Program and Abstracts of 2014 Congress / Programme Et
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48th CMOS Congress 1 Sponsors On behalf of all delegates, the Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society wishes to extend our appreciation to the major supporters of our 48th CMOS Congress 2014. Gold Sponsors Silver Sponsors Other Sponsors 2 48th CMOS Congress Table of Contents Welcome to the 2014 CMOS Congress ......................................................................................................................... 4 Organising Committees .................................................................................................................................................. 7 Volunteers ...................................................................................................................................................................... 8 Poster Jury ..................................................................................................................................................................... 8 Student Travel Bursary Recipients 2014 ........................................................................................................................ 8 Social Program............................................................................................................................................................... 9 Public Lecture, World Ocean’s Day .............................................................................................................................. 12 Guidelines for Oral and Poster Presenters ................................................................................................................... 13 Exhibitors ..................................................................................................................................................................... 15 Workshops ................................................................................................................................................................... 16 Teachers Day ............................................................................................................................................................... 18 Plenary Speakers ......................................................................................................................................................... 20 Week at a Glance ......................................................................................................................................................... 25 Session Schedules ....................................................................................................................................................... 29 Poster list ..................................................................................................................................................................... 38 Maps ............................................................................................................................................................................ 41 Author Index ................................................................................................................................................................. 44 CMOS 2015 Congress ................................................................................................................................................. 46 Abstracts.....................................................................................................................................................................93 Congress Wireless Internet Access At Hotel Rimouski: hotelrimouski network (no password needed) At UQAR: SCMO2014 network Step 1. Internet Explorer 8 and higher. Open your browser, click on “Continue to this website (not recommended)”. Firefox 3. Open your browser, click on “Or you can add an exception”, then “Add exception”. On the next window, click on “Get certificate”, then click on “Confirm security exception”. Firefox 2. Open your browser and select “Accept this certificate temporarily for this session”. Step 2. You are now on the login page of the UQAR network Username: scmo Password: ocean48 48th CMOS Congress 3 Welcome to the 2014 CMOS Congress! Welcome from the Minister of the Welcome from the Minister of Fisheries and Environment Oceans I am pleased to extend It is my pleasure to my warmest greetings welcome you to beautiful on the occasion of the Rimouski for your 48th 48th Annual Canadian Congress. Meteorological and Oceanographic Society Canada’s oceans are a (CMOS) Congress in highway for the global Rimouski, Quebec. economy, creating jobs and sustaining commu- The theme for this nities. They are at the year's Congress, heart of a way of life in "Northern Exposure: many communities, and the implication of are valued as an essential changes in cold resource by all Canadians. environments," is of utmost importance to me as the Minister of the Environment, Minister of the Canadian Our Government shares your commitment to Northern Economic Development Agency, Minister for conserving, protecting and developing oceans in a the Arctic Council, and Member of Parliament for sustainable manner. We know that interactions Nunavut. This event brings together an important between the oceans, sea ice, snow pack and the network of scientists, professionals and students to atmosphere are a fundamental part of the earth's share their knowledge and findings on complex issues global climate system. Much like the theme of this that affect the North. year’s conference, we are striving to understand the implications of a changing Arctic environment. The topics to be discussed at this Congress include meteorological prediction in the north, climate Our Government is proud to support federal scientists modeling, climate change and variation, pollution in and oceans research. That is why, with the last cold environments, and impacts on Northern federal budget, Economic Action Plan 2014, we communities and ecosystems. These are important committed to developing the National Conservation issues for the Government of Canada and that's why Plan. We are also investing in the repair of Canada’s Budget 2013 committed $248 million over five years flagship icebreaker the Louis S. St. Laurent, which to strengthen Canada's meteorological services. enables scientists to continue their vital research in the North. And we look forward to the creation of our Canadians benefit directly from the cooperative new Polar icebreaker, the CCGS John G. collaborations and innovative solutions that result Diefenbaker. from events such as this Congress. The Government of Canada recognizes that CMOS Congresses lead to One of our goals is to ensure that current and future better scientific understanding and improved weather generations of Canadians are able to enjoy the and environmental services. Environment Canada's benefits of oceans as a precious natural resource. We participation at the Congress is our Government's work hard to safeguard Canada's healthy and commitment to ensure we achieve the best results for productive aquatic ecosystems with an integrative Canadians and the environment. approach to oceans management. We will continue to do so to ensure that future generations of Canadians On behalf of the Government of Canada, please inherit healthy oceans and ocean resources, and that accept my best wishes for an enjoyable and our collective use of these resources is sustainable. productive Congress. CMOS Congress 2014 is an excellent opportunity to Sincerely, share knowledge across disciplines and amongst scientific experts. The Honourable Leona Aglukkaq I hope you have a very productive conference this year. The Honourable Gail Shea, P.C., M.P. 4 48th CMOS Congress Welcome from the Minister of Sustainable Welcome from the Mayor of Rimouski Development, the Environment and the Fight Against Climate Change, Québec It is with immense pleasure that Rimouski th Climate change brings welcomes the 48 Con- with it major challenges. gress of the Canadian Addressing these Meteorological and Ocea- challenges is crucial if we nographic Society follow- ing up on the success of are to ensure the safety of th people, maintain their the 36 Congress held quality of life and preserve here in 2002. It’s a great the quality of our honor to receive scientists, ecosystems. professionals, and stu- dents who will share the The northern territories results of their most recent are already experiencing discoveries regarding the northern environment. the serious consequences of climate variability. Rising temperatures and The challenges associated with climate change are changing precipitation patterns, the gradual many. Therefore the research and the expertise of the disappearance of sea ice, accelerated melting of members of CMOS are in growing demand. In this glaciers and thawing of permafrost are examples that respect, the 2014 congress will highlight the breadth prove that the North is one of the places on the planet and expertise developed by the research centers, that is the most vulnerable to the effects of climate teaching establishments and research teams in the change. region that investigate climate change. In implementing its 2013-2020 Climate Change Action Among the activities in the program, I would like to Plan, which involves the collaboration of several underscore the Teachers Day, organised for teachers departments, agencies and research centres, the at the primary, secondary, and high school levels. Québec government is paying particular attention