu, O., & Miglioretti, D. (2007). “A Hierarchical Non-Homogeneous Poisson Model for Meta-Analysis of Adenoma Counts.” Statistics in Medicine, 26(1), pp.98-109.

237. Sanderson, W. C. & Scherbov, S. (2007). "A New Perspective on Population Aging." Demographic Research, 16(2), pp.27-58.

238. Scholz, R. D. & Maier, H. (2005). “Forschung an der Spitze der Bevölkerungspyramide: Altersangaben in Deutschland sind gut dokumentiert.” Demografische Forschung Aus Erster Hand, 2(4), pp.1-2.

239. Schoen, R. & Canudas-Romo, V. (2005). "Changing Mortality and Average Cohort Life Expectancy." Demographic Research, 13(5), pp.117-142.

240. Shangin, M. A., Likhachev, V. N., & Konradov, A. A. (2003). "Mathematical Model of Children Mortality." Biofizika, 48(1), pp.125-132.

241. Shkolnikov, V. M., Andreev, E. E., & Begun, A. Z. (2003). "Gini Coefficient as a Life Table Function: Computation from Discreet Data, Decomposition of Differences and Empirical Examples." Demographic Research, 8(11), pp.305-357.

242. Shkolnikov, V. M., Andreev, E. M., Leon, D. A., et al. (2004). "Mortality Reversal in Russia: The Story so Far." Hygeia Internationalis, 4, pp.29-80.

243. Shkolnikov, V. M., Scholz, R., Jdanov, D. A., et al. (2007). "Length of Life and the Pensions of Five Million Retired German Men." The European Journal of Public Health.

244. Spoerer, M. & Fleischhacker, J. (2002). "The Compensation of Nazi Germany's Forced Labourers: Demographic Findings and Political Implications." Population Studies, 56(1), pp. 5-21. [BMD] 245. Stallard, E. (2006). "Demographic Issues in Longevity Risk Analysis." Journal of Risk and Insurance, 73(4), pp.575-609.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 24 of 33 246. Stauffer, D. & Klotz, T. (2001). "The Sex-Specific Life Expectancy and the Influence of Testosterone in a Mathematical Aging Simulation Model and its Consequences for Prevention." The Aging Male, 4(2), pp.95-100. [BMD]

247. Stegmaier, C. & Schmidtmann, I. (2004). "S11.2: Breast Cancer in Saarland 1980-2000- Trends and Determinants in Survival." Biometrical Journal, 46(s1), pp.24-24.

248. Steinsaltz, D. R. & Wachter, K. W. (2006). "Understanding Mortality Rate Deceleration and Heterogeneity." Mathematical Population Studies, 13(1), pp.19-37.

249. Storm, H. H., Gislum, M., & Engholm, G. (forthcoming 2008). “Cancer Survival Before and After the Danish Cancer Plan” (in Danish). Ugeskr Laeger.

250. Stout, N. K., Rosenberg, M. A., Trentham-Dietz, A., et al. (2006). "Retrospective Cost- Effectiveness Analysis of Screening Mammography." Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 98(11), pp.774-782.

251. Strauss, D.J., Vachon, P. J., & Shavelle, R. M. (2005). "Estimation of Future Mortality Rates and Life Expectancy in Chronic Medical Conditions." Journal of Insurance Medicine, 37(1), pp.20-34.

252. Suzman, R. (2004). "Research on Population Aging at NIA: Retrospect and Prospect." Population and Development Review, 30, pp.239-264.

253. Tapia Granados, J. A. (2007). “Salud, Economía y Libertad: 40 Años de Crecimiento Económico, Transición Política y Condiciones de Salud en España.” Med Clin (Barc), 128(12), pp.463-467.

254. Tapia Granados, J. A. & Ionides, E. L. (2007). "The Reversal of the Relation Between Economic Growth and Health Progress: Sweden in the 19th and 20th Centuries." Journal of Health Economics, 27(3), pp.544-563.

255. Tcholakov, N. (2005). "Mortality and Life Expectancies in EU Acceding Countries- Long- Term Outlook." Migration and Ethnic Themes/Migracijske i Etničke Teme, 21(1-2), pp. 91-109.

256. Tsodikov, A., Szabo, A., & Wegelin, J. (2006). "A of Prostate Cancer Incidence." Statistics in Medicine, 25(16), pp.2846-2866.

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258. Vaupel, J. W. & Romo, V. C. (2002). "Decomposing Demographic Change into Direct Vs. Compositional Components." Demographic Research, 7(1), pp.1-14.

259. Vaupel, J. W. (2003). "Post-Darwinian Longevity." Population and Development Review, 29(1), pp.258-269. 260. Vaupel, J. W., Carey, J. R., & Christensen, K. (2003). "It's Never Too Late." Science, 301(5640), pp.1679-1681.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 25 of 33 261. Vaupel, J. W. & Romo, V. C. (2003). "Decomposing Change in Life Expectancy: A Bouquet of Formulas in Honor of Nathan Keyfitz's 90th Birthday." Demography, 40(2), pp.201-216.

262. Vaupel, J. W. & Kistowski , K. G. (2005). "Broken Limits to Life Expectancy (HMD)." Ageing Horizons, (3), pp.6-13. [HMD]

263. Villanueva, E. (2005). "Inter Vivos Transfers and Bequests in Three OECD Countries." Economic Policy, 20(43), pp.505-565.

264. Volk, A. A. & Atkinson, J. (forthcoming 2008). “Was Child Death the Crucible of Human Evolution?” Journal of Social and Cultural Evolutionary Psychology.

265. Wachter, K. W. (2005). "Tempo and its Tribulations." Demographic Research, 13(9), pp. 201-222.

266. Wayne, C. L., Mozafarrian, D., Linker, D. T., et al. (2006). "The Seattle Heart Failure Model. Prediction of Survival in Heart Failure." Circulation, 113(11), pp.1424-1433.

267. Weon, B. & Je, J. (2008). "Theoretical Estimation of Maximum Human Lifespan." Biogerontology, Jun 17 [Epub ahead of print].

268. Willets, R. C. (2004). "The Cohort Effect: Insights and Explanations." British Actuarial Journal, 10(4), pp.833-877.

269. Willets, R. C., Gallop, A. P., Leandro, P. A., et al. (2004). "Longevity in the 21st Century." British Actuarial Journal, 10(4), pp.685-832.

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271. Wilmoth, J. R. (1998). "Is the Pace of Japanese Mortality Decline Converging Toward International Trends?" Population and Development Review, 24(3), pp.593-600. [BMD]

272. Wilmoth, J. R. & Horiuchi, S. (1999). "Rectangularization Revisited: Variability of Age at Death within Human Populations." Demography, 36(4), pp.475-495. [BMD]

273. Wilmoth, J. R. (2000). "Demography of Longevity: Past, Present, and Future Trends." Experimental Gerontology, 35(9-10), pp.1111-1129.

274. Wilmoth, J. R., Deegan, L. J., Lundstrom, H., et al. (2000). "Increase of Maximum Life-Span in Sweden, 1861-1999." Science, 289(5488), pp.2366-2368. [BMD]

275. Wilmoth, J. R. & Robine, J. M. (2003). "The World Trend in Maximum Life Span." Carey, J.R. and Tuljapurkar, S. (Eds.), Life Span: Evolutionary, Ecological, and Demographic Perspectives, Supplement to Population and Development Review, pp.239-257. [BMD]

276. Wilmoth, J. R. (2005). "On the Relationship Between Period and Cohort Mortality." Demographic Research, 13(11), pp.231-280.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 26 of 33 277. Wilson, T. (2005). "The Application of a Probabilistic Framework to New Zealand’s Official National Population Projections.” Special Issue of New Zealand Population Review, 31 (1), pp.51-76.

278. Winkler-Dworak, M. (2008). "The Low Mortality of a Learned Society." European Journal of Population/Revue Européenne de Démographie [Epub ahead of print].

279. Yang, C. L. & Ta-cheng Li, T. C. (forthcoming 2008). “Estimation and Adjustment of Population Data for Taiwan: 1905-1943 and 1951-1997” (in Chinese). Survey Research.

280. Yang, L., Fujimoto, J., Qiu, D., & Sakamoto, N. (2008). “Childhood Cancer in Japan: Focusing on Trend in Mortality from 1970 to 2006.” Annals of Oncology, doi: 10.1093/annonc/mdn562.

281. Yang, Y. (2008). "Trends in US Adult Chronic Disease Mortality, 1960-1999: Age, Period, and Cohort Variations." Demography, 45(2), pp.387-416.

282. Yang, Y., Fu, W. J., & Land, K. C. (2004). "A Methodological Comparison of Age-Period- Cohort Models: The Intrinsic Estimator and Conventional Generalized Linear Models." Sociological Methodology, 34(1), pp.75-110.

283. Yashin, A. I., Begun, A. S., Boiko, S. I., et al. (2002). "New Age Patterns of Survival Improvement in Sweden: Do they Characterize Changes in Individual Aging?" Mechanisms of Ageing and Development, 123(6), pp.637-647. [BMD]

284. Yashin, A. I., Begun, A. S., Boiko, S. I., et al. (2001). "The New Trends in Survival Improvement Require a Revision of Traditional Gerontological Concepts." Experimental Gerontology, 37(1), pp.157-167. [BMD]

285. Yi, Z. & Vaupel, J. W. (2003). "Oldest-Old Mortality in China." Demographic Research, 8(7), pp.215-244.

286. Yue, J. C. (2002). "Oldest-Old Mortality Rates and the Gompertz Law: A Theoretical and Empirical Study Based on Four Countries." Journal of Population Studies, 24, pp.33-57.

287. Zhao, Z. A. & Kinfu, Y. A. (2005). "Mortality Transition in East Asia." Asian Population Studies, 1(1), pp.3-30.

288. Zheng, Z., Nordenstedt, H., Pedersen, N. L., et al. (2007). "Lifestyle Factors and Risk for Symptomatic Gastroesophageal Reflux in Monozygotic Twins." Gastroenterology, 132(1), pp.87-95.

289. Zhen, Y. & Jin, W.B., 曾毅, 金沃泊. (2004). "中国高 死亡模式及其与瑞典, 日本的比 分析 [China's Old Age Death Model and in Comparison with that of Sweden and Japan]." 人口与 [Population and Economy], (003), pp.8-16.

290. Ziegler, U. & Doblhammer, G. (2007). “Geschlechterdisparitäten in der Familiären Lebenssituation lterer und ihre Auswirkungen auf den Zukünftigen Häuslichen und Institutionellen Pflegebedarf.” Zeitschrift für Frauenforschung und Geschlechterstudien, 24. Jg, Heft 2+3.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 27 of 33 Dissertations and Theses

1. Cernayova, P. “The Lee-Carter Model for Forecasting Mortality with Various Extensions: Application to the Dutch Mortality Data.” Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam.

2. Choi, S. "The Stochastic Population Forecasting for Japan. Department of Sociology." UNC-Chapel Hill.

3. Davenport, R.J. (2005). "Original Antigenic Sin and the Pattern of Mortality in Influenza Pandemics." London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.

4. Drixler, F. (2008). “Infanticide and Fertility in Eastern Japan: Discourse and Demography. 1660-1880.” History, Harvard University.

5. Ediev, D. M. (2008). “Theory and Applications of Demographic Potentials” (in Russian). Doctor of Sciences, Cherkessk.

6. Fihel, A. (forthcoming 2008). “Sex and Duration of Life" (in Polish). Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.

7. Giero, M. (2005). "The Analysis of Possibility of Hedging Life Insurances with Annuities Based on the Life Tables (in Polish)." Department of Economics, University of Warsaw.

8. Janssen, F. (2005). "Determinants of Trends in Old-Age Mortality: Comparative Studies Among Seven European Countries Over the Period 1950 to 1999." Department of Public Health, Erasmus Medical Center.

9. Johansson, Kent. (2004). “Child Mortality During the Demographic Transition. A Longitudinal Analysis of a Rural Population in Southern Sweden 1766-1894.” Lund University, Sweden.

10. Krementsova, A. (2004). “Mathematical Analysis and Modeling of Human and Animal Life- Span Distributions (in Russian).” Ph. D. dissertation, Russian Academy of Science, Emanuel Institute Biochemical Physics.

11. Lebel, A. (1999). "Evolution de la Mortalite Conadienne aux Ages Avances de 1951 a 1955." Universite de Montreal, Department of Demography.

12. Martel, S. (2003). "Evolution de la Dispersion des Durees de Vie au Quebec au Cours du Xxe Siecle." Universite de Montreal, Department of Demography.

13. Mysickova, A. (2007). “Stochastische Bevölkerungsvorausberechnung für Deutschland und ihre Bedeutung für ein zukünftiges Rentenmodell.” School of Business, Chair of Statistics, Humboldt University.

14. Olsén, Jörgen. (2005). “Modeller och Projektioner för Dödlighetsintensitet.” Dissertation for actuarial diploma, Swedish Society of Actuaries.

15. Palosuo, H. (2003). "Health and Well-Being in Moscow and Helsinki." Stakes Research Report 129. Helsinki: National Research and Development Center for Welfare and Health. Department of Sociology and Department of Public Health, University of Helsinki.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 28 of 33 16. Pontancokova, M. (2003). "Perspectives of Population Ageing of Slovak Population Up to 2050." Department of Demography and Geodemography, Charles University.

17. Romanyuk, Y. (2006). “Imperfect Hedging and Risk Management of Equity-Linked Life Insurance Contracts.” Ph.D. Dissertation, University of Alberta.

18. Scherp, Hanna. (2007). “Lee-Carter Model to Countries in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union.” Disseration for actuarial diploma, Swedish Society of Actuaries.

19. Schormann, J. F. (2007). "Strukturwandel und Entwicklungstendenzen im Bestattungsgewerbe unter Demographischen Aspekten." Faculty of Economics and Management, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg.

20. Shah, P. D. & Guez, A. (2006). "Mortality Forecasting Using Neural Networks and Application to Cause-Specific Data." Master's Thesis, Drexel University.

21. Soneji, Samir. (2007). "Disparities in Disability Life Expectancy in US Birth Cohorts: The Influence of Race and Sex." Social Biology Ph.D. Thesis, Princeton University.

22. Stockmayer, G. E. (2003). "Statistical Analysis of a Howler Monkey Population." Statistics M.A. Thesis, University of California at Berkeley.

23. Teclu, Helen. (2007). “Hur bra Fungerar Prognoser Med Lee-Cartermodellen.” Master's Thesis, Stockholm University.

24. Wang, Jenny. (2007). “Fitting and Forecasting Mortality for Sweden: Applying the Lee- Carter Model.” Master's Thesis, Stockholm University.

25. Wohlfart, P. (2006). "Mortality Predictions for Longevity Analysis and Annuity Valuation". Stockholm University.

Technical Reports and Working Papers

1. Akushevich, I., Kulminski, A., Akushevick, L., et al. (2006). "Age Patterns of Disease Incidences in the US Elderly: Population-Based Analysis." TRENDS Working Paper, No.06.

2. Albouy, D. (2006). "The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Investigation of the Settler Mortality Data." University of California at Berkeley.

3. Antolin, P. (2007). "Longevity Risk and Private Pensions" OECD Working Paper on Insurance and Private Pensions No.3. France: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, France.

4. Azomahou, T., Boucekkine, R., & Diene, B. (2008). "A Closer Look at the Relationship Between Life Expectancy and Economic Growth." Economics of Ageing, NEP Reports: NEP-AGE-2008-01-05.

5. Bauer, D. & Kramer, F. W. (2007). "Risk and Valuation of Mortality Contingent Catastrophe Bonds." Georgia State University and Ulm University.

Last Revised October 29, 2008 / 29 of 33 6. Beaujot, R., Bernard, P., Bélanger, P., Bourbeau, R., Boyd, M., Le Bourdais, C., et al. (2006). "Population Change and Lifecourse: Strategic Knowledge Cluster.” Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Ontarios, Activity Proposal. pp.1-23.

7. Bedard, K. & Deschenes, O. (2003). "The Long-Term Impact of Military Service on Health: Evidence from World War II Veterans." Department of Economics, University of California, Santa Barbara.

8. Bongaarts, J. & Feeney, G. (2005). "The Quantum and Tempo of Life-Cycle Events." Policy Research Division, Population Council.

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